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SMH

$MCHP Ready to Break Downtrend?NASDAQ:MCHP is heavy into automotive chips along with many other industries as well. When looking at the chart I see that we have a longer-term double bottom formation that put into play an Undercut and Rally on Nov 2nd, which was the earnings date. That is technically still in play. It looks like it will break out of the downtrend line today where I have an alert. I like the accumulation volume before and after earnings. NASDAQ:MCHP has regained the faster moving averages but is still below the 50 DMA in red and the 40-week MA in white. The MACD turned up just 3 days ago. Lastly, NASDAQ:MCHP has either been reiterated or upgraded to either “Buy” or “Outperform” by at least 4 different analysts in the last few days. The average price target is $101. Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.
NASDAQ:MCHPLong
by jaxdog
$ON: The EV downside is already priced in.$ON:1D With the earnings forecast providing downside price pressure on the longterm trend, NASDAQ:ON hits the lowest level on its1D RSI in over two years. Needless to say, our trend has been weakened from a Pearson’s R^2 of 0.91 down to a Pearson’s R^2 of 0.88 while losing a little more than 3% of the longterm trend strength in the process. While there are significant headwinds facing the EV market at current, from supply constraint’s on graphite to scaling EV’s across our shaky electrical grid system, it seems as though NASDAQ:ON has those concerns ‘overly priced in’ and could be poised for a rebound along with the broader semi-conductor market. I would expect NASDAQ:ON to make an attempt at coming ‘back in line’ with its long term trend and to make a move up to the lower 3rd standard deviation line at 76.49 and possibly higher before year’s end. Not financial advice. All stocks can go to zero.
NASDAQ:ONLong
by The_Firewalker
$SMH Cup & Handle Pattern ### Technical Analysis Overview: VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF ( NASDAQ:SMH ) – Cup & Handle Formation on Weekly Chart The VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF ( NASDAQ:SMH ), which tracks the performance of the semiconductor sector, is currently exhibiting a classic Cup & Handle pattern on its weekly chart. This pattern is a significant indicator in technical analysis, often suggesting a potential bullish continuation. #### Understanding the Cup & Handle Pattern The Cup & Handle is a bullish chart pattern that typically forms during an uptrend and is indicative of a period of consolidation followed by a potential breakout. It consists of two main parts: 1. **The Cup**: This part of the pattern represents a period of consolidation, starting with a gradual decline in price, followed by a bottoming out and a recovery back to the starting level. The cup should have a rounded or "U" shape, indicating a stabilization of price after a downturn. 2. **The Handle**: After the formation of the cup, a slight downward drift in price forms the handle. This is usually a smaller retracement and does not fall deep into the cup. The handle can be seen as a bullish flag or pennant and represents a final consolidation or a shakeout of less committed traders before a potential upward breakout. #### Implications for NASDAQ:SMH For NASDAQ:SMH , the emergence of the Cup & Handle pattern is an encouraging sign for bullish investors. It suggests that after enduring a period of correction and consolidation, the ETF might be preparing for a continuation of its previous upward trend. #### Key Aspects to Monitor - **Breakout Point**: The critical level to watch is the resistance line formed at the top of the cup. A strong move above this level, preferably with increasing trading volume, could signal the continuation of the bullish trend. - **Handle Formation**: The depth and duration of the handle are crucial. It should be relatively shallow compared to the cup and show signs of stabilizing or minor retracement. - **Volume Analysis**: An authentic breakout is typically accompanied by a surge in trading volume, providing additional confirmation of the pattern’s validity. #### Trading Considerations Investors considering positions in NASDAQ:SMH should closely observe the completion of the handle and the subsequent price action. A breakout above the rim of the cup could present a potential entry point for a long position, while a decline below the handle might necessitate a reassessment of the bullish outlook. It is important to remember that while the Cup & Handle pattern is a powerful tool in technical analysis, it should be considered in conjunction with other indicators and market fundamentals to make well-rounded investment decisions.
NASDAQ:SMH
by AlgoTradeAlert
VIX WARNING RALLY is SHORT COVERING SQUEEZE like I said The chart posted is the VIX of the VIX the VVIX has the cycle which I stated on monday and friday last week a short squeeze is now setup as the13.8 to 15.2 week decline would see a sharp rally. And that the IYT RSP BA and TNX were making a ending of a 5WAVES pattern we are only going to see an ABC rally and the last 5 days have been wave A so CAUTION I think the wave strurture in TLT is that of a wave 4 it should not get above 88.3 if that is the correct count then we will see a print of 81.5 to 79.6 and the VIX will be well into 29.6 to 38 so take any profits NOW
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by wavetimer
SMH | InformativeNASDAQ:SMH If the ETF surpasses the bullish line situated approximately at $150.69: Bullish Target Price 1: It seems that $152.30 is the immediate resistance, given the previous price reactions around this level. Bullish Target Price 2: If it clears the aforementioned level, the next potential target could be $154.05. If the ETF drops below the bearish line at $149.98: Bearish Target Price 1: $148.20, based on the support line drawn. Bearish Target Price 2: $146.65 seems to be the next level of support. Bearish Target Price 3: The support appears to further deepen around $143.35. Bearish Target Price 4: If the decline continues, $139.76 might act as a significant support given the volume profiles indicated.
