26/08/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $64,969.66
Last weeks low: $57,798.14
Midpoint: $61,383.90
Another week has passed in the crypto world and another week of Bitcoin recovery. Now hovering around $64,000 zone after a battle around the range Midpoint which was also the 4H 200EMA, BTC has flipped bullish on all major MA's and is looking to target the '21 ATH which has historically been the area where BTC has struggled in the last few months.
With the US presidential election nearing and the FED rate cuts approaching even sooner, there are a lot of significant FA factors to consider. I think most people were under the impression that the ETF's and the halving would have more of an instant impact on price, we have seen a rally for the BTC ETF but that classic post halving boost has not yet panned out. It does have the feeling of all stars are aligning in the coming months to push through that ~$70k resistance and enter price discovery. Current sentiment is mostly pure boredom and that has lead to impulse moves in the past.
For now I think the important places to look are in the altcoin space, having been decimated in the last few months now is a good time to seek out strong fundamental projects that are looking to lead the way for the next year or so. The altcoin season index is currently @ 22/100 indicating that the market is heavily Bitcoin dominated, suggesting that altcoins need to play catch-up and will outperform BTC by doing so.
SOL
The key is whether M-Signal can maintain its alignmentHello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(Renko 1D chart)
Among altcoins, the number of coins showing upward movement as above is increasing.
In order for a block to be completed, it must rise by more than a block unit.
In the chart above, the rising block is completed only if it rises by more than 5.2.
Otherwise, if it falls below 4.8, the rising block disappears.
In this way, the Renko chart can be said to be a suitable chart for checking trends.
-
(SOLUSDT Renko 1D chart)
-------------------------------------------
(SOLUSDT 1M chart)
(1W chart)
(1D chart)
If you look at the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts above, you can see that the 147.74, 168.41, and 179.89 points are important.
Therefore, if it fails to rise above 168.41, it is important to find support near 147.74.
-
Due to this rise, it seems that the M-Signal of the 1D chart > M-Signal of the 1W chart > M-Signal of the 1M chart has changed.
Therefore, this time, it is important to see whether it can be supported near 147.74 and rise above 179.89.
-
Accordingly, it is a buying period depending on whether it is supported near 147.74, 168.41, and 179.89.
The stop loss point is the HA-Low indicator.
The current HA-Low indicator points are
1M: Not yet created
1W: 13.81
1D: 148.28
as above.
Since the HA-High and HA-Low indicators are created according to price fluctuations, it is recommended to check the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts together.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
Since I think it can create a new trend in the overshooting section, I need to check the movement when this section is touched.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to create a pull back pattern and start after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
TARS AI (TAI) cryptocurrency - Solana’s AI InfrastructureTARS AI (TAI) is gaining attention for its innovative approach to integrating artificial intelligence (AI) with blockchain technology.
TARS AI serves as an AI infrastructure layer for all applications built on the Solana blockchain.
It is designed to facilitate the training of AI models, monetization of data, and access to powerful Graphics Processing Units (GPUs). This modular AI ecosystem is backed by the Solana Foundation, which enhances its credibility and potential for growth.
One of the key factors driving TARS AI's bullish outlook is its collaboration with Google. Developers have announced plans to launch four new AI products in partnership with the tech giant within the next 30 to 60 days. This collaboration comes after TARS AI was accepted into Google’s Startup Program, which supports promising startups, further solidifying TAI's position in the AI landscape.
TARS AI has established a $2 million ecosystem fund aimed at supporting developers within its network. This initiative is part of a broader strategy to bridge the gap between AI and Web3 technologies, positioning TARS as a leader in the AI blockchain sector.
TARS AI is not just another cryptocurrency; it aims to create a comprehensive AI ecosystem that allows users to train AI models quickly and cost-effectively. The platform is designed to support various applications, including data monetization and decentralized governance through AI-powered tools.
With its focus on scalability and integration with Solana's robust infrastructure, TARS AI is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for AI solutions in the blockchain space
In conclusion, TARS AI represents a compelling investment opportunity within the cryptocurrency market. Its innovative approach, strategic partnerships, and strong market performance make it a noteworthy contender in the rapidly evolving landscape of AI and blockchain technology. As the Solana ecosystem continues to thrive, TARS AI is poised to play a pivotal role in the future of decentralized AI applications.
