SOLANA – Technical and Fundamental OutlookTechnical Analysis
Solana (SOL) remains within a Falling Wedge structure, a historically bullish reversal pattern. The price is currently testing a key support zone at $124.29, where demand accumulation could trigger a breakout. A successful rebound from this level may confirm a shift in momentum.
A breakout above $150.51 would validate a bullish reversal, with the next key resistance target aligning with the previous All-Time High (ATH) of $296.99. Failure to hold $124.29 as support could extend the correction, requiring confirmation of price action before further positioning.
Fundamental Analysis
Solana continues to exhibit strong growth, with a 37.09% price increase in the last 30 days and 79.96% gains over the past 90 days, reflecting sustained investor confidence. Institutional sentiment remains positive, with VanEck analysts projecting a $520 price target by the end of 2025, contingent on continued adoption and ecosystem expansion.
Key fundamental drivers include Solana’s high-throughput architecture, enabling thousands of transactions per second with low fees, positioning it as a competitive layer-1 blockchain. Recent integrations, including Visa's USDC settlement adoption, further reinforce its real-world utility.
Risk Considerations
Regulatory uncertainties remain a critical factor, with SEC classification concerns presenting potential headwinds. Additionally, speculative market activity, particularly within Solana's meme coin sector, has contributed to heightened volatility, necessitating cautious risk management.
Conclusion
The confluence of technical support levels and strong fundamental adoption metrics suggests a pivotal moment for Solana. A breakout from the Falling Wedge structure would reinforce bullish momentum, while macro and regulatory developments remain key monitoring factors.
SOLUSD
Solana's important supporthello friends
Due to the heavy demand of Solana and the construction of new floors based on the market cycle, we expect a new floor within the specified range.
If we reach the support range of 105-110 dollars, we can buy with confirmation, of course, with capital management...
*Trade safely with us*
SOL Potential drops -55% to $131? Here’s WhyBINANCE:SOLUSDT might be forming another right shoulder of a W-bottom (light blue line). The target drop is around $131, which happens to be the mid-point (0.5) of the descending channel—a reasonable support level.
The first right shoulder has already formed, and its drop was exactly the same as the left shoulder—both at -47%.
However, the best-case scenario would be if it finds support at the upper boundary of the descending channel. Let's see if it can hold there.
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🔥 for more future "guesses" like this!
🔥 I've dropped an analysis for the 2025 altseason on the right hand side if you're using computer, and scroll down a bit to see the link if you're using mobile.
SOL - Were you entertained?At $21 I predicted SOL will get back to ATH. (see below)
This is an update of the idea where I provide detailed comparison to a bearish shark. This also plays with how I see BTC and rest of crypto. Unlike what is being said by others, I believe we are closer to the end of the crypto rally.
Please boost idea and follow.
Solana SOL Is Crashing: End Of Memes Era!Hello, Skyrexians!
Recently when the BINANCE:SOLUSDT price was at $250 we warned you that it is going to reach $165 and after that we will see what will happen. Today we can see that price broke down this level and continue crashing. This is the bear market start for Solana, we have a proofs that it's enough for meme king.
Let's take a look at the weekly time frame. Here we can see the clear Elliott waves structure consists of 5 waves. Wave 2 hit exactly 0.61 Fibonacci, wave 4 - 0.38, like a textbook. At the very top we can see the bearish divergence on the Awesome Oscillator. This divergence is confirmed and tells us that wave 5 has been finished, we told you about it before Feb 3 dump.
The biggest bear market confirmation is the breakdown of support green area on Fractal Trend Detector , moreover the bars are red and it means that global bearish phase is in progress. Now we are struggling to point out any targets, expecting some bounce and the continuation of the dump below $100.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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"SOL/USDT 1H: Bearish Downtrend – Potential Long Entry !SOL/USDT 1H: Bearish Downtrend – Potential Long Entry on Reversal Confirmation?
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Current Market Structure:
Price at $150.04 with strong downward momentum.
Clearly bearish with lower highs and lower lows.
Market Maker Activity:
Heavy distribution observed at $180 and $172 levels, suggesting further downside pressure.
