#ES 07.05.22 Daily Overview with Levels to WatchFriday with held inside previous days range as we thought we might since it was a lower volume day before the three day weekend. In Globex we continued our Friday strength and last night were able to drive above Previous Day (Friday) High and hit next Key Level of 3853.25-3847.25 where we found sellers, we spent time over the high selling inventory and once we did that we had more supply above and failed back inside previous range. After look above the high and fail we can see the Lows as targets for today and depending if we hold down there or not maybe a continuation lower.
--- On The Downside: Holding below 3809.50-3805.25 is continued sign of weakness and can give a test of Previous day Low and T+2 Low, we are currently already coming down so levels to watch are 3780.50-3776.75 Key Level of 3764.75-3760.50 where we can see some support but if that breaks we have Previous Day Low and T+2 Low area around our 3747.50-3744.75 level to watch for continuation but below that is 3728.75-3725.25 and next Key Level of 3714.75-3709.75 Where we can also see support unless going down on good volume and get right through it then can watch for further continuation.
--- On The Upside: Testing and Holding Previous Day Low/ T+2 Low area can give us a move back over 3764.75-3760.50, 3780.50-3776.75, 3791.75-3787.75.
*** Levels to Watch: 3809.50-3805.25 // 3767.75-3760.50 // 3747.50-3744.75 // 3714.75-3709.75
Snp500
SXP500 Index: The day when the markets are ready to move. Analyst of the spx 500 index on 04/07/22, today we are here to talk about the SPX 500 index
What's on the market now:
The index is trading at 3825. In the last trading session, the market began to move up, but in essence the market has stabilized. Now market participants need to choose a general trend in the direction of which the new trend will develop. Currently, the market is at a point of equilibrium and is clearly waiting for new trading ideas.
I expect the market to move to the level of 4000 and above.
Today we are waiting:
In the current trading session, I expect the market to move towards the level of 3900. But if this trend is broken, then a sharp movement of the market to the level of 3650 is possible.
What I recommend:
If you want to go short:
Short positions are prohibited.
If you want to buy:
You can enter the market, but there remains the possibility of a sharp downward movement of the index.
If you are not in the market:
If you are out of the market. I recommend that you try to go short around 4125.
If you want to buy, you can buy from the market, but limit your losses. It is important to remember that if this new upward trend breaks, we will see a sharp drop in the index to the level of 3550 - 3480.
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S&P500 Will Keep Falling! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
S&P500 is trading in a downtrend
In a falling wedge pattern
And the index is now going up
To retest the falling resistance
Thus a pullback is expected
Followed by further move down
Inside the wedge
Sell!
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See other ideas below too!
SPX Last Leg Down?SPX is in a descending channel and a falling wedge, both more likely to break to the upside. It also seems short-term bullish for this week, but bearish for next 2 weeks - a possible bear flag is forming that suggests it taking out 2 gaps and eyeing the 200 week SMA. The targets of the descending channel and falling wedge are the fibonacci golden pocket or the 0.786 level. Of course, if it breaks above the 2 long descending patterns, invalidating the flag, and forms a base with higher lower patterns, that would change things, but this does not seem likely for the moment.
ES1! SPX500USD 2022 JULY 04 Week
ES1! SPX500USD 2022 JULY 04 Week
Last week market found support at 3743. Trade remains guided by channel and
reaction to price levels
Possible Scenarios are considered:
1) Market rotation = trade at boundary of range
2) Channel rejection / support trades
3) Behavior change scenario for long on retracement
4) Trend continuation
Weekly: Ave vol down bar close below middle = weakness
Daily: Ave vol up bar close at high = minor strength
H4: Ave volume up bar close off high = minor weakness.
Price reaction levels:
Short = Test and Reject | Long = Test and Accept
4071 3950 3742
3642 3600 3540
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Have a profitable trading week.
S&P500 Delayed rebound but not out of woodsLast weekend's review, it was expected that the S&P500 would follow through with a bullish week. Instead, it was quite the opposite, until the late part of Friday that the upticks started. This could have been attributed to the end of the quarter, half year sell-off by portfolio managers, just a possible consideration.
This week's price action was clearly not enough to close the week (and month) in positive territory, however, it appears that a possible higher low is being formed. This is the first indication that there is a lower probability for a bear trap.
Technical indicators for the weekly have yet to turn, and a couple more weeks might be needed for that. The daily technicals have already started to turn up... perhaps the incoming week would be be clearing up the technical fog. Looking for the higher high.
