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SOL

SOLUSD: Ready to breakout parabolically.Solana just turned bullish on its 1D timeframe (RSI = 58.732, MACD = 1.506, ADX = 22.317) but remains neutral on the 1W (RSI = 51.934, MACD = 6.162, ADX = 25.249) which underlines its undervalued nature. Since the August low, the price has held the 1W MA50, cementing it as Support and appears to be ready for a breakout. This breakout can be a parabolic one, same as the one that emerged on December 21 2020. This was the bullish wave of SOL's historic Channel Up pattern and it came when the 1W RSI rebounded on the pressure zone. This is exactly where the price sits today. Even though that would catapult its market cap and high adoption is needed behind it (along with other fundamental catalysts), technically if those conditions emerge, we can see Solana making a new HH on its Channel Up, TP = 5,000. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CRYPTO:SOLUSDLong
by InvestingScope
2
9/23 Crypto Faces Gloomy October.Overview: The AMEX:SPY closed higher last week, but Thursday’s candlestick pattern resembles a bearish abandoned baby. What’s more concerning is the weekly chart showing a bearish MACD divergence—while the price keeps hitting all-time highs, both the MACD and signal lines are trending lower. Has this divergence played out already, as seen in the first week of August, or is it still ahead of us? You may have noticed that we only have two more rate cuts left for the year. Why not three, with three months remaining? The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meets only eight times a year. There’s no meeting in October to give time for economic analysis and to avoid overreacting to short-term fluctuations. Conveniently (for bears), September and October are typically weak months for markets. Remember, FTX collapsed in November 2022, bottoming out the crypto market in November-December. The next FOMC rate cut is expected on November 7th, leaving BINANCE:BTCUSD bulls on their own for the next 44 days. However, this cut is not guaranteed. If inflation remains high or increases, the cut could be postponed. Rate cuts are a quantitative easing tool used to support a slowing economy—not one that’s running at full speed. This Friday, the FED will release the PCE index, which could influence their decision. The CME FedWatch Tool currently shows a 55.2% chance of a one-basis-point cut and a 44.8% chance of a two-basis-point cut. In recent letters, we suggested a price increase in late September. Now might be the time to take some profits and wait to see if we can break resistance and establish a new bull trend, or if this is the peak before a downturn. Weekly: BTC closed the week with a strong green candle, slightly above the Bollinger Band Moving Average (BB MA) but still below the highs of late August. The trend remains bearish. Daily: We’re overdue for a correction back to the BB MA, with targets at $61.4k and $60k. The price is hovering around the major resistance level of GETTEX:64K , which is also a key monthly level. The last three days have formed three consecutive dojis, indicating market indecision after 15 days of bullish momentum. Breaking this resistance without first testing the $61.4k support is unlikely. 4-Hour: Weekend price action shows BTC reaching its peak between Thursday and Friday night, pulling back by 2.6% before U.S. bulls prevented further losses. Despite pushing higher on Sunday, Asian bears applied pressure again. Bearish divergence between the price peaks and the MACD-signal line suggests a potential downturn. 1-Hour: At 10:00 a.m. NYC time, BTC posted a big green candle, supported by strong U.S. buying. However, since Monday midnight, the price has been dropping, while the Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) line remains green and positive. This indicates that despite strong buying pressure, hidden sell orders are absorbing the demand, suggesting: Absorption by Sellers: Large sell orders are preventing the price from moving up. Distribution Phase: Larger market participants may be offloading positions while smaller traders buy, creating an illusion of demand. Potential Reversal: This could signal a potential reversal if the selling pressure eases. Altcoins Relative to BTC: ETH has outperformed BTC, along with NEAR, TAO, APT, AR, RNDR, and AAVE. SUI, BNB, and FTM showed weaker pumps, while SOL appeared the weakest. Bull Case: If the Fed’s two-basis-point cut doesn’t lead to higher inflation and jobless claims continue to rise, it could boost speculative assets. Other central banks around the world may follow suit, increasing global M2 money supply. Bear Case: Until the next Fed rate cut, there’s little to support BTC’s current price against bearish pressure. Fear and Greed Index: Currently at 50.64—neutral sentiment. Overall, the market remains in a delicate balance, while weekly trend is still bearish.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by EvgenCapital
