Smctrading
Advanced Trend Analysis in SMC Smart Money Concept Trading Forex
In this article, we will discuss how to execute advanced market trend analysis with smart money concept trading.
I will teach you how to identify long-term, mid-term and minor trend and how to apply trend analysis in making predictions and trading.
First, let me briefly remind you the basic rules of a trend analysis in SMC trading.
We say that the market is bullish if there are at least 2 bullish impulses with 2 higher highs and a retracement leg between them with a higher low.
The market is bearish if there are at least 2 bearish impulses with 2 lower lows and a retracement leg between them with a lower high.
If the conditions for a bullish or a bearish trend are not met, we say that the market is consolidating .
Bullish violation of the last higher high in a bullish trend is called a Break of Structure BoS.
Bearish violation of the last higher low in a bullish trend is called a Change of Character CHoCH.
Bearish violation of the last lower low in a bearish trend is called a Break of Structure BoS.
Bullish violation of the last lower high in a bearish trend is called a Change of Character CHoCH.
BoS signifies a trend continuation.
CHoCH signifies a trend violation.
In order to apply these rules on a price chart, we perceive the market movements as the set of impulse and retracement legs.
However, with such a method of analysis a big question arises: what is exactly is the impulse leg, how strong and long it should be. Which price fluctuations can be a part of the impulse and which should be excluded.
Look at the example above. A price action on AUDCAD can be perceived as one single bullish impulse or a combination of 3 bullish impulses and retracements and a combination of multiple impulses and retracements.
Which way of analysis is correct?
The fact is that the price action analysis on each chart is correct . The only difference between them is the perspective .
From a long-term perspective , the entire price movement on the chart is a one single impulse.
From a mid-term perspective , it is the market that is trading in a bullish trend in 3 bullish impulses.
From a short-term perspective , it is the market that is trading in a bullish trend and started to consolidate and trade in sideways for some time, resuming the growth then.
With advanced SMC trend analysis, you should learn to perceive a price chart not only as a combination of impulse and retracement legs, but also as a combination of long-term, mid-term and short-term trends and movements.
Depending on your trading style, such a reasoning can be applied on any time frame.
Look at AUDJPY pair on an hourly time frame.
From a long-term perspective, the pair is trading in a bearish trend.
Studying in details the last bullish impulse, we can perceive it as a minor bullish trend with its confirmed violation after a Change of Character.
Let's discuss another example.
EURNZD is trading in a clear long-term bullish trend on a daily.
Zooming in the chart, we can also analyze the last bullish impulse in a long-term bullish trend as a mid-term bullish trend.
At the same time, if we analyze the recent minor movements, we can spot a confirmed minor bearish trade on the pair.
Why do we need such an in-depth market trend analysis?
Always remember that a global trend is always born from a minor trend. Minor trend analysis will help you to identify local reversal, trend following signals much earlier.
The fact that EURNZD started to trade in a minor bearish trend, being globally bullish, can be an important warning sign for us.
You can see that after some time the pair started to fall rapidly.
A minor bearish trend continued, a mid-term bullish trend was violated and a correction started in a global bullish trend.
Your ability to correctly analyze different market perspectives is essential for making accurate predictions.
The trend analysis rules and events that we discussed are more than enough for successful trading any time frame and any market.
Study trend analysis, learn to identify global, mid-term and minor trend and good luck in your trading.
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GBPUSD 1.29661 -0.13% MULTI TF INTRADAY SET-UPHELLO TRADERS
Hope everyone is doing great
📌 A look at The CABLE At the close of ASIA INTO THE LONDON, TO NY PM SESSION
- As we draw to the close of the week, looking for GU to close bullish.
* on the 4H looking for a bearish open with the close of ASIAN SESSION.
* PO3
* Push LOWER before going for HIGHER structures LQ pull.
1 HOUR TF
* Looking for the mitigation of the bullish OB+.
* FVG below has already been mitigated.
