10/7 Can BTC hold bullish trend or was it a fake break out?Overview :
The AMEX:SPY posted a decisive red candle today, with a strong bearish body. It’s rare to see appreciating equities while global liquidity has been declining for 21 consecutive days. The index is now trading at the lower end of the range established after the rate cut. The main sectors pulling it down include big tech (with the exception of beloved NVDA, which rose 2.24%), as well as utilities, insurance, and finance. On the other hand, oil, gas, and healthcare showed gains.
Since Friday, the number of traders expecting no rate cut in November has quadrupled from 2.6% to 13.7%. This reflects market uncertainty: while no rate cut means continued tight credit conditions and less liquidity, it also signals the Fed’s confidence in a strong job market and rising salaries. The question remains, which factor will weigh heavier on speculative assets like crypto? Less liquidity suggests a bearish outlook, but a stronger job market could be bullish.
This week could be pivotal for crypto. The question is whether BINANCE:BTCUSDT will hold above the 61.5k support level or break down, ending the fifth wave of this year’s crypto bull run.
BTC TA :
Weekly : After bullish momentum yesterday and earlier today, Bitcoin has since corrected. It’s now sitting at the BB MA and has moved away from the biggest volume node, leaving the point of control (POC). The 61.3k - 62.6k range isn't seeing much volume, and BTC will either hold above this or break through, which would be critical.
Daily : Bitcoin retested the MM BA resistance after falling beneath it. Monday ended with a bearish hammer, signaling caution. No major divergences were spotted on key indicators. Last week on Friday we wrote "Daily had a nice pull back after dumping from bull trap. Given the last 16 days of trading, upper resistance is at $63.3 k. It will need a real miracle to brake that level." The promised pull back played out. Price actually rose to 64.4k. But miracle of braking it didn't happen.
4-Hour : No divergences, and the trend seems uncertain.
1-Hour : Over the weekend, Asian bulls pushed BTC upwards, triggering short liquidations that drove prices up to 63.9k. However, the upward movement was halted at the significant weekly resistance of $64 k. A pullback followed. Early Monday, U.S. bulls retested the $64 k level again, pushing prices as high as 64.4k. This retrace fell within the Fibonacci golden pocket, specifically between the 0.618 and 0.786 levels when measured from the high on September 27th.
Alts Relative to BTC: NEAR, APT, TAO, FTM, and SUI are outpacing BTC and other altcoins as Monday progressed. ETH and SOL, however, remain closely aligned with BTC’s movements.
Bull Case : Since early September, we’ve seen the beginnings of a new bull run, which could be fueled by potential rate cuts and improving macroeconomic conditions. A breakout from the bullish flag consolidation pattern forming on the weekly chart could lead to significant upside.
Bear Case: The fifth wave may already be over, and we could be headed downward, marking the end of this year’s bull run.
Fear and Greed Index : 41.49, indicating a neutral sentiment.
This week holds the key for BTC's next move. Will it hold support or break down? Stay tuned.
SOL
Is SOLUSDT About to Break Down?Yello Paradisers! 🔥 Is SOLUSDT on the verge of a major bearish move? Let’s break it down! 👀
💎SOLUSDT has flashed a Change of Character (CHoCH), hinting at a shift toward a bearish market structure. The current setup is starting to resemble a Head and Shoulders pattern, a classic signal of an impending downtrend.
💎Additionally, after the CHoCH, we saw a Bearish Engulfing pattern forming right on the resistance zone, further strengthening the bearish case. However, a supportive trendline below could provide temporary relief, so caution is essential!
💎If the price rises from the current level, a pullback from the strong resistance zone may be in play. If an Internal CHoCH (I-CHoCH) appears from this resistance area, it will reinforce the bearish potential and signal a continuation of the downtrend.
💎That said, any breakout and candle close above the strong resistance zone will invalidate this entire bearish outlook.
