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SOL

Billy/SOL - Raydium (Meme coin)TF: Daily Price Action: Currently the price is in a bearish trend on Daily tf, it has given signs on a lower tf for a pull back to start taking place. If the pullback takes place we can expect the price to reach above marked supply area and even swing highs. (in order for price to be bullish it needs to flip the swing high) **Buying ranges are mentioned but there is a ton of liquidity below the range, price can come and take out liquidity before continuing the trend, take cautions. Buying Ranges: 0.02435 – 0.01252 *NOT A FINANCIAL ADVICE – DYOR!*
Long
by zain9674
10/22 Triple divergence is playing out. How deep?Overview: The AMEX:SPY closed down by only 0.16%, despite opening lower than Friday’s close. During the second trading hour, the index dropped 0.5% but managed to recover the losses throughout the day. Only a few AMEX:SPY stocks ended in the green, with Nvidia gaining 4.14%. Despite this minor pullback, the index has seen six consecutive weeks of growth, and one red weekly candle wouldn't derail a bull run that has gained 23% since the start of the year. The tech-heavy NASDAQ:QQQ also closed in the green, up 0.19%, thanks to Nvidia’s boost. The U.S. Leading Indicator Index (LEI) fell by 0.5% month-over-month to 99 in September, a steeper decline than the expected -0.3% and more significant than the -0.2% drop in August, according to The Conference Board’s report on Monday. From March through September 2024, the LEI dropped 2.6%, exceeding the 2.2% decline in the previous six-month period. "Weakness in factory new orders continued to be a major drag on the US LEI in September as the global manufacturing slump persists," said Justyna Zabinska-La Monica, senior manager of Business Cycle Indicators at The Conference Board. "Additionally, the yield curve remained inverted, building permits declined, and consumers' outlook for future business conditions was tepid." This index has been decreasing since March 2022, and Monday’s reading officially places it below its lowest point during the COVID-19 period in April 2020. However, the rate of decline appears to be slowing. Meanwhile, companies are still reporting better-than-expected earnings. Some well-known names reporting today include GE Aerospace (Boeing's engine supplier), Philip Morris, Verizon, General Motors, 3M, Enphase, and Invesco (owners of the QQQ ETF). The CME Watch Tool now shows an 11.1% chance of no rate cut on November 7th, up from last week’s 9.3%. While BTC dropped 2.40% on Monday, BlackRock still bought $329 million worth of BTC ETFs. It’s almost amusing to think that BlackRock could be acting as someone’s exit liquidity. The firm now owns 362,192 bitcoins, valued at $23.169 billion. BTC TA: W: Unfortunately for the bulls, BTC closed last week at $69k, which is below the highs of the last two bullish waves in late March and early June. D: Monday ended with a 2.40% correction—much needed after last week's strong rally. A timely release of pressure increases the likelihood of the bull run continuing. An important level to maintain is $66.9k, as it’s the point of control for this recent rally starting from October 10th. The next support levels are $65.8k and the key yearly support at $62.7k. Breaking below $62.7k would invalidate the current bullish wave. On the bearish side, Monday’s candle engulfed the previous five trading days (including the weekend). Before the pullback, the RSI hit 70. 4h: As we spotted and wrote about in our previous letter - the 4-hour chart showed MACD, CVD, and RSI divergences, with three consecutive declining peaks as the price continued climbing. The correction began on Sunday evening, and it may take more than a day to fully play out. The key level to hold now is $66.8k—if it breaks, the price may fall to the daily level of $65.8k. So far, it’s holding. 1h: The 1-hour chart looks bullish, as the $66.9k level is holding, with some bullish MACD and RSI divergence showing. Alts Relative to BTC: ETH, SOL, and NEAR have not declined as much as BTC. However, SUI has dropped more significantly by 5%, and TAO by 9%. APT is unexpectedly pumping, while DOGE is up by 27.30%. Seems like alts are diverging from BTC correction. At least the aren't collapsing 7 - 10%, which was the case in the past with BTC falling by 2.4%. Bull Case: BTC could be correcting slightly before resuming the bull run. If a recession is avoided, Trump wins the election, and rates are cut, the outlook remains positive. Bear Case: BTC may have reached an old resistance level without breaking it, confirming it as a solid resistance, and initiating a deeper correction. Fear and Greed Index: The index is back to Neutral at 57, down from the Greed territory of 60 over the weekend.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by EvgenCapital