Alikze »» DOT | Ascending channel - 8H🔍 Technical analysis: Ascending channel - 8H - It is moving in an ascending channel in the 8H time frame. - It has been in demand recently after hitting the bottom of the channel again. - According to the current form and structure, this upward movement can touch the targets specified in the chart with the support of the green box range. - In the first step, the first target will be the middle of the 4.68 channel, after which it can continue its growth up to the first supply area. - In addition, in the case of breaking and stabilizing above the middle of the channel, it will have the ability to grow up to the ceiling of the channel and the range of the second supply. 🛑 The most important resistance: ~ 4.68 💎 Alternative scenario: If the green box and the bottom of the channel are broken, the bullish scenario will be invalidated and the correction can continue until the origin of the movement. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support. Best Regards,❤️ Alikze. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« BINANCE:DOTUSDT
Long
by alikze
9/21 SP500 Retraces from ATH; Crypto Market Faces Weekend RisksOverview: The VANTAGE:SP500 closed slightly lower yesterday, printing a red candle after reaching an all-time high. The NASDAQ:QQQ didn’t show much divergence and failed to close above its August 22nd high. ETF flows indicate another day of retail investors buying BINANCE:BTCUSDT , while BlackRock remained inactive. No buying of ETH ETFs either. Weekly: Bitcoin’s price didn’t move much and stayed in the same range on the chart. It continues to hover around the GETTEX:64K weekly resistance level, but so far, has been unable to break above it. Interestingly, this price rejection at GETTEX:64K mirrors a similar pattern observed on August 25th. Unlike the previous rejection where wicks extended above the resistance, this current attempt hasn't even breached the level. With a solid green week behind us, there’s a high probability of a Sunday sell-off as traders might take profits ahead of the weekend. Daily: The daily chart shows a clear rejection from the GETTEX:64K resistance level. If this marks the local top, it will be a lower high compared to August 25th, indicating potential weakness in the bullish trend. The weekend could see some selling pressure as traders lock in gains. 4-Hour: RSI has been in the overbought zone and is now cooling off, but no MACD divergences are indicating a trend reversal at this point. The trend remains upward, but caution is advised. 1-Hour: No visible divergences in either RSI or MACD, suggesting no immediate signs of a trend reversal. Altcoins Relative to BTC: No significant divergences were observed in the altcoin market relative to BTC. However, some coins are showing strong performances, like SUI and APT. Bear case: We've reached a peek, and from now its bear territory. Fear and greed index : 49.76 and started to flatten out the curve. Prediction : Sell off on weekend. Opportunities: TAO broke out of its resistance level. Correction down to $361 level is expected.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by EvgenCapital
9/20 SP500 Hits New ATH While QQQ Lags Behind by 4.2%Overview: The SP500 finally broke its all-time high (ATH), despite a red candle on Wednesday. Meanwhile, QQQ still has another 4.2% to go before reaching its record. Fidelity and Ark were busy accumulating their average amounts of BTC yesterday, while Grayscale and BlackRock remained on the sidelines. Only a modest $5.2 million went into ETH from BlackRock, suggesting they’re cautiously dollar-cost averaging into their preferred assets. TA Weekly: Congratulations, Bulls! The $61.4k level was successfully breached, but the price faced resistance at the next level of $64k. It’s impressive to see how the price reacts to the weekly levels shown on our charts. Since the rate cut, Bitcoin has gained up to +6.60%, currently holding at +4.30%. Although these are modest numbers for crypto, they’re certainly better than a downturn. The weekly chart shows a wick above the Bollinger Band MA, but the current closing price sits exactly at the BB MA of $62.6k, keeping the trend bearish. Daily: After reaching $63.8k yesterday, BTC is now retracing, likely aiming to establish new support at $61.4k. 4-Hour: RSI is overbought at 71.55 and has already begun to correct, as evidenced by the last three red candles. 1-Hour: MACD shows a bearish divergence. We expect BTC to dip to $61.4k and form a new support level. Altcoins vs. BTC: TAO and SUI are leading the gains, with SUI reaching an all-time high in volume, signaling potential insider buying. ETH is up 3.79%, SOL up 6.3%, and TAO up 10%. Bull Case: The rate cut has boosted risky assets, but we need to ensure this isn't just a short-term rally and that BTC can hold the support level. Bear Case: This could be a temporary pump. If the U.S. economy remains strong, the Fed may be hesitant to implement additional rate cuts. Fear and Greed Index: The index is at 48.06, finally out of the Fear territory. Overall, the market remains cautiously optimistic, but staying vigilant is key.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by EvgenCapital