Stay patient and trade with discipline, Paradisers. The market is at a crossroads—let the charts confirm the move before jumping in. This is where strategic planning separates consistent traders from the rest.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
SOLUSDT - Long Trade IdeaThis seems like a nice long opportunity on SOLUSDT perpetual contract pair.
The trade will be within the range of price moving from a weekly BISI to a weekly SIBI coupled with relative equal high liquidity.
I am anticipating a daily retracement lower, although it may not go as low as my entry. Either way, I am more interested in the trade idea panning out, and can always look for a refined entry if price is indicating that it is not coming to my entry.
SL below the last expansion low that reached into nested weekly PD Arrays.
- R2F
The possibility of forming a selling position for SolanaAs shown in the 4-hour chart, after a sharp downward movement near the main daily support, the price has created an upward movement, which in fact created liquidity to take further liquidity.
Currently, due to reaching the range of the daily key level and the 4-hour breaker block that I have specified, as well as the weakness of the trend that can be seen in reaching the resistance, I expect a rejection and a selling position from this area.
10/4 Nice rebound. Can we crash now? Overview:
The AMEX:SPY opened Friday significantly higher than Thursday’s close, forming a bullish hammer candle and edging closer to its all-time high. This week closed higher than the previous week, though the previous week did see higher prices.
The NASDAQ:QQQ mirrored the S&P’s action, showing similar price movement. BlackRock continues dollar-cost averaging into its ETH ETF, while other major players remain on the sidelines.
One critical trend to monitor: Bitcoin has historically struggled to hit new all-time highs or maintain upward momentum when the Global Liquidity Index is in decline. Unfortunately, the index has been falling for the past 19 days.
You can learn more about Global Liquidity Index and add it to your chart:
The CME Fed Watch Tool has now removed the possibility of a half-percentage point rate cut in November, replacing it with a chance of no rate cut at all. Currently, 2.6% of traders believe there will be no rate cut in November, while 97.4% expect a 1 basis point cut. Even with a rate cut, it will take time for liquidity to flow back into markets. By the time that happens, Bitcoin may hit its bottom for this cycle, signaling the start of a new bullish phase. Be sure to have cash ready for that opportunity.
BTC Technical Analysis:
W: BTC’s price is nearing the Bollinger Band Moving Average (BB MA) at $62.6k. If Sunday’s price rises by $456, it would close at or above that level, offering temporary hope to bulls. However, a more critical level to watch is the previous weekly close at $64.1k.
D : After a significant pullback from the bull trap, daily resistance is set at $63.3k. Breaking that level will require significant momentum.
4h & 1h: No clear signals on these timeframes. In a limbo.
Altcoins Relative to BTC:
APT and TAO have remained stable over the last 5 days, showing no significant declines after BTC’s bull trap. Shorting opportunities might arise soon.
Bull Case: Looking at the past 28 days, we see a clear bullish trend with higher highs and higher lows. As liquidity eventually enters the market, more capital could flow into crypto, pushing prices higher.
Bear Case: On a broader scale, since the start of the year, the market is still showing lower highs and lower lows, suggesting bearish risks are still present.
Fear and Greed Index: 40.78 – Back to neutral.
BULL and BEAR targets for EOY and October (SOL)Hello Tradingview community!
As always: If these patterns I'm showcasing doesn't work as predicted..
then please don't come crying to me (ty) -> NFA DYOR
I have made the chart super simple to understand as you can see
We got an October target: 160ish zone (resistance)
and we got a bear and bull target for EOY
Bull EOY target: 200-250 (I find this the most likely)
Bear EOY target 100-110 (I don't find it likely, but i do consider it)
EDIT: in previous post I've stated if Bitcoin does "crash hard" to new lows
I could see SOL hitting even 80 dollars (i still find it unlikely)
Of course these are just ideas.. What do you think will happen EOY for COINBASE:SOLUSD ?
I'm more "bullish" than bearish clearly, but I do always keep those
bearish targets in mind.
