JinkoSolar: Defying Downgrade,Aiming for Bullish MomentumJinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd. ( NYSE:JKS ) has recently been downgraded by Daiwa Securities from " Underperform " to " Sell ," with a revised price target of $20 .
Despite this downgrade, the stock has demonstrated bullish momentum, with a mid-term target of $33.42.
Notably, JinkoSolar's Relative Strength (RS) Rating has improved, rising from 71 to 82 , indicating that the stock is outperforming a majority of stocks in terms of price movement over the past 52 weeks.
Additionally, China's solar sector is showing signs of recovery, with increases in polysilicon prices and potential growth in renewable energy markets in Southeast Asia and India.
In conclusion, while the recent downgrade by Daiwa Securities reflects certain concerns, the stock's bullish momentum and improving technical indicators suggest potential upside, with a mid-term target of $33.42 .
Solarenergy
Enphase($ENPH): Solar's Bright Future or a Cloudy Horizon?1/ 🌞🔌 Enphase Energy ( NASDAQ:ENPH ): Solar's Bright Future or a Cloudy Horizon?
NASDAQ:ENPH is leading the charge in solar tech with cutting-edge innovations, but does its valuation shine or blind? Let’s break down the numbers, opportunities, and risks.
2/ 📊 Financial Trends
NASDAQ:ENPH faced a 50% revenue dip in Q3, but their cash flow stayed strong. They’re targeting 31% growth in 2025! Earnings fell short last quarter, but a recovery could be on the horizon. 📈
3/ 💰 Valuation Check
At first glance, NASDAQ:ENPH looks pricey with a trailing P/E of 164. But with a forward P/E of 20.69 and a PEG ratio of 0.87, there may be hidden value. Opportunity knocking? 🚪⚡
4/ 👍 Strengths
Microinverters that set the standard and high margins to match. NASDAQ:ENPH isn’t just solar anymore—they’re expanding into battery storage and reshaping energy systems. 🔋🌍
5/ 👎 Weaknesses
Strong in the U.S., but where’s the global play? Heavy reliance on residential solar could limit diversification when competitors are branching out. 🏠🇺🇸
6/ 🌱 Opportunities
Untapped global markets, EV charging integration, and AI-driven energy management. If executed right, NASDAQ:ENPH has huge potential to light up the energy sector. 🚗🌐🧠
7/ ⚠️ Threats
Tesla and other competitors are moving fast. And let’s not forget the ever-changing solar policies—this industry evolves like the weather. 🌦️♟️
8/ 🔍 Final Thoughts
NASDAQ:ENPH is leading the charge in clean energy innovation. But with sky-high expectations and execution risks, it’s a stock to watch carefully. Are you betting on solar’s bright future? 🌞
9/ 📊 What’s Your Call?
NASDAQ:ENPH has potential, but the risks are real. What’s your move?
Buy for the long term 📈
Hold and watch growth 🔄
Too risky, avoid 🚫
Potential Correction Ahead for Waaree Energies Ltd After Strong Analysis:
1.Price Surge and Overextension: Waaree Energies Ltd has witnessed a sharp upward move, pushing prices significantly higher in a short period. This steep ascent could indicate an overextension, making the stock vulnerable to a pullback or consolidation phase.
2.Resistance Levels:
Immediate resistance is observed around the 3,600 level, with another support/resistance flip level near 3,300. Price nearing these levels might trigger profit-taking or selling pressure from short-term traders.
3.Overbought RSI Indicator: The RSI is currently in overbought territory, signaling an overvalued condition. Historically, an RSI above 70 often suggests a cooling-off period might be near, as buying momentum may slow down.
4.Volume Insights: The recent price rally has been accompanied by high volume, which validates the strength of the trend. However, any decrease in volume while the price stays elevated could indicate waning buying interest, strengthening the case for a correction.
Conclusion: Given the steep rise, overbought RSI, and proximity to resistance, caution is advised. A healthy correction could provide better entry opportunities. Monitor for potential reversal signals and volume changes to gauge the sustainability of this trend.