BTC - Daily Bullish MomentumBINANCE:BTCUSDT has seen a bullish momentum recently, largely supported by a dovish outlook from the Federal Reserve. The Fed is now expected to implement further rate cuts by the end of 2024, which has softened the U.S. Dollar and, in turn, boosted BTC and gold prices. In addition, geopolitical uncertainties, such as the attempted assassination of a political figure, have driven safe-haven assets like gold and Bitcoin to new highs.
Technically, COINBASE:BTCUSD is currently trading within a bullish expanding triangle pattern, a structure often associated with further upside potential. Given the current price action and the liquidity above $60K, there’s a strong case for BTC to revisit the resistance zone and potentially break to new highs. However, it’s essential to monitor the price action around key levels to confirm this bullish scenario.
The combination of favorable macroeconomic conditions and supportive technical indicators suggests that CME:BTC1! could see continued growth in the near term.
Bull Market in Alt Coins 2023 - SOLUSDTIn 2023, the altcoin market, particularly Solana (SOL), saw significant movements influenced by a variety of factors, including technological advancements, market sentiment, and broader economic conditions.
Key Points of the 2023 SOL/USDT Market:
Technological Developments: Solana continued to enhance its blockchain, emphasizing speed and scalability. These improvements attracted developers and projects, further solidifying its position as a leading smart contract platform.
Ecosystem Growth: The Solana ecosystem experienced substantial growth with more decentralized applications (dApps), decentralized finance (DeFi) projects, and non-fungible token (NFT) platforms choosing to build on Solana due to its lower fees and faster transaction times compared to Ethereum.
Market Sentiment: Throughout 2023, market sentiment towards Solana was generally positive, driven by its strong ecosystem development, strategic partnerships, and the growing adoption of blockchain technology. However, like many altcoins, SOL's price was also influenced by broader market trends and Bitcoin's performance.
Price Performance: The SOL/USDT pair experienced significant volatility, typical of altcoins. However, during bull market phases, SOL saw impressive gains, reflecting investor confidence in the project's long-term potential.
Regulatory Factors: As with the broader crypto market, regulatory developments had an impact on SOL's price. In some regions, favorable regulations helped boost investor confidence, while in others, stricter rules led to temporary pullbacks in price.
My technical analysis script effectively detected key entry and exit points in the market by analyzing various indicators and patterns. It identified optimal entry points where momentum and trend signals aligned, suggesting potential profitable trades. Similarly, it detected exit points based on overbought or oversold conditions, divergence signals, and key resistance or support levels. These insights allowed for strategic decision-making, helping to maximize gains and minimize risks in the trading process.
Aug 23Overview:
Wow, what a 24 hours it has been. At one point, BINANCE:SUIUSD was up 21.6%. Yesterday, we mentioned that "some long positions can be taken with a properly tight SL" once a new trading range was established. On August 21st, we wrote, " BINANCE:ARUSD , BINANCE:APTUSD , BINANCE:TAOUSD showed better price action in the last couple of days. They will likely continue trading higher next week, as BTC stays within its range."
But let's break it down step by step. VANTAGE:SP500 posted a green candle, closing the week on a positive note. However, that candle was within the shadow of yesterday’s red candle, making it neutral rather than bullish.
Additionally, Jerome Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole wasn't particularly dovish. It was seen as a signal that the Federal Reserve is prepared to maintain a restrictive stance on monetary policy to ensure inflation is brought under control, even if that means keeping interest rates higher for longer than the markets might prefer.
BTC saw a massive $252 million in ETF flows from tradfi investors. And what did early Grayscale Trust adopters do? They sold $35.6 million worth of it. We’re left wondering how much of that $35.6 million was clients simply converting expensive GBTC into cheaper BTC fund, or if they sold for good. Unfortunately, even on-chain analytics won’t reveal that.
ETH ETF? No chance... Tradfi investors don’t seem to grasp smart contracts. They sold $5.7 million worth, even during a significant BTC rally.
Whales and other professional market actors are well aware that September is historically volatile and often brutal. Will they start selling and closing their positions in the last week of August, or will they wait until the first or second week of September, right before the expected interest rate cut? The big question is, do you want your portfolio to end up in a meat grinder?