Alikze »» ALGO | Ascending corner pattern🔍 Technical analysis: Ascending corner pattern - It is moving in a downward channel in the daily time frame. - It was mentioned in the analysis presented in the previous post, after the failure of the supply zone, it will have the ability to continue the trend until the next supply zone. But it faced selling pressure in the first supply area, which led to a correction of 0.23 from the previous wave. -Currently, it is in a corner pattern, which after the break of the channel, a pullback to the roof of the descending channel has been done. - Also, with the support of dynamic trigger, it can lead to escape from density. - Therefore, by leaving the density, it will have the ability to reach the specified goals and also the supply area. 💎 Alternative scenario: In addition, if it faces selling pressure in the area of ​​the high dynamic trigger and does not have a correction in the form of a soft landing, it can continue to correct up to the range of 0.097 with the failure of the low dynamic trigger. 💎 Note: If Fibo 0.23 is not maintained and below the stabilization zone, the bullish scenario will be invalidated and should be reviewed and updated. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support. Best Regards,❤️ Alikze. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« BINANCE:ALGOUSDT
Long
by alikze
9/18 Weak pump on Jerome's underpromise and overdelivery.Overview: Thank you, mighty Lord Jerome, for the pump! The Fed under-promised but over-delivered with a full 2 basis point rate cut. Looking at the 15-minute BINANCE:BTCUSD chart, when the decision was announced, the price spiked by just 1.7% before correcting. However, at 7 a.m. Shanghai time, four hours later, the price started to pump and has now broken the key weekly level of $61.4k. The question is, will the bulls defend this line and establish it as new support by bouncing from it? The first news of a possible September rate cut came out in late June. On June 21st, the Financial Times reported, "Fed on course for two cuts in 2024 starting in September" ( link ). At that time, Bitcoin was still correcting from its $72k peak. Fast forward two weeks, and on July 16th, CNBC reported that traders were pricing in a 100% chance of a September cut ( link ). Interestingly, BTC had reached its bottom four days before this news and then started its second-largest bull run wave. Yesterday, the CME FedWatch Tool spiked to indicate a 65% chance of a 0.50% rate cut, compared to just 10% in early August. From now on, we’ll be giving more weight to this indicator. Last Friday, on 9/13, we predicted, "With this week’s meteoric growth, Monday and Tuesday are expected to trade flat or slightly negative due to profit-taking before the volatility." Between Friday evening and Monday evening, BTC corrected by 4.9%. Technical Analysis: W: We’ve passed the important weekly level of $61.4k and need to either bounce from it or close the week above this level. The BB MA sits at $62.5k, so the trend remains bearish until that level is reached. This overlaps with the liquidation heatmap, which shows $22 million in liquidity built up. Indicators suggest we will reach that level. D: Since yesterday, we’ve confirmed a bullish trend after rebounding from $58.2k. RSI hasn’t hit the overbought level yet, and the MACD has been climbing since the sell-off on September 7th. Unfortunately, the volume hasn’t increased, even with this bullish macro event. Both the spot and futures markets are showing a lack of enthusiasm, with Open Interest falling since Friday’s high. 4h: As we mentioned yesterday, Jerome doesn’t care about bearish divergences. The current pump is defying technical analysis, which reminds us to avoid trading around major events like Fed meetings or earnings reports. 1h: RSI is hitting the overbought region for the second time in 36 hours—not a good sign. Altcoins vs. BTC: Weak reactions from ETH and SOL, but NEAR, SUI, and FTM are rocketing higher. Bull Case: Retail traders might see BTC printing lower highs and lower lows, indicating a bearish trend. Influencers are already preparing content about the next level being $44k and advising on how to stay solvent in a bear market. Remember the saying: “Be greedy when others are fearful.” Bear Case: The economy may not be doing as well as whales think. If it becomes clear that the rate cuts aren’t working, whales could start dumping, driving the price toward $44k. Fear and Greed Index: We’re at 40.44, officially out of Fear territory. Prediction: Expect the pump to continue for the rest of the week.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by EvgenCapital
