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Snp500

Overvalued Tech: Time for Tangible Assets & Fair ValuationsThe tech sector, specifically the 'Big Tech' companies have seen massive gains since the massive accumulation in 2010-2014. However, these increases seem disconnected from the companies' actual value or tangible contributions to the real-world economy. Their high price-to-earnings ratios suggest overvaluation and potential for a market correction. Invest in sectors with real-world utility and reasonable valuations - Allocate capital to sectors like industrials, materials, consumer staples, or healthcare. These sectors provide tangible products and services and often have more reasonable valuations. 1. High Valuations: Tech stocks, in particular, often trade at high multiples of their earnings or revenues. These high valuations can make them more vulnerable to market downturns, as they can fall more dramatically if investors reassess their growth prospects or risk tolerance. 2. (GOOGL, APPL, AMZN, MSFT, META, NVDA, ADBE, and TSLA) all represent a significant portion of the SNP-500 index due to their large market capitalizations. 3. So, in a S&P-500 meltdown , these tech companies could potentially see significant declines in their stock prices due to these factors. However, it's important to remember that the specifics would depend on a wide range of factors, including the reasons for the market downturn, the companies' financial health and growth prospects, and overall investor sentiment. 4. I would choose Tesla as the only pick out of all 8 as this company has shown lots of potential compared to our tech giants of the now. Even with the upbringing of AI it is not enough to save google or meta, but Apple and Microsoft might hold up strong as they are largest caps. 5. Google (Alphabet) : ~$1.5 trillion Apple Inc. (AAPL): ~$2.5 trillion Amazon (AMZN): ~$1.7 trillion Microsoft (MSFT): ~$2.2 trillion Meta Platforms : ~$1 trillion NVIDIA (NVDA): ~$500 billion Adobe (ADBE): ~$300 billion Tesla (TSLA): ~$800 billion TOTAL = 10 Trillion roughly
NASDAQ:AAPL
by MichaelBsul
SG10Y Govt Bond and SPY relationship Part VConditions appear to be shifting really quickly... just a few days ago, it appeared that the SG10Y Govt Bond was going to break a low and go further down, sending the correlated S&P500 (and other indexes rallying up. BUT, it brooke down and recovered very quickly. NOW, it appears to be ready to break UP and out of the downtrend line. This has happened before, including the indication of the MACD (shown here this time), where there is also a bullish divergence and just now, a crossover of the MACD on the Signal line. Therefore, expecting a repeat of early Feb 2023, and IF this is the case, then the corresponding SPY action would be a lower high and a breakdown (red dotted arrow projects the SPY (blue line). Watch the next 5 trading days... critical clues will be revealed. Btw, if this scenario is played out, then the USD should concomitantly be bearish, Gold bullish, Crude bearish for the most part, etc. Also... for those who are like keen to get the SG bonds, the yields should be rising, not dropping, so no need to rush. Have a good idea of what might happen (don't listen wholesale to those who want to get you to buy stuff), then make a plan to have that idea happen. So far, five parts to this story, and so far it is holding the correlation as expected.
TVC:SG10Y
by Auguraltrader
Combined US indexes - Where the spike up?IF you are getting a little frustrated, I am too... something is building up and meanwhile there is a lot of conflicting signals. The week passed, and it appears to suggest the opposite now... a breakdown is more likely... 60/40 in favour of a breakdown, if I may quantify. Set up the Breakout and Breakdown levels, and waiting for some real commitment. Meanwhile, MACD histograms indicate a bearish divergence VolDiv crossed down too. Very simply... volatility coiling to spring, and if no break out soon, it will breakdown. Sounds a bit obvious, but watching it pan out is half the fun. Enjoy!
CME_MINI:ES1!
by Auguraltrader
ES1! SPX500USD 2023 MAY 15 WEEKCME_MINI:ES1! Are we seeing the bearish ascending triangle already? As with NQ, tendency to take rotational trades has diminished. Scenario Planning: 1) If market remain within 4163 - 4118 = No trade 2) Larger rotation 4198 - 4068 = trade at boundary of range Volume Analysis: Weekly: Lower vol down bar close off low = some demand present Daily: Lower vol down bar close off low = some demand present Price reaction levels: Short = Test and Reject | Long = Test and Accept 4303 4198 4163-4118 (No trade zone) 4065 Remember to like and follow if you find this useful. Have a profitable trading week. *For educational purpose only.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by paradox677
Combined US indexes suggest a spike upThe Combined US indexes chart ended the week with a bearish candlestick that had a little bullish indication with a longer tail and closing above the support line (aka Fake Out Line #2). This is slightly bullish and represents a chance for the earlier projected target of 668 to be achieved in the coming week or two. Yes, technical indicators appear to suggest that it is a bit stretched but it does look as if it would like to spike up, maybe in a blow off top fashion. This is aligned to the USD drop described earlier.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by Auguraltrader
ES1! SPX500USD 2023 MAY 08 WEEKCME_MINI:ES1! ES1! SPX500USD 2023 MAY 08 WEEK Are we seeing the bearish ascending triangle already? As with NQ, tendency to take rotational trades has diminished. Scenario Planning: 1) Rejection short at 4175 / 4068 2) If market decides to spring a surprise, long on test of break of 4198 and finds support Volume Analysis: Weekly: Ave vol up bar close off high = minor weakness Daily: High vol narrow spread S>D bar = weakness Price reaction levels: Short = Test and Reject | Long = Test and Accept 4303 4198 4068 3928 3788 Remember to like and follow if you find this useful. Have a profitable trading week.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by paradox677
