SILVER HAS NEVER BEEN THIS CHEAP!THE LAST TIME SILVER WAS THIS CHEAP RELATIVE TO M2 WAS AT THE BEGINNING OF THE 2000s BULL RUN!
EVEN M2 FAILS TO TAKE INTO ACCOUNT THE ACTUAL EXPANSION OF THE CURRENCY SUPPLY, SO IN REALITY SILVER HAS NEVER BEEN THIS CHEAP!
Socialism
The "Future of the Gas Station? (Latin America)The "Future of the Gas Station”?
(“Christ the Redeemer of Oil?”)
One of the most beautiful (UNBELIEVABLY beautiful) and largest “mega cities” in the world which is also named one of the New Seven Wonders of the World is (in) the city of Rio de Janeiro. Perhaps the only other mega-city “city” on Earth that can come close to matching the natural amazing cliffs and crazy “year round” beautiful beaches of Rio de Janeiro is “Hong Kong” (there are many secret cities around the world that are better then Rio de Janeiro or Hong Kong for example along the Perl River or along Southern China or maybe someplace else hidden on Earth?) However, many larger cities are much much more expensive (Rent in Hong Kong for example is about 600% higher then in Rio de Janeiro and food prices in Hong Kong are are about 200% higher maybe even more if you dont trust the numbers??)
Interestingly perhaps the “largest ever” oil corruption and fraud charges in the ENTIRE HISTORY of “ALL” of Latin America was quite recently (and is still going on to this day at least from the Brazilian stock market BOVESPA index’s perspective??).
This was a major lawsuit that started at some “Gas Station” outside of Rio de Janeiro Brazil and centered around one of the largest oil companies in the world. At least 11 different countries where involved in the lawsuit for "corruption indictments" (even the United Stated SEC made off with $10’s of millions of dollars (cold cash) from this case?), at least 18 different companies where involved and 400+ people (criminals) involved with many going to jail for anywhere between 10 to 30 years of jail time and by some estimates something like R$6.2 billion (USD$2.5 billion) (which is about equivalent to price of construction of 10+ off shore oil rigs?). Even the president of Brazil was sentences to jail for 9 years and went to jail for about one full year+?
What makes Rio de Janeiro especially beautiful and “amazingly religious” is a 600+ “ton” statue of “Christ the Redeemer” shining with “hands stretched open” above the mega metropolis of 10+ million people. The statue of Christ above Rio de Janeiro is truly one of the most amazing religious concepts that any modern megacity on earth lives and works under. The statue of Christ is so big and so fundamental that two thousand years from now it might still be there… it is a 600 ton god statue?!
Perhaps its more often then we realize in Europe and North America, but religion is and has a very important key to Latin America (and many other cities on Earth). However, for Rio de Janeiro “god (apparently) is the key”? The giant statue of Christ the Redeemer atop Corcovado mountain looking down at everyone happens be one of the most stunning and most “godly” and fundamental religiously famous landmarks of our Earth? It one of the “wonders of the world?”
One of the interesting things about the oil industry is that there is a lot of “suspicion” that everyone involved “maybe” is making a “ton” of money. Many people suspect the oil executives of being a type of “cult club”. Its possible that the corruption charges against Petrobras are “very complex” and even “creatively created” by a mastermind who understood the legal system and that they might have to “go to jail” just to convict everyone of what they are doing wrong anyway.
In a lot of ways the (socialist “working class”) president of Brazil learned a very very important legal lesson after spending one year in jail and “getting out” and being “set free” after even contacting the United Nations Human Right Commission. The corruption maybe was with the legal system itself.. the judges? and Petrobras maybe wanted to see the Judges go to jail in addition to the president? However, the president was “popular” especially with labor activists and was eventually set free. The president was convicted of “money laundering” and “passive corruption”, defined in Brazilian criminal law as the receipt of a bribe by a civil servant or government official. Lula was sentenced to nine years and six months in prison and only served about one year. However, the president learned a very very important lesson about “doing things legally correctly” and maybe will even run for president again? (see many articles of news on this topic)
So how does the “oil mafia” really work? How do we know if there really is such a thing as a “oil” corruption (problem) and how does this all actually work and do people really go to jail and get “busted”? What about the police operations in Brazil did they want some of this “oil” money too?? What was this Brazilian “Operation Car Wash?” And most importantly what can we do about all this? (for everyone!?) Whats the suggestions for Petrobras’s Future and the future of “oil” in Latin America?