W: Yesterday’s BINANCE:BTCUSD wick went higher than the BB MA, but after a pullback, it settled nicely right at the precisely drawn W level of $64k. If bulls can keep it above the $63k level, we can start talking about a new bullish sentiment, but as of now, we are still in a bear market. No divergence.
D: The $61.8 level was taken by bulls six times, and on the seventh attempt, they gathered enough strength. BTC rebounded after a crash, forming a nice bullish pennant. However, it has now reached the upper bound of the Bollinger Bands. Definitely not a time to go long—keep an eye on MACD or CVD divergences.
4h: RSI is above 70, but no MACD divergence yet.
1h: No divergences.
Alts Relative to BTC: If BTC grew by 6%, BINANCE:APTUSD is up 9%, COINBASE:RNDRUSD is up 10%, BINANCE:NEARUSD is up 12%, and BINANCE:SUIUSD is up 20%. Is SUI gearing up to be 3rd favorite smart contract platform after SOL? Will be looking closely. Some of these started to rally 2-3 days ago.
BINANCE:ETHUSD and BINANCE:SOLUSD performance was more underwhelming, posting only 5.4% and 7%, respectively. Are they so beaten up that fewer people want to touch them? Where’s the ETF crowd? Leave your thoughts in the comments.
Bull Case: Bulls are able to hold the important W level in anticipation of rate cuts. Reaching that level has already happened; now it’s just a matter of staying there. If Panama, Brazil, and Paraguay announce Bitcoin as legal tender, following in the footsteps of El Salvador and the Central African Republic, this could fuel further bullish sentiment.
Bear Case: The trend continues without a reversal. The Fed doesn’t cut rates quickly enough, and corporate earnings reveal weakness in consumer spending. Whales and insiders start selling and shorting in late September, causing the market to drop in October—a month historically tough for crypto (cough, cough... FTX).
2013: After a strong first half, Bitcoin saw a correction in September before resuming its rally towards the end of the year.
2017: Bitcoin experienced a notable dip in September, partly due to regulatory concerns in China. However, this was followed by a rapid recovery and an all-time high in December.
2021: After strong growth earlier in the year, September saw a decline due to regulatory fears and macroeconomic factors, although the market rebounded in Q4.
Fear and Greed Index: 55.87. Remember—you only buy in 'Fear' territory, which is below 40.
Prediction: We might see some altcoins grow a bit more, but overall, BTC is likely to post a Doji candle next week.
Opportunities: On W and 4h charts, we continue to see many major altcoins in the RSI danger zone. Wait for Saturday’s price action and potential divergences to prepare for a Sunday sell-off.
SOLUSDT 15M🔍 SOL/USDT Analysis: 1-Hour Timeframe 📉
The SOL/USDT chart on a 1-hour timeframe highlights significant upcoming dates where price movements may present trading opportunities. As always, it is crucial to analyze these signals in conjunction with higher timeframes for a more comprehensive understanding of the market.
• August 24, 2024, 01:15, August 24, 2024, 15:30, August 25, 2024, 01:30, August 25, 2024, 21:30 - Red Lines: These times mark potential local peaks. Traders might consider these as moments to take profits or reduce exposure, as the price could encounter resistance or a downturn.
• August 24, 2024, 06:45, August 24, 2024, 21:00, August 25, 2024, 10:15 - Green Lines: These times indicate potential local lows, providing favorable conditions for accumulating SOL or entering long positions.
When working with this 1-hour timeframe, keep in mind that these movements should be evaluated with a global perspective, considering higher timeframes to better grasp the overall market trend.
Note: The exact timing of these phases can vary by +/- a few hours. All times are based on UTC+3.
SOLUSDT🔍 SOL/USDT Long-Term Analysis 📉
The SOL/USDT chart provides a long-term forecast, highlighting significant dates that may present key opportunities for strategic moves in the market.
• April 22, 2024 - Red Line: This date marks a potential significant peak in the market. Traders might consider this as a critical moment to take profits or reduce exposure, as the price could encounter resistance or a downturn.
