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Snp500

#ES_F Overview for Monday 1.23.23 Review: Last week Thursday we got back to our possible support area under 3930 and we could see the short covering stabilize the price before RTH at 3915-10 area which was important going forward, during RTH we failed to continue lower and only did a look below Globex low and came back in without reaching next level and taking out the low from 1.10 signaling that sellers are running out. Friday Globex we consolidated more getting all the supply secured, RTH open gave us a flush under VWAP to get the last sellers out and once we got over 30 again shorts were trapped and we began mark up back to our Supply area which is over 3990. Overview: That flush Wednesday took out a lot sellers from this area so now we might be able to get through it easier and head for our next Resistance area. As we know the goal is to sell product higher to willing buyers and we need to create some demand, ideally we can hold over this 76-71 area or at least over 60 as we now have support below those areas and see a move higher to take out last weeks high which will bring in more demand to the store. I will be looking to see if we get any pull back tonight towards 76-71 area and if it holds or not, the way we high closed Friday we might not get much of a pull back and instead take out 94-89 area first and head for 4000 pocket, if that happens then any pull back to and under 94-89 could be a good opportunity to buy and eventually if we hold over this area and get through that 4000 pocket we can see a push higher into next resistance area to 4046-61 maybe little over it depending how much buying we get. Levels to Watch: 3976-71 // 3995-89 // 4012-08 // 4030-25 // 4046-42 // 4061-56 For better confirmation we can wait until 4012-08 gets taken/hold either in Globex or RTH tomorrow, if in Globex then we might see a re-test in RTH but either way if we get over this area we could see our move to 4030-25 // 4046-42 and if that is that 61-56. Trading it level to level is a safer bet since we would be in supply area and never know what can happen but ideally everything holds up nicely and we get the full move. IF we don't hold 76-71 first red flag, breaking under 60 big red flag and will need to wait because if that happens then trip lower could happen but being up here I would think that they will try to run the highs to bring in more buyers to sell product into.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by HollowMn
4
It's happening! Blow-off top, Day 1.Traders, You all know that I have been expecting and discussing this day for many moons now, the day we break above our macro downtrend. Today is that day. Day 1 of what I expect to be a blowoff top that will surprise many investors, maybe a majority of investors. Before I get ahead of myself in enthusiasm, we will need another confirmation candle here on the daily. I'd love to see us close and open above the macro uptrend line as well, but that type of price movement is not necessary for confirmation. All we need to do is open and close tomorrow's candle above our macro downtrend and we are good to go. New highs in the U.S. stock markets should arrive sometime this year. I would anticipate by mid-summer to late fall. Enjoy the ride! Stew. [
ULong
by stewdamus
ES1! SPX500USD 2023 JAN 23 ES1! SPX500USD 2023 JAN 23 Market didn't manage to test 4175-4094 area last week indicated lack of demand, with the weekly bar displaying it more saliently. Preference will be short on retracement. Scenario Planning: 1) Short at rejection of trrendline or price levels 2) Long if price breakout of trend line, retraces and is supported Volume Analysis: Weekly: Low vol up bar close off high = No Demand Daily: Ave vol up bar close toward high = No Demand H4: Very high vol up bar close toward high = potential selling into higher prices Price reaction levels: Short = Test and Reject | Long = Test and Accept 4175 4094 3928-3788 3580 3502 3231 Remember to like and follow if you find this useful. Have a profitable trading week.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by paradox677
Continue...The increase in rates will begin to realize itself closer to March. FRS does everything right. Taking into account the Fed's policy for 2023, macroeconomic factors and banking policy, 2023 can easily become the year of the red candle or the continuation of the downtrend. Let's now go deeper into the economy and see what is happening in it now. We all know that the credit policy of the USA and the EU for individuals. the price is very profitable. Interest rates were very low, and housing loans were even negative. All this led to individuals grow lending themselves to the ceiling of their salaries. Not the way I teach you – to calculate only from net income – namely from a salary on paper. Due to the increase in interest rates, % on loans begin to grow and payments from individuals grow with them. All this, at a distance, will lead to the fact that many people will have to start selling their property in order to pay off their debts to banks.
SP:SPXShort
by Bull_Short_TG
1
Letters to a Young TraderMy dear self, I am here once again to remind you not to give up on your pursuit. Of course, it's a great one you have chosen and you need to put in the work required to get there. Many before you have walked the same path you're on today and emerged successful and you can too. There will come bad days and you'll question yourself about the path you've chosen. You'll need words of wisdom to guide you. You'll find nothing more helpful than the Bible. Make it your best friend and carry it with you at all times. It'll help you more than you'll realize. In the beginning stages of your development, everything will seem impossible to do and I want you to know it's normal to feel that way right nom. Give yourself time to grow and let experience teach you. You can't learn it in one day. You'll get it at the right time. The greatest lesson you'll learn as a developing trader is when not to do something and that will separate you from the rest of them park. Your focus right now shouldn't be everyday trading. Just because you have time to sit in front of the charts doesn't mean you should trade. Finally, you should have low expectations and allow time for your growth. Trading is a numbers game and once you learn how to manipulate the numbers, you'll find out that you don't need to do a lot to be successful. It's always a pleasure to write you. Yours; The Source Trader
CME_MINI:ESH2023Long
by thesourcetrader
1
SPXSo let's start with fake growth. It is not justified by anything other than the desire of a major player to deprive stop losses before falling. Ema200 became a serious resistance. Also, Powell did not change his rhetoric in favor of the stock market. 50 points is the goal that the speculators deserve. And now the rally down from technical analysis. I'm aiming for the Gartley pattern. This is the best mechanism in my arsenal. Wolfe waves will also help us understand that the market is overheated and the sweet zone for short positions is ending. All success. The winter is coming.