9/17 Expectation of two bases points cut increased to 65%. Overview: The VANTAGE:SP500 closed higher despite forming a red daily candle, signaling potential intraday weakness or selling pressure, but the broader trend remains positive since the overall price closed higher than the previous day. This pattern suggests buyers were active, but sellers took control after the market opened, creating a bearish candle even with upward movement. Similarly, the NASDAQ:QQQ didn’t break previous highs but printed a similar candle. While BlackRock and Grayscale stayed on the sidelines, all other major funds loaded up on BINANCE:BTCUSD , pushing the day’s total to $186.8 million, 84% higher than the average BTC ETF volume of $102.3 million. Ethereum ( BINANCE:ETHUSD ) continues to struggle, with Grayscale selling ETH even on today’s green market day. Retail sales rose again, showing that the U.S. economy remains on solid ground, keeping recession fears at bay. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the number of traders expecting a 0.50% rate cut has risen to 65%, compared to 50% at the end of last week and just 10% in early August. Technical Analysis: W: Despite recent gains, BTC remains in bearish territory, trading below the BB MA. Price touched the $61.4k weekly level during the Asian session but retraced. A rate cut could be a positive event, keeping BTC in its current range without major sell-offs. Some altcoins may see 10-20% gains. D: BTC held the $58.4k level and bounced, signaling possible growth after the rate cut. 4h: BTC briefly hit overbought RSI at the $61.4k resistance level but was rejected. MACD shows a bearish divergence, but this may be overshadowed by the upcoming rate cut. 1h: Overbought RSI is cooling off now. Altcoins vs. BTC: Another day of divergence among altcoins. BTC grew by 3.6%, while ETH followed with 2%. SOL printed a doji candle, but NEAR outperformed with a 6.4% gain, bouncing off its support. SUI and TAO saw strong gains of 12.2%. Bull Case: The lack of a large sell-off by whales suggests confidence heading into the rate cut. BTC has been climbing since September 6th, and if the rate cut injects liquidity into the markets, some of that money may flow into risky assets like crypto. A postponement of recession fears could also lead to higher interest rates for longer, but this means more disposable income available for speculative investments. Bear Case: Despite the rate cut, the economy is slowing down, and a 0.50% rate cut represents only a 10% decrease in the current rate. Fear and Greed Index: The index rose slightly to 37.91, reflecting cautious optimism ahead of the rate cut. Prediction: Short-term bullish for BTC, but expect range-bound movement or a drop in October.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by EvgenCapital
Solana’s 2024 Cycle vs. 2020: Hidden Divergence Fractal In this chart, we’re comparing Solana’s 2024 cycle to its 2020 cycle, with a focus on hidden bullish divergences in the RSI and similar bar structures. Both cycles are displaying key similarities in terms of duration, volume, and momentum shifts, which suggest that SOL might be gearing up for another strong rally. 2024 Cycle (Left): Hidden Bullish Divergence: The current cycle shows a clear hidden bullish divergence in the RSI, which is often a sign of continuation in the prevailing trend, in this case, a long-term uptrend. This divergence is forming over a 273-bar period (~273 days), very similar to what we saw in 2020. Volume Analysis: The volume during this consolidation phase is 81.725M, suggesting accumulation is happening despite the price consolidating in a range. Compare this to the 2020 cycle’s lower volume during the same period, and it becomes clear that there’s substantial interest in Solana during this phase. 46-bar Correction: The recent 46-bar correction (~46 days) aligns almost perfectly with the 2020 fractal, indicating a possible repeat of the pattern. 2020 Cycle (Right): Fractal Comparison: The 2020 cycle, also showing a hidden bullish divergence over a 273-day period, led to a significant rally. After a similar 46-bar correction, SOL saw a major move upward, ultimately breaking through resistance levels. The hidden divergence on the RSI was the key signal of the bullish continuation that followed. Volume: The volume during this phase in 2020 was notably lower than the 2024 cycle, reinforcing the idea that more liquidity and interest is now present, which could amplify the move when the breakout occurs. Key Takeaways: Hidden Bullish Divergence: Both cycles have strong hidden bullish divergences, which historically signal continuation. In this case, that would point to a resumption of the uptrend. Fractal Consistency: The near-identical bar counts and price structures suggest that the 2024 cycle could follow a similar path to 2020. A breakout from this consolidation could take SOL to new highs if the fractal pattern continues to play out. Volume: The higher volume in 2024 compared to 2020 supports a stronger potential breakout. Traders should keep an eye on the RSI, volume, and any price action around key support and resistance zones, as Solana may be setting up for a move similar to its explosive 2020 rally.