• March 16, 2026 - Green Line: This date indicates a potential significant low, offering favorable conditions for accumulating SOL or entering long positions, anticipating future growth.
Note: The exact timing of these phases can vary by +/- a few weeks. This forecast is based on the current long-term model and should be used in conjunction with other analysis tools to confirm market trends.
Solana : WHICH WAY Could it go??Solana was one of my TOP PICKS for alts in 2024.
Second to Ethereum, the SOL space keeps growing as more and more dApss are being built on SOL. The market cap for Solana is looking healthy, after recently peaking at $93B:
This is an incredible achievement, and I expect the market cap to continue to grow in the longer time. Naturally, we can expect SOL to continue growing when the price of BTC starts another impulse wave up. My thoughts on that HERE👇:
Until then, don't lose hope just yet! December is usually a great time for the crypto markets.
_________________________________
CRYPTOCAP:SOL COINBASE:SOLUSD
Aug 20Overview:
For the first time in the last six trading days, the S&P 500 closed with a red candle (-0.20%), even though its wick extended higher than the previous trading day. The key macroeconomic event to watch this week is the release of the "Minutes of the Fed's July FOMC meeting" on Wednesday, which will provide insights into the discussions and debates among Federal Reserve officials, revealing their views on the current state of the economy.
Overall, this week might be relatively calm as the market anticipates potential rate cuts, election outcomes, and TradFi executives wrapping up their vacations. For example, much of Western Europe essentially shuts down in August, with many French citizens heading to the south of France, Germans traveling to Turkey, and Italians and Spaniards taking a more relaxed approach to work all year round.
By the way, it's been a while since we’ve seen any major hacks or rug pulls in the crypto space. Imagine running the 15th largest crypto exchange and starting to see diminishing returns as enthusiasm for the current bull run fades. You also notice more consolidation among the top 2-3 CEXs, while DEXs are gaining traction and cutting into your profits. This grim outlook might lead to some troubling thoughts cooking up. Although FTX filed for bankruptcy on November 12th, and BTC at that time dropped by 70%, we still have time to make informed decisions as we sit at the end of August. Remember: not your keys, not your crypto ...cough ...cough Lido...
Alts Relative to BTC:
Alts haven’t diverged much from BTC, but on the 4-hour chart, ETH shows a small MACD divergence between Sunday the 18th and Tuesday the 20th, with SOL showing it even more clearly. This suggests that while BTC remains within its daily range, alts are showing more weakness. Only AR and TAO have shown positive price action in the last two days. We know about the Grayscale news regarding the TAO trust, but what’s driving AR?
In the DeFi sector, AAVE continues to pump.
Bull Case:
We’ve reached the bottom and are now heading upward. Alts are already at their lows, and major institutional investors and governments haven’t even started accumulating the new digital gold. The world’s major economies are relatively healthy, and in 3-4 years, we might look back at 2024 as the bottom and the end of the "COVID economy." More money could flow into risky and alternative assets like crypto.
Bear Case:
Despite the macro outlook, crypto has likely reached its intermediate bull run, driven mainly by ETF demand without any major crypto breakthroughs or new use cases like DeFi. In reality, only a few market participants hadn’t yet entered the crypto space and needed an institutional vehicle like an ETF.
Fear and Greed Index:
45.39. The index has flattened over the last three days, mirroring BTC’s price, indicating neither strong buy nor sell opportunities.
Weekly: Range trading, slowly moving toward the BB MA, which it may reach within the next two weeks (conveniently the last two weeks of August).
Daily: BTC continues to trade within its daily range. It broke above the BB MA, but no significant pump followed. Bulls appear weak and may need more accumulation, a "whale push," or this might not be the time. Was it a fake-out?
4-Hour: Range trading, no divergences.
1-Hour: Range trading, no divergences.
Prediction:
Range trading with a possible spike up to $62k.
Opportunities:
SOL: Shows a bearish divergence on the 4-hour timeframe but could quickly reverse if BTC prints a green candle.
TON: Has completed the "Motive" part of Elliott’s wave pattern. In about 40 hours, it might finish the B wave, presenting a short opportunity that could last through the entire C wave down.
Follow for daily updates.
First 100 followers receive free market analysis and signals subscription.
