IPDA Ranges to Cast Future Price Movement for ES Familiarizing ourselves more on IPDA Ranges to help form daily bias and to work on high time frame analysis. The first idea we ever published was actually a very similar thought but now that we have a better understanding of how to use IPDA ranges we wanted to post what we hope to be a more accurate version of what is to occur in CME_MINI:ES1! price action.
We are trading down off of a weekly order block that was traded into on July 18th; we have taken out the July 10th low of 4660.25 and we have failed to make a higher swing above 4683.50. It seems like the market has shifted to bearish conditions for the intermediate term. Using the look back and cast forward train of thinking, we have been trading higher for the 60 trading days prior to August 1st which is just 3 trading days after making our current intermediate high; meaning our cast forward should have plenty of sell side liquidity to draw to in order to clear out stops below our 20-40-60 day ranges.
It just so happens that we have a +Breaker Block that contains a Fair Value Gap/Liquidity Void inside of it. This gives us a lot of confidence in our bearish outlook as the 60 day low is quite literally is the top of our Liquidity Void and also falls into a zone for Optimal Trade Entry (OTE).
The only major bounce we should see is off of the March 13th Premium/Discount range as the Equilibrium for that range falls right in a Liquidity Void. The only thing that will push us through that with ease is some red folder news. Should be a piece of cake..
We are proud to put ourselves out there with ideas. It forces us to use logic and apply concepts and ideals that we have learned. Any questions or comments leave them below!
CME_MINI:ES1! EIGHTCAP:SPX500 CBOE:SPX TVC:SPX BLACKBULL:SPX500 SKILLING:SPX500
Smctrading
MSOS wanna get HIGH?erf you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment! Also, check out the links in my signature to get to know me better!
MSOS News pump, so a short based off of past trends could be warrented, but watching for a nice correction and some reactions off of these levels starting at 6.44 and 5.56.
EURUSD SHORTEURUSD is still bearish for now
last week price failed to respect a demand zone and now price dumped to break internal structure
price retraced on friday to hit a Breaker Bar(BKR) during the NFP release, respecting that zone and dropped hard.
All focus remains bearish on the Euro dollar until we see a good HTF market structure for buys.
USDJPY H1 USDJPY H1 (SMC)
1-Entering a trade on the dollar and the yen. We note that the price was in a strong upward trend. Break through the top. He quickly returned under it, and this was the first sign of a change in direction
2-Then it broke the low that formed the last high
3-Retesting forms resistance. And give areas for holding sales deals
Have good Luck
EU Internal structure BearishUpdate from the analysis I posted a couple weeks back. Currently looking for short trades but nothing long term. Still bullish when it come to the swing structure.
NB: Weekly time frame is bearish and the bullish price action is a weekly pullback. If the weekly internal structure becomes bearish I will communicate
USDJPYAs a student of SMC, I've just shorted USDJPY earlier in the day on the 1H timeframe. There is a 1H OB where price showed a strong rejection (it may or may not respect it). Further more there is a divergence happening on the Daily Timeframe. Add on to more confirmation, there is a strong resistance where price shows there is a strong sellers happening at that 1H OB area.
If you do have any suggestions or Idea's or even traders from SMC, drop down a comment down below. let's discuss more about USDJPY market structure.
NOTE: I'm not a professional advisor nor a signal provider, trade at your own risk and MM.
GBPCAD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS FOR THE WEEK Welcome to another series of my technical analysis and I am looking at the GBPCAD.
It has been presenting very good bullish momentum which i expect not to break the previous high and then reject.
Watch, learn, share, like and comment for more educational contents.
XTIUSD Bulls on the floor !Subject: Important Update on XTIUSD (US WTI CRUDE OIL) Trading Prospect 🛢️
Hello Greenback Trading Channel Subscribers,
I hope this message finds you well and ready for some exciting trading opportunities. Today, we have some crucial updates regarding XTIUSD (US WTI CRUDE OIL) that you won't want to miss.
The market has provided us with some promising signals, indicating a potential upward movement in the price of WTI Crude Oil. As avid traders, we understand the importance of staying agile and adapting to market conditions promptly. Therefore, we are making an adjustment to our trading prospect, and we are leaning towards a "buy" position.