BOOST the post if you like what you see
and Follow for even more post about SOL in the near future!
NFA DYOR <<<-----
SOLANA Go for sure targets not fairytales.Solana / SOLUSD is about to close a day of strong gains above the 1day MA50.
This is coming straight on Higher Lows since Sep 6th in a similar way as the May 1st Channel Up that hit the 0.786 Fibonacci level on the Falling Resistance.
Buy and target 171.00 (Fib 0.786).
Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
10/3 Bye Bye cryptoOverview:
Unemployment dropped to 4.1%, slightly lower than the expected 4.2%. September’s jobs report revealed a 254k increase in hiring, well above the forecasted 150k. This means there's now a reduced chance of a double basis point rate cut in November, which is bad news for risk-on assets like crypto. The CME tool now shows a 92.5% chance for a single basis point rate cut, up from 47% just a week ago.
Next week, CPI and PPI reports will be released, which will be crucial for gauging inflation. Meanwhile, BlackRock continues its dollar-cost averaging into both BTC and ETH ETFs, while others are either selling or staying on the sidelines.
Fun fact: at 8:30 a.m. Eastern, an interesting event occurred. Someone placed a market buy order for BTC, causing a 0.38% price spike. The volume for that minute was 196 Bitcoin, worth around $12 million at a price of $61.5k. Since the candle was green, it suggests more than 50% of that volume was buying pressure. Did someone purchase $7 million worth of Bitcoin? While that large order initially triggered a brief buying spree, just an hour later, the price began to dump. This shows either whales aren't fully in control of the market, or $7 million isn't enough to sway it for long.
BTC TA:
W: BTC remains steady at the same weekly level, with no significant movement.
D: Similarly, daily price levels remain stagnant.
4h: MACD and RSI continue to climb from the bottom, indicating potential for further bullish movement. However, the overall market sentiment, driven by geopolitical and economic news, may hamper this upward trajectory.
1h: BTC has seemingly found support between $61.9k and $60.1k. However, the chances of an upward breakout appear slim given the macroeconomic conditions.
Altcoins Relative to BTC:
Yesterday, we suggested shorting SUI, which proceeded to collapse 13%.
Bull Case: BTC bounces off its current support level and recovers to $63k.
Bear Case: Economic data may reveal that inflation is here to stay, and the Fed won't cut rates as quickly as the market hoped. Even when the rate cut comes, it could take months for the economy to adjust. Additionally, the Global Liquidity Index continues to decline despite rate cuts from both the U.S. and China.
Fear and Greed Index: 36.11 – Fear.
When this indicator moves into fear territory, we often recommend buying blue-chip altcoins, even for short-term traders. It's wise to keep a separate long-term investment account. Remember the saying: Be greedy when others are fearful.
Prediction:
BTC and the broader crypto market may continue to decline.
SOL could be 200-250 EOY and even 500-800 Q3-Q4 2025Hello Tradingview community!
Before i explain my idea.. I want to make it very clear this is just an "idea" and nothing more -
If this doesn't predict as i've shown on the chart then please don't come crying to me (ty)
- DYOR NFA
Alright, so my idea is fairly simply as you can see..
I believe EOY COINBASE:SOLUSD could be at 200-250 (very possible)
and even at 500-800 price range at Q3-Q4 2025 (hard to predict that one)
SOL does have a chance to to visit 80-100 zone before doing these bullish scenarios!
Personally i don't think SOL will go that low honestly, but it's in the range clearly
so it's far from impossible.
RSI also looks like it's few weeks away from breaking out (usually a good sign)
Anyway - NFA DYOR.
Four Horseman of Defi !?Defi is dominated by four sectors. Chains. Staking. Dexs. Lending. Those four sectors cover majority of crypto space today. Together they create a liquid financial market. Tomorrow they may help spawn an emerging sector like ai, gaming, metaverse, nft, depin, etc into a dominate industry.
