Stocks in a Sideways Correction Under Highs
The S&P 500 is ranging, and it seems we are in a broad sideways correction, after the impulse that took us to highs. We are seeing support from 4632, as identified by a green triangle on the KRI, and are facing resistance from 4693, as confirmed by a red triangle on the KRI, and will face further resistance from highs at 4729. The Kovach OBV has leveled off, so we anticipate the ranging to continue until more momentum comes through either way. Watch the vacuum zone below 4632 down to 4580.
Snp500
Stocks Finding Support, Testing Higher Levels!!Stocks have found good support at 4632, confirmed by a green triangle on the KRI. we have gotten a good lift from this level and are currently testing higher levels. Currently, we are testing 4695, where a red triangle on the KRI seems to be indicating some resistance. If we can see momentum come through at open, we could easily test highs again at 4729. If we reject 4695, we could be set to range a bit between 4649 and 4695. The Kovach OBV is relatively flat, but appears to be picking up slightly.
ES1! SPX500USD 2021 Nov 15 Week
ES1! SPX500USD 2021 Nov 15 Week
Short from 4674 was good, followed by spring from the demand line of the
uptrend channel.
Market rebound from demand line of channel back into the possibility to test 4712.
Weekly: Average volume down bar closing off high = weakness. Wait and see if
weakness will flow over to lower time frame.
Daily: Average volume up bar closing off high = possible weakness. Wait
for next bar to confirm.
H4: Climatic up bar followed by high volume up bar closing off high = Some
weakness expected.
Entries will be based on price reaction to the levels
Short = Test and Reject | Long = Test and Accept
4764 4733
4711 4674
4657 4613
4590 4551
4515 4472
4411 4381
4333 4267
Remember to like and follow if you find this useful.
Have a profitable trading week. ES1!
Breakout Soon for Stocks??Stocks have leveled off, trading pretty flat yesterday. Volatility has consolidated quite a bit, suggesting that a breakout either way is near. The Kovach OBV has completely flattened with this ranging. We are finding support at 4649 and 4632, two levels we called out yesterday. Beware of the vacuum zone below to 4580. If we are able to catch a bid towards open, the next target is 4693, then we will be in a position to make a run for highs at 4729 after that.
Two Risk Factors for Stocks and how to Trade themStocks have retraced sharply from highs. We have been warning of a retracement for the past three days or so. Hopefully, no one got caught in a FOMO trade at highs. As anticipated, we saw support from 4632, one of the exact targets we identified for support during the retracement. A green triangle on this level is confirming support, but if it does not hold, there is a vacuum zone down to 4580. Evergrande has officially defaulted, so this could dampen any hopes of another rally. Also, inflation fears appear to be picking up, so we will need to see how these two factors play on the risk sentiment as the day progresses. If we are able to catch a bid, 4693 and 4729 will be the next targets.
Stocks Retrace from HighsStocks have retraced from highs just below our target at 4729. We have been warning you that a retracement was becoming increasingly more likely for several days now. We are finding strong support just above our level at 4649, and several green triangles on the KRI confirm this. After that we will see support from a nearby level at 4632, then we have a vacuum zone down to 4580. The Kovach OBV is still relatively strong, but has tapered with the retracement.
Stocks Flat After New HighsStocks have topped out just under our next profit target at 4729. We are seeing several red triangles on the KRI, suggesting that they are finally meeting resistance. The S&P 500 appears to be consolidating between 4693, and 4729. The consolidation is healthy, as we have been rallying since October, and were starting to look hyperbolic. We do appear to be seeing a bear wedge with a lower bound at 4693, and if we break lower, we have a vacuum zone down to 4649. The Kovach OBV has dipped sharply with the consolidation, so watch for more momentum to come through before we can expect another breakout.
Stocks Make New Highs!! 🤑🤑Stocks have made new highs, yet again. We solidly pierced through the 4700 handle, reaching 4719, just 10 points shy of our profit target at 4729, before retracing slightly. We found support at 4693, confirmed by a green triangle on the KRI. At the time of this writing, we are hovering just above this level, maintaining 4700 exactly. The Kovach OBV is solidly bullish, and we are starting to encroach into overbought territory, so the probability of a technical retracement is increasing. If so, we expect support at 4693, then 4649. If momentum continues, then 4729 is our next profit target.
ES1! SPX500USD 2021 Nov 08 WeekES1!
ES1! SPX500USD 2021 Nov 08 Week
4590 was supported and long was fruitful.
A reversal patten has formed on H4. If 4674 becomes
resistance, we may see test of the lower levels.
Weekly: Average volume up bar closing off high = weakness
Daily: High volume up bar closing off high = weakness.
H4: Climatic down bar closing off low = strength.
4674 if broken, lower levels may be tested.
Entries will be based on price reaction to the levels
Short = Test and Reject | Long = Test and Accept
4764 4733
4711 4674
4657 4613
4590 4551
4515 4472
4411 4381
4333 4267
Remember to like and follow if you find this useful.
Have a profitable trading week.