Meanwhile, do look into the monthly chart. The major downtrend is still in force, and there is a large range of movement in the daily ranges.
Take care!
How Will Stocks Begin July?Stocks have begun July with a whimper so far, maintaining a very narrow range after selling off from the 3900's. We have found support in the mid 3700's, but appear to be forming a bear flag pattern. Volatility has consolidated which may portend a breakout. If so, we could make a run for the 3900's again, with 3825 and 3937 likely targets to the upside. If we sell off from here, then 3645 is a likely floor. The Kovach OBV has started to uptick slightly, which could indicate a bull divergence.
#ES 07.01.22 Daily Overview and Levels to WatchYday we opened right at our 3780.50-3776.75 level, failed over it and drove down to break Key Level of 3764.75-3760.50 from which I was expecting to go down and hit next Key Level lower but we failed to take out 3747.50-3744.75 and found a nice bid down there that took us all the way back to test Previous Day Low and T2 area over our 3809.50-3805.25 level where we found sellers. Rest of the day was not much action as we have Holiday Weekend coming up and not as many participants in the market plus all the real size traders are out enjoying their time with interns running the show. Question today is will we have a slower balanced day or will we get some unexpected action. In Globex we found support at Previous day low and put together a position between Previous Day Low and our 3764.75-3760.50 Level that we drove up and selling up here, we should open today inside Previous Days Range but under T+2 low which tells us we can see selling from that area but will it be strong enough to take us lower today and break previous day low and extend to next Key Level or not.
--- On The Downside: Holding below Previous Day High and T+2 area which is around Key Level of 3809.50-3805.25 is a sign of continued weakness and failure to take 3791.75-3787.75 and extend higher or failure at T+2 low area can give us a push lower to 3780.50-3776.75 and Key Level of 3764.75-3760.50 This will be first area to watch for continuation lower, if this breaks we have Previous Day Low and our 3747.50-3744.75 Level that we need to see break for us to get any lower, if that happens we have 3728.75-3725.25 and 3714.75-3709.75 Where we can find support so would be the spot to watch if we get there for continuation or not.
--- On The Upside: Holding above Globex position and Key Level of 3764.75-3760.50 can give us 3780.50-3776.75, 3791.75-3787.75 and possibly T+2 low Key level of 3809.50-3805.25 where we would watch for continuation higher, would have to take Previous Day High and accept to really get going to the upside.
--- We can also have an inside day and just balance between T2 Low areas and Previous Day low, Friday before the holiday can give us a grindy day without much to do.
*** Levels to Watch: 3825.50-3820.25 // 3809.50-3805.25 // 3764.75-3760.50 // 3747.50-3744.75
#ES 06.30.22 Daily Overview with Levels to WatchYday we had a balanced day between our supply above 3853-3847 and our buyers in the Gap area and Key Support at 3809.50-3805.25. We had a seller above 3840 all day and we could get past that 40 wall even with all the buying which tells us someone was selling filling orders into all the buying. Globex we broke the Key Support and saw that inventory leak out down to our next Key Level which we wanted to see yesterday at 3764.75-3760.50, We currently found support here but as I mentioned yesterday there is not a lot of support below and if this does break today and we accept then I will have my eyes on lower Key Levels at 3714.75-3709.75 and always possible to reach 3671.75-3665.75 if enough order flow. It is last day of the Month a day before 3 day Holiday weekend so no one wants to put a lot of risk on these last two days and a lot might want to try and get out of their positions. Anything can happen on Month end so we watch levels to break and continuation. Currently our Globex inventory is short from yesterdays close, we are under T+2 and previous day lows which can give us margin calls. At the open we will want to see if we will get any correction to the ON Inventory or if we will get a trend continuation right away. We have Core PCE at 830 we are waiting for now, lets see how we open.
--- On The Downside: Holding below 3809.50-3805.25 is continued sign of weakness, if we fail get over 3780.50-3776.75 and come back down to break/accept under Key Support of 3764.75-3760.50 that can give us a test of 3747.50-3744.75, 3728.75-3725.25, Key Level of 3714.75-3709.75 where we can see some buying but if going down and break it then we can see continuation lower towards 3698.50-3695.50, 3686.75-3683.75 and Key Level of 3671.75-3665.75
--- On The Upside: Holding above Key Level of 3764.75-3760.50 can give us a correction to the upside towards 3780.50-3776.75 and maybe 3791.75-3787.75 these would be important areas to watch for continuation higher but in order to get a upside confirm and get any real continuation higher we would have to get through and accept over 3809.50-3805.25
*** Levels to Watch: 3791.75-3787.75 // 3780.50-3776.75 // 3764.75-3760.50 // 3714.75-3709.75 // 3698.50-3695.50
SXP500 Index: Big game ahead. Are you ready?Today we are here to talk about the SPX 500 index
What's on the market now:
The index is trading at 3818. In the previous trading session, we saw price stabilization. However, in my opinion, although the correction actually took place from the last local maximum, the correction has not yet reached its local bottom in the region of 3780 - 3750.