Unfortunately for many those emerging sectors have yet to become dominate day to day within crypto or outside of crypto.
For now we have chains, staking, swapping and lending.
We have four chains that are widely available on centralised exchanges. Ethereum, Solana, Sui and Avalanche.
The four assets listed here cover all four widely available high performing chains in all four high performing sub sectors.
BenQI is the high performing lending protocol on AVAX.
Uniswap is the high performing dex on Ethereum (and defi space as a whole).
Sui is the high performing growth layer 1 chain leading after the big3 (eth, sol and bsc).
Jito is the high performing staking protocol on Solana.
PULSECHAIN is Gaining marketshare versus SOLANAWHY?
Because #SOL is considered a safe blue chip asset now.
One of the top 3.
Nobody will laugh at you if you tell them you have invested in SOL.
Instead they may congratulate you
assuming you have made a 10X on it
and a 50X on #WIF
Yes alot of smart investors bought Solana at $25 on a technical breakout of beautiful structures --- ones I highlighted at the time.
But more people bought around $125 chasing the momentum or buying the pullback assuming that it will break into new highs next year..
Yet #FTX Alameda will still unload a Billion dollars worth of coins..
and SOL inflation sits around 20% a year.
People hate #Pulsechain
I mean really hate Pulsechain
and people definitely will laugh at you
if you told them that you own it.
Yet QUIETLY it is up over 70% versus SOL in the past few weeks.
This makes PLS a contrarian bet
That could yield high rewards.
I believe this trend can continue ... do you?
#SOLUSDT #1D (Bybit) Symmetrical triangle break and retestSolana pulled back to 100EMA regained support where it bounced forming a morning star, resuming bullish would make sense.
⚡️⚡️ #SOL/USDT ⚡️⚡️
Exchanges: ByBit USDT
Signal Type: Regular (Long)
Leverage: Isolated (6.0X)
Amount: 4.4%
Current Price:
150.58
Entry Targets:
1) 149.03
Take-Profit Targets:
1) 171.43
Stop Targets:
1) 137.81
Published By: @Zblaba
CRYPTOCAP:SOL BINANCE:SOLUSDT.P #Solana #PoS solana.com
Risk/Reward= 1:2.0
Expected Profit= +90.2%
Possible Loss= -45.2%
Estimated Gaintime= 3-4 weeks
10/2 Friday will decide your crypto fate.Overview:
The AMEX:SPY opened lower than yesterday's close, continuing its bearish trend, but managed to recover and end the day in the green. However, the MACD on both the daily and 4-hour charts shows a bearish divergence, indicating potential weakness ahead. Tesla took a significant hit, dropping by 3.5% and ranking among the day's biggest losers.
NASDAQ:QQQ also saw a decline, though less severe, as it isn’t facing the same pressure from all-time highs as other sectors. Tomorrow, the FED will release the latest initial jobless claims data. If claims come in below the expected 220,000, this could indicate an improving labor market, which would make it harder for the FED to aggressively cut interest rates. So, if you want that rate cut, maybe submit that jobless claim!
BlackRock ended its 7-day Bitcoin ETF buying streak, selling $13.7 million worth of Bitcoin today. This is roughly half of the largest amount they have sold in one day, which was $38.9 million.
BTC TA:
W: The situation remains unchanged from yesterday. BINANCE:BTCUSD is still sitting below critical levels that could have shifted the trend to bullish. Geopolitical tensions and a strengthening U.S. job market are likely to keep the weekly candle in the red.
D: Wednesday's candle formed a red doji, with both the open and close below the crucial $61.4k weekly level. Early Thursday price action briefly touched this level before pulling back, confirming it as a resistance. The MACD and RSI are still working through the aftermath of the divergence seen during the bull trap, showing no signs of trend reversal. A short-term pullback to the $62.5k-$63k level is possible but more evident on lower timeframes. Neutral.