In the oil industry and in “big-time” obese operations world there is a term called “downstream”. Some companies get so chubby that they essentially dont need any of there sales stores that they actually sell their products in… in the oil industry a lot of companies “don't need gas stations” anymore so they “spin off” what is called their “downstream assets” and basically the gas stations are no longer part of the company. This allows for some “corruption”? However, there is good and bad sides to this, it makes it easy to “own a McDonald’s or Petrobras Gas Station franchise” but difficult to do anything “differently” or create “unique competition” with the financiers (the people with all the money) or the people that gave you the money at the top get “lazy” and want even more money from the Gas Stations.
The law is typically behind the “money” and not the people who own and run the businesses day to day. A lot of these people are not use to “dealing with the legal system”. However, what happened in Brazil’s Oil Business was that someone working at a “gas station” might have “purposely” tried to “go to jail” just to get Petrobras “media light and attention” and then the real problem was actually something more “fundamental” to franchising and just being “reasonable”.
The problem “with” Petrobras actually has to do with something called “franchising” and how gas stations all over the world really work. Imagine two possibilities a world where “everything is run by big oil business” or a world where there is a lot of independent smaller business. The problem is we need both and both sides say we only need that side.
However, what if the problem is with wealth is maybe something “gravitational” or “universal”?
Is there fundamental problems with ALL of capitalism?
In the Communist Manifesto written by a Eastern European named “Karl Marx” believed that capitalism contained the seeds of its own destruction. He described how the wealth of the bourgeoisie depended on the working people (just like the people who actually work at these Petrobras McDonald (only franchise) Gas Stations) ... Eventually the proletariat (gas station worker) would lead a revolution against the bourgeoisie (Petrobras). The final struggle would lead to the overthrow of capitalism itself. Because the businesses (got too obese and fat) (and the governments that regulate them too) would just get too big and too powerful.
For more then a few hundred years capitalism has hidden behind democracy… but what if? What if there was something really wrong? With both communism and capitalism then what? (we will not discuss that here.. however, there maybe some new political revolution needed that isn’t socialism, or capitalism or communism)?
The art of franchising and “gas station-ering” maybe needs a “global overhaul”… the secret maybe isn’t in “more franchising” but allowing “greater freedom” and allowing independent business owners essentially to start their own unique businesses. And when we leave earth that all will get even more complected (this is the “transport” industry?)
There are many detailed videos on corruption and “operations carwash” and it may help to hear what others have to say about this problem of “franchising”. Part of the key to understanding both sides of “real corruption” to understand “both sides” and even look into helping both sides solve those problems.
It maybe that both sides wanted good? Even the Brazilian military “discovered” the problem in the first place? The head of Brazil's army wanted the president “behind bars”? and the New York Times even claimed "Brazil’s democracy is now weaker than it has been since military rule ended".. however, maybe the truth was different?
Hope this helps you!
Asher
:)
"BANKS ARE IN BETTER SHAPE THAN IN 2008"?YOU WILL HEAR FROM VIRTUALLY EVERYONE THAT "THE U.S. FINANCIAL SYSTEM IS BETTER CAPITALIZED THAN IN 2008"!
IF THIS IS THE CASE:
1) WHY DID THE FEDERAL RESERVE HAVE TO REMOVE RESERVE REQUIREMENTS?
2) WHY HAS THE FEDERAL RESERVE BEEN KEEPING THE REPO MARKET ON LIFE SUPPORT SINCE MID-SEPTEMBER?
3) WHAT % OF FINANCIAL ASSETS ARE OFF-BALANCE SHEET?
4) WHAT % OF LOANS ARE AT RISK OF DEFAULT WITHOUT FED/GOVERNMENT INTERVENTION?
5) WHY ARE FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS REFUSING TO ENGAGE IN LOAN PRACTICES WITHOUT FULL GOVERNMENT GUARANTEE?
6) WHAT ARE THE BIGGEST BANKS' EXPOSURE TO DERIVATIVES?
7) ARE CREDIT RATINGS ACCURATELY DEPICTING RISK?
THE ANSWERS TO THESE QUESTIONS PAINT A CLEAR PICTURE: HELL NO!