Aug 17Overview:
The cryptocurrency market is currently in a cautious phase. Weekends typically see minimal price swings, though Sunday evenings can bring volatility. Declining open interest suggests a lack of confidence, with traders closing positions and exiting the market. The August 5th liquidations also pushed remaining traders to leave, further reducing market participation. This environment points to continued consolidation, with potential for volatility as the weekend ends.
Looking back at BTC’s weekend price action, similar patterns emerge: a crash, a small rebound, approaching the Bollinger Bands moving average (BB MA), and then continued decline. Bearish scenarios include January 15-16, 2022; June 5-6, 2022; and more recently, June 29-30, 2024. A bullish argument is found in May 11-12, 2024, when Saturday and Sunday marked the end of the first bull wave and the start of the second in 2024. However, that was 33 days after the downturn began, while we are currently at day 20.
This past week may have been the calm before the storm.
Alts Relative to BTC: No divergences.
Bull Case: Everyone who wanted to sell has likely sold. Now we wait for an event to trigger a buying spree that could draw a 4th wave on the CRYPTOCAP:BTC chart.
Bear Case: No bulls come to the rescue, and the market drops further.
Fear and Greed Index: 44.9, rising over the last two days, but given the weekend, it may not carry much weight.
W: Range trading, no divergences.
D: Reached BB MA and is touching it at $59.9k.
4h: Approached $60.2k for the second time but couldn’t break that daily level. We’re also at the top of the Bollinger Bands range, which is relevant for those trading sideways movements. No divergence.
1h: No divergences, but there’s a bullish inverted head and shoulders pattern.
Prediction: Most likely move down significantly, or range trade, then decline.
Opportunities:
CRYPTOCAP:SOL : Attempting to break the weekly resistance level.
NYSE:SUI : Bounced from support and is now trending upward.
NYSE:AR and CRYPTOCAP_OLD:RNDR : Sitting on the weekly level; their next move will be quick, so choose your side.
Follow for daily updates.
First 100 followers receive free market analysis and signals subscription.
Solana Not DeadI am still long Solana and various Solana related memes.
1. Crypto is absolutely insane. You have to be sized accordingly, just like everything else in trading/investing (ballz f*cking deep). I am watching the current intermediate downtrend for a break to the upside and another test of the upper high to high trendline. I think it breaks that in the coming weeks as Solana pushes to new highs. That is unless Solana meme trading degens keep getting farmed and rugged for all their worth.
2. People talk about Solana flipping Ethereum. I think it's possible, but I think Ethereum will move down more and Solana up as gas fees between the chains find an equilibrium. if the ETH holders fight it, they will lose much more than they think possible.
3. Overall, I am bullish on crypto going into another bubble/meme gambling super-cycle fueled by cross-platform bridging between chains. Multichain interoperability. We are seeing it clearly already and I think it will get crazier at some point.
4. As a reformed Crypto cynic/hater, I came to love crypto for how BTC was used to repatriate USD from the Russian Stock Exchange outside of the SWIFT system after Russian sanctions. I don't care if the CIA created Bitcoin and it is tracked completely. I am still bullish BTC for its legacy importance, high value, and transferability.
ETH/USDT 1D Trade idea It's no secret, Ethereum has been struggling this Bullrun.
Outperformed by Solana and other new emerging L1's, a permabearish ETH/BTC chart and losing market share in terms of volume on chain to its competitors.
The daily chart is a difficult one to digest as a fan of ETH, despite the ETF approval and the institutional investment that has come with it, the trend is an obvious downtrend of late and shows no signs of changing anytime soon...
The ETH/BTC pair is a similar story only the downtrend has been the case for much longer, unable to keep up with bitcoins price gains. Bitcoin is currently -20% from its ATH set earlier this year, Ethereum is yet to break its previous ATH set in '21 of $4850, -47% at current price which is way off BTC.
For me there are two possible entries:
- A mid range reclaim would then target a range high move going into the end of the year.
- A safer entry of filling the wick set in the beginning of august with a slow grind down, sweep liquidity, reclaim and pump from there.
Both situations would require BTC to behave as always.
SOL sell/shot setupSOL is creating internal pullback on small time frames.
At the bottom of the candles we have a liquidity pool that is expected to be swept soon.