Market makers appear to be pushing for liquidity below $148.
Technical Analysis:
RSI is showing oversold conditions, though no clear bullish divergence has emerged yet.
Multiple bearish order blocks formed at $172 and $180 support the bearish bias.
Volume profile indicates weak buying pressure.
Trade Setup (Confidence 8/10):
Recommendation:
Wait for a clear reversal confirmation.
Potential Long Entry: Consider entering in the $144-$145 range, provided a reversal is confirmed.
Targets:
T1: $152
T2: $160
Stop Loss: Tight stop at $142.
Risk Score:
7/10 – Despite oversold conditions, the strong bearish momentum demands caution.
Recommendation:
Given the current bearish structure, wait for clear reversal signals before entering long.
Monitor price action for a bullish reversal, particularly near $144-$145.
Use tight stops to manage risk, as market makers appear to be pushing for liquidity below $148.
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SOLUSD: How to Draw Quarter's Theory LevelsApplying Quarter’s Theory to SOL/USD helps traders identify key psychological price levels where institutional players might step in. With Solana’s volatility, these quarter levels (25%, 50%, 75%, and full dollar increments) act as crucial areas for potential reversals or breakouts.
Current Market Outlook
SOL/USD is currently trading around a major quarter level, signaling a potential shift in momentum. If buyers push above $150, the next logical upside target is $175, while a breakdown could send prices back to $125—both key quarter points.
How to Trade It
Aggressive traders can enter at quarter levels with tight stops, aiming for quick price movements.
Conservative traders should wait for a breakout confirmation and a retest before executing trades.
Renko charts can help filter noise and confirm trend strength, making it easier to spot clean setups.
Is SOL/USD Gearing Up for a Big Move?
With SOL/USD sitting at a crucial level, the next move could be significant. Will we see a drop toward $125, or is a deeper pullback coming? What’s your take? Drop a comment below!
#SOL/USDT#SOL
The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is adhering to it well and is heading to break it upwards strongly and retest it
We have a bounce from the lower limit of the descending channel, this support is at a price of 157.48
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, which supports the rise
We have a trend to stabilize above the Moving Average 100
Entry price 159.85
First target 165.92
Second target 169.59
Third target 175.10
SOL/USD Bulls in ControlFrom the daily timeframe, SOL/USD (Solana versus the US dollar) recently connected with support from US$163.90, aided by the H1 timeframe chalking up an inverted head and shoulders pattern. With the formation’s neckline consumed (taken from the high of 107.88), further outperformance towards the pattern’s profit objective at 179.90 could be seen.
SOLUSD Megaphone bottomed. $205 min and $340 max Targets.Solana (SOLUSD) has been trading within a Megaphone pattern, which technically had the price bottomed on its Lower Lows 3 days ago. That bottom was also a 1D RSI oversold barrier (30.00) test, which is exactly where the December 22 2024 Low was priced.
Being below both the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), the natural short-term Target is again the 1D MA50 at $205.00, similar to the January 03 test.
On the longer term, if SOL makes a 1W candle closing above the 1D MA50, we can resume buying and target the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the Megaphone at $340, which is where the 1.236 Fibonacci extension is, exactly where the January 19 High was priced.
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Drop to $160?Solana’s teetering on the 4H at $172.24, rebounding from $165 in early February after a brutal drop from $250 in January. I’m bullish, SOL’s market cap (~$85B) and 162% YTD growth make it the next crypto king, powered by DeFi, NFTs, and meme coins like $WIF/$BONK. But can it reclaim its glory, or is this another bear trap?
Technically, we’re consolidating in a tight range near $165-$170, forming a bullish flag or triangle, breakout potential to $250 if we flip $180-$182 (50 EMA). RSI’s at ~55 and rising, showing buyers gaining steam, while volume’s spiked since mid-Feb, hinting at accumulation. The 50/200 EMAs tell a rollercoaster story: Golden Cross at $200 (Jan 18) hinted at a pump but got crushed, Death Cross at $220 (Feb 4) triggered the dump, and now they’re diverging (50 EMA at $182, 200 EMA at $209), watch for a new Golden Cross above $200 if price holds. Trump’s pro-crypto push and Solana’s ETF rumors could blast us to $300, but bears argue $160’s the floor if $165 cracks. I’ve seen similar patterns in 2021 lead to 35%+ pumps, history repeating?
