SPX 500 index analytics: Growth potential to 4100 remains. Analyst of the spx 500 index on 07/19/22 Today we are here to talk about the SPX 500 index
What's on the market now:
The index is trading at 3830. The market has been in a sideways correction for the last 2 weeks, but I think this stabilization will end in the near future.
In the last trading session, we saw a small correction of the last growth, which began on July 14th. I believe that the current correction will not be long and the upward movement will continue in the near future.
What I'm waiting for:
I maintain a positive view of the market and expect it to move towards the level of 4100. At the same time, my trading recommendations remain unchanged.
What I recommend:
If you want to go short:
Short positions are prohibited.
If you want to buy:
Market buys are possible, but limit your losses.
If you are not in the market:
If you want to buy, you can buy from the market, but limit your losses. The market is developing a steady upward movement, which I spoke about earlier. However, as we can see, not all market participants support the uptrend. But in the coming days it will be decided.
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Also remember to contact me in 2 or 3 days for further trading advice.
Don't forget to like it, it really motivates me to share my market knowledge. Subscribe to me and you will always be aware of the movement of the SPX 500 index.
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Snp500
S&P 500 / M2S&P 500 - The Standard and Poor's 500, or simply the S&P 500, is a stock market index tracking the stock performance of 500 large companies listed on exchanges in the United States. It is one of the most commonly followed equity indices.
M2 is a measure of the money supply that includes cash, checking deposits, and easily-convertible near money.
How long will it take to dry up liquidity in market?
Can Stocks Break Out??Stocks have rallied, with the S&P topping out at 3909. We have completely retraced the range, as recession fears and soaring inflation scared market participants last week causing a dip that tested lows at 3737. After breaking through this level and testing the next level below at 3714, we promptly pivoted, and retraced losses completely. However, we are running into resistance at 3909, and resistance is building confirmed by several red triangles on the KRI. The Kovach OBV has picked up a bit, but it will take more momentum to break through to higher levels. Resistance above is thin, and there are only three levels above before the 4000 handle. If we fail to break resistance, we should find support at roughly the midpoint of the range, at 3848, or again at lows at 3714.
ES1! SPX500USD 2022 JULY 18 Week
ES1! SPX500USD 2022 JULY 18 Week
Last week' rotation trade was good.
Rotation strategy applies for this week as well.
Minor strength observed, so additionally there's a preference to long on
retracement.
Possible Scenarios are considered:
1) Market rotation = trade at boundary of range
2) Channel rejection / support trades
3) Behavior change scenario for long on retracement
4) Trend continuation
Weekly: Ave vol down bar close toward high = minor strength
Daily: Ave vol up bar close at high = minor strength
H4: High vol narrow spread up bar followed by tiny ave vol up bar = weakness
Price reaction levels:
Short = Test and Reject | Long = Test and Accept
4071 3950 3742
3642 3600 3540
Remember to like and follow if you find this useful.
Have a profitable trading week.
Stocks Continue to RangeStocks have found support off lows after the selloff yesterday. Nearly double digit CPI did not fare well for stocks, with some market participants pricing in a 100 bps rate hike at the FOMC later this month. We at pivoted at 3714 after breaking lows at 3739. Currently, it appears that we are making a run back to the midpoint of the range but are struggling with resistance at 3810. If we are able to punch through this resistance, then we could make a run for the highs of the range at 3909. Othwerise, we expect 3714 to provide support, then 3694 if it caves.
#ES 07.14.22 Daily Overview and Levels to WatchYday before CPI we ran up to take stops and sell lower inventory into the stops until CPI hit and the bid dropped, we hit our lower Key Level at 3764.75-3760.50 where we found support and we able to put together a position to go and back fill the CPI move back towards our Globex inventory area where we found sellers who took us back under Key Level of 3809.50-3805.25. Last night we tested this Key Level and found Sellers at it making it resistance and we started rotation lower. Currently We broke out Key Level of 3764.75-3760.50 and finding accepted under it with 2747.50-4744.75 as last important support for today. We have Price Index at 8:30am and we are kind of in this area that needs resolution before next move. Question today is will we be able to get back inside the range over 3764.75-3760.50 and accept there or will we get continuation lower? Depending what we get on release but looks like we will open under T+2 Low which means possible margin call selling and should open below or close to the low of Previous Day which would be an area to watch and its also our Key Level of 3764.75-3760.50 If we continue lower we have single prints to fill down around next Key Level at 3714.75-3709.75 where we can find support or 3698.50-3695.50 is another spot to watch, if going down on big volume possible to see lower areas as we have been waiting to test the lows from 06.17 for few weeks now.
