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SMH

SMH Semiconductors update (weekly) Key areas to watch Semiconductors finally showing some topping pattern, amidst topping RSI (12) that failed to reach the high 70 channel and a shrinking trend of volume. In effect, weakening momentum. The first level is 244.71, which is a Gann confluence and also a prior pivot (left yellow circle), and is a 7.1% decline off the most recent peak of 263.57. This would take it to the top of the red cloud which could serve as some support. The second level to watch is 229.18 (right yellow circle) , which is another Gann Confluence, and also a prior pivot, which would be 13.04% off the peak of 263.57. This would take SMH well into the cloud, which could create some future resistance. Seasonality is at play, so I would expect a rebound in late summer, although there are many factors which could disrupt any projections any farther out and I do not feel worth making now.
NASDAQ:SMH
by UnknownUnicorn13101
NVDA Future Long Term Outlook | $QQQ | Bank Earnings kick off- NASDAQ:NVDA shaping up a H&S bearish pattern on daily time frame - NASDAQ:SMH / SOXX semi sector relatively weaker than NASDAQ:QQQ & $NASDAQ. that's why im still holding onto SOXS - When lead bull sectors starts to turn into more bearish we have to be careful with the other sectors. So far it is showing relative weakness but not too big of a divergence yet. - Bank earnings will not directly effect QQQ and SMH but will indirectly effect sentiment and if SPY drops a lot so will tech stocks and vice versa.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by ArcadiaTrading
CPI Data | FOMC Minutes | $QQQ tightening Range- Fed minutes Wed 2pm EST - CPI Wed 530 EST - PPI Thursday 530 EST - added initial positions for AMEX:SOXS looking to add more if we get flat or lower CPI data then 5.1%. shorting the NASDAQ:SMH / NASDAQ:SOXX sector. - we have been tightening up in an equilibrium since last Wednesday will very likely break tomorrow. - NASDAQ:QQQ / AMEX:SPY will be using stair stepping candles as a guide to how to trade when data is release.
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by ArcadiaTrading
$QQQ BULLS Continue but at KEY Resistance, PCE Data tomorrow- SPY QQQ gapped up again but ended up closing within todays trading range, unlike yesterday bulls have a strong follow through after open. - PCE Data tomorrow morning 5:30am PST - QQQ closed around key daily resistance. - End of the quarter and month rebalancing tomorrow will bring lots of volatility - Will XLF / KRE join team bull or QQQ / SMH join team Bear? - i am slightly more bearish at this level but so far theres no red flags for the bulls at all for QQQ SMH SOXX
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by ArcadiaTrading
3
Daily $QQQ Market Breakdown, Potential Bull flags in Tech Sector- SPY and QQQ have been very choppy due to sectors rotating around may potentially continue unless we start seeing XLF forming daily uptrends and joining team bull. - Or we see XLF / KRE go sideways and QQQ and SOXX/ SMH join team Bear. As of now there are zero red flags for QQQ and SMH daily time frame so i am slightly more bullish in my intra-day scalp trades. Wont be holding anything overnight until we get a clear direction in the market i am open to both bearish or bullish trades just want a clear direction.
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by ArcadiaTrading
$QQQ $SPY BEAR LACK Follow Through, Key Levels to Watch- $SPY $QQQ bear had all its chances to bring QQQ down after a bear break this morning out of the tightening range we had in the last 4 days but bears couldn't follow through. - Want to see QQQ Bulls gain back its hourly uptrend and break above 308 area of resistance. - want to see XLF / KRE bounce for SPY & SPX to break out of its equilibrium bull. of course vice versa for the bears. - zero red flags on the daily time frame for SOXX / SMH / QQQ
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by ArcadiaTrading
2
$QQQ Equilibrium In Play till Monday. $SPY need 1h trend change- QQQ Equailibirum key break will be Monday which will determine which way SPY is going to move. - SOXX / SMH turning from lead bull into lead bear today, weakest sector since Dec 2022. May drag down QQQ if it continues. Will short this sector if it continues on SOXS. - SPY bulls want to see a hourly uptrend form, Bears want to see QQQ bear break Equilibrium and drag SPY down. - XLF / KRE gapped down and bounced all day, big enough bounce now for bulls to try to form an hourly uptrend, but before that bulls has changed nothing on the daily timeframe.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by ArcadiaTrading
AMD is approaching resistance (daily chart)AMD, like many semis, has been on a rip lately. However, it appears to be in a resistance zone at a Gann confluence line at 100.13 (like SMH and many other semis), which is also where it turned back earlier. The RSI(9) is overbought. I would see it going back to prior Gann line at 91.23. That line is also near the top of a bullish Ichimoku cloud. Perhaps a buy there, but I would be cautious about buying semis after April, since we may be entering some seasonality.
NASDAQ:AMD
by UnknownUnicorn13101
KEY TOP WATCH $QQQ Equilibrium Pattern Tomorrow - QQQ equilibrium pattern is going to be key break for which direction market is going the next couple days, - XLF KRE bear break to new lows will break QQQ equilibrium bear and then drag SPY down even more. - Yellen flip flop - no deposit guarantee yesterday to today it will be. (the more they flip flop back and forth the more we see them as less confident) - SOXX / SMH semi sector also helping QQQ with such a strong move up, QQQ bear break will likely mark a temporary top on this sector. need to see NVDA drop too.
AMEX:SPYShort
by ArcadiaTrading
FOMC Price Reaction Analysis, Support & Resistance, $SPY/$QQQ- Looking for a hourly Bear flag on SPY and QQQ after this huge move down. - XLF and KRE top watch to see if we break fear lows/52 week low. Fear would likely come back in if we do break the lows - looking for SOXX/SMH to go from lead bull turning into lead bear - Rate hikes is a head wind more for QQQ then SPY, so after Powell saying no rate cuts this year, we would likely see QQQ lead to the down side as well just like it lead to the upside. - FOMC reaction day after is always the real move, so tomorrow we need to see if bears can follow through or todays just a small reaction move.
AMEX:SPYShort
by ArcadiaTrading