Today we are waiting:
Today, I expect the market to decline to the 3780 - 3750 zone. We may see an increase in the market decline, but if the market can turn around and the correction is broken, then the market will continue to rise to the level of 4050.
What I recommend:
If you want to go short:
It is too early to open short positions now, it is better to open them from the level of 4050, limit your losses.
If you want to buy:
It is better to refuse to buy the index and stocks now, the index has not yet reached its bottom in the region of 3750 - 3700.
If there is a positive mood in the market from the level of 3750 - 3700, then you can buy, limiting your losses.
If you are not in the market:
If you are out of the market. I recommend that you try to go short around 4050. But if you want to buy, then I recommend that you go long from the 3700 level. Remember to always limit your losses.
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Stocks Press LowerStocks pressed lower as we anticipated yesterday. The S&P 500 was hanging on by a thread yesterday at 3825, and sure enough, support caved, and we were able to test lower levels. We crossed a vacuum zone to find support at 3758. We currently appear to be finding support there, confirmed by a green triangle on the KRI. If support does not hold here, we anticipate 3658 or 3645 to hold as a floor. If we are able to rally, then watch for resistance at 3825, with 3937 a likely ceiling.
SXP500 Index: Reversal of the 3750 - will it be?Today we are here to talk about the SPX 500 index
Today: The index is trading at 3821 and in the last trading session we saw the development of the correction I talked about earlier. Here is a link to the idea.
Today at the beginning of the trading day I expect the stabilization of the movement, and then the subsequent movement of the price to the level of 3735 - 3700. I believe that the market has dropped to the zone 3750 and there will try to turn to 40 00. However, if the market of this level, further market movement in the zone 3550 - 3480 is possible.
Today we are waiting for:
Today, as yesterday, I expect the market to decline in the zone 3780 - 3750, but if this trend is broken, the market will continue to grow to the level of 4050-4000
What I recommend:
If you want to open the short:
It is better to open short positions from the level of 4010 - 4050, but limit your losses.
If you want to buy:
Buying is too risky now. However, if the market is a positive scenario, you can enter the market from the level of 3750 - 3700.
If you are not in the market:
If you are out of market. I recommend you open short positions from the level of 4010 - 40 50. But if you want to buy, I recommend you to open a long position from the level of 37 00.
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Also don't forget to contact me in 2 or 3 days for further trading advice.
Don't forget to like, it really motivates me to share my knowledge of the market. Subscribe to me and you will always be aware of the movement of the SPX 500 index.
See you next time!
Bye!
GDP to Weigh on StocksStocks took a dive from the high 3900's. We identified 3909 as a likely target in the previous report, and a brief rally was able to hit this target and then some, coming just shy of the 4000 handle, and retracing just shy of a 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the selloff from the 4000's back in early June. We have since retreated to support at 3825, which is a relative high and strong technical level from a relative high on June 15th. We appear to be hanging on by a thread and the Kovach OBV has slumped. If momentum does not pick up, then we could test lows at 3645. US first quarter GDP came out contractionary , and the second quarter is not looking much better. Recall that two quarters of shrinking GDP is what many use as the definition of a recession.
#ES 06.29.22 Overview with Levels to WatchYday we opened above Previous Day high and that gave us a push over our Key Level of 3931.75-3927.25, we were able to reach next level up but failed to extend from it after a strong opening push which was our first warning sign. We we came back in under Key Level and got back under Previous Day high and our level of 3914.75-3910.75 was our downside confirm with a good short entry for a target of T+2 Half back around 3878.75-3874.75 which was a spot to watch for continuation, if the buying was day was buying that will take us higher we would have held that area or dipped below and came back in but we just went right through it all the way down towards T+2 low and found support right below it for now. Question today is did we flush out all the longs from the top and found buyers here to take in all the supply so we can see a push higher towards yesterdays break down or will we get continuation to the downside. We still have a gap below us around our Key Support at 3809.50-3805.25 which is currently giving us the support to hang out here, we are under T+2 low and still should have supply above so very possible to see some margin calls today. We have GDP at 830 and FED Speaking at 930 so can be a bit volatile at the open.