--- On The Downside: Failing to accept back in Previous Days Range and over our Key Level of 3764.75-3760.50 can give us a test of 3747.50-3744.75 where we want to monitor for break and continuation or rejection if we can break it we have 3728.75-3725.25, Key Level of 3714.75-3709.75 this is area with single prints and trapped shorts where we can see response but if going down on volume we have 3698.50-3695.50 as additional support, if we break both of those then we have 3686.75-3683.75, Key Level 3671.75-3665.75, if we get there we could possibly test the lows today as well but down there have to watch for continuation level to level as we should have buyers.
--- On The Upside: If we fail to take out 3747.50-3744.75 and get back over 3764.75-3760.50 and accept then we can balance between this area and T+2 Low area and upper levels we can test would be 3780.50-3776.75, 3791.75-3787.75
*** Levels To Watch: 3764.75-3760.50 // 3747.50-3744.75 // 3714.75-3709.75 // 3698.50-3695.50 // 3671.75-3665.75
Inflation Weighs on StocksAs anticipated yesterday, inflation data came in very close to double digits, which rocked stocks. Traders are now pricing in the potentiality of a 100 bps rate hike at the next FOMC meeting in late July , the largest increase since the 1990's . This has weighed on stocks which have tested the lower bounds of the range. So far we are seeing good support from around 3737, with confirmation from a green triangle on the KRI. The Kovach OBV has slumped over with the selloff, but we do appear to have bottomed for now with current levels of support. If we selloff further, we could test lows at 3645. If we pivot from here, we could retest the highs of the range at 3909 or 3937.
S&P500, Up or Down?!S&P was hit by CPI news release with about a 2% drop from the 1H candle.
Prices started climbing there after, but this could be a result of price-action, take profit at a key level.
We see this in the 1D chart, for a rally base rally which was printed from 20-24 June 2022.
Double top potentially forming if price does break the 3760 RBR zone.
Where do we see prices going from here? Are we in for a deeper crash back to pre-covid highs of 3400 on 19 Feb 2020?
Recession scares are shaking the market, and much is uncertain - or so they say...
Safer long term buys above 3900. Otherwise, would say outlook is still generally looking bearish.
That aside, short term buys probable, given the momentum we had on 13/7 and a series of higher low candle closes into resistance, holding above the demand zone.
Market Range - What are they trying to tell us?When the market range, it is telling us they are lost with the main direction. And we are seeing that between all the US major stock indices and many stocks since the second week of May. Prices basically still trading around the same price since then.
In today’s tutorial, we will discuss:
• How to identify when market started to enter into a range and
• Which direction will it ultimately break away from a range market?
The concept of “Less is More”
When we trade into a contract that is within our means, we will be able to focus on trade set-up that is so helpful for entry, stop loss and profit taking than trying to manage our emotions as we have over traded.
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
Stocks Level Off; Await CPIThe S&P 500 has continued to retrace, leveling off around 3810. We are seeing good support here confirmed by green triangles on the KRI. The Kovach OBV has flatlined, suggesting we need more momentum to come through before anything exciting happens. We will need to wait for CPI to be released at 8:30 AM EST. As we discussed yesterday, the markets are awaiting this data point, and will likely be quiet until then across all asset classes. All eyes are on this print, as we neared double digits last time, and recent European CPI had a similar reading. If we are able to rally, then 3937 is a likely ceiling. If we selloff further, then 3737 should be considered a floor.
Stocks Await Inflation DataStocks retraced as anticipate yesterday. We fell exactly to the intermediary level of support we suggested yesterday, at 3825. The Kovach OBV has topped and rounded off, suggesting the weak momentum we saw last week has dissipated for now. We won't expect to see any significant moves, as the markets are anticipating CPI data tomorrow. With all eyes being on inflation and the print expected to potentially read in the double digits as per the last reading and in Europe , this could spell another hit for stocks tomorrow. If we are able to rally, then 3937 is a likely ceiling. If we selloff further, then 3737 should be considered a floor.
