Solana (SOL): Bullish Continuation after Neckline BreakoutWhat I see:
Chart Patterns (Head and Shoulders): The chart illustrates a classic "Head and Shoulders" pattern. The left shoulder, head, and right shoulder are formed, and the neckline (the blue dashed line) has been broken, which suggests that the price could rise towards the target zone above the broken neckline.
Target Price: Based on the pattern and technical analysis, the potential target for the price could be around $219.84, as indicated by the box in the upper right corner. This target aligns with the upward trend continuation from the broken neckline.
Support Zones: There are several key support levels below the current price, including the lower zone marked in blue around $95.50 and the potential demand area in the middle blue zone (around $136.34). These could act as areas for price to rebound from if there's a pullback.
Trend Line and Movement: The dotted blue trend line suggests an ascending trend, showing higher lows, and the price is likely to continue upward after the recent breakout above the neckline.
Given the broken neckline and the formation of the Head and Shoulders pattern, the bullish scenario appears more likely. A price target of around $219.84 seems feasible if the upward momentum continues. However, if the price fails to hold above the neckline or reverses, the support zones could provide areas for potential price bounces, with the $136.34 region as a significant level to watch for possible buying opportunities. Therefore, the most probable outcome aligns with the bullish scenario (towards $219.84).
Solana
Bulls will be disappointed - Weekly Update August 5-11thSolana appears to be in the final leg of a complex corrective structure. According to the current Elliott Wave count, the larger cycle degree is unfolding in a downward wave c, while the primary degree is in an upward wave B, subdividing into intermediate wave C, which itself is in minor wave C—now developing.
The corrective decline from the July high has retraced toward the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level (~$157) of the prior move, marking a typical zone for the end of Wave B within a flat or zig-zag formation. From this low, Solana has begun to push higher, indicating the likely beginning of Wave C to the upside. Based on Fibonacci extensions, the potential target zone for this move lies between $236 (1.0 extension) and $254 (1.236 extension).
From a market structure perspective, funding rates across major perpetual futures markets for SOL remain slightly negative or neutral, indicating that the majority of traders are not aggressively long at this stage. This often provides a more stable environment for an upward move, as it suggests the absence of overcrowded long positions that could lead to sharp liquidations. For reference, data from Velo (as of August 5) shows funding on Binance SOLUSDT Perpetual at 6.07%, confirming this neutral-to-slightly-bearish bias in funding.
Additionally, open interest has been neutral since the local low around $157. This is visible on futures data platforms such as Velo.xyz.
However, the liquidity heatmap does not currently support a strong magnet effect toward the $236–$254 zone. There is no significant cluster of stop liquidity or resting orders above $230 that would attract price purely through liquidation mechanics. In contrast, notable liquidity still resides below current levels, making the setup more technically driven than structurally supported by liquidity.
Given these conditions, the case for a C-wave rally remains technically intact, but traders should be cautious: the absence of upper-side liquidity and the corrective macro context imply that this move, even if successful, is likely a countertrend rally within a broader bearish cycle structure.
In conclusion, as long as price holds above the $157–$166 support zone and maintains impulsive structure on lower timeframes, the outlook remains short- to mid-term bullish toward the $236–$254 area. Yet, any breakdown below $157 would invalidate this wave count and suggest that Cycle Wave c may already be resuming to the downside.
SOL Institutional Capital Fuels Bull Run SpeculationSolana's Ascent: A Perfect Storm of Adoption and Institutional Capital Fuels Bull Run Speculation
A powerful and rare confluence of tangible real-world adoption, significant institutional investment, and bullish technical indicators is generating a palpable buzz around Solana (SOL). The high-performance blockchain, often touted as a leading "Ethereum killer," is experiencing a resurgence that has captured the market's attention. After a period of sideways consolidation, SOL has decisively broken through key psychological and technical price levels, igniting speculation that this may be the start of a sustained and powerful bull run.
