SOFI boxes strategy in action! feat. volume profileHi everyone!
Today we are analyzing NASDAQ:SOFI price movement.
As always, I am using my boxes strategy based on supply and demand.
BUT
In addition, I used volume profile for detailed context here.
A few words on volume profile:
It puts trade volume on vertical axes. So instead of volume per point in time metric, we observe volume per point in price . This way we can see at which price point the highest amount of volume had occured.
Let's implement it on our NASDAQ:SOFI chart.
Since February 2021 the highest volume has occured in 15.1 - 15.8 price range.
Red horizontal line at 15.45 is called Point of Control (POC). It is a highest volume node that has seen the most volume. Thus, that is a significant level of support/resistence.
Believe it or not, but I drew trendlines, boxes and indicated levels first. Only then I added Volume Profile starting from February, and its POC at 15.5 matched one of my box levels.
What does it tell us?
Two indicators confirm that 15.5 is a significant level.
We are at 19.3 now in a downward long-term trend near its top.
Plan:
Look for a return to 15.5 zone in order to start a position.
Probably better to open a position earlier at 16 to front-run algos.
If decent volume at 18 level occurs and it holds, start a position there.
Please let me know if this was helpful and if you want to see more analysis with volume profile.
Trade wisely and good luck!
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Disclaimer!!!
This is not financial advise.
Sofi
SOFI daily ChartSofi has been following the pitchfork and fib retracement well and has ended today in a hammer. If this trend continues, watch the intersection of the .65/.618 fibs and the next pitchfork resistance as PT.
Bank charter information is expected to come out end of this month and the next earnings call is not far away either.
SOFI finally getting some loveSOFI is an absolute beast that has been undervalued for too long. Analysts coming out with price targets now are a joke. Where were you when this was at $14? Anyway, technicals are looking strong, broke through resistance, massive bullish candles, great volume.$19.78 is the next level to watch. It's lights out if we break above $20.50.
Rolling (IRA): SOFI October 15th 20 to November 17.5 Short Calls... for a 1.02/contract credit.
Comments: With only .13 left in the 20's, rolling the short call aspect of my covered calls down to the November 17.5's for a 1.02/contract credit, with a resulting cost basis of 15.76 (See Post Below) - 1.02 or 14.74/share and a max profit potential of the short call strikes (17.5) minus 14.74 or ($276) per contract.
SOFI - Good Long term Stock HereWeekly chart trading within symmetrical triangle and wave D. Weekly bullish engulfing showing continuation into next week. I like initiating a 1/5 position here with a max 5% allocation.
Entry 1: $17.64 (1/5th position of the 5% allocation)
Entry 2: $15.71 (adding another 1/5th position of the 5% allocation) - 2/5 invested
Entry 3: 14.62 (adding another 1/5th position of the 5% allocation) - 3/5 invested
PT: $40.35 - $44.93 for Wave 3 as long as wave 2 low is not breached ($13.14)
SL: $10
SOFI - Long Period of Consolidation - Breakout Imminent sofi
SOFI - a lot of momentum in the business with a bank charter around the corner, new president, football stadium, and more. This stock looks ready for a significant move to the upside. I could potentially see one wave lower to the green demand box, but with the 4hr divergence, decided to go ahead and jump in. Long shares of SOFI.
Target $40+
Closing (IRA): SOFI September 17th 15 Short Put... for .53/contract debit.
Comments: A little bit of Plain Jane profit taking ... . Put this on for 1.70 credit/contract (See Post Below). 1.70 - .53 = 1.17 ($117) profit per contract with 14 days to go. I've still got October 15th 20 covered calls and October 15th 15 short puts on.
$SOFISoFi Technologies has received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement over the last few months, increasing to US$23.89 at one point, and dropping to the lows of US$13.75
It seems Sofi Technologies has be gaining as a platform, and members seem to be growing.
The further development of their app and platform should increase user satisfaction and create networking benefits.
SoFi Technologies is just starting its journey and will have a lot to prove before it can become what it sees itself as - an automated banking and financial service platform.
The last quarter showed some encouraging growth, but should be taken with a grain of salt because it seems to be reflective of current trends for investing and financial distress because of COVID.