Can The Stock Rally Sustain?Stocks appear to be running into resistance at 3909, after a slow trek upwards from the 3700's. The rally was labored, with resistance confirmed at every technical level along the way by red triangles on the KRI. We are seeing a bit of a retracement, to 3867, with support confirmed by a green triangle on the KRI. The Kovach OBV has been bullish, but does appear to be rounding off. This fact, combined with the weakness of last week's rally, suggests we may be in for another selloff. If so, we could retrace the entire rally to 3737, which should be considered a floor. The level 3825 is a reasonable intermediary level of support. If we are able to break out, then 3937, a relative high, will surely provide resistance.
ES1! SPX500USD 2022 JULY 11 Week
ES1! SPX500USD 2022 JULY 11 Week
Last week long from 3742 was good. Market
is near channel and recent resistance. Together
with 3TF analysis weakness, short opportunity may be
present. The below scenario still applies for this week.
Possible Scenarios are considered:
1) Market rotation = trade at boundary of range
2) Channel rejection / support trades
3) Behavior change scenario for long on retracement
4) Trend continuation
Weekly: Low vol up bar close off high = weakness
Daily: Ave vol narrow spread UT bar = weakness
H4: UHV bar close off high = weakness
Price reaction levels:
Short = Test and Reject | Long = Test and Accept
4071 3950 3742
3642 3600 3540
Remember to like and follow if you find this useful.
Have a profitable trading week.
Stocks Press HigherThe S&P 500 is trekking up gradually, testing higher levels. we have solidified the 3800 handle, and if momentum continues, we could easily break through to the 3900's today. However, the bull rally does seem labored, with multiple red triangles on the KRI confirming resistance. We should see strong resistance at 3928 or 3937. A rejection could take us back to lower levels with 3737 a likely floor. If we are able to break out then 4009 is a likely target.
#ES 07.08.22 Daily Overview with Levels to WatchYday we opened up above our 3866.75-3863.25 level and drove straight through Previous day high, came back and tested and found support which told us we will be trading towards the upside and we knew we will have singles up there which = supply so we will need some buying to chew through that, day was grindy as mostly all the buying is from shorts being bought in. We failed to fill the second set of singles around our 3914.75-3910.75 level and in Globex we tested Key level of 3892.25-3887.25 which held for now. We are waiting on some releases at 8:30 so will have to see what that will give us and where we will open but we are currently above T2 high and our Key level which is a sign of strength but its mixed feelings as we are in Previous Days Range and still have supply above so the question today is do we have enough shorts trapped and new buyers to Fill the singles and continue higher towards our next Key Level at 3931.75-3927.25 or will we fail and come back in to test T2 high/Previous Day low area.
--- On The Upside: Holding above T2 High and 3892.25-3887.25 is a sign of strength and can give us test of 3901.25-3898, 3914.75-3910.75 this is where we will be watching if we fill the singles and can continue higher towards 3931.75-3927.25. If the buying is strong and we get through that then we have 3944.25-3940.25 as Next area to watch for Failure or continuation.
--- On The Downside: Failure to fill the singles and accept over 3914.75-3910.75 can give us a test of 3901.25-3898, Key Level of 3892.25-3887.25 where we would watch for continuation and if that goes we have 3878.75-3874.75 as our T2 High area we could see test and if we accept under it then we have Previous Day Low at 3866.75-3863.25 and next Key Level at 3853.25-3847.25
*** Levels to Watch: 3944.25-3940.25 // 3931.75-3927.25 // 3914.75-3910.75 // 3892.25-3887.25 // 3878.75-3874.75 // 3866.75-3863.25
The growth of the index to 4050 is inevitable. Analyst of the spx 500 index on 07/07/22 Today we are here to talk about the SPX 500 index
What's on the market now:
The index is trading at 3873. In the last trading session, we saw the expected increase in the index that I mentioned earlier, here is a link to the idea. In today's trading session, I expect a move up to the level of 39 20. The struggle that has been going on in the market for the last week has been resolved and now the market is ready for an impulse movement.
Today we are waiting:
I expect the market to move towards the level of 3920.
What I recommend:
If you want to go short:
Short positions are prohibited.
If you want to buy:
Buying on the market is possible, limit your losses.
If you are not in the market:
If you want to buy, you can buy from the market, but limit your losses. The market is developing a steady upward movement, which I spoke about earlier, and I hope you had time to participate in it.
Like and subscribe, thanks!