However, please remember that the financial markets can be highly unpredictable, and conditions can change rapidly. Hence, it's vital to exercise caution and remain vigilant. We are closely monitoring the situation for further confirmation before executing any trades.
To help you stay informed and prepared, we have prepared a chart markup that highlights all the critical levels to keep an eye on. These levels are instrumental in making well-informed trading decisions. We urge you to review this chart carefully.
We want to emphasize the importance of patience and discipline in trading. While the signs look promising, we must wait for solid confirmation before entering any positions. This ensures that we are making informed choices that align with our trading strategy and risk management principles.
As always, please feel free to reach out if you have any questions or require further clarification. Your success and satisfaction are our top priorities, and we are here to support you every step of the way.
Stay tuned for updates as we closely watch the market for the confirmation we need to make our move. Remember, patience and diligence are the keys to successful trading.
🚀 Bitcoin's Weekly Adventure: Smart Money's Bullish Ride! 🌈Hey, crypto curious! 🕵️♂️ Get ready for a colorful journey into Bitcoin's weekly world, where the "Smart Money" concept is lighting up the path to potential profits! 📈💰
🤑 **Smart Money Magic:** Imagine the coolest finance wizards picking up on something awesome in Bitcoin. These experts are like money magicians, and they're casting bullish spells on the weekly scene. 🧙♂️✨
🌊 **Whale Waves:** Think of Bitcoin as a beach, and the big investor whales are making epic waves by splashing in. Their big moves send ripples of excitement, attracting others who want to ride the wave to gains! 🐋🌊
🔮 **Chart Whisperers:** Imagine chart experts with crystal balls, predicting Bitcoin's path. When they wink at the charts and nod, it's like they're telling us, "Good times are ahead!" Their crystal ball says, "Profit incoming!" 💎🔮
🌟 **Trend Treasures:** Picture a treasure map leading to riches. Well, Bitcoin's trend lines are like the coolest map ever. And right now, they're pointing toward a treasure trove of potential gains! X marks the bullish spot! 🗺️🌟
🌱 **Slow & Steady Wins:** Imagine Bitcoin as a seed, and "Smart Money" is patiently watering it. They know that with time, that seed will grow into a bullish tree of potential. Patience pays off in the crypto garden! 🌱🌄
🔓 **Unlocking Success:** Envision a vault with a sign that says "Future Wealth Inside." "Smart Money" believes in Bitcoin's potential, and they're unlocking the door to financial possibilities. Cha-ching! 💰🔑
🚶♂️ **Following the Stars:** Like stargazers chasing constellations, traders follow the lead of "Smart Money." When the big players gather around Bitcoin, it's like they're pointing us to a sky full of potential gains! ⭐🚀
Remember, this journey is full of surprises. Stay curious, listen to the money wizards, and trust your instincts. Keep an eye on the charts and reliable sources for the latest scoop on the Bitcoin adventure! 🚀🌌🪙
Mastering Liquidity in Trading: Unraveling the Power of SMC 🔥Liquidity is what moves the market. Liquidity and liquidity pools are created and targeted by the markets and a lack of understanding on this topic is the main reason why the trading mind fails even if the analyst mind is correct. Traders who have been victim to their stop losses being taken by a wick before price running in their favour are the perfect example of having the correct analytical mind but a weak trading one.
Liquidity is unlike an order block or price inefficiency or anything else that can be physically identified on a chart. It is invisible, however, it is still possible to identify without the need of indicators or anything other than price action alone.
Simply put, liquidity is money in the market. Typically, this money comes in the form of retail orders and stop losses. Knowing this allows us to understand that if the market targets liquidity, and liquidity comes in the form of retail stop losses, the market must be hunting and going against retail strategies.
🟢The first and most prominent of these retail strategies is the idea of support and resistance. On the chart we can see an example of what retail traders would refer to as a level of resistance. In doing this they would short price from this level expecting a move down. This creates a liquidity pool just above this ‘resistance level’ where the average retail trader would place their stop losses. This liquidity pool is now a target for the market. So instead of trading this move down, we wait for the liquidity grab and use the rest of this strategy to capitalise on the bearish move that we can expect.
On the Chart is a demonstration of the market hunting liquidity before making its next move. Again this is where traders would be correct in terms of bias but incorrect in terms of trading.