What’s your take?
SOL to $250 by March or back to $160, where’s the real target?
Is Solana the next BTC/ETH, or just meme coin hype from $WIF/ SEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:BONK ?
EMA divergence now, Golden Cross ahead, or death spiral? Bullish or bearish?
Trump’s policies + ETF buzz, pump to $300, or noise leading to a crash?
Drop your targets, indicators, or contrarian views.
I’ll reply to every comment and debate!
Could Solana be finally reversing on the upside?COINBASE:SOLUSD has been a nightmare and has fell significantly in past few days, much more than #BTC and #ETH relatively.
But I can see a potential leading diagonal (3-3-3-3-3) rise. It the retracement of it holds above/around 61.8% which also happens to be the wave 4 low (165.945) then the next leg up should start which would give more insight into whether this is really an impulse up in progress or just another corrective leg.
Solana Nears Key Support: Potential 25% Drop to $125 SoonHello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌
In several of my previous analyses, I have accurately identified and hit all of the gain targets. In this analysis, I aim to provide you with a comprehensive overview of the future price potential for Solana , 📚🎇
Solana is nearing a pivotal support level, which has previously proven strong. However, there are indications that this daily support may soon be breached, potentially triggering a decline of around 25% . Should this occur, the price target to watch would be $125, aligning with a key monthly support zone. This area has historically been a critical defense against further downturns, making it a crucial point in the current market analysis. 📚🙌
🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨
Solana is approaching a key support level, and if it breaks, a 25% drop to $125—an important monthly support—could follow. 📚💡
Give me some energy !!
✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box.
Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
SOL/USDT 1H: Bearish Setup with Potential Reversal – Long Entry SOL/USDT 1H: Bearish Setup with Potential Reversal – Long Entry on Support?
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Current Market Structure:
Price is at $167.29 in a bearish trend characterized by lower highs and lower lows with a clear distribution pattern.
Market Maker Activity:
Major resistance observed at $172.50 and support at $165.00.
Market makers appear to be accumulating at support, hinting at a potential reversal.
Technical Indicators:
Hidden bearish divergence on RSI at 43.98 versus price action supports the current distribution.
Volume profile suggests accumulation near support levels.
Trade Setup (Confidence 8/10):
Entry: Target the $167.50 - $168.00 range (wait for confirmation of a bounce at $165 support before entering).
Targets:
T1: $172.50
T2: $175.00
Stop Loss: Set at $164.50 (below recent support).
Risk Score:
7/10 – Favorable risk-to-reward ratio, though position sizing should remain modest given current
Recommendation:
Long positions are recommended on a confirmed bounce at support. Monitor volume closely for signs of sustained buying pressure, and maintain tight stops.
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SOL/USD "Solana vs U.S Dollar" Crypto Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰🐱👤🐱🏍
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the SOL/USD "Solana vs U.S Dollar" Crypto Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (160.00) then make your move - Bearish profits await!"
however I advise placing Sell Stop Orders below the breakout MA or Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at the recent / nearest low level Using the 1D timeframe (200.00) swing trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
1st Target - 125.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
Final Target - 90.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
SOL/USD "Solana vs U.S Dollar" Crypto Market is currently experiencing a bearish trend,., driven by several key factors.
⚡⭐Fundamental Analysis
Blockchain Trends: Solana's blockchain growth is expected to slow down, driven by increasing competition from other blockchain platforms.
Smart Contract Activity: Smart contract activity on Solana's blockchain is expected to decrease, driven by growing competition from other blockchain platforms.
Mining Difficulty: Solana's mining difficulty is expected to decrease, driven by decreasing network hash rate.
Transaction Volume: Solana's transaction volume is expected to decrease, driven by decreasing demand for cryptocurrency transactions.