The narrative driving this optimism is not based on fleeting hype but on two concrete, fundamental pillars. The first is the global shipment of Solana Mobile's second-generation smartphone, the "Seeker," a device engineered to onboard millions into the Web3 ecosystem by seamlessly integrating crypto into the user's daily life. The second is a powerful vote of confidence from the traditional finance world, where a growing number of publicly traded companies are aggressively accumulating SOL for their corporate treasuries, treating it as a strategic reserve asset. As these foundational tailwinds gather force, technical charts are beginning to align, suggesting that the path of least resistance for Solana's price may soon be sharply upward.
The Seeker Phone: Solana's Trojan Horse for Mass Adoption
Perhaps the most visible and innovative catalyst is the global rollout of the Seeker smartphone. Following up on its first-generation "Saga" device, Solana Mobile has initiated the shipment of tens of thousands of pre-ordered Seeker phones to a global audience. The market's reception has been nothing short of explosive, with pre-orders soaring past 150,000 units—a dramatic increase from the 20,000 total sales of its predecessor. This overwhelming demand underscores a pent-up desire for a mobile-native Web3 experience.
But the Seeker is far more than just a piece of hardware; it represents a strategic masterstroke to solve the persistent problem of user experience in the crypto space. For years, interacting with decentralized applications (dApps) on mobile has been a clunky, insecure, and fragmented process, creating a high barrier to entry for the average consumer. The Seeker directly addresses these pain points. It features a built-in crypto wallet and a hardware-isolated "Seed Vault," which secures a user's private keys in a protected environment within the phone, drastically enhancing security and simplifying transactions.
This mobile-first approach creates a powerful economic flywheel. Priced accessibly, the phone is projected to generate substantial revenue for Solana Mobile. However, its true value lies in its ability to foster a vibrant, self-sustaining ecosystem. Each device includes a "Genesis NFT," a digital key that unlocks exclusive airdrops, rewards, and early access to new applications. This model, which proved incredibly successful with the Saga phone and the famous BONK memecoin airdrop, gamifies participation and incentivizes users to actively explore and engage with the Solana network. It transforms the phone from a passive communication tool into an active portal for decentralized finance (DeFi), NFT marketplaces, and Web3 gaming.
Furthermore, the Seeker boasts its own decentralized dApp store, presenting a direct challenge to the incumbent duopoly of Apple and Google. By offering developers a platform with lower fees and fewer restrictions, Solana is cultivating an environment where innovation can flourish. This attracts builders to the ecosystem, leading to a richer and more diverse array of applications, which in turn attracts more users. The Seeker phone, therefore, is not just a product—it's a Trojan Horse designed to embed the Solana network into the fabric of daily life, driving network utility, transaction volume, and ultimately, sustained demand for the SOL token.
The Institutional Stampede: Big Money Places Its Bet on Solana
While the Seeker phone provides a compelling grassroots adoption narrative, it is the concurrent wave of institutional investment that adds a powerful layer of validation and financial firepower. A growing cohort of publicly traded companies is now strategically adding SOL to their corporate treasuries, signaling deep-seated, long-term confidence in the network's technology and economic potential. This trend moves Solana beyond the realm of speculative trading and into the domain of strategic corporate finance.
Leading this charge is DeFi Development Corp (DFDV), a firm that has made headlines with its aggressive accumulation strategy. The company recently purchased an additional 110,466 SOL, bringing its total holdings to a staggering 1.29 million SOL. This move is part of a publicly stated ambition to hold one SOL per outstanding company share by 2028, a strategy explicitly modeled after MicroStrategy's high-conviction Bitcoin treasury plan. By securing a multi-billion dollar line of credit for these purchases, DeFi Dev Corp is making a clear and unequivocal bet on Solana's future.
This institutional embrace extends beyond a single entity. Upexi Inc., a consumer brand holding company, has significantly increased its SOL holdings and secured a $500 million credit line for further acquisitions. Bit Mining, a prominent player in the digital asset mining space, has not only purchased millions of dollars worth of SOL but has also launched its first Solana validator, contributing directly to the network's security and decentralization. Perhaps most surprisingly, Artelo Biosciences, a Nasdaq-listed pharmaceutical company, has pivoted to include SOL in its treasury, becoming the first public pharma firm to adopt a digital asset as a reserve.