Solana (SOL) Eyes $200 Breakout Amid Market SurgeSolana ( CRYPTOCAP:SOL ) has seen a remarkable surge in market activity, with its price climbing 12% in the past week alone. The altcoin currently trades at $165.35, just below a crucial resistance level of $171.74. This rapid rally has ignited speculation that Solana ( CRYPTOCAP:SOL ) could soon break through the $200 mark, setting the stage for a potential extended uptrend. Solana’s recent performance is driven by several technical and fundamental factors, which suggest both opportunities and risks for investors. Here’s a comprehensive look at the key drivers behind SOL's current price movement. Technical Analysis: Solana's price action has been characterized by sustained buying pressure, with the token testing the $171.74 resistance level. A successful breach of this resistance could pave the way for Solana to rally toward its next major resistance at $186.32. If CRYPTOCAP:SOL breaks through this, it could potentially push past the psychological $200 mark, a price not seen since March. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 68.50, indicating that the asset is nearing overbought territory. While not yet in the danger zone (above 70), the RSI suggests that Solana ( CRYPTOCAP:SOL ) has experienced strong buying momentum, which could slow down if the token becomes overbought and faces selling pressure. Despite this, the asset is still in a bullish position, with its RSI confirming the strength of its upward trend. Symmetrical Triangle Formation Another important technical indicator is the symmetrical triangle pattern that has formed on Solana’s daily price chart. This pattern is often associated with the potential for a breakout in either direction, but given Solana’s current upward trajectory, a breakout to the upside is more likely. The key pivot point for this pattern is set at $200—if CRYPTOCAP:SOL reaches this level, it could trigger an explosive rally as traders pile in, sensing a clear upward trend. However, traders should keep an eye on support levels at $131.38. A failure to maintain momentum could lead to profit-taking, pushing the price lower and testing these critical support areas. Such a scenario would invalidate the bullish thesis, at least in the short term. Open Interest and Market Sentiment One of the key factors driving Solana’s price rally is the significant rise in open interest for its futures contracts. Open interest has surged by 29% since October 18, reaching $2.31 billion—its highest level since August. This spike in open interest signals growing market participation and interest in Solana, indicating that traders are actively betting on continued price appreciation. When rising open interest accompanies price increases, it typically confirms the strength of an uptrend, as it shows that more market participants are willing to place long positions. Solana’s **positive funding rate of 0.012%** further supports this trend, indicating that traders are paying a premium to hold long positions, reflecting bullish sentiment in the market. Avoiding a Short Squeeze Unlike many other altcoins that face short squeezes when their prices rise rapidly, Solana’s rally has been driven by demand for long positions rather than short covering. This dynamic suggests that the current price surge is based on genuine market demand rather than forced liquidations, which bodes well for the sustainability of the rally. Ecosystem Growth and Technological Advancements Solana’s growth isn’t just driven by speculative interest; the altcoin’s underlying ecosystem is expanding rapidly. Solana’s high throughput and low transaction fees make it an attractive option for decentralized applications (dApps) and decentralized finance (DeFi) projects. As Solana continues to attract developers and users, its utility as a platform token strengthens, further driving demand for SOL. Moreover, Solana’s scalability solutions have continued to evolve, making it one of the most promising blockchain networks for the long term. The ongoing growth of **Solana-based dApps, NFT platforms, and DeFi projects** has brought more attention to the network, increasing its appeal to both institutional and retail investors. Looking Ahead While Solana’s technicals suggest a potential breakout, it’s important to consider the broader market environment. If Bitcoin (BTC) continues its bullish trend, it could help propel Solana ( CRYPTOCAP:SOL ) and other altcoins higher. However, if the broader crypto market experiences a correction, Solana ( CRYPTOCAP:SOL ) could face headwinds, especially if traders decide to take profits at key resistance levels. If Solana ( CRYPTOCAP:SOL ) breaks through $171.74, the next major hurdle is $186.32. A move past this level could see CRYPTOCAP:SOL rally toward $200. However, failure to break through could result in a retracement to $131.38, where key support lies. Conclusion Solana ( CRYPTOCAP:SOL ) is at a critical juncture, with its price action signaling both opportunities and risks for traders. The altcoin’s technical indicators, such as the RSI and the symmetrical triangle pattern, suggest a potential breakout to the upside, while its rising open interest and positive market sentiment confirm the strength of the rally. However, investors should remain cautious of potential profit-taking and overbought conditions, which could lead to a pullback. The next few days will be crucial in determining whether Solana can sustain its upward momentum and break through the $200 mark. For now, the bullish case remains intact, and all eyes are on whether Solana ( CRYPTOCAP:SOL ) can achieve its next leg up in the ongoing rally.