This is an example of what an informed chart looks like. Instead of highlighting support and resistance levels, we highlight equal lows and equal highs respectively. Equals are usually in the form of otherwise referred to double tops or double bottoms but can also be more than that. The key difference, however, is that we would anticipate the market hunting the liquidity above the equal highs and below the equal lows. Due to this, we avoid being a victim to the market stopping us out by a wick and falling in our direction.
The second most prominent retail strategy or idea is the trend-line. Every time a trend-line formation is present within the market, we can now understand the amount of stop losses and, therefore, liquidity that would be sitting under this ‘trend-line’.
Above is an example of the importance of recognising trend-line liquidity. Once the liquidity above the equal highs has been hunted, we need to establish the next liquidity pool in the market. Seeing a break above the ‘resistance level’ would be seen as a ‘bullish breakout’ by the average trader. However, we can identify that as a liquidity purge and higher high, in which case we can expect a higher low to be made - which would mean a bearish retracement.
On top of this, we can see a build up of trend-line liquidity just above the discount end of the parent price range. This gives us an added confluence and confidence in the fact that we can expect lower prices with the liquidity underneath the trend-line as our first target.
Above is an example of liquidity being grabbed on the bullish side (above the equal highs) sending the uninformed trader long based off of a ‘bullish breakout’, then hunting the liquidity on the bearish side (below the trend-line) and sending the uninformed trader short based off of the break of the trend-line. This is typical of the market - it shakes out impatient and uninformed traders on both sides of the market before making the actual move.
Here is another examples of how trendline liquidity gets purged by the market. On the chart we can see a trend-line where many traders would be longing the market, unaware that they will be victims of a liquidity purge.
Below we can see that liquidity purge below the trend-line which would send the average trader short. Using the rest of the strategy, we are able to understand that price will react from specific levels to go long
Below we can see the completion of this market cycle with our levels being respected and the real bullish leg being made.
🔥🟠🔥🔥🟠🔥 BONUS CHEATSHEETS👇👇👇👇
Unlocking the Secrets of Price Inefficiency: Dive Deep into FVG👑Price inefficiencies are also known as imbalances, gaps or voids. Healthy price action moves in a zigzag fashion, making highs and lows in line with the directional bias at any given moment. When price isn’t trending we find it consolidates, in which case highs lows are still being made. However, we may also see price move in straight lines with huge volume and momentum. When this happens, price finds itself unable to deliver price in an efficient manner. For example, in a bullish environment, price may continue to make higher highs without providing higher lows at a discount price. When price moves with this much momentum, it leaves behind imbalances.
🟠An imbalance can be identified by open space in price action, where the wicks on either side of a candle do not match each other. On the left is an example of price inefficiency, since the wick high of candle 1 does not meet the wick low of candle 3, leading to an imbalance on candle 2.
🟠This is an example of healthy price action with no imbalances. This is because all candles have wicks on either side of them. Since wicks were bodies during live price action and are bodies on lower time frames, this shows that price was delivered efficiently to buyers and sellers in this area. Whereas the example above shows an imbalance on a bullish candle, which shows that price was only available to buyers in that imbalance and therefore is not efficient.
👉For price to be efficient, it needs to be delivered to buyers and sellers. This helps us understand that in our original bullish imbalance, price has to come back and fill that imbalance using bearish price action in order to make that price available to sellers. This re-balancing could take hours, days, weeks or years, but it is our job to understand that it must happen at some point. Inline with the rest of the strategy, we can use this knowledge to pick out the specific imbalances that will be filled and how we can capitalise on this.
🟠This is an example of the correctly identified imbalance and where we expect price to react from
🟠This is an example when is our level being met, it is at this point that we use the rest of the strategy and knowledge to capitalise on the move that is about to unfold with high risk:reward entries.
🟠This is the completion of this particular market cycle, with our level being respected and price giving us a nice bullish leg.
🔴Bearish Order Flow:
🟢Bullish Order Flow:
Possible bearish correction | USDCHF USDCHF on the daily time frame is still bearish ,after taking the liquidity around 0.87924 level mixed with bearish engulfing pattern and momentum candles, expecting a potential bearish move to the downside for a liquidity grab at 0.86624 ,0.87007 or 0.87175 price value