4h: RSI is in the oversold zone, and the MACD histogram shows the downtrend is losing momentum. It took significantly less volume to push the price lower to $60k, suggesting a potential short-term bullish move toward the BB MA at $62.5k.
1h: London traders triggered a mass sell-off in the last two hours, pushing BTC down 1.46% and rebounding from the $61.4k resistance level. Have you copied these key levels to your chart? The next question: Will $60k hold, or will it break in the next few minutes?
Alts Relative to BTC:
Major altcoins like SOL, NEAR, and ETH have all broken their lows and are heading toward their early September levels. TAO and FTM, which performed well last week, are not immune, declining by 7%. Only SUI is holding steady for now, but for how long?
Bull Case:
If Jerome Powell reports on Friday that inflation has cooled, it would confirm a slowing economy and pave the way for further interest rate cuts. This could spark the 6th bull wave, sending crypto prices soaring once again.
Bear Case:
This week could continue to see prices fall further, potentially marking the end of the 2024 crypto bull run.
Fear and Greed Index:
The index stands at 36.22, well into the Fear territory. Historically, when the index dips below 40, it's a signal to start buying some blue-chip altcoins, even if you're a day or swing trader. We recommend having a separate account for long-term investments. Remember: Be greedy when others are fearful.
Prediction:
If we can dodge the bullet of World War III and the market remains unaffected by major macro events, we could see a correction to the $62.5k-$64 k level.
Opportunities:
Short the last standing king of altcoins - SUI.
Final Solana Leg?Trade is simple. seasonality seems to be on our side here, also we've been in a range for most of the year which in my opinion seems to be a distribution range, so i guess this makes a final leg then crashes real hard back below $100. But that's getting way ahead of things as of right now the trade is long!
10/1 Bull trap is confirmed. Monthly level $64k didn't hold.Overview:
The AMEX:SPY started the day with a large red candle, erasing all of Jerome Powell's optimism from his speech yesterday. Early in the session, before the Federal Reserve even released its report, the market was already sliding, triggered by more-than-expected job openings. Within the first 60 minutes of trading, all of last week's gains vanished. Adding to the downturn, trading volume surged, surpassing yesterday’s levels, signaling increased selling pressure.
As is typical, the Nasdaq NASDAQ:QQQ experienced more significant swings, hitting its lowest point of the day, which coincided with the highest point from last Wednesday’s rate cut announcement. This underscores the volatility in the tech sector.
All eyes are now on Friday's unemployment rate report, where the market expects a figure of 4.2%. Should the report show lower unemployment driven by improving labor conditions, it may compel the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates high. Such a move could further dampen the growth of risky assets like stocks and cryptocurrencies.
Tuesday marked the first day of negative ETF flows for Bitcoin. Major players like Fidelity, Bitwise, and ARK Invest dumped approximately $250 million worth of BINANCE:BTCUSDT . Meanwhile, BlackRock continued its seven-day buying spree, leaving many to wonder: Do they know something retail investors don't? Or perhaps they aren't as "smart money" as often assumed? Only time will tell if loading up at the 60k level was a wise move.
Despite initial hopes, Bitcoin has not yet proven itself as a safe haven asset like gold or Swiss francs. In times of heightened geopolitical tension, such as the recent events in the Middle East, risky assets like Bitcoin and altcoins tend to suffer the most.
BTC TA:
W: In just two trading days, Bitcoin’s weekly candle turned red, dropping the price below the $64 k level, which coincided with both monthly and weekly resistance. Up until Monday, there was still hope for a potential fifth bull wave if BTC could recover the $64 k level after the initial drop. However, continued selling pressure wiped out any bullish momentum.
D: Monday's bearish prediction proved correct, with Bitcoin dropping by 3.98% on Tuesday. This sell-off is significant but not unprecedented, as larger price movements occurred in early August with losses of 5.70% on August 2nd and 7% on August 5th. Are we seeing a repeat of early August? September's first week wasn't particularly bullish either, with prices briefly touching 56.9k. Unfortunately, the current MACD setup looks eerily similar to the lead-up to the August 5th crash. Currently, BTC is hovering around the 61.5k level, which was drawn weeks ago as a key support.