Also remember to contact me in 2 or 3 days for further trading advice.
Don't forget to like it, it really motivates me to share my market knowledge. Subscribe to me and you will always be aware of the movement of the SPX 500 index.
See you next time!
Bye!
Breakout for Stocks??Stocks are still broadly ranging, however the S&P is tending toward the upper bound of the range at 3867. We appear to be forming a bull wedge pattern, and the Kovach OBV is very bullish which could indicate a bull divergence. This could suggest that a breakout is imminent for stocks. If so 3937 is a good target. If we reject current levels, then the base of the range at 3737 or so is a likely target.
#ES 07.07.22 Daily Overview with Levels to WatchYday we were able to hold above our Key Support at 3809.50-3805.25 and after the FOMC release got a push over Previous Day High and over next Key Level of 3853.25-3847.25. Globex we failed to get back under 3853.25-3847.25 and accept and got a push back over it but so far we have been hanging out here between Key Level and next level up under Previous Day high which is usually a sign of distribution to me as we still have supply above keeping us down but on the other hand we can be absorbing it here before next move up since we are holding over T2 High area for today but I think Market is waiting for ADP and Claims to make the move. Question today is do we have enough people trapped that will help push us higher today and fill the sets of singles we have above us or will we back in under this 53-47 area making this supply that would help and push us back into T2 range.
--- On The Upside: Holding above T2 High area of 3839-3835.50 and 3853.25-3847.25 is a continued sign of strength, if we fail to push lower and accept this can give us a push higher and possibly more buy ins today towards the single -prints and upper levels. We can see 3866.75-3863.25, 3878.75-3874.75 which would be our first area to watch for continuation since its Previous Days High then Key Level and first big area of single prints at 3892.25-3887.25 This is where we would see how strong the move is and if we can fill that/accept and continue towards 3901.25-3898 , 3914.75-3910.75 and 3931.75-3927.25 But we have supply above so have to monitor level to level.
--- On The Downside: Staying under previous days high and 3866.75-3863.25 can give us a test of 3853.25-3847.25 getting under that would be our first sign of weakness and can give us a test of T2 High area at 3839-3835.50 this is where we would need to see for break and acceptance for any continuation lower, if we do accept back in T2 range and now we will have more inventory from above that can help and push us towards T2 half back areas and possibly the Low depending on how much selling we get IF we do accept back in we will be looing for 3825.50-3820.25 Key Level 3809.50-3805.25 if that goes then can see 3791.75-3787.75, 3780.50-3776.75, 3764.75-3760.50
*** Levels To Watch: 3892.25-3887.25 // 3878.75-3874.75 // 3853.25-3847.25 // 3839-3835.50 // 3809.50-3805.25
#ES 07.06.22 Daily Overview with Levels to WatchYday we tested the T2 Low/Previous day Low and found support there and were actually able to drive back towards previous day high, in Globex we attempted few times to get over Previous Day High with failures but we are not getting much selling because we still have shorts trapped below who buy this up every time we come down towards the singles. Question today is will we have enough buying to get use over Previous Day High and T2 High area to maybe see a short squeeze higher or will we fail to get over and will have enough supply to come down and test lower Key Areas along with T2 Low/Previous Day low again and maybe this time break it. We have Jolt and FOMC Minutes tomorrow so also possible market will stay in Balance inside Previous Days range while waiting for those releases.
--- On The Upside: Holding above our Key Level of 3809.50-3808.25 is continued sign of strength and from there we can see tests of 3825.50-3820.25, 3839-3835.50 which will be our area to watch for continuation high as that will be T2 and Previous Day High location, above that Key Level of 3853.25-3847.25 to really confirm the upside and for us to continue.
--- On The Downside: Holding Below Previous Day High area of 3839-3835.50 can give us a test of 3825.50-3820.50, Key Area of 3809.50-3805.25 this and level below which would be Previous day Half Back at 3791.75-3787.75 would be to watch for any continuation lower, as we might find balance between this areas until Jolts/FOMC tomorrow but if we do break it and continue we have 3780.50-3776.75 Key Level 3764.75-3760.50 and from there we would watch T2 and Previous Days Lows around 3747.50-3744.75 for any continuation lower.
*** Level To Watch: 3853.25-3847.25 // 3839-3835.50 // 3809.50-3805.25 // 3791.75-3787.75 // 3764.75-3760.50 // 3747.50-3744.75