The targets are marked on the chart
Closing a daily candle above the invalidation level will violate the analysis.
Note that the financial market is risky, so:
Do not enter a position without setting a stop and capital management and confirmation and trigger.
When we reach the first TP, save some profit and try to move the stop continuously in the direction of your profit.
If you have any comments please post them, comments will help us improve our performance
Thanks
Alikze »» NEAR | C wave correction leg🔍 Technical analysis: C wave correction leg
- It is moving in a descending channel in daily and weekly time.
- At the last stage of correction, it can extend to the area of the bottom of the channel and the green box.
- Therefore, considering that it has faced selling pressure in the middle of the channel, if the supply zone does not fail, the correction will continue up to the specified zone and Fibo 1.618.
- The range of 2.479 to 2.768, if faced with demand, can provide a suitable area for buying and a return to the middle of the channel.
- This zigzag correction, if it is not combined and complex, can continue the upward trend after completing the last corrective leg, according to the behavioral scenario presented in the previous post.
💎 Alternative scenario: In addition, if it can meet the demand in the middle of the channel, it can have a temporary growth up to the ceiling of the supply range of the channel.
»»»«««»»»«««»»»«««
Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future.
Thanks for your continued support.
Best Regards,❤️
Alikze.
»»»«««»»»«««»»»«««
BINANCE:NEARUSDT
Aug 15Overview:
Lord Jerome reported 227,000 jobless claims, slightly below the expected 234,000. Additionally, almost all other macroeconomic data points to a growing and improving economy. July U.S. retail sales were three times higher than anticipated, coming in at 1% versus the expected 0.3%, suggesting strengthening consumer confidence, which has risen above 0.7% for the first time since January 2023. Auto sales are also up. Are these newly unemployed Americans spending their savings? Unemployment has been rising since January 2023 and now sits at 4.3%.
The chances of a recession are decreasing, and CRYPTOCAP:BTC is rising.
Interest rate cuts are a tool for quantitative easing, typically applied when the economy isn’t growing and needs an injection of liquidity (M2 money supply). But if the economy is healthy, with spending on the rise and government spending contributing to GDP growth, rate cuts might not be the solution.
Now, think critically—if everything is relatively good (maybe not great yet), the economy is somewhat healthy, and the S&P 500 has been rallying since October 2023—why would you sharply cut rates? Perhaps two or three cuts by the end of the year, reducing rates by a total of 0.75%, at most.
For those expecting such a small rate change (a 13% decrease by the end of the year) to have a significant impact, they might be in for a rude awakening.
Alts Relative to BTC:
If CRYPTOCAP:BTC dropped by 1.92%, CRYPTOCAP:ETH declined by 3.34%. No significant divergence, except for NYSE:AR , which posted a thin green candle.
Bull Case:
All bears die.
Bear Case:
All bears don’t perish but remain very much alive.
Fear and Greed Index:
Lower, at 40.61%. Dangerously close to Fear territory.
W:
Forming another lone star/abandoned child-type candle. Where do you want to go next, Mr. Bear Market?
D:
August 15th ended in red, closing below the daily level of $58.2k. Bearish. On the 14th, we touched the BB MA and are now heading toward $52.2k.
4h:
No new divergences—just the old ones still playing out. On both August 14th at 8 a.m. and the 15th at noon, U.S. bears woke up and decided, “Nah, crypto ain’t sh*t.” Red candles followed. The last four green candles showed diminishing volume, not reaching the BB MA. Leave a comment if you know what that means—unless you’re a whale, in which case, just do your thing.
1h:
No divergences. The sell-off ended at 4:00 p.m. U.S. time, almost touching the freshly established weekly level of $55.9k set at the beginning of July.
Prediction:
In the next two weeks, the bottom falls out. When September arrives, big whales will return from vacation and send the market crashing down, with rate cuts providing little relief.
Opportunities:
CRYPTOCAP:SOL : Still at weekly resistance level. But keep in mind, it approached this level from the top, not the bottom. Although it has garnered a lot of attention this bull market, it doesn’t follow normal technical analysis rules.
AMEX:APT : As noted yesterday, starting at midnight, it began its descent, printing a nice -6.24%. Did you catch that?