Trade Idea: Consider waiting for confirmation of a pullback or consolidation before entering new positions. Key support areas for potential retracement include 3,300, 2,625, and 2,280.
Sunrun (RUN) AnalysisCompany Overview: Sunrun is a leading U.S. residential solar energy company, providing solar panel installations and energy services across the country. The company's focus on sustainable energy solutions positions it to capitalize on the growing shift toward clean energy adoption.
Key Catalysts:
Rate-Cutting Cycle: A potential rate-cutting cycle by the Federal Reserve could make solar financing more affordable, increasing the economic appeal of residential solar projects. Lower interest rates would reduce borrowing costs for consumers, making Sunrun's solar installations more accessible and boosting sales.
Trade Policies: U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen's scrutiny of China's market practices, particularly regarding solar products, could mitigate low-cost competition from Chinese manufacturers. This would benefit domestic companies like Sunrun by leveling the playing field and potentially driving higher demand for U.S.-installed solar systems.
Federal Subsidies: Sunrun is well-positioned to benefit from federal clean energy subsidies provided by the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA). These subsidies are expected to reduce Sunrun's operating expenses and enhance profitability by offsetting costs associated with installations and energy storage solutions.
Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on NASDAQ:RUN if it holds above the $17.50-$18.00 range. Upside Potential: The upside target for Sunrun is set at $29.00-$30.00, driven by favorable interest rate conditions, supportive trade policies, and federal clean energy subsidies.
☀️ Sunrun—ready to shine with rate cuts, trade advantages, and clean energy subsidies! #RUN #SolarEnergy 🚀🌱
Kamala Leads, Solar Stocks Shine Again?I'm closely watching the solar sector again, especially stocks like NASDAQ:FSLR , NASDAQ:ENPH , and $RUN.
After the Trump/Biden debate, solar stocks plummeted because it looked like Trump might win. But now, with Kamala Harris running, the odds have shifted her way, and I'm optimistic about the sector since she's likely to support clean energy like Biden did.
These solar stocks have been stable over the last month compared to tech.
First Solar has strong financials, Enphase has solid earnings and big potential, and Sunrun just teamed up with Tesla.
Definitely worth watching all three, in my opinion.
Renewable energy stocks coming back?I saw some other stocks of the same segment doing bullish patterns. We have a potential double bottom fighting with downtrend line resistance. I think is going to bounce back and forward between the 13.5 support level and the downtrend line until something breaks. The double bottom (inverted HS in the daily timeframe) tells me that the price wants to break up the downtrend from September 2022. SL triggers if a weekly candle breaks down and closes under the 13.5 level support.
SPWR. The Sun will shine again!Hello everyone. i want share my idea and simple reason why i think that is good investment to make minimum 2x or 3x in this investment.
Reason #1
after high interest rates we all saw bull run of stock market, at the moment we have still 5.50, after last Jerome Powell speech he told us they will cut rates but they don't rush to make that, if they will cut the rates it will be good for sun power energy industry, because for sun power energy, interest rates are important, they have loans for 5-10 years. when interest rates rise it gets more expensive because they cant raise prices on customers, this is why it was pressure on solar energy stocks after covid pandemic.
Reason #2
Solar energy is future, Australia will make fund which will cost 653 billion dollar to make solar panels.
Reason #3 technical
after pretty long and strong fall to downside we came to last high buy zone which was start point of bull run few years ago and how we see price stop and has some reactions from buyers, i am not saying in many month or year it will show us new all time high but i think its pretty good point for investment, we we see that fall all will think that stock is dead but not yet i think until it will dead (if its dying) it will make minimum 2 or 3 x from that point.
I will link my last analysis about that stock.
Always make your research!!!!
Solar stocks follow energy prices (crude oil).Solar stocks follow energy prices (crude oil) and AMEX:USO (oil etf) is about to break out. I read that chinese are outcompeting the west in cheaper solar products. ie NYSE:JKS
TNX is at bull market, crude oil and yields correlate (not sure which one cause the other).
I look at everything trough probabilities since nothing is ever known.
Stocks do bad when economy does good. But energy sector performs well during good economy, whilst everything else is falling (Tech). Peak tech means bottom for energy?