4h: The RSI is now oversold, but the MACD has not yet shown any bullish divergence. There is potential for a short-term recovery to the 63.5k - $64 k level, but sentiment remains cautious. Short-term bullish.
1h: On the 1-hour chart, the RSI has started to rise, moving toward the 50 level, indicating a neutral stance. No clear divergences have formed.
Altcoins Relative to BTC:
Earlier in the week, altcoins were outperforming Bitcoin, negating any concerns of a bull trap. However, they have since retraced to their respective moving averages without front-running this recent BTC crash. Altcoins are moving in sync with Bitcoin, showing no major divergence.
Bull Case:
BlackRock could be proven right, continuing to buy at the 60k level. Should Bitcoin dip to the $58-60k range, they may accumulate even more, reversing the bearish sentiment and forcing retail traders to halt their selling.
Bear Case:
The fifth bullish wave has officially failed, confirming a massive bull trap. If BlackRock's strategy fails, retail investors may see a significant wipeout.
Fear and Greed Index:
The Fear and Greed Index dropped to 39, officially entering "Fear" territory. Historically, entering the fear zone has led to steep declines:
07/04: The market dropped 6% the next day.
08/04: A 15% drop occurred the following day.
09/03: A 9.25% decline within three days.
Prediction:
The bull run appears to be invalidated. After three weeks of growth, BTC is now likely to correct down to at least the 61.4k - 59.1k range by the end of this week.
9/30 Market Surge: SP500, Crypto, and Whale AccumulationOverview:
The AMEX:SPY closed strongly today, spurred by dovish remarks from Jerome Powell during a press conference. Powell signaled that the economy is cooling and reiterated the Federal Reserve’s commitment to achieving 2% inflation. As a result, 61% of traders now anticipate a 1 basis point rate cut in November, while 39% expect a 2 basis point cut. The AMEX:SPY had been gradually sliding earlier in the day, but Powell’s comments fueled a rally, allowing the index to engulf Friday’s red candle. Trading volume for the SPY ETF more than tripled during the press conference, reaching levels similar to Wednesday, September 18, when the recent rate cut was announced. Bullish.
The tech ETF NASDAQ:QQQ didn’t manage to engulf Friday’s candle but still saw a solid rally, accompanied by trading volume that was 10x higher than usual.
BlackRock continued its buying spree, acquiring $72.2 million worth of BTC, which is below their usual $118 million purchases. Over the past six days, BlackRock has accumulated nearly half a billion dollars worth of BTC and an additional $100 million of ETH. Is this how whales are dollar-cost averaging into the market?
BTC TA:
W: BINANCE:BTCUSD saw a sharp sell-off originating from Asia early Monday. Despite this, it remains above the Bollinger Band MA at $62.8k. The point of control for the current bull move is at $63k, with key weekly and daily resistance at $64k. BTC must hold within the $63k-64k range to maintain the bullish trend; failing to do so could signal one of the year’s largest bull traps.
D: The recent correction has halted precisely at the point of control, where the most trading activity occurs. However, the RSI remains overbought at 73.4, and the MACD shows bearish histogram divergence. Bearish.
4h: On shorter timeframes, RSI has moved into oversold territory. Additionally, the VWAP oscillator has crossed above the 0 line, signaling short-term bullishness. A rebound to the $64.7k Fibonacci 0.618 level is possible. Bullish in the short term.
1h: Price broke through the weekly and monthly resistance at $64 k but is struggling to maintain this level due to significant selling pressure. Neutral to bearish.