These companies are drawn to Solana for its unique combination of high throughput, low transaction costs, and yield-bearing potential. The network's ability to process thousands of transactions per second at a fraction of a penny makes it a viable platform for enterprise-grade applications. Furthermore, the ability to stake SOL and earn a consistent annual yield of 7-8% presents a compelling alternative to holding depreciating fiat currencies or low-yield government bonds. This makes SOL an attractive treasury asset that can both appreciate in value and generate a recurring revenue stream. This institutional inflow provides robust price support and has an outsized market impact, as it effectively removes large quantities of SOL from the circulating supply, creating a potential supply shock as demand continues to grow.
Coiling for a Breakout: A Technical Perspective
This potent mix of fundamental catalysts is vividly reflected in Solana's price chart, which shows the asset coiling for a potentially explosive move. After establishing a solid foundation of support, SOL has demonstrated significant strength by breaking through the crucial $160 and $162 levels. The price is now trading firmly above its 100-hourly simple moving average, a key indicator that traders use to gauge short-term trend momentum. A price holding above this moving average is generally considered a sign of bullish health.
Currently, a key bullish trend line has formed on the hourly chart, with immediate and strong support located at the $165 mark. This level now acts as the first line of defense for the bulls; as long as the price remains above it, the upward trajectory is considered intact. However, the path higher is not without obstacles. The first major test awaits at the $172 resistance zone. A decisive and high-volume break above this level would signal that buyers are in firm control and could trigger a cascade of further buying.
Should the bulls conquer $172, the next significant hurdle lies near the $180-$182 range. Overcoming this area would open the door to a more sustained rally, with analysts eyeing subsequent targets at $192 and the psychologically important $200 level. While these technical levels present challenges, the underlying momentum indicators are encouraging. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is showing bullish acceleration, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is holding strong above the 50 midpoint, indicating that buying pressure is outweighing selling pressure.
Of course, no market moves in a straight line. A failure to break the $172 resistance could lead to a temporary pullback. If the $165 support level were to fail, the next support zones would be found near $160 and $155. A break below these levels could signal a short-term bearish reversal and would invalidate the immediate bullish thesis. However, given the powerful fundamental drivers at play, many analysts believe that any such dips would likely be viewed as buying opportunities.
The Verdict: Is This the Definitive Catalyst?
Solana currently finds itself in an exceptionally strong position. It is one of the few blockchain projects that can boast a clear, tangible strategy for mass adoption through its mobile initiatives. The Seeker phone is a game-changer, providing a seamless on-ramp to Web3 that could onboard a new generation of users.
This powerful fundamental narrative is being amplified and validated by a wave of institutional capital. The strategic accumulation of SOL by public companies lends the asset a new level of legitimacy and provides a powerful source of demand that is unlikely to waver based on short-term market fluctuations.
When these two forces are combined with a bullish technical structure, the result is a perfect storm of positive catalysts. While the broader crypto market will always be subject to macroeconomic factors and regulatory shifts, Solana has carved out a uniquely compelling growth story. The immediate challenge is for the bulls to maintain their momentum and decisively break through the upcoming resistance zones. If they succeed, this confluence of events may very well be remembered as the definitive catalyst that propelled Solana into its next major bull run, solidifying its position not just as a competitor, but as a leader in the new digital economy.
SOL 1H – Demand Zone Bounce Brewing, Can Bulls Reach $205 Again?Solana is once again testing its high-volume demand zone near $155–$160 — a level that previously launched it toward local highs near $210. With price dipping back into this area and Stoch RSI bottoming out, the stage is set for a potential bounce play.
🔹 Structure & Key Zones
The blue box marks a clear price memory zone — tested multiple times throughout late July and early August.
Each bounce from this zone has led to significant rallies — suggesting strong underlying demand.
Two major resistance levels remain overhead: ~$195 (lower high supply) and ~$210 (range high).