Long
by DEXWireNews
Solana Update: Holding $162 or Dropping to $147? Here’s the breakdown, fam – if SOL holds $162, we could see a move up to the $178-$184 take-profit zone. But if $162 doesn’t hold, expect a dip to $147 before trying for that same target again. If $147 breaks, we could be in for a deeper bearish move. Stay sharp, manage your levels, and let’s see how it plays out! Like, comment, or follow if you want more updates like this! Mindbloome Trading Trade What You See
COINBASE:SOLUSD
by Mindbloome-Trading
5
The US ELECTION gives Wall St confidence and Bitcoin pumps.Satoshi 4 year cycle neatly intertwines the the USA #election cycle and the debt/interest rate cycle / The business cycle. To gives us predictable patterns of outperformance. The months of November into Spring post halving is essentially the Banana zone. Let's make the most of it ... you should be allocated into you main core coins and buying into strong #altcoins that are capturing the zeitgeist. I believe #Solana is likely to outperform on their respective ratio #Pulsechain may surprise people once #ETH closes in on the $4,000 mark And #TitanX ecosystem to continue to flourish in a #DEFI resurgence. (TitanX is the best example of DEFI i have seen so far.) VC coins may likely continue their relative underperformance as the collective crowd shuns the poor deals offered to us.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by BallaJi
8
SOL Looks Bullish (4H)From where we placed the red arrow on the chart, it seems that the price has entered the correction phase. This phase seems to be a diametric, which we are now in the middle of the F wave. From the green range, we expect SOLANA to move towards the TPs indicated on the chart. The targets are marked on the chart. Closing a daily candle below the invalidation level will violate this analysis. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
SOLANA COIN SWING LONG IDEA - ALTCOIN MARKET - SOLSolana is one of my favorite coins for the 2024-2025 altcoin bull run. It has strong fundamentals, as well as a supportive community. The price is coming from the discounted monthly demand zone. The weekly structure is also bullish, and the daily structure is accelerating upward momentum. I believe we will easily reach the purple targets and eventually return to all-time highs. I’ve bought a spot bag here. It may retrace slightly before taking off, so invest and trade accordingly. Nothing i share is financial advice. Education purposes only.
Long
by UA_CAPITAL
10/17 Give us a healthy pull back. Overview: The AMEX:SPY continues its upward trajectory, hitting new all-time highs. The bullish momentum is supported by more companies exceeding earnings expectations this week. Despite rising unemployment and persistent inflation, corporations are posting record profits. It’s a reminder that the stock market and the economy don’t always move in sync. The NASDAQ:QQQ , representing big tech, is hovering near its all-time high but struggling to break through. The Federal Reserve reported fewer initial jobless claims at 241k, a decrease from last week, but still higher than the average over the last three years. The CME Watch Tool now indicates a 9.3% chance of no rate cut in the next meeting on November 7th, influenced by these labor market figures. Meanwhile, a surge in BTC ETF purchases has been observed throughout the week. Yesterday, BlackRock acquired $309 million worth, nearly tripling its average of $117.4 million. This marks their fourth consecutive day of buying. Even Grayscale joined the action. Altogether, $1.854 billion flowed into BTC ETFs this week. This could either mark the peak of the sixth bullish wave or set up a breakout from the year-long bullish flag pattern. BTC saw an 8% rise this week, making it one of the top five best-performing weeks of the year, including February's pump following BTC ETF approval. However, the volume remains lower than expected. For a full trend confirmation, we need institutional whales to join in. If we are indeed breaking out of the bullish flag, the volume should match levels seen at the beginning of the bull run in October and November 2023, when weekly volumes were 80-100% higher than this week. BTC Technical Analysis: W: On the weekly chart, BINANCE:BTCUSDT candle wick has reached July's open and close but hasn't tested its highs around $70k. A close above $68.2k this week would be a bullish signal. We still have Friday, but the weekend isn’t likely to bring much action. D: BTC has been at the upper Bollinger Band for four consecutive days without any correction or pullback. The candles are reminiscent of the week of September 3rd, which saw an 8.5% pump, followed by a fake breakout and an additional 4.54% rise before a sharp decline wiped out all gains within ten days. A healthy pullback could target the $64-68k range—but of course, the bullish sentiment says, "No pullbacks on the way to the moon!" 4h: The current pump started at the key 2024 level of $62.7k, rising in three waves. The third push had lower volume, signaling a price-volume divergence. RSI has exceeded 70 twice and is now trending down, showing divergence with the price. On-Balance Volume (OBV) and Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) also indicate divergence. Without a clear shooting star candle with high volume, nothing is confirmed yet. We might see some sideways action over the weekend before a possible breakout on Sunday evening. 