$SOL | Triple Top or Launchpad?Macro to Micro Context:
SOL is now testing a third rejection in the upper 153s, forming a textbook triple top just under a multi-month descending trendline and major Fib resistance. This ceiling has held firm since late June, despite higher lows grinding up from below. Price is now squeezed tightly between compressing demand and stacked supply, with volatility contraction apparent across the board.
The structure is coiling hard but momentum and volume must confirm resolution before positioning aggressively.
Structural & Momentum Breakdown:
Resistance Layering (Reinforced):
Triple Top: Price has repeatedly failed to break above the upper 153s.
Fib Overlap: 50%–61.8% retracement range aligns with both trendline resistance and OB stack.
Order Block Stack: Resistance from mid-153s to low-154s is now reinforced across timeframes (30M → Daily).
Momentum Shifts:
RSI Divergence: Lower highs on RSI across 2H/1H, despite flat or slightly higher price.
PVT Flattening: No fresh accumulation during recent tests.
Volume Decline: Progressive volume deterioration on each retest distributional tone building.
Demand Shelf:
Key demand and support range from low-150s to mid-151s has held through three separate dips.
This is the immediate pivot zone — lose it and vacuum effect likely down into the upper 140s.
Updated Trade Plan:
Rejection Short Setup:
Entry: Breakdown through mid-151s with confirming sell volume.
Stop: Above low-154s to account for potential deviation wicks.
TP1: Upper 148s (first OB cluster).
TP2: Mid-146s (Fib + minor support).
TP3: Low 140s (macro demand + wedge base).
Bear Confirmation: RSI breakdown + volume expansion + OB flips into resistance.
Breakout Setup (Only on Clear Validation):
Entry: Strong candle close above low-154s with breakout volume.
Stop: Below low-151s — invalidation of reclaim.
TP1: Upper 157s (Fib zone).
TP2: Low 160s (swing high area).
TP3: Upper 160s (macro breakout expansion).
Bull Confirmation: RSI > 62 on 2H, strong PVT rise, and flip of local OB into demand.
Risk Warning:
Triple tops near macro resistance are high-risk unless clearly broken. This zone is overloaded with historical rejection. Don't front-run the breakout — volume will show you who's in control.
Closing Thoughts:
With a confirmed triple top now visible, SOL is facing its most important rejection zone in weeks. Bulls must reclaim with strength or this becomes a clean setup for rotation into the mid to low 140s. Patience and confirmation are key here. Keep risk asymmetric.
SOLUSD
SOL/USD 2H chart PATTERN.SOL/USD 2H chart, the price is forming a bullish ascending triangle breakout, and it's approaching the upper resistance trendline. If it breaks out with volume, a strong move upward is expected.
📈 Bullish Target Points:
1. First Target:
✅ $157.80 — This is the first horizontal resistance and initial breakout target.
2. Second Target:
✅ $162.00 — A higher resistance level based on previous highs and projected breakout momentum.
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🔎 Additional Notes:
Support Level: Around $149.90 — also near the ascending trendline.
A confirmed breakout above the triangle with a daily candle close and strong volume would validate these targets.
Consider using a stop-loss below $149.00 if you're trading this setup.
Let me know if you want a trade entry suggestion or risk management strategy.
SOLANA Loves THIS Pattern | BULLISHSolana usually increases alongside ETH. Possible because its a big competitor.
We can see SOL follows ETH very closely, with the exception of dipping earlier than ETH by a week:
In the 4h, we see a push to breakout above the neckline resistance:
In the daily timeframe, SOL is just about to break out above the moving averages - which would be the final confirmation of a bullish impulse to come:
Could this pattern be the confirmation of the start of another big pump for SOL?
_______________________
BINANCE:SOLUSDT
Opened longI opened a long position.
Ideally it is safe to wait for EMAs to line up for the bull trend (EMA21 > 55> 200) in the Daily chart. However, there are many indications that the price will start to move to the upside and the upside move might be quite aggressive. So I decided to open a long position with a small position size.
The reasons for opening a long position:
Daily:
Bull candle has closed above EMA21 for a few times.
RSI lines have crossed and entered the bull zone.
MACD lines are about to enter the bull zone.
Stochastic lines are above to cross and move up.
The price has been staying above Fib 0.236 level for about 10 days.
The price has broke and closed above the descending parallel channel.
4H:
All momentum indicators are in the bull zone.
EMA21 is above EMA 55.
The price has closed above EMA200.
The price is consolidating above the top descending parallel channel.
It is not the perfect bull trend set up, however, there are enough confluences for the price to start to move to the upside.
Entry price: $142.59 (blue horizontal line in 4H chart)
Stop Loss: $130.40 (red horizontal line in 4H chart)
Target: $195 (green horizontal line: Fib 0.5 level in Daily chart and fair value gap zone)
$178 is a strong support and resistance area, so if it starts to stall, I might take a partial profit.