🔹 Momentum Context
Stoch RSI is once again in the oversold zone, hinting at possible short-term reversal momentum.
A clean reaction from this demand area could lead to a strong leg higher — especially if the $170–$175 zone is reclaimed.
🔹 Trade Scenario
Potential setup: price tags demand → forms a local higher low → pushes through short-term resistance toward the upper range.
If this bounce plays out, bulls may target the $195–$205 zone — creating a potential 30%+ move.
Is SOL ready to bounce — or will this demand zone finally give way?
Comment below and share your setup 👇
SOL's Golden Pocket: Is This the Bottom?SOL just tapped into the golden pocket zone and swept sell-side liquidity. Creating a high-probability long opportunity.
🟢 Long Setup:
Entry Zone: $156.67 – $151.50
Stop Loss: Below $150 (clear invalidation)
Target: $172
Risk:Reward: solid R:R setup
Why This Zone? Confluence Breakdown:
Golden Pocket retracement (0.618–0.666)
1.272 Trend-Based Fib Extension
Monthly Order Block
0.5 Fib Speed Fan support
Key Level at $154.81
Anchored VWAP support layer
Pitchfork 0.618/0.666 alignment
SSL (Sell-Side Liquidity) swept
nPOC at ~$152 offers a prime entry if we see another leg down
💡 Tip: Ladder in entries within the zone and size up near nPOC if price dips further. Manage risk carefully and watch how price reacts at the zone.
🧠 Educational Insight
Golden pockets (the 0.618–0.666 Fibonacci zone) are some of the most respected levels in trading often acting as key reversal zones, especially when stacked with other tools. In this case, we’ve got a rare confluence: anchored VWAP, nPOC, monthly OB, SSL sweep etc. all lining up with the golden pocket.
When multiple technical factors align, they don’t just increase probability, they give you a tighter invalidation and a better risk-to-reward setup. That’s how professional traders spot sniper entries.
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SOLUSD Sell Limit ordersHi everyone.
I've set 3 orders to go short on Solana.
Please consider That if the second order triggered, Risk free the first order and If the third order triggered so you need to risk free the second order too...
These TP levels are based on Fib Levels. But if you want you can set the first TPs at 1:1RR for each order.
Let's see what happen.
Good luck everyone.
SOL 15m Ready to Rumble? Possible Double Setup!Two decent setups on Solana’s 15m, one bounce play off key support, the other a breakout rip targeting quant resistance.
Setup #1 — Mean Reversion Long:
• Entry: 161 to 162
• Stop: 158.78 (sits on quant S1 = 158.67)
• Target: 166.62
• R/R: 2.4x
This setup rides the bounce from support that matches pivot S1. Confirm with candle wick + volume punch.
Setup #2 — Breakout Continuation:
• Entry: Above 166.62
• Stop: 164 (tight) or 154.86 (sits above quant S2 = 153.41)
• Target 1: 171.38 (just under quant R1 = 172.46)
• Target 2: 180.99 (quant R2 if price rips)
• R/R: 1.6x to 3.4x
Break needs volume. R1 is the battlefield. If we nuke through, R2’s next.
Quant Levels to monitor:
• Support:
S1 = 158.67
S2 = 153.41
• Resistance:
R1 = 172.46
R2 = 180.99
R3 = 186.25
Daily ATR ~11 pts — volatility is favorable
Structure and confluence are clean. Execution depends on price confirmation.
SOLUSDT 1D - Bulls back in control with Golden Cross and channelOn the daily chart, SOLUSDT is forming a bullish continuation structure. After the Golden Cross (MA50 crossing MA200), the price is now pulling back toward the midline of the ascending channel and the 0.5 Fibonacci level at 166.38. This confluence with the broken trendline and 200 EMA makes this zone a prime technical area of interest.
Support: 166.38 (0.5 Fibo), EMA200 (161.77), broken trendline
Resistance: 182.84–189.67 (Fibo 0.705–0.79), 206.54, target - 255.93 (Fibo 1.618)
This retracement looks healthy, supported by higher volume during the prior bullish leg. As long as the 166.38–161.77 zone holds, continuation toward 206.54 and potentially 255.93 is on the table.