THE FED IS JUGGLING CHAINSAWS!THE FED IS ATTEMPTING TO BAIL OUT THE CORPORATE DEBT BUBBLE THROUGH THE DIRECT PURCHASE OF CORPORATE BOND ETFs (SIMILAR TO 2008)!
THEY HAVE NOT COMMITTED TO BAILING OUT THE MORTGAGE SECTOR TO THE SAME EXTENT, INDICATING A SECOND WAVE OF SELLING IS POSSIBLE!
I DON'T THINK IT IS POSSIBLE TO SHORT SELL VNQ BUT IT WOULD BE PROFITABLE!
SILVER DIVERGENCE!SILVER MINERS FORMED A HIGHER LOW FROM THE 2016 BOTTOM AND IN 2016 FORMED A HIGHER HIGH FROM THE 2014 BEAR MARKET RALLY!
SILVER TOOK OUT THE 2016 BOTTOM, FORMING A LOWER LOW, AND FAILED TO FORM A HIGHER HIGH IN 2016!
THIS SIGNALS THAT MINER INVESTOR DEMAND CORRESPONDS TO AN IMMINENT SILVER BULL MARKET!
HYPERINFLATION OR PAINFUL CORRECTION!THERE ARE SO MANY GAPS TO FILL!
I WAS THE ONLY ONE TO POINT OUT THE GAP ALL THE WAY AT THE TOP, IT LOOKS LIKE IT WILL BE FILLED IMMINENTLY!
HOWEVER THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHERS LEFT TO FILL TOWARDS THE DOWNSIDE!
EITHER THIS IS A MARKET ENTERING HYPER-BUBBLE MODE SIMILAR TO WEIMAR GERMANY IN THE 1920s, OR THIS IS SETTING UP TO BE A 1930-LIKE BEAR-MARKET CONTINUATION, PUNISHING A RECORD AMOUNT OF LONGS!
INFLATION VS DEFLATION!THE PRICE OF OIL IS THE MOST DIFFICULT PRICE TO MANIPULATE FOR CENTRAL BANKS!
HOWEVER, THROUGH VAST AMOUNTS OF FIAT CURRENCY CREATION, THE PRICE OF OIL INCREASINGLY REFLECTS THE DEBASEMENT OF THE U.S. DOLLAR, NOT REAL DEMAND!
TO OBSERVE THE DIVERGENCE BETWEEN THE INFLATED U$D PRICE OF OIL AND REAL DEMAND FOR OIL, COMPARE THE PRICE OF OIL TO THE PRICE OF GOLD!
INFLATION VS DEFLATION!INDUSTRIAL METAL PRICES HAVE BEEN SQUEEZED BY 2 OPPOSING BUY-SIDE FACTORS:
1) A SLOWING, DEPRESSIONARY WORLD ECONOMY WITH DIMINISHED DEMAND FOR ENERGY AND INDUSTRIAL MATERIALS, ALONG WITH A GLOBAL DOLLAR SHORTAGE!
2) CENTRAL BANKS ENGAGING IN RECORD-LEVEL CURRENCY CREATION COMBINED WITH UNPRECEDENTED FISCAL STIMULUS BY GLOBAL GOVERNMENTS!
IF INFLATION PROVIDES SUPPORT TO THE PRICE OF OIL, INDUSTRIAL METALS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN PRICE FROM THEIR '15-'16 BOTTOM!
"Free stuff" part 2: Just print money!Reminder of my idea about taxing the rich as a solution:
And so (high) inflation....
Here is an economist article on it, they have a chart with the budget balance.
www.economist.com
I'll make some bullet points here too about inflation:
- The government robs wealth from the whole population to fund programs. Printed money isn't real money, you can't just print money out of thin air, they dilute the money supply making every one poorer except those that get the money first (banks and big stock holders in the USA, France and the UK in Germany)
- It snowballs and ends up making the whole country poorer
- Politicians and even emperors have been doing it so many times over the last thousands of years. IT. HAS. NEVER. WORKED.