Fingers crossed.
Solana's fate: pump or dump ?Hello friends
You see that Solana, after its good growth, got stuck in a range and is gathering strength. Now, considering the strong upward trend of this currency, it can be said that this force can push the price upwards, but everything is possible in the market, so observe capital management and trade with your will and wisdom.
*Trade safely with us*
Solana - *Bullish* Macro Count EW-Analysis#SOL
This is my preferred and most bullish scenario for Solana. We're currently in a higher-degree Wave 2 correction following a completed Wave 1. The micro count remains unclear for now, further price action should bring more clarity. It’s possible the X-wave has already completed, suggesting additional downside ahead. The only problem I see with this scenario is that, unlike Solana, other coins like XRP and BTC do not appear to be undergoing a larger corrective phase.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. All trading involves risk, and you should perform your own due diligence before making any trading decisions. The author is not responsible for any losses that may arise from reliance on this content. Always trade at your own risk.
$SOLBTC: Little strength to show for. In the crypto space we time and again regularly focus on the CRYPTOCAP:BTC and the CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D chart and we have time and again predicted that CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D will touch at least 66% in this Crypto cycle. This CRYPTOCAP:BTC Dominance can be interpreted not only as the CRYPTOCAP:BTC superiority but the weakness of Altcoins. Most of it comes from the big caps like CRYPTOCAP:ETH and $SOL.
On June 23 we wrote about the BINANCE:ETHBTC failed breakout, and we put forward the case why the chart looks bearish.
BINANCE:ETHBTC failed multiyear breakout. for BINANCE:ETHBTC by RabishankarBiswal
The second largest Altcoin CRYPTOCAP:SOL is also not showing any strengths either. The BINANCE:SOLBTC chart is still range bound within the 0.618 and 0.786 Fib retracement levels. It has failed to break out of this channel, and it is boxed within the downward sloping wedge which also is not bullish for the crypto pair. The best case is BINANCE:SOLBTC sweeps the 0.5 Fib levels at the highs and 0.786 at the lows. That means BINANCE:SOLBTC valuation will be 0.0025 at its upper range and 0.001125 at its lower bound.
Verdict: BINANCE:SOLBTC range bound between 0.0025 to 0.00125 with downward bias.
SOL – Compression at Resistance IISolana remains locked in a corrective sequence, unwinding from the mid-June $164 high. Price has now respected a clearly defined descending trendline, recently validating it with a third consecutive rejection—establishing it as dominant short-term resistance. Compression is now occurring just above a well-tested 2H order block near 144–139, where bulls must respond or risk cascading into inefficiency zones.
Structural and Momentum Breakdown:
Descending Resistance Structure: Three clean rejection wicks off the same trendline establish this as firm structural resistance. The latest failed bounce confirms this diagonal as active seller control.
Fib Cluster Rejection: Price has struggled below the 50–61.8% retracement (152–155 zone) from the June high, marking that cluster as distribution resistance.
Volume Profile (VRVP): Sitting atop a low-volume pocket between 144.88 and 139.71; below that lies high-acceptance around 132.
Volumized OB Zones: 2H OB between 144–139 overlaps with key support shelf—any breakdown from here opens path to 132–129 range sweep.
RSI: Persistently sub-40 with no bullish divergence—momentum continues to degrade.
PVT: Flat-to-declining, showing no inflow response to support retests—suggests buyers are stepping back even at local lows.
Example Trade Strategy:
Bullish Reclaim Setup:
Entry: Only with breakout and 2H close above 152–153 (above OB and breaking descending resistance).
SL: Below 144.50 (reclaim invalidation).
TP1: 158–160 (Fib 78.6%)
TP2: 164 (100% retrace)
Confirmation Criteria: RSI >50 + breakout volume + PVT uptick.
Bearish Continuation Setup (If OB breaks):
Entry: 2H close under 144.88, confirming OB loss and trend continuation.
SL: Above 148.
TP1: 140
TP2: 138
TP3: 132–129 (macro demand + HVN)
Confirmation Criteria: Momentum stays sub-40 RSI, increased sell volume, and continued PVT drop.
SOL – Compression at ResistanceAfter retracing up toward the 50% Fib level (around 154.3–154.4 on the daily chart), SOL/USDT has now stalled beneath key resistance and is rolling back into the reaction range. A close look at both the 1D and 2H charts reveals a clear case of a failed swing high rather than a trend reversal.
1. Structural Context
SOL remains inside its broader downtrend channel (green lines). The bounce off the June low carved out a higher low, but the subsequent rally ran into:
The daily descending trendline (red) from the June high
The 50% Fib retracement of the June down-leg (154.3–154.4)
A sell-side order block (red volume bars on the left VPVR)
The daily 20-period SMA and upper Bollinger Band
Because price could not clear these layers, the move shows the characteristics of a lower high inside a downtrend rather than a genuine breakout.