Altcoins Relative to BTC:
Top altcoins have started pumping again after Monday’s correction. Coins like SUI, APT, and FTM posted gains of more than 7% by early Tuesday. These altcoins have proven that the recent correction was not a bull trap and are leading the market in this cycle. Even if BTC remains range-bound, altcoins could continue to pump, interpreting the situation as a non-bear market scenario.
Bull Case:
The bull trap has been avoided, and the market has resumed its uptrend. With additional liquidity expected from future rate cuts, the correction is seen as a temporary pullback. The Federal Reserve's dovish stance increases the likelihood of more liquidity flowing into speculative assets like crypto.
Bear Case:
The market may still be caught in a massive bull trap. Altcoin buyers at these levels could find themselves overexposed if the broader market falters.
Fear and Greed Index:
Currently at 47.89, the index has pulled back from the "Greed" area and is now just below the midpoint of 50, indicating a neutral sentiment in the market.
Prediction:
If BTC fails to reclaim $64 k , sentiment may shift bearish in the near term. Conversely, reclaiming this level could pave the way for further upside, with a first target of $67k.
9/28 Huge trend reversal. Bullish on crypto. Overview:
Both the AMEX:SPY and NASDAQ:QQQ closed with red candles, yet neither index dropped below the previous day's low. This, coupled with low trading volume, suggests the current price levels may hold for a while. Both indices display bearish divergences on the MACD histogram and lines, signaling potential weakness.
The Federal Reserve reported August’s core PCE at 2.7% y-o-y, aligning with expectations and slightly up from July's 2.6%. Speculation surrounds whether rate cuts are fueling inflation, though typically, it takes months for such measures to impact the economy. Next year’s CPI and PPI readings will be crucial.
ETF funds have been on a buying spree for seven consecutive days, with September 27th seeing record-high volumes—five times the average.
Bitcoin Technical Analysis:
W: BINANCE:BTCUSD remains above the Bollinger Bands’ MA, in line with the yearly bull-run volume point of control. After two months of bearish sentiment, signs of a trend reversal are emerging. Resistance is at $67.5k. Bullish.
D: BTC broke above $64 k on Thursday and has held above this key level. However, RSI is now at 66.57, approaching overbought territory.
4h: RSI is overbought at 73.28, showing a double peak. MACD’s bearish crossover suggests a pullback to support levels at $65.2k or $64.4k. We expect either a pullback or sideways trading, allowing the MA to catch up. Bearish to neutral.
1h: The lower timeframes indicate BTC is undergoing a correction phase. Neutral.
Altcoins Relative to BTC:
No major divergences are observed. Unlike BTC, ETH and SOL have yet to reach their previous August 25th highs. Newer alts like SUI, TAO, and NEAR have surpassed their highs, showing strong performance.
Bullish Scenario:
With BTC holding above GETTEX:64K on the weekly chart, a bullish outlook is more plausible. Global rate cuts may inject liquidity into speculative assets, boosting crypto prices.
Bearish Scenario:
There’s a risk that the current rally is a bull trap, with a potential sharp reversal.
Fear and Greed Index:
The index is at 56.67, nearing the “greedy” zone, indicating growing optimism.
Prediction:
BTC may correct to $64 k before resuming its rally, with the next target being $67k.
Opportunities:
Bearish: BNB is at monthly resistance, with MACD bearish divergence. NEAR, RNDR, TAO, FTM, and UNI have hit weekly resistance levels, suggesting potential trend reversals. FTM and UNI still haven’t completed their corrections, and MACD divergences may appear over the weekend.
Bullish: AR has rebounded from its weekly support level, indicating a strong recovery.
SOLUSDT Flag Pattern Alert - Potential Breakout Ahead!SOL/USDT is currently forming a flag pattern within a key support and resistance zone. After several days of consolidation, the price action indicates a possible breakout. Watch for a decisive move above the upper boundary of the flag, which could signal a sudden upward momentum. Remember to always set a stop loss to manage risk effectively.