BINANCE:SOLUSDLong
by Blockbullder
2
SUI/USDT 1D SUI has been one of the better performing L1's and altcoins in general in the last 6 months that BTC has been chopping/ranging. There are a few key points on the SUI chart that catch my eye: - 1D 200EMA is now flipped bullish with a strong reaction after flipping the level, this shows buyers are confident in the project and happier to buy at higher levels, instead of waiting for a pullback for example. - Clear Higher high and higher low structure indicating a bullish trend on the daily. Invalidations are more obvious when a structure like this is broken. - Plenty of room to grow going into Q4, the range is clearly mapped out with key Orderblock levels that will more than likely be resistance levels and so they are the targets to take profits, hedge or de-risk while assessing where SUI will go. With this being SUI's first Bullrun history shows the newer projects do better off in terms of ROI that's if they survive, from what we have seen so far this cycle I believe SUI will be a strong project going forward.
by ProR35
9/16 S&P 500 on the Rise: Awaiting Wednesday's Rate DecisionOverview: The VANTAGE:SP500 closed higher, challenging its all-time high for the third time this month. At least it's not declining like it typically does in other Septembers. However, the NASDAQ:QQQ is stalling, showing a lower high but also forming a higher low. Both the SP500 and QQQ have seen diminishing volume over the last three days as everyone awaits the Fed’s rate cut decision on Wednesday. Meanwhile, BlackRock clients made a modest purchase of $15.8 million worth of BINANCE:BTCUSD , ending an 11-day stretch of no activity. Considering their average BTC purchase is $122 million, this can be rounded off to negligible. Total BTC flow across all ETFs was $12 million, far below the average of $101 million. The Empire State Manufacturing Survey revealed a growing general business conditions index, which rose by sixteen points to 11.5, turning positive for the first time in 2024. This signals increasing new orders and shipments, while delivery times and supply availability remained steady, and inventories leveled off. This is not ideal for those hoping for a two-basis-point rate cut. Technical Analysis: W: Holding strong at the $58.4k weekly level, which is the point of control for July, August, and half of September. This is a very significant support level. D: Holding the Bollinger Band moving average (BB MA), which, combined with the weekly point of control (POC), is crucial to maintain the short-term bullish trend. 4h & 1h: Both timeframes are holding the weekly level firmly. Alts Relative to BTC: No significant divergence was observed over the weekend or Monday. Previous divergence can be seen when BTC broke the $58.4k weekly level on September 13th. However, both BINANCE:ETHUSD and BINANCE:SOLUSD remain below levels they had broken on September 9th. Bull Case: If the weekly level holds, the price could bounce off support on Tuesday and rally higher in anticipation of lower interest rates. Bear Case: A continued lack of appetite for risky assets may lead to further sell-offs. Fear and Greed Index: Currently at 34.15. While BTC holds its critical weekly price level, the Fear and Greed Index continues to decline, creating a divergence. Prediction: Not enough clear signals for a definite prediction. Opportunities: Any technical analysis signals may be invalidated by Wednesday’s price action. Mistakes: BINANCE:FTMUSDT surged, breaking through its resistance and gaining 6.36%, while most other altcoins remained flat.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by EvgenCapital
9/15 Weeks Overview. Rate Cut Volatility or Bullish Opportunity?Overview: The VANTAGE:SP500 closed the second week of September with a strong green candle, completely retracing the previous week's red candle. The precision of this price action is impressive: the 1st week's open was at 5623, and the 2nd week's close was at 5626. The 1st week's close was at 5408, and the 2nd week's low was 5406. So, is this a bearish or bullish signal? Neither—it's volatility. There's uncertainty around whether we're headed for a recession or a soft landing. Will the Fed’s rate cut ignite a bull run or crash the market? One factor contributing to this week’s positive performance is favorable macroeconomic data, such as the CPI and PPI, which came in lower than expected and weren't revised down multiple times. Next week, all eyes will be on the Fed's interest rate decision, scheduled for Wednesday at 2 PM EST. This announcement will overshadow other key macro data, including US retail sales (trending up), building permits (trending down), and the NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (trending upward since January 2024). Current expectations are split, with a 48% chance of a 0.25% rate cut and a 52% chance of a 0.50% cut. The expectation of a two-basis-point cut has doubled in just a month. If the odds were skewed more heavily (90/10), the market could avoid volatility as the move would be priced in. However, in the current scenario, even a 0.25% rate cut could trigger a sell-off. Historical Context for Rate Cuts and Risky Assets: Looking back at how NASDAQ:QQQ performed after past rate cuts provides valuable insight: • July 31, 2019 to April 2020: Rates dropped from 2.40% to 0.05%. In the next three trading days, QQQ dropped 