2. Multi-Timeframe Confirmation
Daily (1D) Chart
Retracement: Peaked at 50% Fib then reversed.
Volume Profile: Thick VPVR node at 154–156 acted as a supply shelf.
Bollinger Bands: Upper band contained the rally.
RSI: Pulled back from ~55 and printed a lower high as price challenged 50%.
PVT: Flat, indicating no real net buying during the bounce.
2-Hour (2H) Chart
Trendlines: A shorter-term red downtrend line capped the local rally near 154.
Order Blocks: Green buy-block around 137–140 held the low; red sell-block around 154–157 limited upside.
RSI: Printed a lower high on the second leg up, even as price revisited prior highs.
Volume: Tapered off on the approach into the 50% Fib zone, then increased on the pullback — a sign of distribution.
3. Key Levels & Next Moves
Immediate Support:
152.2–152.5 (38.2% Fib)
151.1–151.9 (23.6% Fib & daily BB midline)
Structural Support Zones:
146.1–144.6 (prior consolidation & lower Bollinger band)
141.5–140.9 (secondary order block)
134.0–137.0 (major demand cluster)
Immediate Resistance:
154.3–154.4 (50% Fib + daily trendline + SMA)
156–158 (78.6–100% Fib band + higher-timeframe supply)
If SOL fails to hold 152.2–152.5, look for a retest of the 146–144 zone. A breach below 144 opens the path back toward the 137–134 order block. Conversely, a sustained reclaim of 154.4 on volume would be needed to shift the short-term bias neutral.
4. Conclusion
This sequence—bounce into 50% Fib, capped by overlapping resistance, followed by divergence in momentum and rising volume on the pullback—confirms another lower high in SOL’s downtrend. Until price can clear 154.4 with conviction, the path of least resistance remains downward.
HolderStat┆SOLUSD got out of the triangleBYBIT:SOLUSDT is trading in a well-structured upward channel with a history of consolidation zones acting as breakout springboards. The price recently bounced off trend support and now targets the resistance at 170. Structure remains bullish as higher lows continue to form.
#SOL/USDTSOLANA →
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is expected to break and continue upward.
We have a trend to stabilize above the 100 moving average once again.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that supports the upward move with a breakout.
We have a support area at the lower limit of the channel at 142, acting as strong support from which the price can rebound.
Entry price: 144
First target: 146
Second target: 149
Third target: 152
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
SOLUSDT Bullish Flag Pattern!Price has formed a Bullish Flag pattern on the daily timeframe. After multiple touches of both support and resistance, the price has now broken out above the falg resistance, signaling a potential trend reversal. and price trading above 50 and 100 EMA
Currently, SOL is bouncing from the channel breakout level, indicating strong bullish momentum. A clean breakout candle confirms buying interest, and the setup favors a strong bullish continuation if the breakout sustains.
Entry: Above $150
Stop-loss: Below $135
CRYPTOCAP:SOL TRADENATION:SOLANA
Sol searching, for an entry. If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment!
The Elliottician’s Paradox: 12-12 or Zigzag? Bias Is the Key
Ever stare at a chart and ask, “Is that a 12-12 or a classic zigzag?” Yeah… welcome to the paradox we Elliotticians live in. Pattern recognition’s a blessing and a curse because context is everything, but confidence can get you wrecked.
This one’s got me on the edge.
What’s Happening Here
We’re currently watching a move that could be either:
- A corrective zigzag (5-3-5), or
- A 1-2, 1-2 setup, gearing up for a blastoff
That’s the core dilemma — two valid options, both technically legal. So what tips the scales? Bias.
The Line in the Sand: 152
Here’s what I’m watching for:
Key Level: 152
- That’s the bull/bear line for me.
- A strong impulsive reclaim above 152 flips the script. I’d reconsider the bearish view if price surges with intent.
- But if we return to 152 in a sluggish, corrective way? I’ll be eyeing continuation lower, aligned with a more traditional zigzag structure.
Elliott View
This is where the paradox plays out:
If we’re looking at a 1-2, 1-2 setup, expect:
- A powerful Wave 3 soon (should not be shy)
If it’s a Zigzag ABC:
- Then we should expect a corrective internal retracement and continuation to the down side, at minimum past the origin of the initial move.
The chart will speak loudest. But structure and strength of this next leg will confirm the story.
Final Thoughts
Trading isn’t about being right. It’s about managing scenarios — and this one’s a classic fork-in-the-road moment. I’ve got a plan for both directions.
152 is my trigger. Stay below it and fade the rally. Break above it impulsively, and I’ll flip my bias with it.