Follow for daily updates.
First 100 followers receive free market analysis and signals subscription.
Solana (SOL) Long-Term Investment AnalysisAs of the latest data, Solana (SOL) is trading at $179.07, having experienced a 3.49% increase over the last day. This places SOL in a dynamic position within the top five cryptocurrencies by market cap, currently valued at approximately $83 billion.
Technical Analysis
1. Price Trends and Resistance Levels:
• All-Time High (ATH): SOL’s ATH stands at $260. This level represents a significant resistance point as it’s the highest price SOL has ever reached.
• Dynamic Resistance: The downward sloping red trendline indicates a dynamic resistance level, currently positioned just below the ATH, at around $240. This line has historically acted as a barrier to upward price movements.
• Local Resistance: There is another resistance level marked around the $180 range, where SOL is currently hovering. Breaking through this level decisively could signal further upward momentum.
2. Support Levels:
• Dynamic Support: A green upward sloping trendline suggests a dynamic support level that has been tested multiple times, currently around $120. This line indicates a rising support base for SOL, suggesting a bullish trend over the longer term.
3. Technical Indicators:
• The trading volume is 2.209 million SOL, which shows active trading interest and liquidity.
• With %K at 88.10 and %D at 84.06, the stochastic oscillator is in the overbought territory, indicating potential short-term pullback or consolidation before any further upward movement.
• The RSI stands at 64.01, suggesting that SOL is approaching overbought conditions but still has room for growth.
• The MACD line (9.18) is above the signal line (5.90), with a positive histogram value (3.29), indicating bullish momentum.
Fundamental Analysis
1. Market Position and Adoption:
Solana has gained significant traction due to its high throughput, low transaction costs, and strong ecosystem growth. It is now recognized as a major player in the DeFi, NFT, and Web3 spaces. Recent developments and partnerships continue to bolster its fundamental strength.
2. Technological Advancements:
Solana’s unique consensus mechanism, Proof of History (PoH), combined with Proof of Stake (PoS), offers scalability solutions that rival those of other major blockchains like Ethereum. This technological edge contributes to its long-term growth potential.
3. Ecosystem Growth:
The Solana ecosystem has seen exponential growth in terms of dApps, DeFi projects, and NFT marketplaces. The continued influx of developers and projects onto the Solana platform supports its sustainable growth trajectory.
Market Sentiment
Overall market sentiment for SOL remains bullish. Analysts and investors are optimistic about its long-term potential due to its technological advantages and growing ecosystem. However, caution is advised due to the overbought conditions indicated by the stochastic oscillator and RSI.
Potential Market Scenarios
Bullish Scenario:
• If SOL breaks above the local resistance at $180 decisively, it could target the dynamic resistance around $240 next.
• A sustained move above $240 could open the path toward retesting the ATH of $260 and potentially beyond.
Bearish Scenario:
• Failure to maintain the $180 level could lead to a pullback towards the dynamic support around $120.
• Breaking below $120 would be a bearish signal, potentially leading to further declines towards lower support levels.
When to Buy Solana (SOL) for Long-Term Investment
Current Situation:
Given SOL’s current price at $179.07 and the technical indicators suggesting overbought conditions, a cautious approach is warranted.
Optimal Buying Strategy:
1. Wait for a Pullback: Considering the overbought stochastic oscillator and RSI, waiting for a pullback towards the $150-$160 range could offer a better entry point. This range has shown to be a recent consolidation area and might present a more favorable risk-reward ratio.
2. Dynamic Support Level: If the price drops further, the dynamic support around $120 is a strong level to consider for long-term investment. Historically, SOL has found significant buying interest at this level, making it a safer entry point.
3. Gradual Accumulation: Alternatively, adopting a dollar-cost averaging (DCA) strategy by buying small amounts at regular intervals can mitigate the risk of market timing and take advantage of potential dips.
Conclusion and Market Outlook
Solana (SOL) is currently positioned in a strong uptrend with significant support and resistance levels to watch. While technical indicators suggest potential overbought conditions in the short term, the long-term outlook remains positive due to strong fundamentals and ecosystem growth.