6%. However, it reached a new all-time high in 86 days and gained 22% in 202 days. This was supported by a strong labor market, with unemployment falling for eight consecutive years. The temporary decline was due to COVID shutdowns. • September 18, 2007 to December 2008: Rates fell from 5.25% to 0.15%. QQQ soared 1.9% on the day of the cut and gained 12.2% over the next 42 days. However, the Subprime Mortgage Crisis ensued, leading to a 52% drop in 380 days. The labor market was weak, with unemployment rising for four months before the cut. • January 3, 2001 to July 2003: Rates declined from 6.5% to 1%. This marked the collapse of the Dot-com bubble. QQQ had already corrected by 56% over 280 days. While it rallied 32% in the next 21 days, the downtrend resumed, dropping another 61.4% over the next 645 days. Unemployment had bottomed eight months before and started rising one month before the cut. More weight should be given to the 2007 scenario, as the current labor market resembles both 2007 and 2001. The 2001 rate cut holds less relevance since QQQ tracks tech stocks, which were uniquely impacted during the Dot-com bubble. Strategic Outlook: Based on historical data, one could allow the market correction to finish on Monday or Tuesday, then take a long position on your favorite altcoin for 1–2 weeks—but no longer than that. In terms of ETF flows, historically, if weekend was red, Monday opens with more sell off driven by ETFs. BTC Timeframes: W: Needs to stay above $58.4 to maintain short-term bullishness. However, given the upcoming volatility, the chances are slim. D: As of Sunday evening, whales started selling off, likely anticipating next week’s volatility. As mentioned in Friday's forecast, "Short-term correction to $58.4, then volatility during the rate cut week." The current correction from Friday’s highs is 3.5%. 4h: The sell-off began at 4 PM EST and has now corrected to the weekly level of $58.4. 1h: The price has just reached the weekly level, and RSI is oversold, presenting a short-term bullish opportunity back to the $59.8 level. Altcoins Relative to BTC: The divergence continues, with altcoins correcting more than BINANCE:BTCUSD . While BTC has corrected 3.5%, BINANCE:ETHUSD is down 6.7%, and BINANCE:SOLUSDT is down 6.4%. Bull Case: We are in a 2019-like scenario, where speculative assets rise for several months after a rate cut. Bear Case: We are in a 2007-like scenario, where the labor market continues to weaken, corporate revenues shrink, and the recession plays out over a couple of years. Fear and Greed Index: Currently at 35.64 and trending down. As long as the index remains below 40, it's a good time to start dollar-cost averaging into top altcoins like ETH, SOL, BINANCE:NEARUSDT , BINANCE:BNBUSDT , and BINANCE:AAVEUSDT . Prediction: We’ve already corrected to a relatively strong weekly level. The only prediction that can be made is a short-term bounce, followed by more volatility. Opportunities: BINANCE:FTMUSDT has reached a higher price on the 4-hour chart, but its RSI and MACD are trending down, signaling a bearish divergence. This could be invalidated by a sudden spike in BTC.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by EvgenCapital
FET/USDT 15mNYSE:FET is one of the leading AI projects in the crypto space, earlier this year it saw a meteoric rise in price up to $3.5. Since then price has dropped around 80% to a local low of $0.70, now recently price has grown and broken the daily downtrend rising to a local high of $1.44 +105% from the lows creating a dilemma for traders... From previous price action we know that NYSE:FET is capable of huge moves, it's a fundamentally sound project with a strong narrative behind it. Finding a good entry to buy FET if sidelined or add to a position if already positioned can be tricky so these are my thoughts: - HTF FET has broken the daily downtrend is is looking to reverse. Altcoins have been at the mercy of Bitcoin so it requires BTC to behave too. After an -80% correction a lot of the downside risk has already played out. - LTF we have seen a strong recovery, if you has bought local lows at $0.70 you would have outperformed the entire drawdown of the last 6 months (assuming equal position size). So the feeling of FOMO can start to creep in at these levels. - The chart shows potential points of entry on the LTF, obviously we may continue to drawdown, it's always a possibility but we have seen signs of strength and therefore opportunities to go LONG. - Local range low @ $1.273 is the option with the best return out of the 3. Clearly strong support that was the base for the last local rally. - Current level is an interesting one because it incorporates a LTF diagonal resistance trendline that would be bullish if broken. This combined with a range support line (0.25) could be a good option for a LTF entry. - The final option is the 0.5/ Midpoint entry. This would mean flipping the 15m 200EMA bullish and reclaiming the midpoint making it the safest of the 3 entries but least rewarding, offering +6% return instead of 9% & 13% respectively. With all this in consideration, NYSE:FET is one of the better altcoin options in the markets current state. IMO we still don't have a clear market direction just yet and so being nimble with positions is a must, but it does feel like the worst is over and if that is the case then a position in FET could be positive for a portfolio.