1h: Bearish. Alts Relative to BTC: ETH, SOL, and NEAR are showing weakness. None have reached their July peaks like BTC, and they have all pulled back after this week’s pump. Quick question: Does MKR have a bottom? Bull Case: If we continue breaking out of the bull flag, the pump could extend into next week, with potential gains of another 6-8%. If Trump wins and crypto rallies, rates could be cut in November and December, bringing them down to 4.25-4.50%. Bear Case: We could continue oscillating within the $58-70k range, and we are currently at the upper end. Fear and Greed Index: Currently at 58, still Neutral, but it touched the Greed level of 60 yesterday.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by EvgenCapital
Solana Faces Resistance at $160, Seeks Liquidity Between $132 anSolana (SOL) is currently in an interesting price range for investors looking for liquidity opportunities. The asset may retreat from the $153 level towards lower levels, seeking liquidity in the $137 to $132 range, offering a potential entry point for short-term investors. However, the asset is facing significant resistance around the $160 mark, which has been challenging to surpass in the current market environment. Despite this difficulty, Solana shows promising long-term potential, supported by its robust technological infrastructure and increasing adoption in the blockchain market. Investors with a more patient profile might view this phase as a strategic positioning opportunity, with an eye on potential future gains.
Short
by space_cash
Its Time , Bitcoin 160k by March or September 2025?We are in the early stages of the next bull market. The question was never "if" but rather "when." The probability has shifted significantly to the upside in the last two months. Really, nothing much has been going on, and I’m waiting for my confirmation markers to trigger before making a technical analysis. In my view, we are in a pretty large bull flag, and a mirror move like the one we saw from September 2023 to March 2024 could push Bitcoin to $160K by March 2025. There are two major dates I’m focusing on: March/April 2025 and September 2025. The clearest sign of a change in trend is that we stopped putting in lower lows and formed a triple bottom with bullish divergence on the daily chart. The puzzle for the rest of 2024 and 2025 is not whether we will have a bull market but where and when the cycle top will occur. It's more of a question of timing, and that’s what I’m focusing on. **March/April 2025 - Possible Top** As you can see, since 2019, the average duration of major Bitcoin rallies has been 147 days. Even the longest rallies of 196 days would reach May 2025. Looking at my time cycles, we also have a hit around March 2025. The USDT dominance chart is currently in a bear flag. A mirror move similar to September 2023 to March 2024 would bring dominance levels down to the November 2021 cycle top, around April 2025. **September 2025 - Possible Top** For those who don’t know, Bitcoin’s last two cycles took exactly the same time from cycle low to top, 1064 days. If we overlay 1064 days from this cycle's low, it puts the cycle top in early October 2025, which is very close to my Fibonacci time date in September 2025. I know there’s a lot on this chart to digest, but just focus on the red and yellow circles. Do you see the pattern? Every other sine wave peak is a cycle top. The next sine wave peak falls between September and December 2025. The Chainlink fractal from last year is still playing out. If it continues, the top is projected for August 11, 2025, again very close to that September 2025 date. KDA is also an interesting chart for me because it’s mirroring the last cycle closely, which again puts the cycle top in September 2025. **Conclusion** USDT dominance is in a bear flag, which is a clue. I’ve been in this position many times before, and USDT dominance has often signaled the way. If this bear flag follows through, it will trigger the first wave of the bull run. **So, March/April 2025 Cycle Top:** - 147-day average Bitcoin rallies - USDT dominance chart mirror move - A time cycle hit **September 2025 Cycle Top:** - Chainlink fractal - KDA fractal - Sine line peaks - 1064 days from cycle low to top If it’s March/April 2025 and we get a PI cycle cross, we’re out, that’s for sure , we most definitely not taking that chance that "this time its different" Euphoria Blindness
BNC:BLX
by Sporia
4