- The people hurt first are savers, people with fixed income (anyone that works), taxpayers (every one) since you will move to a high tax bracket while not really making more
- People that don't work and get free stuff are happy at first (remember, koko the gorilla...), and then once the government can't support them no more they starve to death (well done), a "condescending tone" is the least of their concerns
- The wealthy, the entrepreneurs are not going to bother building anything, they'd rather speculate, look for valuable assets that won't depreciate (as much). Can be real estate (hey even the Venezuela government did that, in particular with exiles homes), foreign stocks, gold (hey even the Venezuela government did that), cryptocurrencies like bitcoin in zimbabwe (hey even the Venezuela government did that)
- If no one makes stuff then there is no stuff. You cannot legislate it into existence. This is painfully obvious what isn't is the process in which it destroys a country, what I attempted to list here. Crazy money printing to offer "free stuff" always ends badly. Every single time.
Here is a nice little essay on Bernie Sanders senator page, it's from 2011:
www.sanders.senate.gov
Ahem, ahem, *clears throat*, I quote:
"These days, the American dream is more apt to be realized in South America, in places such as Ecuador, Venezuela and Argentina, where incomes are actually more equal today than they are in the land of Horatio Alger. Who's the banana republic now?"
As you know, Bernie is pro "free stuff", and never had a real job. Therefore it is no surprise that he still has not delete that page, gee, that's alot of hard work! 😉
Bernie Sanders, praising Venezuela & Argentina in 2011. Nice. And then during his campaign for 2020 he was saying "I'm not thinking of Venezuela and Argentina those are bad places". Maybe Bernie has lost his memory like sleepy Joe? He praised the Soviet Union, then he pretended he never did, then he praised Venezuela and Argentina, then he pretended he never did, then he praised Europe ... Eu... OH MY GOD WE ARE NEXT WE ARE DONE FOR!
Oh this Bernie. I will make an idea with his finest quotes, I promise.
Here is a fine picture of Chavez holding hands with Michael Moore the american feminist andit white man pro free stuff filmmaker. Maduro is walking next to them.
Moore can't pretend he wasn't there😉
adribosch.wordpress.com
Short sell any country that promises free stuff.
Part 3 could be debt spending (stealing money from future generations) and part 4 government spending in general, regroups all 3 parts.
PETER SCHIFF VS JEFF SNIDER!THIS POST WILL HELP YOU UNDERSTAND THE COMPETING VIEW POINTS ON THE FUTURE PERFORMANCE OF THE U.S. DOLLAR RELATIVE TO OTHER CURRENCIES!
JEFF SNIDER'S POSITION ON THE DOLLAR:
THE U.S. DOLLAR IS STRONG BECAUSE OF A SHORTAGE OF DOLLARS WORLDWIDE TO CONDUCT GLOBAL TRADE IN, DUE TO THE FED'S INABILITY TO TRULY SATISFY DEMAND FOR U$Ds, AND WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN AS LONG AS FOREIGN CURRENCIES ARE SOLD TO BUY U$Ds.
PETER SCHIFF'S POSITION ON THE DOLLAR:
THE U.S. DOLLAR IS STRONG BECAUSE OF AN IRRATIONAL FAITH IN THE U.S. ECONOMY BY FOREIGNERS AND THE WILLINGNESS OF PRODUCTIVE ECONOMIES WORLDWIDE TO USE AND ACCEPT PRINTED U.S. DOLLARS IN GLOBAL TRADE, SUBSIDIZING THE CONSUMPTION AND TRADE DEFICIT OF THE U.S.
JEFF SNIDER'S POSITION ON U.S. TREASURIES:
THE U.S. GOVERNMENT BOND MARKET HAS BEEN BID HIGHER FOR DECADES AS U.S. TREASURIES PROVIDE THE SAFEST SOURCE OF U$Ds AND ARE THE MOST ACCEPTED FORM OF COLLATERAL FOR U$D LEVERAGE. IF U$D LIQUIDITY BECOMES CONSTRAINED ENOUGH WORLDWIDE, A SELL-OFF IN THE GLOBAL U.S. TREASURY MARKET CAN OCCUR AS THEY ARE SOLD FOR THE IMMEDIATELY NEEDED U$Ds, RAISING INTEREST RATES THROUGHOUT THE FINANCIAL SYSTEM AND THE ECONOMY.