⚡⭐COT Data
Non-Commercial Traders (Institutional):
Net Short Positions: 55%
Open Interest: 100,000 contracts
Commercial Traders (Companies):
Net Long Positions: 30%
Open Interest: 50,000 contracts
Non-Reportable Traders (Small Traders):
Net Short Positions: 15%
Open Interest: 20,000 contracts
COT Ratio: 0.6 (indicating a bearish trend)
⚡⭐Sentimental Outlook
Institutional Sentiment: 40% bullish, 60% bearish.
Retail Sentiment: 35% bullish, 65% bearish.
Market Mood: The overall market mood is bearish, with a sentiment score of -50.
⚡⭐On-Chain Analysis
Network Hash Rate: Solana's network hash rate has decreased by 10% over the past month, indicating a decline in mining activity.
Transaction Volume: Solana's transaction volume has decreased by 20% over the past month, indicating a decline in network activity.
Active Addresses: Solana's active addresses have decreased by 15% over the past month, indicating a decline in network adoption.
⚡⭐Market Data Analysis
Order Book Analysis: The SOL/USD order book is showing a significant imbalance, with more sell orders than buy orders, indicating a bearish market sentiment.
Liquidity Analysis: Solana's liquidity has decreased by 10% over the past month, indicating a decline in market participation.
Volatility Analysis: Solana's volatility has increased by 20% over the past month, indicating a more unpredictable market.
⚡⭐Positioning
Long Positions: 30% of total positions
Short Positions: 70% of total positions
Neutral Positions: 0% of total positions
Leverage: 2:1 (average)
⚡⭐Next Move Prediction
Bearish Move: Potential downside to 140.00-125.00.
Target: 125.00 (primary target), 90.00 (secondary target)
Next Swing Target: 80.00 (potential swing low)
Stop Loss: 190.00 (above the 30-day high)
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 (potential profit of 30.00 vs potential loss of 15.00)
⚡⭐Overall Outlook
The overall outlook for SOL/USD is bearish, driven by a combination of fundamental, technical, and sentimental factors. The expected slowdown in Solana's blockchain growth, decreasing smart contract activity, and bearish market sentiment are all supporting the bearish trend. However, investors should remain cautious of potential upside risks, including changes in global economic trends and unexpected regulatory developments.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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SOL/USDT Trading Scenario UpdateThe overall negative sentiment in the altcoin market, along with the beginning of the FTX customer repayment process, is putting downward pressure on the price of Solana (SOL). Currently, the asset's value has declined by more than 45% from its local peak and has dropped below the 300-day moving average.
From a volume profile perspective, market participants' interest in SOL remains high within the current broad price range. At its current price level, the asset appears attractive for long-term investments.
SOLANA: $1,000 Incoming?This chart shows how Solana (SOL) follows market cycles, long periods of low prices (accumulation) before big price spikes (breakouts).
- We’re in a similar phase to 2021, just before SOL’s last huge rally.
- $500 and $750 are key resistance levels—breaking them could send SOL much higher.
- Alt & Meme Season matters—when memes pump, demand for SOL rises.
- Bitcoin’s bull run is key, when BTC moves up again, SOL will likely follow fast.
- Price could rise quickly past $1,000 once key levels break.
SOL/USDThello friends
Due to the price drop and the new bottom, now we have two scenarios:
1_ According to its downward trend, the price hits the resistance range and hits a new bottom.
2- The price succeeds in breaking the resistance range and our trend becomes upward.
In our opinion, scenario 1 is more tolerant.
*Trade safely with us*
The bearish superwave of SOL has begun (3D)It seems that the The bearish superwave of SOL has begun.
A large liquidity pool has formed below the price, which is likely to break soon.
The all-time high has been broken falsely. This could lead to heavy drops in the weekly timeframe.
In the mid-term and long-term, Solana appears bearish.
Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting
Comment if you have any questions
thank you
How do i get access to chat? Here's a chart for SOLUSDTrying to get chat access. Here's a chart to show buying opportunity that I see for weekly SOLUSD chart. We're currently entering a long term support channel for SOLUSD, about 120-160. imo, it's a good channel to buy if you are bullish this year.