--- On The Downside: Holding below our Key Level of 3853.25-3847.25 is a sign of continued weakness, failure to get over this area and accept or if we fail here at 3839-3835.50 without reaching that area can give us a test of 3825.50-3820.25 and Key Support/Gap Area at 3809.50-3805.25 if that goes today then we don't have as much support below us and can see 3791.75-3787.75, 3780.50-3776.75 and next Key Level of 3764.75-3760.50 IF we are going down with good volume and see those areas get taken out then we can see a move even lower just have to watch level by level, can even see 3714.75-3709.75 area.
--- On The Upside: We would need to get over this 3839-3835.50 Level in order to see Key Level of 3853.25-3847.25 and this will be the spot to watch for any continuation higher, if we do get over it and accept we can see a move higher towards T+2 Low, the levels to watch would be 3866.75-3863.25, 3878.75-3874.75 and 3892.25-3887.25.
*** Levels to Watch: 3853.25-3847.25 // 3839-3820.25 // 3809.50-3805.25 // 3791.75-3787.75 // 3764.75-3760.50 // 3714.75-3709.75
#ES 06.28.22 Overview with Levels to WatchYday we had a balanced RTH between Globex inventory over our Key Level of 3931.75-3927.25 and short position below our Key Level 3892.25-3887.25. Last night in Globex we tested Key Support and it held giving us rotation back up to 3931.75-3927.25 but this morning so far we have failed to get over it and accept, currently that inventory is coming out and we want to see where we open but for now we are back in under T+2 high area and holding under is our first sign of weakness and could give us a test of at least T2 half back area around 3875 which is where we also have buyers in those single prints below it. If we failed to hold under T2 High area that will be our sign that we might not have supply for that, have to watch and see what we do.
--- On The Downside: Holding under T+2 High area and Key Level 3931.75-3927.25 is our sign of weakness and can give a test of 3914.75-3910.75, 3901.25-3898 Key Level at 3892.25-3887.25 and Possibly T2 half back area at 3878.75-3874.75. We do expect to see buying around there if we do get there and this would be the spot to watch for continuation lower or failure. If we do break and accept under then we have 3866.75-3663.25 Key Level at 3853.25-3847.25 and T+2 low area around 3839-3835.50
--- On The Upside: Failure to extend lower and reach Key Level at 3892.25-3887.25 or reach and fail to take out can give us a push back up towards T+2 High area which would be the spot we need to get over and hold today in order to
get continuation higher, if we can do that then we have Key Level at 3931.75-3927.25 if we take it can see 3944.25-3940.25, 3957.25-3953.25 up to next Key Level of 3976.50-3971.50
*** Levels to Watch: 3931.75-3927.25 // 3914.75-3910.75 // 3892.25-3887.25 // 3878.75-3874.75
SPY look similar to 2008 Will history repeat? No one knows, however It looks so similar to 2008. Great time to learn and be ready before the bullish momentum starts. There will be lots of multibaggers after this bearish momentum is over. This is once in a decade opportunity. Will be very good time for investing and trading. Day trading is still good at the moment because of volatility. If you are not ready then do it now. Learn, learn and learn. $$$$
#ES 06.27.22 Overview with Levels to WatchFriday morning RTH opened up and right away drove over the Globex inventory and a level to watch of 3839-3835.50, inventory was long and we got no correction that told us the strength for the day, we drove straight to next Key Level of 3892.25-3887.25 Where we found some resistance which was right at the Gap area where we expected to have supply, we consolidated for some time and got an afternoon drive to fill the Gap and tested higher levels. Last night Globex failed to break our 3901.25-3898 level and come down to test Key Level of 3892.25-3887.25 which told us we did not have supply for that yet. After the London open we were able to drive the inventory over the next Key Level and have been selling it over since. Question today is will we get continuation of strength and test of higher levels or will we come back in and test the lower break out areas. Globex inventory right now is mostly long over Friday close and looks like correcting, we have Durable Goods at 8:30am and will have to see where we will open today.
--- On The Upside: Holding above Previous Day high and over our 3914.75-3910.75 level is a sign of stability and can give us another attempt at Key Level of 3931.75-3927.25 (that is we get a correction under it) if not that can give us
even more strength to push higher, if we accept over this Key Level then our upper targets will be 3944.25-3940.25 , 3957.25-3953.25 and next Key Level of 3976.50-3971.50 which we will have to monitor for any continuation higher.