CBOE:SPXShort
by almatradebusiness
ES1! SPX500USD 2023 JAN 01ES1! SPX500USD 2023 JAN 01 After rotation between 3788-3928, market breakout for long opportunity. Temporary weakness may be expected. Wait at high levels to short is preferred Scenario Planning: 1) Short at rejection of 4175-4094 2) Long test and accept of rotation area 4175-4094 Volume Analysis: Weekly: Low vol up bar close at high = No Demand Daily: Low vol level bar close toward high = No Demand H4: Low Vol narrow spread up bar close off high = No Demand Price reaction levels: Short = Test and Reject | Long = Test and Accept 4175 4094 3928-3788 3580 3502 3231 Remember to like and follow if you find this useful. Have a profitable trading week.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by paradox677
SPY the time to rally... Previously, expected the SPY to make a higher low (orange ellipse). I think it just did. For the higher low, as expected, It pulled back to that level on 22 Dec 2022, and then near it again on 28 Dec 2022 (higher low!). Usually, I would use the SPY weekly chart, but this week being the first week of the year, I thought it more appropriate to use the daily chart to break down what happened in the week. Based on the last two weeks price action, we can draw a (yellow) support line which shows quite clearly that there is a strong support about 379 that has been tested multiple times. Then on Friday, the SPY closed above the last two weeks range. This alone is a clear bullish indication. MACD is aligned and supportive of a nascent rally; and VolDiv is appears favourable though lagging. 390 appears to be the immediate resistance as well as the 23-week EMA (resistance). Beyond that, expect a nice bullish close beyond 403.5 for a second confirmation. Then to top the cherry, a high/close above 410 establishes the higher high. Expecting a bullish week to follow through...
AMEX:SPYLong
by Auguraltrader
Ultimate Technical Analysis of Bitcoin-Correlation-DXY/Dollar Hello everyone, hope you all are doing good. As I said I will be posting an idea how Bitcoin is corelated to DXY/Dollar, so in this am going to explain the S&P500+Bitcoin-->Correlation-->DXY/Dollar. Guys this is very important to understand so please check the chart carefully an if you have any questions, please do comment. DXY/Dollar: DXY/Dollar is the ultimate chart to understand the overall markets and analyze the Economy if it is healthy or unhealthy state. DXY/Dollar (Uptrend) in Macro/Long time frames--> (US economy is outperforming other big economies + Federal Reserve raising interest rates) Analyse DXY in Past (Macro uptrend/Bull(A)): -Overall DXY was moving in a massive Descending Triangle Pattern Which Breakout in Jan-2015. -DXY is in Parallel channel from the year 1988 to 2002. -I marked the Upper zones (roughly from 120 to 160) and Lower zones (roughly from 70 to 80). -In the past years 2000 to 2002 DXY was topped out reaching the peak at 120 and failed to breakout from the parallel channel forming a Bearish Divergence and dropped massively to 70. (While DXY is forming Bearish Divergence in RSI, S&P500 is topped out and slowly down Trending and S&P500 formed its 1st Lower Low) -And the momentum of DXY is downwards and keep falling and bottomed out at 70. (S&P500 slowed down its downtrend momentum forming a Bullish Divergence in RSI -> moved in Uptrend forming Double Top. -DXY (77 to 70 DXY made Bullish Divergence in RSI) is Bottomed and moved with high volatility in upside direction. (S&P500 fell massively forming its 2nd Lower Low). Analyse DXY (Macro uptrend/Bull(A)): The parallel channel from the year 1988 to 2002 --> is something similar to the current Parallel channel from 2007 to current (2022). Currently in 2022 DXY in smaller Time Frames formed only 1-layer of Bearish Divergence in RSI compared to past and it is complete. (But the overall Bearish Divergences is incomplete in longer Time Frames or incomplete in Multiple Layers of Divergence). Conclusion1: I see many people saying DXY is inversely corelated to stocks or Bitcoin, but after deeply analyzing the charts, in macro–Time Frames DXY is directly corelated to other markets (Bitcoin/S&p500), but in micro time frames DXY is inversely corelated (mainly when DXY is in high volatility in small Time Frames). What does this mean for Bitcoin? when high volatile move of DXY (upside/downside mainly after Divergences formed and in smaller Time Frames) -> Bitcoin is very high volatile(inversely). when DXY is in consolidation or moving sideways -> Bitcoin is in slow form of Uptrend. I found this interesting as: A. Real world Currencies (Dollar <-----> other currencies). B. Digital/Crypto Currencies (Bitcoin <----> other Alt coins/other crypto currencies) The working system of A is almost similar to B.A-system works based on economy, but I didn't get on what basis B works? may be how much money you put in. Conclusion2: Bitcoin is a new asset which was not there before 2000's, so we have to see what Bitcoin does as a new class asset. So, in the past when DXY has Bottomed at 70 -> S&p500 was in sideways for almost 8years with Double Top formation + Bottomed at 2nd Lower low. 1.Is DYX is in Topping process or already Topped or will it Breaksout from the Parallel channel? As per RSI there is no Divergences formed until now (Jan2023), so Topped or Topping process is not confirmed, but there are chances DXY will create higher highs. May Breakout also, for this to Analyse DXY need another 6 to 12months time to confirm for Breakout or Breakdown. 