I think these are good hedge plays, if you believe rising oil or yields pose risk.
Recently Chinese gov asked Jack Ma to return because their financial markets did poorly. There could be a sentiment shift, where indicator will be NYSE:BABA performance. People might still have an old bias?
Triangle Patten Breakout in SOLARINDSSolar Industries India Ltd. manufactures, supplies and exports industrial explosives and initiating systems. Its commercial and civil explosives include bulk explosives, cartridges, detonators, and initiating systems. The company was founded by Satyanarayan Nandlal Nuwal on February 24, 1995, and is headquartered in Nagpur, India.
We can Aim for a 25-30% return with a StopLoss of 10% @6555.
$MARA -For Gods Sakes, they are PRINTING $$ from The SUNthis is a $500MM well capitalized micro cap stock company that takes SUNLIGHT and TURNS IT INTO BITCOIN.
THIS STOCK (along with ticker: WULF) TURNS SUNLIGHT INTO MONEY
THEY TURN SUNLIGHT INTO DINERO.
THEY TURN PHOTON BEAMS OF LIGHT FROM THE SUN, AND TURN IT INTO MONEY.
No man or organization should behold such power. It can not be harnessed.
absolute power corrupts absolutely" NASDAQ:MARA
Green Investing Gains MomentumSolar Stocks rally following Federal Reserve's decision to hold Interest rates steady.
Technical Analysis
NASDAQ:FSLR has been moving and is now finding some support near the $165 area. After experiencing a "Death Cross" on the 26th Sept, 2023 NASDAQ:FSLR has since shown signs of a resurgence with the stock surging as high as 6.57% as of the time of writing.
The clean energy sector has gone wild with solar stocks enjoying a massive rally after the U.S. Federal Reserve announced that it will keep short-term interest rates unchanged and forecast three cuts next year, a potentially very bullish outlook for 2024.
Interest rates have increased sharply over the past few years, going from about half a percentage point during the pandemic to more than 4% recently thanks to the Fed’s tapering program. However, a less hawkish Fed has seen rates reverse. The 10-year treasury yield hit a 16-year high of 4.98% in October but has pulled back to 3.91% currently.
Solar energy stocks have responded strongly because lower interest rates are likely to have a direct impact on volume and margins in 2024.
Enphase EnergyThis is a chart of Enphase Energy (ENPH). For those who are not familiar with the company, Enphase Energy develops and manufactures microinverter systems for the solar photovoltaic industry. They are one of the preeminent companies in solar power. Recently, price gapped up on the daily chart following news that Congress would pass legislation to fund sustainable infrastructure projects.
In the above chart, each candlestick represents a 6-month period. Analyzing higher timeframes can often help us determine trend reversals long before they happen. This higher timeframe chart reveals a very peculiar candlestick pattern: the sneaky bearish tri-star pattern. This pattern occurs when three Doji candlesticks form after a bull run. This pattern can warn that a major reversal is coming. See below image.
A bearish tri-star pattern is an insidious topping pattern that Wall Street smart money would love for you to not know about. In short, it appears because Wyckoff distribution is occurring underneath the surface.
While I cannot describe the entirety of Wyckoff distribution in this post, I can say that, in short, Wyckoff distribution is when smart money gradually distributes or sells their shares near the top. The gradual nature of the selloff traps the unsuspecting "weak hands" (mostly small retail traders) who buy while unaware that the bull run is in its final phase. Sometimes, since smart money is especially manipulative, they manufacture a sudden upthrust in price near the end of the Wyckoff distribution, which may be what's happening right now.
This sudden upthrust (UT or UTAD) is a price move above resistance that quickly reverses and closes lower. The upthrust is a test of the remaining demand. It is also a bull trap: It appears to signal the resumption of the bull run but in reality, is intended to trick uninformed breakout traders. A UT or UTAD allows Wall Street smart money to mislead the public about the future trend direction and, subsequently, sell additional shares at elevated prices to breakout traders before the markdown begins. In addition, a UTAD may induce smaller traders in short positions to cover and surrender their shares to the larger interests who have engineered this move.