Combined US market analysis - Going UP!From the combined weekly chart, it appears that the indices are bullish and on the way up. 1. Tested, bounced off and broke above the Fake Out Lines; 2. Last week's candle is obviously bullish with momentum 3. MACD and VolDiv are both supportive of bullish upside 4. TD Sequential primary trend is bearish, but the current setup appears to aim for a completion over the next 2-3 weeks. 5. Closed at the highest point for 2023 last week Taken together, there is enough bullish momentum to push forth and upwards.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by Auguraltrader
1
ES1! SPX500USD 2023 APR 17 WEEKCME_MINI:ES1! ES1! SPX500USD 2023 APR 17 WEEK Friday's bar closed below 4175 and showed a rejection of higher prices. Scenario Planning: 1) Rejection short at 4175 2) Market rotation continues = trade at boundary (80pt range) of range (grey box) 3) Rotation breakout long at support of 4175 Volume Analysis: Weekly: Ave vol up bar close off high = minor weakness Daily: High vol narrow spread S>D bar = weakness Price reaction levels: Short = Test and Reject | Long = Test and Accept 4303 4175 4096 3928 3788 Remember to like and follow if you find this useful. Have a profitable trading week.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by paradox677
Nas and Snp could be turning down...4080 for snp is a important level to watch.. **Find out more from my Tradingview Stream this week** *************************************************************************************** Hello there! If you like my analysis and it helped you ,do give me a thumbs ups on tradingview! 🙏 And if you would like to show further support for me, you can gift me some coins on tradingview! 😁 Thank you! Disclaimers: The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes. The author/producer of these content shall not and will not be responsible for any form of financial/physical/assets losses incurred from trades executed from the derived conclusion of the individual from these content shared. Thank you, and please do your due diligence before any putting on any trades!
FX:SPX500
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
Bullish above last month HIGH Buy signal still valid SPX SPY SNPWith all the Doom & Gloom regarding recession worries we liked our idea even more so into Q1 close last month. So far so good however we are still very early in Q2. We remain bullish above last months high (March 2023) Seeking Pips will be managing our positions on the Weekly and Daily charts. We also note that the current price is also in a key Fib retracement zone to SELL SPX on the monthly chart so we will not be surprised to see another pullback, again we would consider adding to our core position if this happens and volatility is right. Our Bull & Bear price level is clear and as long as we above it we want to be buyers only. A failure of March 2023 Low we would have to revaluate our current thesis. Happy trading have a GREAT WEEK.! =============================================================== SUBSCRIBE TO OUR CHANNEL & FOLLOW THIS TRADE IDEA FOR UPDATES.
CBOE:SPXLong
by seekingpips
1
SPX RALLY CONTINUESAll indicators are showing a continuous rally on the SPX. Despite closing lower on Tuesday and Wednesday, the index rebound in the next two trading days and almost managed to reach the opening levels from Tuesday. Both MACD and RSI are confirming the bullish trend, with MACD histogram being above zero and RSI above 50 neutral line. If this scenario continues, the price might reach levels of 4312.In the opposite scenario, as a pivot point might be viewed the price of 4000, after it new lows of 3925 might be reached. Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
PEPPERSTONE:US500Long
by legacyFXofficial
SG10Y Govt Bond and SPY relationship Part IIITime for yet another update in this uncanny inverse relationship between the SG10Y Government Bonds and the S&P500 Index ETF, SPY... Recall that the SG10Y GBond yields are in apparent inverse correlation to the SPY. When there is a trendline breakdown on the yields, the SPY is bullish; and when there is a trendline breakout, the SPY is bearish. So far, it can be observed that this relationship is intact and predictable, with the SPY forging bullishly when the SG10Y GBond yields are falling... Note that a support is approaching and this can mean either or both of two things: 1. There should be a brief stall in momentum incoming soon; and 2. The primary trend for the SG10Y GB Yields is bearish, expected to break the support and head further down until the end of April 2023. This also suggests that April should see a surge in the SPY (and S&P500), denoted by the larger green arrow. So far, now change in the yield downtrend, at least for the next week, until it reaches the expected downside target (red circle).
TVC:SG10Y
by Auguraltrader
US500 H4 | Potential bounce off from 23.6%?Looking at the H4 chart, it appears that the price is nearing our buy entry at 4058.68. This level is a pullback support level, accompanied by a 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Our take profit level is set at 4135.55, which is a swing high resistance. We will set our stop loss at 4007.06, which is a pullback support level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
ULong
by Rockqet
ES1! SPX500USD 2023 APR 04 WEEK ES1! SPX500USD 2023 APR 04 WEEK Market may be continued to be marked up. However, exercise caution as weekly bar may be showing a bull trap. Scenario Planning: 1) Possible short if 4175 is rejected 2) Continuation Long if 4082 // 4175 are supported Volume Analysis: Weekly: Low vol up bar close toward high = no commitment to higher prices, possible trapping longs Daily: Ave vol up bar close toward high = non-trend changing Price reaction levels: Short = Test and Reject | Long = Test and Accept 4303 4175 4082 3928 3788 Remember to like and follow if you find this useful. Have a profitable trading week.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by paradox677