10/14 Bull run if THIS level confirmed as supportOverview: The U.S. observed Columbus Day on Monday, with most businesses closed, but trading activity was still alive and well. The PYTH:SPY closed its fifth consecutive green day, reaching a new all-time high, while the PYTH:QQQ approaches its own record. Due to the holiday, the Federal Reserve didn't release any data, but tomorrow we'll see the Empire State Manufacturing Survey, and by Thursday, we’ll have jobless claims numbers, retail sales, home builder confidence, and business inventory reports. Interestingly, the CME Watch Tool is now showing a 16.4% chance of no rate cut in November, up from just 10% last Friday. This shift may be in response to an overheated equities market. Meanwhile, Monday saw a wave of buying activity in crypto ETFs, with big names like BlackRock, Grayscale, and even Fidelity getting involved. ETH also caught BlackRock’s attention. For a more reliable corporate earnings calendar, try this updated tool: finance.yahoo.com BTC TA: W: Last week, BINANCE:BTCUSDT opened at $62,810 and closed at $62,845, forming a large indecisive doji candle but managing to stay above the Bollinger Band middle line (BB MA). Throughout the week, the price showed lower highs and lower lows until Asian bulls stepped in on Monday morning. While U.S. traders were off for the holiday, Asian traders pushed BTC past its previous high, stopping just short of the crucial $66,550 mark. Keep an eye on $62.7k—it’s a key level on the weekly, 3-month, yearly, and current bull run (since October 2023) point of control. Anything above this level suggests a potential breakout toward $70k, while falling below it could indicate a bearish trend. To confirm, we need to see $62.7k act as solid support. We’ve already had two fake breakouts, so the chances of another are slim, but not impossible. D: Over the last four days, BTC quickly moved from the bottom to the top of its Bollinger Bands. Coinbase reported 13.5k transactions on Monday—a strong volume, but not as high as in January or October 2023, when this bull run began. This suggests that larger institutional players are still waiting on the sidelines, watching closely. Despite the Fed’s rate cut and China’s $25 billion stimulus, global liquidity has been declining for the last 29 days. 4h: The RSI has hit 75, indicating an overbought condition. If you pull a Fibonacci retracement, the 0.618 level aligns with $64 k, which also coincides with previous weekly and daily resistance levels. This also matches the October 7th high, forming a critical level of interest. 1h: On Monday at 11 am Shanghai time, a large green candle kicked off a rally. Ten hours later, New York bulls joined the action, extending the pump. The rally lasted 19 hours, pushing BTC up by 6.23%. Alts Relative to BTC: Altcoins are moving in tandem with BTC, but this rally isn’t as much about alts as it is about Bitcoin. While BTC gained 5%, ETH, SOL, and NEAR only posted gains of 6.x%, and none have reached their previous highs. SUI, APT, and TAO have even corrected slightly after their substantial gains of 100% or more over the last 30-40 days, leaving them room to consolidate. Bull Case: We’re on the verge of exiting the bull flag pattern. Once the global liquidity index starts rising again, markets will likely be flooded with cheap money, fueling risk-on assets like crypto. A bounce off the $62.7k level will confirm it as support, pushing the bullish narrative. Bear Case: If we see a third fake breakout, it could trap all the bulls. Fear and Greed Index: Currently at 56, still in Neutral territory but just 4 points away from Greed. Prediction: The outlook remains bullish, provided we don’t see another fake breakout, and $62.7k can be established as a solid support level.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by EvgenCapital
Is Solana (SOL) Ready To Continue Next Rally? Since April-2020 low, SOL:Binance made all time high of $267.52 in November-2021 as (I) impulse sequence. Currently, it favors upside in ((3)) of I after correction of (II) ended at $7.96 low in December-2022 low. It needs to break above November-2021 high to confirm the next bullish sequence. Since April-2020 low, it placed I of (I) at $61.44 high, II at $19.04 low, III at $221.38 high, IV at $115.45 low & V at $267.52 high. After that it corrected lower in (II) as dip pullback in double correction at $7.96 low in December-2022. Within (II), it placed w at $75.34 low, x at $143.17 high & y at $7.96 low. Above (II) low, it resumed higher in ((1)) of I, which ended at $210.03 high in March-2024. In ((1)), it placed (1) at $26.78 high, (2) at $12.82 low, (3) at $126.35 high, (4) at $78.87 low & finally (5) at $210.03 high as ((1)). It corrected in ((2)) as zigzag correction, which ended at $109.89 low. Within ((2)), it placed (A) at 118.89 low as 5 swings, (B) at $194.07 high as flat & (C) at $109.89 low as ((2)). The zigzag correction missed the extreme areas before turning higher. Above ((2)) low, it placed (1) at $163.56 high & (2) at $120.40 low. It is choppy at the moment & need to break above (1) high to confirm the next move higher to be (3) to extend towards $174.84 – $208.07 area or higher levels as nest in (3). We like to buy the next pullback in 3, 7 or 11 swings, once it breaks above ((1)) high, confirming bullish sequence. Alternatively, if it breaks below $109.89 low, it can do double in ((2)) correction against December-2022 low before resume the trend.