Analysts are estimating close to $2b in revenue and a break in profitability after 2023. However, the current market cap for SoFi is US$11.8b, which is reflective of the very long term potential of the company.
It may be too early to assess if the company can actually reach that potential, and the current valuation seems a bit speculative.
But overall, I think this company has an incredible future ahead.
When we move to the technical side of things
SoFi Technologies has been a little everywhere but it’s currently sitting on strong support on the higher timeframe and should be a level to watch out for.
A break of support could see this stock tumble but if it continues to hold, we could see Sofi move towards the $16 level to fill the gap.
Keep this on your watchlist.
SOFI correction looks to be nearing completionA brief Elliott Wave analysis of SOFI shows a 5-3-5 corrective structure that appears to be complete or almost complete. With market weakness in the overall indicies, it's possible this sees a little more downside, perhaps in an ending diagonal structure (falling wedge), that would ultimately resolve to the upside. Alternatively, the 13.50 print from 8/17 was the low, and we should see higher prices from here.
Opening: SOFI October 15th 15 Short Put... for a 1.76 credit.
Comments: Adding to my relatively small SOFI position here on weakness as a little bit of an engagement trade while I wait for a higher volatility environment in the broad market or exchange-traded funds.
My cost basis in any shares I may get assigned is the strike price (15.00) minus the credit received (1.76) or 13.24. The whole position is 2 x October 15th 20 covered calls, September 17th 15 short put, and (now) October 15th 15 short put. As with my September 17th 15, I'll run this to expiry or approaching worthless and -- if assigned shares -- will proceed to "wheel" it, selling calls against at the strike at which I originally sold my put. I'm comfortable with leaving these on through a vacation since they're kind of a "what happens happens" trade.
Rolling: SOFI September 17th 20 Covered Calls to October... for a .41/contract credit.
Notes: Rolling my covered calls from September to October here with a resulting cost basis of 16.17 (See Post Below) - .42 or 15.76/share. I wanted to do this before more volatility pisses out post-earnings announcement. Still have the September 17th 15 short put on, which I'm intending to run to expiry, since this is a relatively small position and am fine with picking up additional shares if that happens.
$PBTS Squeeze$PBTS squeeze inbound, heavily shorted. Check charts and short interest and shares available
SOFI So Good?After plotting the Fib retracement using January's low as the anchor, some really interesting levels started to present themselves...mainly the 786 fib line. Each time it has broken down and tested it, SOFI bounced shortly after. Now that volume is beginning to gain ground, this could get interesting. On top of that you can see that the 618 fib line has also been a technical resistance level this year with SOFI getting rejected more times than it has managed to break and hold above it. Aside from the Social Sentiment being a factor, fintech as a whole has gotten play this year. That's not only for COVID helping advance "social distancing" stocks but also the fact that people just don't want to be bothered by going to a bank if they can do things virtually.
"In the second quarter of this year, the U.S. GDP shot up by around 6.5%, indicating that expansion is well underway following the onset of the pandemic. Right now we have to consider the effects of the Delta variant on a reopening economy. In line with this, investors should understand what this means for stocks across the board. With the tech industry, investors remain bullish on the potential impact of the pandemic. As we saw early on in the course of Covid, many tech stocks were able to benefit greatly. The increased need for new tech products and better work-from-home/educate-from-home offerings created a highly bullish environment for the tech industry."
Quote Source & Read More: 3 Tech Penny Stocks To Watch In August 2021
SOFI - New long term - breakout!Hi,
SOFI Technologies about to break up. All technical indicators suggest upwards movement as highlighted on the chart.
I will monitor closely but massive opportunity to buy now or wait for a little bit more weakness.
Targets as per Chart
Idea only.
Open for discussion right here or in private.
Let me know what you think .
Regards
KZ
Opening (IRA): SOFI September 17th 15 Short Put... for a 1.70 credit.
Notes: I already have a two lot of covered calls on, but want to take advantage of high implied volatility here to potentially add at support. As usual, I'm fine with taking on additional shares, particular where the cost basis would be 15 - 1.70 or 13.30/share. 12.78% ROC at max as a function of notional risk.