Fundamentally, Solana remains a key L1 narrative with strong traction in DePIN and AI-linked dApps. The rising TVL and investor sentiment support the trend.
Watch price action around 166 for confirmation - this is the battleground.
SOL | Solana Game Plan - Swing Long IdeaSOL | Solana Game Plan - Swing Long Idea
📊 Market Sentiment
Market sentiment remains bullish, supported by expectations of a 0.25% rate cut at the upcoming FOMC meeting. The weakening USD and rising risk appetite across global markets continue to favor crypto assets.
We’re currently seeing a minor retracement, primarily driven by the Nasdaq’s pullback — but the overall outlook for the crypto market remains bullish in the weeks ahead.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price was rejected from the HTF bearish trendline near $207 and is now retracing.
The retracement aligns with a HTF bullish trendline, which I believe could spark a strong move to the upside.
This area also aligns with the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level (discount zone) and a HTF demand zone — forming a strong confluence for a potential bounce.
📌 Game Plan
I want to see price hit the HTF demand zone at $152 (purple box).
It should also tap the bullish trendline.
The zone aligns with the 0.5 Fibonacci level — my key discount area.
🎯 Setup Trigger
After these levels are tagged, I’ll be looking for a 4H bullish break of structure, which should also form a new 4H demand zone for confirmation.
📋 Trade Management
Stoploss: Below swing low of the 4H demand zone
Targets:
• TP1: $188
• TP2: $207
• TP3: $297
I’ll trail my stop to lock in profits aggressively as price moves in my favor.
💬 Like, follow, and comment if this breakdown supports your trading!
More setups and market insights coming soon — stay connected!
Still bullish My overall bias for Solana is bullish.
It has been a difficult asset to trade, however, I can still see bullish momentum is building up in higher time frames:
Weekly:
1) MACD line (faster line) has finally entered the bull zone since it dropped to $95 on April 25.
2) RSI line (orange one) has entered the bull zone.
3) EMA 5 > EMA21> EMA 55
Daily:
1) EMA 21> EMA55> EMA200
2) MACD lines are still in the bull zone.
3) Stochastic has reached the oversold territory and crossed to the upside.
4) The price is still forming higher high higher low above the ascending trendline.
5) The price has retraced to Fib 0.618 and now it is bouncing up.
6) The daily candle on 2n August closed at Fib 0.618 and yesterday's candle closed above both EMA55 and 200.
As I mentioned in my previous articles, when EMA55 crosses above EMA200, the price often retraces significantly before it starts to move to the upside. So I was prepared for the price to drop to Fib 0.382, 0.5, 0.618 or 0.786. At the moment, Fib 0.618 seems to be working as the lines of support.
The current price action looks good for the bull, however, $185-200 zone has been a very tough area to break. Therefore, I am prepared for a few scenarios:
Scenario 1: The price will move to Fib 0236 zone at $188 area. It fails to break above and drops to retest either the ascending trendline or wicks down to Fib 0.786/$143 area.
Scenario 2: The price will move to Fib 0.236 zone, consolidates in the area and moves up.
Scenario 3: It fails to move above Fib 0.236 level, drops below the ascending trendline and Fib 0.786. If it happens, I need to re assess my bullish bias.
SOL vs ETH: Bleeding Until Catalyst?
SOL/ETH on the Daily
On June 17, 2025, a death cross formed — and since then, SOL has been steadily losing ground to ETH.
Attempts to pause or reverse the trend at the 0.382 and 0.5 Fib levels have failed. Momentum is strong to the downside.
The next potential support is the 0.618 Fib, around 0.04000.
In my view, this is closely tied to Ethereum’s dominance narrative: ETF inflows, real-world assets, stablecoins, Trump support, protocol upgrades — the spotlight is firmly on ETH.
Unless SOL gets its own ETF (which, to my knowledge, it currently doesn't), it’s likely to keep bleeding against ETH — just like other altcoins in similar positions.