It is month end and good saying is don't short month end so lets see if we get some continuation this week week or not.
--- On The Downside: If we get under Key Level of 3931.75-3927.25 we have Previous Day high area and a level of 3914.75-3910.75 which we will need to watch for signs of continuation lower, if we do accept in Previous Day Range then
we can see 3901.25-3898 and Key Level of 3892.25-3887.25, for the buying from Friday to stick we would ideally see it hold that level IF we get there, if it gets taken out and we accept under then we will monitor for continuation
lower but for now we are over T+2 High and Previous Day High which does not give us much confidence for shorts but in this market anything can happen so we watch it level to level.
*** Key Levels to Watch: 3931.75-3927.25 // 3914.75-3910.75 // 3892.25-3887.25 -- 3957.25-3953.25 // 3976.50-3971.50
500 index: Russia's default is a new challenge for the markets.Today we are here to talk about the SPX 500 index
Today: The index is trading at 3911 and we saw a sharp rise yesterday. During the last trading session, the market moved into the expected zone at the level of 3850 and consolidated significantly above it. Here is a link to the idea.
Today: I expect the development of a correction in the market and price stabilization. However, if this does not happen and there is a positive mood in the market, then the level of 4050 will become the closest zone to a reversal.
Today we are waiting:
Today, I expect the market to stabilize. Possibly with rap at its opening.
What I recommend:
If you want to go short:
It is better to open short positions from the level of 40 50, but limit your losses.
I continue to hold a short position from 3850 and advise everyone to limit your losses.
If you want to buy:
Buying is now too risky in the market. If you want to buy, it is better to wait for the market bottom around 3550 - 3480 and buy there.
If you are not in the market:
You can try to go short from the 4050 level or wait until the market bottoms around 3550 - 3480 and then buy.
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Also remember to contact me in 2 or 3 days for further trading advice.
Don't forget to like it, it really motivates me to share my market knowledge
See you next time!
Bye!
SNP STRONG LONGA huge convergence formed on the weekly timeframe has started to work out on the U.S. Industrial Average. The Fibonacci expansion correction already corresponds to 1.618, which is enough to end it. We closed the gap formed by the candlesticks of the previous two trading weeks. Last week's trading volume was climactic, the highest since June 2020. There is also a support level below. Why not turn the markets around already. Especially since the negative sentiment about the future of the market and FUD about a prolonged recession is all over the place.
S&P500 bullish week expectedThe last week saw a reversal of the previous week, with the weekly candle recovering all the previous week's losses and closing decisively above the gap resistance. From a weekly chart perspective, the following week would be bullish.
The daily chart similarly shows that the bullishness came from the last day of the week ( instead of mid-week as expected ). Nonetheless, the MACD crossed over bullish.
Expecting a bullish follow through for the week ahead and this must break and stay above 4120; ideally to recover above 4300, and meet the 4425 bullish trend change resistance. Would be wary and watch these resistance levels...
ES1! SPX500USD 2022 JUNE 27 Week
ES1! SPX500USD 2022 JUNE 27 Week
Last week Scenario1 3642 + Historical Demand returned to support market.
Volume analysis expressed caution as price advanced on low volume, which
may be a long trap. Wait for price reaction to the
possible test levels and channel resistance
Possible Scenarios are considered:
1) Test of 4071-4204 = wait for price reaction
2) Channel rejection for possible short
3) Test of 3706/3800 and finds support = long
Weekly: Low vol up bar close at high = caution, possible weakness + reversal pattern
Daily: Low vol up bar closing at high = Caution, possible weakness
H4: High vol narrowing spread up bar = caution, possible weakness
Price reaction levels:
Short = Test and Reject | Long = Test and Accept
3878 3800 3706
3642 3600 3540
Remember to like and follow if you find this useful.
Have a profitable trading week.
SPX500 a short updateIt is easy to guess the top but the noise are hard.
All I can update is maybe we have a short term bounce to 3.9k these few days to close a gap.
If we manage to break below 3.7-3.8k , then the market will have higher chance to go down further as mentioned in my idea.
On the higher timeframe, If we manage to break above 4500, then My previous bearish bias will be invalidated.
I think we should have some sideways movement for few months for accumulation if it were to reverse the trend.
Just trade accordingly and be cautious!
Disclaimer - This analysis alone DOES NOT warrant a buy or sell trade immediately. Before you enter any trade in the financial market, it is very important that you have a proper trading plan and risk management approach.