by ProR35
1
Alikze »» BTC | Ascending diamond pattern🔍 Technical analysis: Ascending diamond pattern - According to the latest analysis presented , Bitcoin made a correction based on the predicted path to the second green box area of ​​the $50,000 correction range. - In the recent modification, a double zigzag has been formed. The second zigzag is a flat correction. According to the formation of an ascending diamond pattern in the green box area, after the failure of the dynamic trigger, the diamond pattern will be confirmed and it can expect to climb up to the specified areas according to the previous analysis. 💎 Note: Also, if a failure occurs from the bottom of the template, this template is invalid and must be checked and updated again. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support. Best Regards,❤️ Alikze. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Long
by alikze
2
SOL preppin again for a new round of PRICE GROWTH!SOL has been tamed town a bit after an aggressive rise to 126 -- and correcting healthily below 100. This bluechip coin has seen exponential growth from being a single digit priced asset. Based on recent 4h price data, the coin is preppin another round of price growth from the new higher base at 100. This level seems to be a strong psychological level, a major order block support where buyers are now converging. A retest of the previous peak at 126 and a possible strong break is highly possible. Spotted at 100. TAYOR.
Long
by JSAL
9
Solana Consolidates Near SupportSolana has faced mounting pressure throughout September 2024, as broader market dynamics continue to weigh on its performance. Much like other cryptocurrencies, SOL is reflecting the bearish sentiment that has characterized the market, with the price consolidating after a significant decline. This pattern of weakness aligns with broader trends in the crypto space, where macroeconomic factors such as liquidity outflows and general caution among institutional investors are impacting asset prices. Currently, Solana is trading around $128, slightly above its lower support level of $124, as seen on the Bollinger Bands. The consolidation near this lower band reflects persistent bearish pressure, with SOL hovering between crucial support and resistance zones. Bollinger Bands and Volatility: Solana is positioned near the lower Bollinger Band, indicating continued downside pressure. With a basis at $129.56 and upper resistance at $135.13, SOL remains in a tight consolidation range. The ATR (Average True Range) at 3.50 suggests moderate volatility, meaning sharp price movements are possible, but the current range-bound trading reflects caution. Momentum Indicators: The RSI (Relative Strength Index) is currently at 48.01, indicating neutral momentum. This level implies that while Solana isn't heavily oversold, it doesn't have significant buying momentum either, keeping the market in limbo. The MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence), with the MACD line at -1.66 and the signal line at -1.72, suggests a potential weakening of bearish momentum. Although still in negative territory, the positive histogram reading of 0.06 indicates that selling pressure may be tapering off. Parabolic SAR and Stochastic Oscillator: The Parabolic SAR sits above the price at $133.03, reinforcing the existing downtrend. Meanwhile, the Stochastic Oscillator, with %K at 57.77 and %D at 50.51, shows potential for a short-term upward movement, though it remains below overbought levels, signaling room for price gains. Short-Term Outlook Solana appears to be in a consolidation phase, trading between the support at $124 and resistance near $135. If SOL can break above the $135 resistance, it may signal the start of a recovery, particularly if volume and momentum support this move. However, failing to hold above the $127-level SMA could lead to further declines, testing support levels around $122. Market Sentiment and Broader Trends Sentiment around Solana remains cautious, particularly after $34.3 million in institutional outflows during August 2024, and this trend is likely to persist unless there are broader positive market shifts. The crypto market as a whole is contending with volatility, driven by global economic uncertainties and liquidity concerns. Solana’s price is particularly vulnerable due to its higher volatility compared to Bitcoin and Ethereum, reflecting the more speculative nature of its market position. In terms of upcoming catalysts, the Solana Breakpoint 2024 event could provide some momentum if positive developments or partnerships are announced. Until then, the market is likely to remain in a wait-and-see mode, with key levels to watch being $124 for support and $135 for resistance. Conclusion Solana is reflecting broader market uncertainty, consolidating around key technical levels with mixed indicators. The $124-level acts as strong support, and a breakdown below could lead to further downside. Conversely, clearing $135 would be a bullish signal, potentially leading to a recovery. However, given the current sentiment and institutional outflows, traders should remain cautious and be prepared for continued volatility.