BINANCE:SOLUSD
by EWFcw
10/11 Can positive earnings season secure BTC Pumpctober?Overview: The AMEX:SPY continues its bullish streak, hitting a new all-time high and marking the fourth consecutive day of gains. But what’s fueling all this excitement? Just a few weeks ago, concerns about World War III and a looming recession were dominating the headlines. Now, it seems like the market is brushing off those fears. Pumping the AMEX:SPY means pushing up the stocks that make up the index, which suggests an improvement in their earnings, particularly net margins. Conveniently, earnings season typically starts in mid-October and runs through late October and early November. This past week, giants like PepsiCo, Delta Air Lines, BlackRock, JPMorgan Chase, and Wells Fargo all reported earnings—and they all beat analysts' expectations. What’s notable about this group is its diversity: from consumer staples like food and beverages to airlines, signaling strong consumer purchasing power, to investment and banking companies, which are more dependent on macroeconomic factors and the Federal Reserve’s decisions. These companies, often beneficiaries of quantitative easing, could be the early indicators of a trend. With such a strong start, we might expect more companies to continue beating estimates, setting the stage for what we’re calling "Pumpctober." In the coming week, we’ll hear from other banking giants like Bank of America, Citigroup, and Goldman Sachs. Healthcare heavyweights like Johnson & Johnson and UnitedHealth Group are also on the docket, along with Netflix. You can find the full list and earnings calendar here: www.ii.co.uk So, let’s sum it up: the market is surging, consumer spending seems robust, and on Friday, Jerome Powell reported higher-than-expected CPI and core CPI. It feels like the economy is running hot, but that also means no immediate need for an interest rate cut. What clouds the picture slightly is a higher-than-expected number of jobless claims—258k compared to the expected 230k, and higher than the previous 225k. If unemployment continues to rise, it could impact company earnings by Q1 and Q2 of 2025. For now, though, we’re all in on Pumpctober, with a 90% chance of an interest rate cut in November, up from 82%. ETF Flow: The big players aren’t buying BINANCE:BTCUSD or BINANCE:ETHUSDT . Retail investors are. BlackRock and Grayscale are still sitting on the sidelines. BTC TA: W: Bitcoin is barely holding onto the Bollinger Band MA and remains below the weekly and daily levels of $64 k. It’s also under the 2024 yearly point of control (Volume Profile indicator) level of $63.2k. However, we noticed that the current price is very close to the closing levels of the last two quarterly candles—June and September both closed at $62.6k. Until it breaks below $61.4k, we can’t call it bearish just yet. D: Thursday’s close below the key $60.5k level appeared to signal a breakout, but BTC quickly retraced, turning that breakdown into a fake-out. If the stock market keeps rallying, some of that liquidity and optimism could spill over into crypto, completing a bullish flag pattern. Saturday is showing some bullish momentum, but we need today’s candle to close above $62.8k to confirm a higher high. 4h: On this time frame, Bitcoin is battling strong resistance at $63k. It’s unlikely we’ll see significant movement on a Saturday, as market makers tend to be less active, but if BTC fails to break out from $63k, it would confirm a bearish trend, and shorting from here could offer a good entry point. 1h: On Friday, we saw 7 consecutive hours of aggressive buying starting at 9 am NYC time, with volume doubling the average and pushing BTC from $61.1k to $63k, a 3.19% jump. Alts Relative to BTC: What was a lower low for BTC was a higher low for ETH, SOL, NEAR, and BNB, which is a bullish sign. However, none of these alts have established a higher high, which cancels out the bullish sentiment. The best move for now is to avoid taking positions until there’s a major breakout with confirmation. Bull Case: We could be on the verge of a trend reversal, breaking the bullish flag pattern. Both the US and Chinese economies are about to be flooded with cheaper money, which could flow into speculative assets like crypto. Bear Case: This is an ideal moment to short BTC if it fails to reclaim resistance and turn it into support. The deadline for confirmation is Sunday evening. Fear and Greed Index: 43, back to Neutral. Prediction: All eyes are on Sunday, 9 pm EST and 6 pm PST, when Asian traders will return to their desks. Expect increased volatility as bulls and bears clash. Mistakes: Both SUI and TAO have continued to pump higher despite lower volumes and volatile price swings of around 15%. If it establishes a higher high, stalls and you short - at least you can trade the range while BTC decides its direction.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by EvgenCapital