* if this structure holds, looking for long entries to close the week.
* DXY 4H
* BASED on the price action served next session...
* We will see what does the market dish.
🤷♂️😉🐻📉🐮📈
HOPE YOU ENJOYED THIS OUT LOOK, SHARE YOUR PLAN BELOW,🚀 & LETS TAKE SOME WINS THIS WEEK.
SEE YOU ON THE CHARTS.
IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY WAY OR IF YOU ENJOYED THIS ONE
SMASH THAT 🚀 & LEAVE A COMMENT.
ALWAYS APPRECIATED
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
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* ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - I TAKE MY TRADES ON A INTRA DAY SESSIONS BASIS THIS IS NOT FINACIAL ADVICE TO EXCECUTE ❤
LOVELY TRADING WEEK TO YOU!
AUDUSD / LONG / M15AUDUSD may rise from the Bullish Order Block
Bullish Order Block: 0.65980 and 0.65891
AUDUSD is likely to rise from the bullish order block, with a strong probability of the trade closing in profit. Let’s watch how the price reacts in this area.
AUDUSD / LONG / M15
LOT :- 0.2
Entry Price :- 0.65947
Take Profit :- 0.66106
Stop Loss :- 0.65788
USOIL 71.07 +2.57% SHORT IDEA MULTI-TF ANALYSISHELLO TRADERS
Hope everyone is doing great
📌 A look at USOIL from HTF - MULTI TIME-FRAME ANALYSIS
USOIL DAILY TF
* Last week saw a bearish close with the weekly FVG holding & beautifully rejecting, looking for a retest of this PD ARRAY before continuation down.
* The sentiment is still strongly bearish for OIL from HIGHER TF perspective.
* The weekly & daily TF show we are still trading in a range on a bearish trend towards that ERL.
* The picture is clearer with strong bearish moves from the daily, looking for some retracement.
* some volume imbalance left behind on lower TF might confirm this move.
* possibly to be filled before we take that ERL.
USOIL 4H
As we head lower we see some bearish potential for some retracement.
* With the week to opening Bearish (PO3) could see bearish move into the VI.
* sentiment the same on the hourly tf.
* This rally with the bulls & strong momentum to the down side could see some reversal.
looking for some signs of this on todays price action.
* LETS SEE HOW THE MARKET DISHES
🤷♂️😉🐻🐮
HOPE YOU ENJOYED THIS OUT LOOK, SHARE YOUR PLAN BELOW,🚀 & LETS TAKE SOME WINS THIS WEEK.
SEE YOU ON THE CHARTS.
IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY WAY OR IF YOU ENJOYED THIS ONE
SMASH THAT 🚀 & LEAVE A COMMENT.
ALWAYS APPRECIATED
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
* Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
|
* ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - I TAKE MY TRADES ON A INTRA DAY SESSIONS BASIS THIS IS NOT FINACIAL ADVICE TO EXCECUTE ❤
LOVELY TRADING WEEK TO YOU!
USDJPY 151.950 -0.64% LONG IDEA INTRADAY SET-UPHELLO TRADERS
Hope everyone is doing great
📌 A look at USDJPY from MULTI TIME-FRAME ANALYSIS
USDJPY 4H TF
* Mon. opens strongly bullish with the 7am SAT pushing up but wicking out.
* Trading out of a sweep on an long term high.
* 4H vi above looking good for targets.
* looking for long entries in correlation with the DXY
* looking for PO3 rules towards the Downside to continue HIGHER.
* The weekly & daily TF show we are still showing signs of a BULLISH move still.
* Looking for continuation of this move.
* We saw a rally with the bears, strong momentum to the downside.
* Looking at the 1H FVG, this is where I would look for long entries this week.
* Should this PD ARRAY hold will be LONG for the GJ intraday.
* BASED on the price action served.
HOPE YOU ENJOYED THIS OUT LOOK, SHARE YOUR PLAN BELOW,🚀 & LETS TAKE SOME WINS THIS WEEK.