Stocks Make New Highs Ahead of Non Farm PayrollsStocks have broken out, making new highs yet again. We have reached our profit target at 4693. The next target is 4729. We should face some resistance at current levels, so anticipate stocks to range a bit in a sideways correction, if not retrace to lower levels at 4649 or 4632. There is a vacuum zone below those levels to 4580. The Kovach OBV is still very strong, and is starting to look a bit overbought, so a retracement is becoming increasingly more likely. Non farm payrolls data comes out today, so this could be a strong driver for stocks either way.
Stocks Make New Highs!! Again!! 📈🤑🥳Stocks got a big push from the FOMC minutes yesterday. We have smashed through our profit target at 4649, to make new highs yet again. We appear to be pausing around 4664, and forming a very narrow range here. We feel that stocks are overdue for a technical retracement, so be wary of FOMO-ing into a long position at highs. The levels 4649 and 4632 should provide support, but if not, there is a vacuum zone down to 4580. Our next target is 4693. The Kovach OBV is still very strong, which suggests we are becoming overbought.
Stocks Pause Below All Time HighsStocks are hugging the upper bound of the range discussed yesterday. This coincides with all time highs at 4633. The level we have identified nearby is 4629. The Kovach OBV is still very strong, but appears to have tapered. If momentum persists, we can anticipate another breakout soon, and 4649 is our next target, set by Fibonacci Extension levels. There is a vacuum zone below to the next level of support at 4580. After that, we can expect further support at 4564, 4545, and 4521. We are due for a technical correction. While it may not happen today, those last three levels could be ideas to buy back when we eventually see a correction.
Is the SNP500 ready for another correction?I firmly believe that we should soon see a correction deeper than the one we recently had which began at the start of September.
The chart suggests that after finally breaking out of the bear wedge; which began at the start of the lows of the correction in March 2020, we are now witnessing what looks like to be a retest of that bear wedge.
With the addition of negative weekly RSI divergence this should see some firm movement downwards, below the low recorded in the first week of October.
Hard to see the market giving way to such a huge drop, but the market carrier Tesla is due a correction after extreme growth in the recent weeks.
Stocks Range Below HighsAs anticipated, stocks are ranging at highs. We are currently just below our next target of 4632. If we are able to breakout, then the next target after that is 4649. If ranging continues, then expect the action to be confined between 4580 and 4632. The Kovach OBV is still quite strong, but has tapered recently with the pause in stocks. We could be due for a correction soon. If so, 4564, 4545, and 4521 should provide further support.
THO is flagging and about to breakout higherNYSE:THO is ready for another leg up after positive earning. Long the breakout of the flag pattern, anticipated price action and targets are shown on the chart, stop loss daily close below 115$.
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This is only my own view and not financial advice, do your own analysis before buying or selling
Happy Trading!
4hr VIX BowlHere's a potential path ahead for the VIX indicator in the shape of the handle on a cup which began being built back in early May 21' (as shown in the graph below.
$SPX overbought with a strong negative RSI divergence.
My intial target is the 24 - 26.5 range, but if it were to break out I might reassess.
Stocks Make New Highs!! What's Next??Stocks make new highs, despite persistent issues in the supply chain, transportation industry and protests over the vaccine mandates. The S&P 500 has broken out of the 4500's and seems to have secured the 4600's for now. We came within 5 points of our target at 4632, with the current high at 4627. We are seeing a red triangle on the KRI at this level suggesting we will face resistance here. Watch for continued momentum at open to carry the trend established in the Asia-Pacific session this morning. If it does not, we should range in the value area between 4580 and 4627. The Kovach OBV is still very strong, so the trend is likely to remain bullish.
Stocks Pause RallyStocks have paused their rally as we suggested yesterday. We have found support just above 4545, as confirmed by a green triangle on the KRI. The Kovach OBV is still strong, but has curved over recently to reflect the pause. We will anticipate further support at 4521 and 4504. If we can muster the momentum for a continued rally, we will need to break 4580 before we can consider our next profit target at 4632
Stocks Dip, But Still BullishStocks have inched above the upper bound at 4580 to achieve new highs. However, the S&P 500 has pulled back slightly as we have anticipated yesterday. This appears to be a technical retracement as the S&P pauses for air after its aggressive rally. We expect support at 4564, 4545, then 4521. Our next target is 4632. The Kovach OBV is still really strong, but has curved slightly with the dip.
Stocks Rally for Fourth Day StraightStocks have rallied for the fourth day in a row. They have gained strength off earnings and the potential of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged. We are seeing some resistance at all time highs as identified by two red triangles on the KRI. The next target is 4632, but we are likely to see a pullback first. The Kovach OBV is still very strong, but at this point we are looking very over bought. The levels 4580, 4564, and 4545 may all be levels to consider buying back on a possible dip. A healthy correction could take us to 4521.
Stocks To Start the Week Strong??All stock indexes are set to open at or near all time highs off as investors prepare for key tech earnings. The S&P 500 is just under 4564 at the moment, having leveled off after inching out ATH's. The Kovach OBV is extremely strong, but be prepared for a technical retracement, especially if earnings disappoint. We should see support from 4521, 4505, and 4487. If we break out again, the next target is 4580.