Impact of Bitcoin’s Movement:
It’s crucial to note that Bitcoin (BTC) is currently at a critical juncture. If Bitcoin fails to surpass its all-time high (ATH) and experiences a significant drop, it could have a ripple effect on the broader cryptocurrency market, including Solana. In such a scenario, SOL could also face downward pressure, making it vital to monitor Bitcoin’s price action closely.
Short-term Potential ScenariosOn the 1-hour chart, Solana shows that it is at a support level of $142, which acts as a valid support. This area could be where buyers step in and push the price towards higher levels.
Potential Scenarios:
Maintaining Support and Moving to Higher Levels:
If SOL can maintain the $142 support and then stabilize above the downward trend and the $148 level, this movement could lead to a continuation of the upward trend, reaching targets of $152 and $160. These levels act as potential resistances, and breaking through them could signal further strengthening of the bullish trend.
Breaking Support and Price Reversal:
If the price fails to hold the $142 support, there is a possibility of a return to lower support levels. In this scenario, traders should carefully observe the market’s reaction to these levels to make better decisions.
SOL (Solana): Sideways ChannelTrade setup : Price remains in an Uptrend, trading in a Sideways Channel. Swing Traders: can trade the Channel, enter near channel support of $120 and exit near channel resistance of $190. Stop Loss (SL) at $115. Learn how to trade Sideways Channel in Lesson 6 of our Trading Course.
Pattern : Price is trading in a Sideways Channel , which is a neutral pattern (indication of market indecision). Trend Traders ought to wait for a breakout in either direction, although typically it breaks in the direction of the existing trend. Swing Traders can trade the range - Buy near Support and Sell near Resistance. Learn to trade Sideways Channel in Lesson 6.
Trend : Short-term trend is Strong Down, Medium-term trend is Down and Long-term trend is Strong Up.
Momentum is Bearish ( MACD Line crossed below MACD Signal Line) BELOW days ago. Price is neither overbought nor oversold currently, based on RSI-14 levels (RSI > 30 and RSI < 70).
Support and Resistance : Nearest Support Zone is $120.00, then $100.00. Nearest Resistance Zone is $160.00, then $190.00.
SOL/USDT Analysis🔍 SOL/USDT Analysis: Strategic Dates and Long-Term Prospects 🌟
The SOL/USDT chart highlights crucial upcoming dates and long-term price targets:
September 23, 2024, December 16, 2024 - Green Lines: These dates indicate potential local lows, presenting ideal opportunities to accumulate SOL or enter long positions. Traders should consider these dates as key moments for building or adding to positions.
February 10, 2025 - Red Line: This date could signal a local peak, offering an opportunity to take profits or reassess positions before a potential market correction.
March 16, 2026 - Green Line: A significant long-term low is expected around this date, marking a prime opportunity to increase holdings for the next major market cycle.
By aligning your strategy with these dates, you can better position yourself for the future of SOL and maximize your potential returns.
#SOL #Solana #CryptoTrading #Cryptocurrency #MarketAnalysis #Altcoins #SOLUSDT
Trade Setup: SOL Long PositionMarket Context:
SOL is currently trading in a key support zone between $141.50 and $150.00, which presents a favorable opportunity for a long spot trade. This area has shown strength in maintaining the price, making it an ideal entry point.
Trade Setup:
Entry: Enter a long spot trade in the $141.50 - $150.00 area of support.
Take Profit:
First target: $164.00 - $176.00
Second target: $189.00 - $200.00
Stop Loss: Place the stop loss just below $135.00.
📊 Monitor the market closely and adjust your strategy as needed! #SOL #CryptoTrading #SupportTrade 🎯
Sol-Usdt 4h chart Hello everyone, I would like to invite you to a quick review of SOL/USDT, taking into account the 4-hour interval. As you can see, the price moved up from the local downward trend line, but currently there is a downward movement, staying above the trend line.
Moving on, we will move on to determining support and here the price is currently bouncing off the support at $142, then we have strong support at $130, and then a very strong support at $110.
Looking the other way, you can see how the resistance at $162 rejected the sudden upward movement, only when it overcomes it will it move towards the resistance at $176, and further towards the very strong resistance at $193.
The RSI indicator shows an ongoing trend of recovery after the increase, but there is room for a renewed upward movement.