SNOW
LET IT SNOW PUTSThere is a Bearish wolfe wave setup on the Daily time frame in SNOW that provided entry opportunity on Friday Nov 19. The projected target is calculated by extending a linear line between pivot 1 and 4 and projecting the line. This is represented as the red perforated line, as shown in the chart. The projected target is 300 and then 295. The price is expected to reach these targets within 7 days. The orange wolfe wave pattern uses a different length input value and identifies price tgt up to below 300. The risk and reward for both wolfe waves are excellent.
Weekly Watchlist! 10/11 - 10/15Here is what stocks we are watching this week as well as a recap of last week's watchlist!
Let us know if you have any questions down in the comments!
NYSE:BA
Nice Pennant forming here.
We will be taking a move over $230 with targets of $231, $232, $234
NYSE:SNOW
Nice level forming on SNOW at $328
We will be taking a move over $328 with targets of $330, $333, and $340
Snowflake, Inc. $SNOW reaches pattern target, partial exitSnowflake is a cloud computing-based data warehousing company based in Montana, named after the founders' love for winter sports. I like winter sports, and the ticker SNOW is aesthetically appealing in my portfolio.
The trade setup was straightforward. The company IPO'd in 2020 at $220, and after one quarter that saw investors take price up above $400 per share, all post-IPO gains were given back by mid-2021, and price got down to as low as $180.
Between March - July 2021, $SNOW formed an inverted Head and Shoulders bottom, reflected by the blue curved drawings - a left shoulder, a "head", and a right shoulder. Once price broke above the pattern boundary, I reached a measured target of $320 by applying the width of the pattern (from $180 to $250, or $70) to the breakout level of $250.
$70 + $250 = $320
This measurement criteria is based on the works of John Magee and Robert D. Edwards in Technical Analysis of Stock Trends (5th edition, 1948).
My stop-loss, the "Last Day Rule", and my limit order placement is based on teachings from my friend and active trading legend Peter L. Brandt (Diary of A Professional Commodity Trader, @PeterLBrandt).
I've now covered 3/4 of this position for a gain of 28% (70/250).
My maximum risk, assuming my stop loss order filled peacefully at its activation price was only 4% (10/250).
The risk to reward setup at the time of entry was then (4%) to 28%, or 1 to 7.
Snowflake is probably in line for further price gains, but I have no reason to believe I have an edge at these levels.
$SNOW $NVDA $AAPL $MSFT I OptionsSwing WatchlistSNOW 4H I After a successful breakout out of the ascending triangle. SNOW pulled back to $276 to retest the breakout, a consolidation above can take it to $290.
NVDA 4H I After breaking out from an ascending triangle, it pulled back with the market towards the end of the week. Watching for a bounce near $200 and a run to ER.
AAPL 1D I AAPL average price target is $165. After reporting earnings AAPL has been consolidating in a triangle. Waiting for a breakout favoring the upside.
MSFT 1D I MSFT successfully held above the channel it had established back in 2020, MSFT avg pt is $320. $290 is the key resistance to break for continuation .
$SNOW $CRWD $NIO $MSFT I OptionsSwing WatchlistSNOW 4H I After June, we see another SNOW ascending triangle leading into earnings in September. Watching a bounce near $260 or a break above $276.
CRWD 1D I CRWD was rejected right on our trend line last week near $270, watching for a bounce near $240-$245. CRWD is due to report earnings on 09/01.
NIO 1D I NIO possible cup and handle pattern. Watching for a break above $45 and the trend line. Our scanners picked up bullish activity expiring on 08/06.
MSFT 1D I A bounce above the breakout of this channel ($280-$285) that was formed back in 2020, could take MSFT closer to the average stock price target of $321.
BioTech And Stay At Home Stocks Show Delta WorriesThe major indices like AMEX:SPY NASDAQ:QQQ have held up well despite talks of the delta variant though peeling back a few layers shows that there are underlying concerns. Many biotech, cloud software, and stay at home names are showing strong chart patterns that are poised to move higher. Among those names are NASDAQ:IBB NASDAQ:GILD NASDAQ:ZM CRM and NYSE:SNOW . Meanwhile other stay at home related stocks have already run wild altogether - NASDAQ:ADBE NASDAQ:DOCU AMEX:IGV NASDAQ:BNTX NASDAQ:MRNA . Investors should be cautious as these stocks may be signaling weakness in Q4 as variant fears are causing more and more corporations to require masks and as inflation gets out of hand on Main street, which could ultimately slow growth as the middle and lower class are forced to tighten belts.
$SNOW shows an inversed Head & Shoulders bullish long-termWe can see how an inversed shoulder-head-shoulder is being created. If confirmed the price could go as up as aprox 290$. RSI does not show any interesting view, but we can see a down trend right there in the last few days; in this line, MA (9) is falling,but I consider is just momentum. Moreover, $SNOW is reaching to its floor, so it could activate buy alerts; in this line, MA (50) is below to its current price it could also work as a floor. If it does not break these floors, the stock has two target price (showed in the graph). Disclosure: I'm not long $SNOW. But starting to consider it.
$AAPL $NFLX $BABA $SNOW I OptionsSwing WatchlistBABA 1D I BABA broke from a massive falling wedge established last year, and its ready to run up into its earnings.
AAPL 1D I We saw AAPL break from a triangle pattern and retest the breakout just to make a higher high. Expecting to consolidate near $130.
NFLX 1H I After seeing a consolidation near the $500 price level, we saw NFLX make a push last week to $530 as expected.
SNOW 4H I Following growth stocks, particularly cloud stocks as they are making a quick comeback. SNOW is near IPO levels and we want to see consolidation above $250 for continuation.
$AAPL $NFLX $ABNB $SNOW I OptionsSwing WatchlistABNB 2H I Following ABNB closely as it is breaking a downtrend from March and travel is near pre-covid levels.
AAPL 1D I Tested and broke out of the triangle we highlighted last week. We want to see a consolidation outside of the triangle before the next run.
NFLX 1H I Our bullflag paid last week, we want to see NFLX consolidate above $500 and continue its run up into earnings.
SNOW 4H I Following growth stocks, particularly cloud stocks as they are making a quick comeback. SNOW is near IPO levels and we want to see consolidation above $250 for continuation.
$SNOW Imminent EMA crossSNOW has been beaten down below IPO price and has completed a descending trend, looking to break out. A daily 8EMA to 21EMA crossover should indicate A bullish move towards some upside. Even if this move is just a corrective wave with more downside, the trend will push this to the .618 and decide what to do from there. Looking to add longs if it moves over 242.67 and holds that level. The move above should come quick too, using the VWAP from the highs as a magnet.