ZEC/USDT 1D Zcash is a chart I like the look of quite a lot on the 1D timeframe. ZEC has outperformed the majority of the altcoin market since it flipped the 1D 200EMA downtrend into an uptrend. The 1D 200EMA has been I a downtrend for 2.5 years since the very beginning of 2022! Since then ZEC has bounded off the moving average once with a large wick and now it has just swept liquidity and reclaimed. Waiting for a confirmation of support with some clear closes above. The local double bottom can be seen using the 0.25 line as support. The next resistance level is the 0.5 range midpoint should the 1D 200EMA close above with strength. It's important to realise that ZEC is still -92% from its $371 ATH, so it has huge room to grow once price has broken the more local range (1.0 level). If the last few months are an indication of the kind of support it has then it's a very good sign IMO. The local range that is
by ProR35
2
Alikze »» SOL | Wave 3 or C scenario - 4H🔍 Technical analysis: Wave 3 or C scenario - 4H - It is moving in an ascending channel in the 4-hour time frame. - It is currently in wave 3 or c, which can continue its growth up to the top of the channel. - A zigzag correction is observed in the corrective microwaves at the bottom of the channel, which has moved a three-wave towards the supply range. - After that, a 5-wave correction has extended to the bottom of the channel in the golden zone. - Wave a has a three-wave cycle and wave b has a five-wave cycle. - Therefore, wave c can extend to the region of the roof of the channel and the red box. 💎 According to the structure, the minimum growth up to the first supply area, the middle range of the channel and after its failure up to the second red box, the ceiling of the channel can continue its growth. ⚠️ In addition, if the region 133.181 is touched, the bullish scenario will be invalidated and should be updated again. ⚠️ »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support. Best Regards,❤️ Alikze. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« KUCOIN:SOLUSDT
Long
by alikze
10/9 Good news and bad news...Overview: Which would you prefer to hear first? Let’s start with the good news: the AMEX:SPY has updated its all-time high. If you have a 401k or any other pension fund, you’re likely seeing gains. Also, it's hard to argue that a recession is looming when the stock market is booming. Now for the bad news: crypto is down. Normally, this wouldn’t be alarming, as all markets fluctuate. But it's concerning when we see a divergence between the stock market and crypto. Even riskier tech stocks, like those in the NASDAQ:QQQ index, climbed 0.79%. If traders are eager to buy equities, why not crypto, or at least BINANCE:BTCUSD ? Tomorrow, all eyes will be on Jerome Powell as he delivers the CPI and Core CPI data along with initial jobless claims. Given that recent job reports nearly doubled expectations, we predict fewer jobless claims. The question is: will positive macroeconomic data help? On one hand, it means people have money to spend, which could benefit crypto. On the other hand, it could reduce the chances of aggressive rate cuts, keeping liquidity constrained, and preventing speculative assets from soaring. BlackRock continues dollar-cost averaging into Bitcoin but hasn’t touched its ETH ETF. When did ETH become so hated? CME fedwatch tool shows an increase in the probability of no rate cut in November, up to 17.2%, while the chances of a one-base-point cut sit at 82.2%. BTC TA: W: BTC needs to close above $61.4k to keep bulls in the game. Unfortunately, after today's drop, BTC fell below this crucial level, breaking the bullish structure it had been building since September 7th. Another important level is $62.7k, the point of control for the entire 2024 bull run, which was rejected yesterday. This week is shaping up to print another red candle, following the previous week. D: While the weekly levels are invalidated, the daily levels still offer hope. BTC bounced from the $60.6k support level, and we haven’t seen four consecutive red days since August. If tomorrow's CPI data hints at a bullish sentiment, we might see a small rally back to $62.1k. 4h: Price is currently closer to the lowest Bollinger Band, indicating it needs to catch up with its moving average. 1h: BTC has reached the Bollinger Bands' moving average, but for a stronger recovery, it needs to break beyond this level on the 4h chart to confirm a bounce. Alts Relative to BTC: TAO, SUI, and APT have reached higher highs, but with lower volumes, suggesting that the bullish trend is losing steam. These gains were likely driven by retail investors, FOMOing into the rally. Meanwhile, FTM is showing bearish MACD divergence on the 4-hour chart and was rejected at its weekly resistance of $0.69. Bull Case: At $60k, BTC is relatively cheap, considering how much adoption and recognition crypto has gained in 2024. Since we didn’t experience a massive sell-off in September and have held up into October, this might be your last chance to buy BTC at a sub-$100k price. Additionally, we’re in the Fear territory on the Fear and Greed Index, which historically offers an 83% chance of profitability if bought during this phase. Bear Case: From a technical perspective, things look bearish. Many key support levels have been invalidated, and the likelihood of the Fed not cutting rates in November continues to rise. Fear and Greed Index: 37 (Fear). Prediction: BTC may rebound to $62.1k before resuming its decline. Expect TAO, SUI, and APT to follow BTC's movements, with a potential drop back to pre-BTC ETF levels, which could see declines of 55-60%. Opportunities: Short TAO, SUI, APT, FTM.