SOLUSDT (4h Chart) Technical analysis
SOLUSDT (4h Chart) Currently trading at $146
Buy level: Above $146.5
Stop loss: Below $140
TP1: $150
TP2: $155
TP3: $165
TP4: $180
Max Leverage 5x
Follow Our Tradingview Account for More Technical Analysis Updates, | Like, Share and Comment Your thoughts
Solana: Close Call!Solana rose further last week, approaching the important resistance line at $163.44. Consequently, we have raised the probability of our alternative scenario to a whopping 43%. This scenario still locates the price in an extended blue wave (i). However, we primarily locate the coin in the same-colored wave (ii), which should initially approach our Zone (between $85.15 and $30.79) before being replaced by an impulsive rise to above the $210.03 mark.
SOL/USDT 1D Long-TermHello everyone, let's look at the 1D SOL to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price has broken out of the downtrend line.
Let's start by setting goals for the near future, which include:
T1 = $161
T2 = $172
T3 = $191
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to decline:
SL1 = $144
SL2 = $132
SL3 = $112
SL4 = $98
9/25 Altcoins and BTC Await Next MovesOverview:
AMEX:SPY displayed a minor decline yesterday, forming a small red candle while remaining near the upper boundary of its current trading range. This pullback is largely attributed to the underperformance of the oil and gas sector, which saw significant declines. Despite this, there are no clear indications of bearish momentum building up at this stage.
NASDAQ:QQQ closed with a green candle, successfully surpassing the previous high set on August 22nd. This breakout signals bullish momentum and a positive outlook for the tech-heavy index.
BTC TA:
W: Bitcoin is holding above the Bollinger Bands' moving average but remains below the critical weekly resistance level of $64 k. This positioning reflects a neutral to slightly bearish outlook.
D: The daily chart reveals why the weekly candle only has a wick above $64 k. Unfortunately, Bitcoin failed to maintain its support line and is now trading below it. If further correction occurs, the target is around $60.3k, where the highest volume of trading activity has been observed.
4h: Analyzing the recent bull run from September 6th, the Volume Range Volume Profile (VRVP) point of control aligns closely with the current price level, indicating significant trading activity here. A breakout could lead to either a drop to $43k or a surge to $80k. Keep an eye on the bearish MACD line divergence, which, although present, needs confirmation on the 1-hour timeframe.
1h: The previously observed divergence has dissipated, and the market is now range trading, indicating a neutral outlook.
Altcoins Relative to BTC:
Most major altcoins peaked 2-3 days ago and are now waiting for Bitcoin’s next move to decide their direction.
Bull Case:
As long as Bitcoin maintains its support level without breaking down, there's an increased likelihood of a gradual rise. Current market behavior suggests we are in an accumulation phase, which could precede a strong upward movement.
Bear Case:
We might be experiencing the peak of a bull trap. Economic indicators are not favorable, and there is a risk that large holders (whales) may begin selling off their positions.
Fear and Greed Index:
The index has dropped slightly to 48.34 from yesterday's 52.83, indicating a slight shift towards fear in the market.
Prediction and Opportunities:
On weekly and 4-hour charts, there are divergences in major altcoins, presenting potential opportunities. SOL successfully broke through its $144 resistance level, and ETH did the same with its $2,550 support, establishing these as new support levels. AR also confirmed its $21.73 support level. These setups could offer profitable trading opportunities if confirmed by further price action.
Correction Notice:
In yesterday's analysis, we incorrectly stated that BlackRock had been on the sidelines with Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs. New data reveals the opposite: BlackRock made significant purchases of $98.9 m and $184 m worth of BTC on consecutive days, along with a $59.3 m purchase of ETH. While Fidelity customers showed reduced interest, with some selling BTC, BlackRock’s aggressive buying suggests divergent strategies among major players. This highlights the complexities of using ETF flows as a metric, as there is no clear way to track "smart money" in the crypto space. It’s intriguing to observe the varying purchase patterns between BlackRock, Grayscale, and Fidelity.