In my years of trading experience I have seen the above chart many times before, and the result is almost always the same. This chart is in the phase that some of us traders call a "fake out". A fake out occurs when price appears to be breaking out when actually it is just forming an upper wick. This occurs when price has been moving within an ascending wedge and after bearish divergence has occurred on the RSI. The final phase is when the RSI breaks out after bearish divergence and while in overbought territory. Price then pulls back down strongly and a long upper wick forms on the candlestick. In essence, this is just another way of visualizing the upthrust phase of Wyckoff distribution. The final RSI breakout is the UTAD of Wyckoff distribution.
Here's another Trading View user who is apparently seeing the same thing as I am, though this post is from before the current upthrust:
Also worth mentioning is that it is interesting that corporate insiders have been only selling their positions and there has been no reported insider buying for nearly a year (see below). This is not usually predictive of future price action, but it can give a general sense of sentiment among insiders at a company.
So it's worth watching to see if ENPH will reverse downward. Perhaps it will blast through this level and my analysis prove wrong. As a trader, you must always be willing to accept when you're wrong because your money is more important than your ego. With that said, just remember this is a long-term chart and price may continue moving up before reversing down. Some related charts, including the charts of ETFs that hold ENPH and the ENPH/SPY relative chart, suggest that ENPH does have the momentum necessary to break out to the upside. It's just looking very suspicious right now.
This post is not making a short call on ENPH, it is just an observation. It is not financial advice. Although I may choose to open a position, at the time of writing this, I have neither a long nor a short position open on ENPH. This is an objective, non-biased analysis.
I'll be keeping an investigative eye on this chart.
Array Technologies Opportunity Array Technologies - NASDAQ:ARRY
Aksel Kibar from TechCharts was the first to cover this trade and after looking over his brilliant analysis which I highly recommend you review, I have added some of my own observations.
- Price is above the 200 DSMA & POC giving us good
underside support and good areas thereunder to
place a stop.
- My targets align closely with Aksel's targets,
however I have used Fibonacci Extensions and
amazingly these line up nicely with the pattern
targets outlined by Aksel. Targets Range: $34 -
$43.
Additional
- The DSS has crossed. Every past time this has
happened we have had a min 18% to 100% + move.
We could get another rejection here from the upper
purple boundary as we have had that 18%+ already
however given the H&S set up, DSS cross and the
ascending triangle we are in now, we would likely
bounce off the POC/200DSMA in the event off and
continue the ascent (no guarantees of course)
- The OBV underside resistance line has provided a
significant bounce in the past (green circle) and
this could be where we launch again from now and
with some luck break through the upper OBV
resistance line which would be a nice confirmation.
What is Array Technologies?
Headquartered in Albuquerque, New Mexico the company have manufacturing sites in Brazil and Spain which provide essential solar farming products through their many regional offices around the globe.
With a market cap of $3.3 Billion this Solar Product and Tracking company is small but has incredible potential.
The company offers four main products that allow for the build of highly weather durable solar panels that can be erected on very rough and uneven terrain without having to complete landscaping. They have refined their software and durable gearing mechanisms to maximize solar efficiency. The company hold the patents to these unique offerings.
AS recently as yesterday Array got an overall rating of 63 from Investors Observer. This means that it scores higher than 63% of stocks. Array also gets a 69 rank in the Technology sector.
From reading a little about the founder Ron Corio and the history of the company, it is clear that since inception in 1989 they have been reinvesting profits to expand their products and reach. Corio stepped down as CEO before the 2022 IPO and resigned from the board simultaneously becoming New Mexico's first billionaire and being named the Ron of Solar. The recent IPO in 2022 was a further signal of the company's expansion vision.
It will be fascinating to see how the company performs and how our chart progresses over the coming weeks and months
PUKA
RUN has HUGE options activity, mostly short term callsSaw a notification yesterday on decent #option call buying & decided to look into NASDAQ:RUN , again, it's been a while.
Options are going off like crazy!!! Today too!
IMO risk reward is very good here. Long term support & the intraday charts look like they want to bottom.
#solarenergy