Study of Dark Pool Buy Zones: CRWDNASDAQ:CRWD reports out of season, June 4th. When outlined to eliminate the extreme price action, there is a clear sideways trend. This is a Dark Pool Buy Zone. When the stock moves outside of that zone, it recovers quickly back into the zone.
The huge Black candle was a gap up by HFTs on the last earnings report, followed by pros taking profits. Along with a lack of accumulation at that level, the stock whipsawed back down. The black candles thereafter were smaller funds selling on each bounce. Notice the tiny white candles that follow the black candles (see the orange arrows), patterns that reveal controlled, incremental buying against the selling.
This is a longer sideways trend with stronger support and more definition of the buy zone despite heavy interference from small funds selling in the past couple of months.
Softwarestocks
PLTR LONG on a 0.5 Fib PullbackPLTR services DOD and military contractors which is a growth industry given current geopolitical
backdrops. I see this as an opportune time to buy the dip which is a healthy correction from
a recent trend up. The idea is illustrated on this 120 minute chart with targets and stop loss.
ORCL a preearnings SHORT TRADEORCL rose from its prior earnings which were not impressive. On the 180 minute chart,
price ascended to the second upper anchored VWAP band and dropped to the mean VWAP
band line in a standard Fibonacci retracement. Finally it turned upside and ascended to the
first anchored VWAP line. The POC line of the immediate volume profile of the past two
months is 113.9 and price is currently below it. RSI lines are near the 50 line and the green
faster line is below the red slower line. The predictive modeling algo shows a forecasted
regression line moving down on the approach to the earnings report after market close on
March 11th. My target on this short trade is 101 being the pivot low at the prior earnings of
December. This represents 10% downside. Accordingly, this is a one to three day trade covering
the earnings period and after seeking 10% in quick profit. The stop loss is set at 114 above the
near term POC line.
NOW is a buy after a down tech stock day LONGNOW is on 15 minute chart with a volume profile overlaid and relative volume and volatility
indicators below the chart. NOW had a good earnings beat late January. It is halfway to the
next earnings. I think right now software stocks are hotter than hardware/ networking stocks.
NOW got dragged down by technology headwinds into its support and the fall got rejected
by buyers near to the close of the regular market hours. The lower VWAP bands are confluent
with the support zone and confirm deep oversold and undervalued stock price.
I believe this is excellent for a long trade perhaps lasting until the run-up before earnings is
6-7 weeks through the buy of a small lot of shares or a call option expiring at the May or June
monthly in the range of $750 ( OTM). This will complement existing positions in CRM
CRWD and PLTR.
CRWD VWAP bounce earnings coming LONGCRWD reports on March 4th in the meanwhile in it is shown here on a 15 minute chart with
a Bollinger Band overlay. Price has trended from the upper bands down through the middle line
into the lower inner and outer bands where a reversal took place at the level of the mean
anchored VWAP band where the price fall was rejected with good support and wick touches
on the lower time frames. I see this as a set up for a new trend up in the run to earnings.
I will take a long trade of shares and call options. My easy target is the upper BB
bands but expect more than that in the upcoming week.