2.What will happen if DXY gets topped out during the year 2023 roughly at 120 or something? If this plays out, then history repeats, not exactly but something similar can happen like the past. for example, like S&P500 making Double Top formation, create Lower Lows and Bottoming at 2nd lower low. Bitcoin most probably can also create Double Top Or lower than 69K and 1st lower Low was in 2022-15500usd and 2nd lower Low can be formed in 2023. 3.What will happen if DXY will Breakout massively from the parallel channel to reach 150 or 160? If DXY Breakouts it forms a new trend, then in Macro Time Frames S&P500 and Bitcoin will be in Uptrend. Conclusion2: Actually, compared to past history, after DXY topped out forming Bearish Divergences after than S&P500 formed Bullish Divergences and put its 1st Lower Low. But currently (Jan2023) DXY did not topped out and did not form Bearish Divergences yet, but S&P500 formed Bullish Divergences (Is this 1st lower low for S&P500?). (Past and current XXX fractal). Final Thoughts Will DXY Breaksout to 150 or 160 mark or will it Breakdown to 70 or 80? For this to confirm DXY needs at least another 6 months duration from now, may be in Q3/Q4 we can get more data to confirm. Thanks a lot, please like, share and comment if you have any questions or thoughts, please follow me for more updates.
TVC:DXY
by nmchary
SNP500 Bullish short term Analysis/expectationClick on Boost (like) to support these free analyses This expectation is a framework to look for a potential trading setup; I recommend you to not just execute based on these levels. I always wait for confirmations on lower timeframes This Analysis was done using my complete Strategy which includes: - Smart Money Concepts - Multi Timeframe Liquidity and Market Structure - Supply And Demand - Auction Theory - Volume Analysis - Footprint - Market Profile - Volume Profile - WYCKOFF (IS THE KING) - ETC
CME_MINI:ESH2023Long
by SmartMoneySource
1
ES1! SPX500USD 2023 JAN 01 ES1! SPX500USD 2023 JAN 01 Welcome us into 2023! May the year bring you much Prosperity! Market presented scenario (1) Short at rejection of 4094. Due to the limited movement, levels for the coming week will remain. Scenario Planning: 1) Short at rejection of 4094 / 3928 2) Long if previous channel + 3502 to 3580 becomes support (confluence) Weekly: Low vol down bar close about middle = No supply Daily: Low vol down bar close at high = No Supply Price reaction levels: Short = Test and Reject | Long = Test and Accept 4094 3928 3580 3502 3231 Remember to like and follow if you find this useful. Have a profitable trading week.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by paradox677
Observing Historical Top to Bottom to Top CyclesThis is more of a observation or thought experiment than any kind of technical analysis. The starting point of all data points is the SPX ATH. All other historical ATH values begin at the most recent ATH (January 22), and end whenever price returned to its respective ATH. Time and Change is more important than Time and Price. It's easier to see this from a logarithmic view. Historical data is color coded. Vertical lines represent lows. Happy Holidays and may you be a part of the next cycle. Maybe the start is now? Maybe next year? Nobody can be sure.
SP:SPX
by turdcannon
SPXHello everyone, I drew you my medium-term plan for SPX for 3-6 months, this week we saw a false takeaway, just like on bitcoin, which I wrote about earlier and warned you, the markets are not ready to start rising, we have not fallen to the bottom, you can see According to the reaction of people on Twitter, any growth of 5% on any active is perceived by society as a reversal, and this just means that people are still hoping for growth. Remember, we never grow due to the belief in growth and never fall due to the belief in falling, the market always goes for liquidity. I wish you a wonderful Sunday, write your ideas in the comments, I will be extremely interested in talking with you
TVC:SPX
by MMJtop
SPY down again, normal to get a Higher LowNot all down days/weeks are bad, some are necessary. It appears we are at the juncture, where the weekly candlestick pattern is bearish. very clearly bearish. so we are likely heading for a down week. MACD is indicative, so is the daily candlestick. Can expect an early to mid-week down draft. Overall, looking into a end of year low, but a higher low, of about 375. VolDiv indicator is telling of a bottoming consolidation formation. Having said that, the longer run into 2023 should be bullish, and that remains to be seen. It is expected, and projected, but not yet seen the roots of it. Just need a higher low on the weekly chart now.
AMEX:SPYShort
by Auguraltrader
4