Bias: bearish until proven otherwise.
Always take profits and manage risk.
Interaction is welcome.
Solana definition of movementSOL is in a squeeze phase: the price is holding above $163, but meets resistance around $183-186. Indicators show neutral, slightly weak momentum. A break above $186 with increasing volumes will open up potential at $190+; a break below $178 will lead to a deeper correction to $171-170. Until then, it is worth watching the 20-d EMA hold and reactions to it.
SOL/USDT | SOL Drops 25% – Approaching Key Buy Zone at $136–$148By analyzing the Solana chart on the daily timeframe, we can see that, like the rest of the market, it's undergoing a correction — dropping over 25% from the $206 area so far. Solana is now approaching a highly attractive buy zone between $136–$148, so be sure to closely monitor the price reaction in this range. Bullish targets will be announced soon — stay tuned!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
SOLANA: THE ULTIMATE TECHNICAL CONVERGENCE..📊 THE TRADING PLAYBOOK
🛡️ CONSERVATIVE SUPPORT PLAY
Setup: Buy at Fibonacci support levels🚨
Entry: $158-$165 (0.618-0.5 zone) 🌟
Stop: $140 (Below all major support) ❌
Target:
Tp1 : $200(25% gain) 💰
Tp2 : $232 (40% gain) 💰
⚡ Position Size: 3-5% of portfolio ⚡
Time Horizon: 3-6 weeks 🎯
______ NOTE _______
DYOR ⚠️ Not financial advice. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always do your own research and never risk more than you can afford to lose.
#SOLANA #SOL #SymmetricalTriangle #Fibonacci #Breakout #Crypto #TechnicalAnalysis #AltSeason #DeFi #MemeCoins #TradingSetup
Long-Term Technical Outlook: Critical Decision Point Approaching
The chart illustrates a long-term technical structure where the price has been following an ascending channel after a prolonged bearish trend. However, recent price action indicates a breakdown below the green ascending trendline, raising concerns about a potential shift in market sentiment.
Currently, the $117 level is acting as a pivotal support zone. A sustained breakdown below this level — and more critically, below the red lower trendline — would validate the bearish scenario. This could trigger a deeper correction phase, with downside targets aligned along the red projection path. Such a move may lead to significantly lower price levels in the medium to long term.
🔽 Bearish Scenario:
If the price fails to hold above $117 and breaks below the red trendline, this would confirm the start of a bearish leg. Based on historical structure and projected trajectories, this could result in a descent toward the $93 level initially, with the possibility of extending further downward depending on market conditions.
🔼 Bullish Scenario:
On the other hand, if the price manages to reclaim the green trendline and more importantly, stabilize above the $204 resistance zone, it would signal renewed bullish strength. Such a move would open the path toward higher highs, potentially re-entering the previous upward channel and continuing the macro uptrend.
🧭 The price structure is now approaching a decisive zone, where either a confirmation of bearish continuation or a bullish recovery will likely unfold. Both scenarios have been visually outlined — green lines indicating bullish continuation, and red lines representing bearish momentum.
📌 Note: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice.
Solana Update · Retrace, Bears & The Bullish BiasSolana had a retrace in May. Notice the 19-May date on the chart. This retrace produced four weeks red. The bullish move that led to this retrace lasted 6 weeks. The last rise lasted five weeks and the current retrace might last only two weeks, can be less.
We are seeing Solana rising but this rise is not a one-time off event, this is a trend that is developing. An uptrend as a long-term phenomena is different to a short-term bullish moves. A short-term move tends to be really fast, one strong burst and that's it. A long-term move is different. Instead of seeing 2-3 candles and Solana trading at $1,000, we see dozens and dozens of candles with prices slowly rising. There are strong fluctuations but the end result is always up. And that's how you see the fluctuations on the chart.
Solana moved up and then immediately started to retrace. Then another rise and another retrace again. This retrace will end and prices will continue to grow long-term. The bulls are in. The bull market is on. Solana, Bitcoin, Crypto and the rest of the Altcoins market is going up.
Namaste.