PETER SCHFF'S POSITION ON U.S. TREASURIES:
THE FEDERAL RESERVE'S ARTIFICIAL SUPPRESSION OF INTEREST RATES SINCE THE 1990's THROUGH QE , COUPLED WITH THE USE OF U$Ds IN GLOBAL TRADE AND THE IRRATIONAL FAITH BY FOREIGNERS THAT THE FEDERAL RESERVE COULD SHRINK ITS BALANCE SHEET AND NORMALIZE INTEREST RATES HAS LED TO FOREIGN CAPITAL BIDDING UP THE PRICE OF U.S. GOVERNMENT BONDS. ONCE THAT FAITH IN THE DOLLAR'S SCARCITY IS DIMINISHED AND PRODUCTIVE ECONOMIES WORLDWIDE REFUSE TO HOLD/ACCEPT U$Ds AND SUBSIDIZE AMERICAN CONSUMPTION, U.S. TREASURIES WILL BE SOLD-OFF, RAISING INTEREST RATES THROUGHOUT THE FINANCIAL SYSTEM AND THE ECONOMY.
JEFF SNIDER'S VIEW ON THE FUTURE OF THE DOLLAR:
AS LONG AS THE FEDERAL RESERVE FAILS TO ADDRESS THE COMPLEX NEED FOR U$Ds AND AS LONG AS THE U$D REMAINS THE WORLD RESERVE CURRENCY, DEMAND WILL OUTPACE SUPPLY, AND THE U$D WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN AGAINST OTHER CURRENCIES UNTIL A CULMINATION OF DEFAULTS AND RESTRUCTURING RAVAGES THE COUNTRIES WITH THE MOST SEVERE LACK OF U$Ds, SENDING THE U$D SKY HIGH, LEADING TO AN ABANDONMENT OF THE U$D AS WORLD RESERVE CURRENCY.
PETER SCHIFF'S VIEW ON THE FUTURE OF THE DOLLAR:
ONCE PRODUCTIVE COUNTRIES WORLDWIDE BECOME DISILLUSIONED WITH THE AMOUNT OF EASILY CREATED U$Ds CHASING PRICES, THE APPETITE TO ACCEPT THOSE U$Ds IN EXCHANGE FOR GOODS/SERVICES AT CURRENT PRICES WILL DIMINISH, ALONG WITH THE DESIRE TO HOLD U$Ds, U.S. ASSETS AND U.S. TREASURIES. ONCE U$Ds AND U$Ds OBTAINED THROUGH THE SALE OF U.S. ASSETS AND U.S. TREASURIES ARE SOLD FOR OTHER CURRENCIES, THE U$D WILL WEAKEN SIGNIFICANTLY, FURTHER INCREASING THE PRICES OF IMPORTED GOODS/SERVICES, SENDING THE U$D INTO AN INFLATIONARY SPIRAL, MARKING ITS END AS THE WORLD RESERVE CURRENCY. IN THIS CASE, IF THE FEDERAL RESERVE MONETIZED THE SOLD U.S. TREASURIES TO PREVENT INTEREST RATES FROM RISING, THIS COULD EASILY LEAD TO HYPERINFLATION.
-THE NOTES ON THE CHART REFLECT KEY EVENTS THAT MARKED THE PEAK IN THE U$D's EXCHANGE RATE VS OTHER CURRENCIES
CAD BEAR MARKET I HAVE BEEN CALLING FOR OVER A YEAR!REGARDLESS OF THE DOLLAR'S STRENGTH AGAINST OTHER CURRENCIES, THE CANADIAN LOONIE WILL SHOW MASSIVE WEAKNESS!
SHORTING CAD WILL BE AN EXTREMELY PROFITABLE TRADE AS CANADA WILL BE THE FIRST WESTERN NATION TO EXPERIENCE HYPERINFLATION THIS DECADE!
THE CANADIAN ECONOMY IS EXTREMELY FRAGILE, INEFFICIENT AND LACKS PRODUCTIVE DIVERSITY! NOT TO MENTION FASCIST AS HELL!
THE BEST GAGE FOR THE GLOBAL ECONOMY!THE MISALLOCATION OF RESOURCES IS SEVERELY HAMPERING THE GLOBAL ECONOMY!
THE INFLATION-ADJUSTED DEMAND FOR OIL IS COLLAPSING!
THE CREATION OF FIAT CURRENCY IS WHAT SUPPORTS THE PRICE OF OIL, NOT FREE-MARKET DEMAND!
BUT WHEN IT BEGINS TO RISE, INSTEAD OF SIGNALLING A RECOVERY, ALL HELL WILL BREAK LOOSE!