NASDAQ:SMH
by shkspr
AVGO and SOXS Preparing to Move BigSOXS the 3x Inverse ETF for Semiconductors, has broken out of a Bullish Head and Shoulders and now sits at the 89EMA. If things go as expected, SOXS should be clear to at least give us a 60-150% rally. At the same time, we also have a Bearish AB=CD on AVGO and what looks to simply be filling of a gap it made at $830 after breaking below its own slanted Bearish Head and Shoulders neckline as seen here: If things go as I expect them to, we will see AVGO open the week to aggressive downside with minimum overall targets as deep as 50% below current prices.
NASDAQ:AVGOShort
by RizeSenpai
4
The place on a chart where the bulls come out to party - AND WHYThe SMH is the semi conductor exchange traded fund (EFT). This chart is a perfect example of the place where traders can generally count on a bull bear battle. When price is falling, the human nature tendency is to think what's happening now will continue to happen in the near term. All charts act and react the same way. In fact, Mrs. Market is simply running a test of an important area where it will be "show time" for a bull bear battle... This example is a "breakup candle low" which is an important spot on all charts, all time frames where a test is normal as is a bounce, at least for a trade, or more... This and many other concepts are discussed InsideTheNumbers LIVE and our nightly common sense market analysis videos on YouTube
NASDAQ:SMHLong
by mktforecast
The Day Ahead: Premium Selling in IWM, QQQ, FXI, GDXJ, SMHIt's Fryyyydayyyy ... (which is when I tend to do all my "stuff"). Well, unless you've been hiding under a rock (no judgment here), you'll know that premium-selling in broad market isn't very good here, with IWM IVR/IV at 12.3/19.7%, QQQ at 9.1/20.1%, and SPY at 6.8/14.4%. That sub-25 IVR is telling you that broad market IV is in the bottom quarter of its 52-week range which for premium-sellers is kind of drag. Your premium-selling options in this environment (at least from a premium selling perspective) are to (a) do nothing; (b) sell your go-to delta and duration for whatever the market is paying, knowing that you might get assigned at the strike or have a poo pile to manage toward expiry; or (c) go longer-dated to get paid something decent with the probability of profit (POP) and or probability of touch (POT) that you're used to. Since I'm trying to create cash flow here (at least in the retirement account), I generally opt for (c), since I'm not fond of cleaning up poo piles with a great deal of frequency and like high POP/low POT. With that goal in mind, I generally target the shortest duration <16 delta strike that is paying around 1% of the strike price in credit. Currently, the shortest duration <16 delta strike paying that in IWM is the December 15th 164 (14 delta, bid 1.65); in QQQ, the December 15th 325 (14 delta, bid 3.26); and in SPY, the Jan 19th 400 (16 delta, bid 4.24), so I'll look to add short put rungs in those durations or greater. Because broad market sucks so hard though, I'll also be venturing out into the exchange-traded fund space to see if I can scrounge up any premium there. Currently, FXI (IVR 11.3/30.8%), GDXJ (7.6/30.3%), and SMH (17.6/28.7%) are at the top of my screener when sorted for 30-day IV, but you can see that IV is also at the low end of the 52 week range in that space, too. The ideal is to sell in both high IVR/high IV with IVR >50/IV>35% for ETF's, but there is nothing currently in the space with those metrics, so -- as with broad market -- you're options are the same: (a) do nothing; (b) sell your go-to delta/duration with the chips falling where they may; or (c) sell longer duration with your go-to POP/POT. Here are the shortest duration <16 strikes paying around 1% of strike price in credit for these underlyings: FXI, Dec 15th 22.85, 13 delta, bid .29 (don't know what the odd ball strike is about). GDXJ, Nov 17th 29, 12 delta, bid .31. SMH, Nov 17th 130, 13 delta, bid 1.35. I would note that there is a highly options-liquid ETF with >50% IV, and it's TQQQ, with an IVR of 17.3 and a 30-day IV of (wait for it) ... 70.5%. It's a leveraged instrument, so I would exercise caution trading it with the expectation that, for example, the 16 delta (the 2 times expected move strike in non-leveraged stuff) is a "safe" strike to sell with limited assignment risk, a high probability of expiring worthless, and/or not being an in-the-money headache toward expiry. As long as you're familiar with all these "warts," it's probably okay to play small. That being said, it won't be particularly buying power efficient on margin; it looks like my broker's requiring that it be cash secured (most underlyings require 20% of the strike price or thereabouts in buying power), so the buying power requirement makes it "less sexy" in spite of its high IV. Lastly, I would be neglectful were I to not mention the single name space for premium-selling here, but my general order of preference in selling premium (particularly in the retirement account) is (a) broad market; (b) exchange-traded funds; and (c) single name (in that order). Here are the top 30-day IV, highly options liquid single name underlyings at the moment that are trading at >$20/share and with a 30-day>50%. There isn't a ton here and (as with everything else), IV is at the low end of its 52-week range (I mean 1.0? c'monnnn, you're killing me here, smalls): AFRM (Tech/Software)), IVR/IV 1.0/75.5% RIVN (Automaker/EV), 5.5/65.5% TSLA (Automaker/EV), 11.3/52.7%
AMEX:IWM
by NaughtyPines
Opening (IRA): SMH November 17th 122.5 Short Put... for a 1.34 credit. Comments: Adding a rung out in the November monthly so that my October rung doesn't look so lonely ... . It's actually because SMH 30-day IV is still fairly decent at 31.6%; the only options liquid ETF's with better IV are GDXJ (35.2%) and FXI (32.0%). Targeting the <16 delta strike paying around 1% of the strike price in credit to emulate dollar cost averaging into the semiconductor exchange-traded fund.
NASDAQ:SMHLong
by NaughtyPines