by MonoCoinSignal
Sept 6. Start DCA'ing these altsOverview: The FRED:SP500 is down, NASDAQ:QQQ is down even more, and COINBASE:BTCUSD has dropped. Everything is red! Or wait… BINANCE:SUIUSDT is up! Could this still be the effects of the Grayscale Trust, and how much longer can SUI defy the overall market? Previous Grayscale picks like BINANCE:NEARUSDT and BINANCE:TAOUSDT aren’t performing as well on red days like yesterday. The Fed reported fewer new jobs added in August—lower than expected, even after multiple revisions. This was also fewer than the job additions in August of the past few years. Quantitative tightening is in full swing! These metrics signal a potential path to a rate cut, but large economies like the U.S. don’t pivot easily, especially not with just a move from 5.50% to 5.25%. Higher unemployment and fewer job openings will likely persist for months, possibly even quarters. Yet, no federal bailouts? No major bankruptcies? Meanwhile, commercial real estate is still struggling, with San Francisco’s office vacancy rate rising to 37%, up from 36.7% in Q1 2024. BTC ETFs are seeing 9 consecutive days of outflows. BINANCE:ETHUSD has seen consistent selling throughout August, except for a slight uptick on August 28th when Blackrock bought slightly above the original Grayscale Trust level. Believe it or not, this is when whales start dollar-cost averaging (DCA) back into the market. So why is the market falling if big players are buying? These deep pockets unloaded their portfolios and secured profits early in the year when green candles were stacking up. The current selling pressure is from retail traders, as reflected in ETF trends. If you still have cash (or those precious paychecks), this could be a good time to spread it out into 10-15 weekly buy orders. Don't try to catch the exact bottom—just remember the old adage: "Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful." W: It’s only the first week of a bloody September, and BTC is already nearing the $52.15k weekly level. Sunday might be calm, with a potential bounce back to $55.9k. But watch out for Sunday evening (U.S. Eastern time) when the Asian bears wake up. D: Friday closed lower than August 5th. This is the third time we’re testing the $52-54k range—July 5, August 5, and now September 6. History doesn’t repeat, but it often rhymes. The worrying sign: yesterday’s volume was much lower than the previous two occurrences. No need to look far; volume has been rising over the last 7 days, confirming bearish sentiment. 4h: RSI dipped below 30 at 4 PM Eastern, but since then it’s bounced back 1.5%. Looking back at July 5 and August 5, we can see a key level around $54.4k (though this doesn’t hold on the daily chart). This is the point where decisions must be made. 1h: Price action is moving sideways. Alts relative to BTC: ETH has dropped more than BTC and other altcoins, falling to levels not seen since January 11th when the BTC ETF was approved. The argument that Layer 2 solutions diminish ETH’s "sound money" status isn’t helping. Bearish. On the bright side, APT has been trading below BTC ETF demand for 91 days and could be a good option for DCA. SUI shrugged off the recent sell-off and posted a 5.13% green candle, making it another solid contender alongside APT, as both are already below BTC ETF price levels. Bull case: Everyone who could sell has already sold. Now, only the diamond hands remain. Bear case: The capital allocators have finished realizing gains, and retail traders are finally waking up to the fact that the bull run has been canceled. Fear and Greed Index: 25.97 – an all-time low for 2024 and 2023. Prediction: A short-term rebound over the weekend, followed by further declines next week. Opportunities: Check out weekly and 4-hour divergences in major altcoins. Are you shorting TON yet? Mistakes: The bullish MACD divergence didn’t play out for BINANCE:SOLUSD , BINANCE:ARUSD , and BINANCE:AVAXUSDT . When big brother (BTC) makes a move, it doesn’t matter what the technical analysis says for altcoins.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by EvgenCapital