SEE YOU ON THE CHARTS.
IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY WAY OR IF YOU ENJOYED THIS ONE
SMASH THAT 🚀 & LEAVE A COMMENT.
ALWAYS APPRECIATED
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
*
Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
| * ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - I TAKE MY TRADES ON A INTRA DAY SESSIONS BASIS THIS IS NOT FINACIAL ADVICE TO EXCECUTE ❤
LOVELY TRADING WEEK TO YOU!
CADJPY / M15 / SHORTCADJPY may fall from the Bearish Order Block
Bearish Order Block: 109.457 and 109.372
CADJPY is likely to drop from the bearish order block, with a high probability of the trade reaching profitability. Since the price hasn’t touched the order block yet, consider placing a limit order at the entry price. Let’s see how the price reacts as it approaches this zone!
CADJPY / M15 / SHORT
LOT :- 0.3
Entry Price :- 109.372
Take Profit :- 109.151
Stop Loss :- 109.593
US100 20046.9 0.02% LONG IDEA INTRADAY SET-UPHELLO TRADERS
Hope everyone is doing great
📌 A look at NAS100 from MULTI TIME-FRAME ANALYSIS
From the 4H TF
* we swept Lows , which was the short term low within the range.
* Beautiful rejection forming a wick favoring bullish move.
* So seems we may see a reversal before continuation with the bears.
US100 1H TF
* Strong bearish rejection, multiple wick rejection.
* 1H looking for a push into the +OB ✔ to BUY intraday
.
US100 15 TF
* Multiple rejection of bearish move.
* Looking at the 1H +OB, this is where I would look for LONGS as we are rejecting downside.
* Should this PD ARRAY hold will be Short for the US100.
* BASED on the price action served this week.
US100 5M
- ASIA HIGHS - EQ HIGHS
- DAILY OPEN - TRADING BELOW
-TRUE DAILY OPEN - TRADING BELOW
- LONDON LOWS ✔
HOPE YOU ENJOYED THIS OUT LOOK, SHARE YOUR PLAN BELOW,🚀 & LETS TAKE SOME WINS THIS WEEK.
SEE YOU ON THE CHARTS.
IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY WAY OR IF YOU ENJOYED THIS ONE
SMASH THAT 🚀 & LEAVE A COMMENT.
ALWAYS APPRECIATED
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
| * ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - I TAKE MY TRADES ON A INTRA DAY SESSIONS BASIS THIS IS NOT FINACIAL ADVICE TO EXCECUTE ❤
LOVELY TRADING WEEK TO YOU!
EURUSD 1.09085 +0.71% short idea INTRA-DAY SET UP...HELLO TRADERS
Hope everyone is doing great
📌 A look at The EURUSD NY FROM AM - PM SESSION
* With a bullish run into Monday CLOSE (PO3) today will be looking for some retracement.
* looking at the daily HIGH taken which is a sign of weakness on EU.
* Looking at the VI below as targets as well.
* on the 4H looking for a bullish open to take ASIA high LQ✔.
* PO3
* Push higher before going for lower structures✔.
* looking for an aggressive move above out of the range to sweep.
* and aggressive in.
* this where I would look for entries short.
* Looking for the take of that ERL WHICH we saw friday.
* with two possible OTE ( ASIA HIGHS, AND LONG TERM HIGH) , EXECUTION IS BASED ON RR & RISK MANAGEMENT.
* DXY 15M
- Will wait for the DXY to take ASIA lows and trade back in the range as a confirmation as well...
* BASED on the price action served next session...
* We will see what does the market dish.
🤷♂️😉🐻📉🐮📈
HOPE YOU ENJOYED THIS OUT LOOK, SHARE YOUR PLAN BELOW,🚀 & LETS TAKE SOME WINS THIS WEEK.
SEE YOU ON THE CHARTS.
IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY WAY OR IF YOU ENJOYED THIS ONE
SMASH THAT 🚀 & LEAVE A COMMENT.
ALWAYS APPRECIATED
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
|
* ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - I TAKE MY TRADES ON A INTRA DAY SESSIONS BASIS THIS IS NOT FINACIAL ADVICE TO EXCECUTE ❤
LOVELY TRADING WEEK TO YOU!
WIFUSDT.P /SHORT / M15WIFUSDT may fall from the Bearish Order Block
Bearish Order Block: 2.1078 and 2.089
WIFUSDT may decline from this bearish order block, with a high probability that the price will move in our anticipated direction. I’ve used Smart Money Concepts (SMC) for chart analysis. Let’s see how the price reacts in this area!
WIFUSDT.P /SHORT / M15
LEVERAGE :- 50X
Entry Price :- 2.0890
Take Profit :- 2.0345
Stop Loss :- 2.1435
XAUUSD wave structure analysis on 15 minute and 4 hour timeframe4H swing is bullish => current is pullback.
M15 swing is bearish.
The current price is in the demand zone on the 4-hour timeframe, so we can look for buying opportunities on this timeframe.
We wait for a bullish signal on the 5-minute or 15-minute timeframe, which gives a higher probability of winning.
BTC wave structure analysis on 4 hour and daily timeframe- Daily time frame, after price gave stop hunting signal, price increased again.
- On the 4-hour time frame, the price broke through the strong peak and gave a bullish reversal signal.
- So there is a high possibility that BTC will continue to rise and break the previous top.
THETAUSDT.P / LONG / M15THETAUSDT may rise from the Bullish Order Block
Bullish Order Block: 1.1448 - 1.1353
We anticipate a rise in THETAUSDT as it approaches the bullish order block. Based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC) analysis, there’s a high probability that this trade could be profitable. Let’s observe how the price reacts as it moves within the designated zone.
Entry Price :- 1.1449
Take Profit :- 1.1633
Stop Loss :- 1.1264
WUSDT.P / LONG / M15WUSDT May Rise from the Bullish Order Block
Bullish Order Block: 0.2400 to 0.2367
WUSDT has entered a bullish order block, suggesting a possible upward move from this level. The high probability of a price increase is based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC) chart analysis, which aligns with a potential bullish trend. Let’s monitor the price action closely to see how it develops in this zone.
WUSDT.P / LONG / M15
Leverage :- 25x
Entry price :- 0.2400
Take Profit :- 0.2506
Stop Loss :- 0.2294
USDCHF BuyUS Dollar VS Swiss Franc is in a Bullish trend as US dollar has gained power and swiss franc price declined we are expecting a rally upwards in USDCHF pair the confluence is price is making higher highs and higher lows on H1 time frame and price is moving in a wedge pattern which make price confluence as bullish so we bullish over gold as currency strength also powers up our anylisis
EURUSD Sellas we were bearish last week and now still this week too we are bearish although we have NFP pending this week if data goes into favor we will have a rally downwards and profits will be taken
we have some bearish confluences over the pair which are lined up as
Confluence
EUR vs Dollar is in bearish trend from Monthly to weekly to daily to H4 to H1 we are all bearish
the pair is making Lower highs and Lower low formation from last week and has completed its retracment and am waiting for BOS only we will go bearish over it
Geo politics is also a factor for EUR to be bearish All currencies are affectee of this Situation
we will be bearish this week and let the price play if any change in price character is seen i will be mentioning that into my analysis
INJUSDT / H1 / LONGINJUSDT may rise from the Bullish Order Block
Bullish Order Block: 19.97 and 19.51
INJUSDT has recently touched the Bullish Order Block, indicating a potential move to the upside. We can now expect a rise from this zone. Let's see how the price reacts as it progresses. I have used Smart Money Concepts (SMC) for analyzing this chart.
Entry price :- 19.96
Take Profit :- 20.86
Stop Loss :- 19.06