The Elliottician’s paradox isn’t a trap — it’s an invitation to stay sharp.
Your Turn
How are you reading this structure? Do you favor the zigzag or the 1-2 setup? Drop a comment and let me know.
Trade safe, trade clarity!
HolderStat┆SOLUSD aims for the $170 levelBINANCE:SOLUSDT has broken above triangle resistance, retesting the $146.60 level as new support. The breakout echoes earlier consolidation-based rallies, opening the path toward $170. As long as the structure remains intact, bulls could extend the climb over the next few sessions.
DeGRAM | SOLUSD retest of the 136 level📊 Technical Analysis
● Price bounced at 136 where the rising-channel base meets a long-held internal trend-line, locking in a higher-low and printing bullish RSI divergence.
● A micro falling-wedge is fading; clearance of the wedge roof/150 round turns bias up toward the 158.8 horizontal pivot and the channel mid-band near 187.4.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Solana’s daily active wallets and DEX volume have risen ~20 % since 20 Jun as new DeFi incentive programs (Jupiter, Pyth, Kamino) go live, hinting at returning user demand despite broader crypto lethargy.
Summary
Buy 137-145; confirmed break above 150 targets 158.8 → 187.4. Long thesis voided on a 16 h close below 130.
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Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Getting close to go long!
Solana bullish momentum is building up from both technical and fundamental perspectives.
Daily chart:
1) A daily candle decisively moved and closed above EMA21 on Sat 28th June.
2) RSI and MACD are still in the bear zone but the lines are crossed and now moving upwards.
3) RSI line is now above 50. When the RSI line moves above 50 and EMA21 closes above 21 at the same time, it is often (not always) an early sign of bullish momentum (see blue vertical lines in daily chart).
4H chart:
1) EMA21>EMA55, but EMA200 is still moving horizontally.
2) All momentum indicators have entered the bull territory. However, when the candle finally broke outside the descending parallel channel and broke and closed above EMA200, momentum indicators reached the overbought territory. It means the price is likely to consolidate first before taking off.
I plan to open a long position when:
1) Wait for the momentum indicators to come down and flip to the upside in the 4H chart.
2) A candle to retest, either EMA 21, 55 and/or 200 and forms a strong green (bullish) candle in the 4H chart.
3) A candle stays above EMA 21 in the 4H chart.
SOL Ready To Breakout?SOL had a decent move this weekend overcoming descending resistance and now testing as support.
Price appears to have a completed a wave (2) at the .618 Fibonacci retracement and S1 daily pivot and a larger degree wave 2 at the channel bottom, High Volume Node support and .618 Fibonacci retracement.
If a wave (3) of 3 is underway then we should expect a strong move sooner rather than later with an initial target of the swing high resistance a/ R2 daily pivot $208-$216 range
Safe trading.
Is SOLANA SOL Ready for a Breakout? Bounce from Falling Channel?
🔍 Chart Pattern and Price Structure Analysis
This chart illustrates a well-formed descending channel (parallel falling channel) that has been developing since mid-January 2025. Currently, the price is approaching the upper boundary of this channel — a key decision area.
🟡 Technical Pattern
Descending Channel: This pattern is characterized by a series of lower highs and lower lows, representing a medium-term bearish trend.
The price is now testing the upper resistance of this channel, a crucial point that could either trigger a breakout or result in another rejection.
📈 Bullish Scenario
If the price successfully breaks out above the upper trendline (around $152–$154), several resistance targets come into play:
1. $164.5 — A minor horizontal resistance and key psychological level.
2. $182.2 — A strong historical resistance zone.
3. $210–$217.8 — A previous consolidation/resistance zone.
4. $237.7, then $261–$280 — Key bullish targets if momentum sustains.
5. Ultimate target near $295.1–$295.7 if broader market sentiment remains strong.
📌 Bullish Confirmation:
Valid daily candle breakout above the channel.
Strong breakout volume.
Successful retest of the breakout area as new support.
📉 Bearish Scenario
If the price fails to break above the channel and gets rejected, we may see a continuation of the downtrend with potential moves to these support levels:
1. $140–$138 — Current minor support zone.
2. $128 — Recent consolidation support.
3. $115.5 — Major support from April.
4. $95.2 — The lowest support zone on the chart.
📌 Bearish Confirmation:
Strong rejection candle (e.g., bearish engulfing) from upper channel.
Weak breakout attempt with declining volume.
Break below the lower channel support or creation of a new lower low.
📊 Conclusion
The current setup is a classic descending channel, indicating a strong mid-term bearish structure.
Price is now at a make-or-break zone — a breakout could signal a trend reversal, while a rejection could extend the current downtrend.
Traders should wait for a confirmed breakout or clear rejection before entering a position.
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