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by EvgenCapital
SOL forecasts SOL/USD Technical Analysis 🌐💹 1. Key Resistance Levels: - $260: A major resistance zone. The price has struggled at this level before, and it may act as a significant barrier again in the near future. 🚧 - $290: The next potential resistance target after breaking through $260. If SOL breaks above $260, this level could serve as the next upward target. 🎯 - $220: An intermediate resistance level between $122 and $260. This could be the first major hurdle for any upward movement. 📈 2. Key Support Levels: - $122: A strong support area that has held up well in previous price movements. If SOL faces downward pressure, this could be a key level to watch. 🛡️ - $77.81: Another crucial support zone that could prevent further declines if the price drops below $122. 🔑 - $27.06: The final strong support zone; this level is critical as the last defense before a potential significant drop. 📉 3. Potential Scenarios: - Bullish Case: If the price breaks through the $220 resistance, a move toward $260 and then potentially $290 could follow. A strong breakout above $290 would signal a major uptrend. 🚀 - Bearish Case: If the price fails to hold above $122, SOL could drop toward $77.81, with the $27.06 level acting as a crucial floor if bearish momentum continues. 🔻 Overall, the price is currently consolidating around $140.68, and traders should watch for breakouts or breakdowns from these key levels to determine the next major move.
COINBASE:SOLUSD
by ahmadarz
2
10/8 Market Tensions as S&P500 Wobbles Ahead of CPI, BTC Holds.Overview: The AMEX:SPY is hovering around its all-time highs, showing limited movement as investors await Thursday’s CPI report. Anticipation is building, but it seems the U.S. market may not make any significant moves until inflation data provides clearer direction. BTC TA: W: When examining the volume profile of this year's entire bull phase, the point of control—where the most trading volume occurred—stands at $63 K. This explains why BINANCE:BTCUSDT might consolidate at the current price range for longer than expected. Despite a second false breakout attempt, Bitcoin remains trapped between the crucial monthly support level of $61.4K and resistance at $64 K. On one hand, geopolitical tensions are escalating in the Middle East, while on the other, China's government has announced a $28 billion investment package. The SSE Composite Index surged 30%, though it recently corrected by 11% over the last two days. Notably, some of the significant green candles can be attributed to Asian market open times. D: The daily chart paints a clear picture of the price struggling to escape bearish pressure. It’s hovering just below the Bollinger Bands’ moving average. Monday presented a bearish hammer, and Tuesday ended with an indecisive doji. 4h: No divergences are evident on the MACD or CVD. The RSI sits around 45, indicating balanced buying and selling pressure. 1h: Price is oscillating around the $62.2K point of control level without any strong signals for bullish or bearish momentum. Alts relative to BTC: Major altcoins are moving in line with Bitcoin, with little divergence. However, SUI and TAO, after their impressive runs to all-time highs, have begun to correct. Bull case: If Trump is re-elected, accompanied by more interest rate cuts, this could boost the bullish narrative. The bull flag on the weekly chart is becoming more apparent and, if it breaks out, could signal a further upward trend. The formation of a reverse head and shoulders at the beginning of July, August, and September also supports a bullish outlook. Bear case: However, bears point out that we’re still in a pattern of lower highs and lower lows. The double fake bull breakouts in recent upticks further signal caution. The market lacks new narratives, and regulatory crackdowns continue. Major CEXs now require strict KYC compliance, cutting off trading access for users in China, the UK, the U.S., and other key markets. While VPNs offer a workaround, the risks of locked accounts on exchanges registered in jurisdictions like the Cayman Islands add significant risk for traders. Fear and Greed Index: 41.71 - Neutral.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by EvgenCapital