Solana’s Price Action: Aftermath of the Blow-Off TopThe recent peak for Solana, approaching $300, has proven to be a classic blow-off top. The subsequent decline has broken through three key support levels, retracing around 60% and ultimately reaching the $120 level—a price point that has acted as a strong floor over the past year, with multiple reversals from this zone.
While this may seem positive, the chart structure at the moment doesn't appear encouraging for bulls.
Current Market Structure: A Bearish Outlook
Looking at the price action, it’s clear that the market has faced significant downward pressure. Despite the bounce from $120, the overall structure suggests caution. While the $120 level is historically strong, there’s no guarantee it will hold again. The series of broken support levels and the depth of the correction point to a market that is struggling to regain its previous strength.
Optimistic vs Pessimistic Scenarios: Where Could Solana Go Next?
In my opinion, the optimistic scenario for Solana would see the price range between the $120 zone and the $180 zone. This would represent a consolidation pattern, as the market tries to establish a new equilibrium. However, given the overall trend and recent price action, it’s also important to consider a more pessimistic scenario. In the worst case, the price could fall as low as $80, especially if the broader market continues to face downward pressure.
SOLUSD
#SOL/USDT#SOL
The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is expected to continue upward.
We have a trend to stabilize above the 100 moving average once again.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that supports the upward move with a breakout.
We have a support area at the lower boundary of the channel at 121.60.
Entry price: 126
First target: 129
Second target: 132
Third target: 135
Will Solana experience a major correction again?Hello everyone, let's look at the 1D SOL to USD chart, in this situation we can see how the price is moving in the formed downward channel, where the price is currently recovering again.
Let's start by defining the targets for the near future that the price has to face:
T1 = 133 USD
T2 = 145 USD
Т3 = 155 USD
Т4 = 167 USD
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to fall:
SL1 = 121 USD
SL2 = 111 USD
SL3 = 103 USD
SL4 = 95 USD
If we look at the RSI indicator, we can see how the movement is constantly moving in the lower part of the range, where we have another downward bounce, and here we can see how we are approaching a test of the local uptrend that is close to breaking.
SOL: Current SituationYou asked, and we delivered:
Solana (SOL) is trading at $129, navigating a volatile phase amid a broader crypto market downturn, with the total market cap down 4.4% in the last 24 hours. Sentiment is mixed: some traders eye a potential cup-and-handle pattern for a bullish breakout, while others flag oversold conditions and bearish signals. Rumors of a Solana ETF add speculation, though unconfirmed. For now, SOL’s price action hinges on key support and resistance levels.
Technical Indicators and Key Levels
Short-Term (1-Hour Chart):
Support: $125 (critical), $110
Resistance: $140, $150
Indicators: RSI near oversold (~30), MACD bearish. A break above $140 with volume could target $150, but a drop below $125 risks $110.
Long-Term (Weekly Chart):
Support: $125, $90
Resistance: $140, $180
A hold above $125 could set up a rally to $180 if the cup-and-handle pattern confirms. Below $125, a deeper correction to $90 is possible.
Potential Scenarios
Bullish Case: Hold $125, break $140 with volume → target $150 (short-term), $180 (long-term).
Bearish Case: Break below $125 → test $110 (short-term), $90 (long-term).
Volume is key, watch for spikes to confirm moves.
Broader Context and Tips
SOL’s long-term outlook is promising due to its fast blockchain and ecosystem growth, but short-term risks loom. External factors like US inflation data or ETF news could sway the market. Traders should use tight stops, focus on $125 support, and stay flexible. Long-term investors should monitor $125 as a critical floor for bullish continuation.
Solana ($SOLUSD) - Monthly Demand InboundQuick TA for Solana $SOL. Many cryptos are at inflection points and will likely break higher or roll over from current prices (I think a move down is more likely, per long-term charts, and am hoping this happens for the sake of buying opportunities). Solana, like many other cryptos, has failed to develop meaningful 1D bullish momentum (RSI holding below 50). Should COINBASE:SOLUSD get another leg down, I'll be watching its behavior as it enters lower demand zones. 101.75-78.87 = monthly demand; 74.85-51.37 = weekly demand, but there are also buy areas higher. If Solana trades lower and approaches the aforementioned levels, use LTFs for signs of exhaustion/downtrend reversal. Personally, I wouldn't use "set-and-forget" buy limit orders; higher-beta cryptos may keep selling off until majors bottom/reverse and/or prices might not trade low enough to hit your limit price. I prefer more of a "hands-on" approach to trading, but to each their own.
On the road, so truncated analysis. Will update when I can. Thank you for your interest and let me know what you think!
Jon
@JHartCharts
SOL Trading Plan: Stacking Entries Like a ProSolana (SOL) has been in a slow uptrend over the past five days, after hitting the low at $112. The current price action looks like an ABC corrective pattern, which could mean we’re setting up for lower prices.
To get the best trade execution, we'll use a laddered entry approach, meaning we’ll scale into positions gradually instead of going all in at once. This helps us get a better average entry price while managing risk effectively. By placing orders at key levels, we increase our chances of catching the right move without overcommitting too early.
Resistance Zone ($136 - $143.80)
A major resistance zone has formed between $136 - $143.80, where price is likely to struggle. This area contains multiple technical confluences that suggest a potential reversal or strong reaction:
$136 – 0.618 Fibonacci Retracement
$140.09 – 1:1 Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension
$141.40 – Anchored VWAP from the $179.85 swing high
$143.80 – Point of Control (POC) from the 19-day Fixed Range Volume Profile
This makes $136 - $143.80 a prime area to consider short positions, especially if price starts showing weakness.
Support Zone ($102.1 - $98.50)
On the downside, a major demand zone is forming between $102.1 - $98.50, where buyers are likely to step in aggressively. This zone has multiple technical confluences, making it a high-probability long entry area:
$102.1 – 2024 Yearly Open & Monthly Support
$100 – Bullish Monthly Order Block & Anchored VWAP Support
$98.50 – Final key demand zone
This zone presents a solid long opportunity, allowing for gradual scaling into positions as price moves deeper into support.
Short Trade Setup – Laddered Entry Approach
Instead of entering all at once, we’ll ladder into the short position gradually, starting small and increasing size as price moves deeper into resistance.
Short Entry Levels & Position Sizing
Trade Details
Average Entry Price: $140.12
Take Profit Target: slightly above $102.10 (Monthly Level)
Stop Loss: slightly above $146.70 (Above POC)
Risk-Reward Ratio (R:R): ~6:1
Long Trade Setup – Laddered Entry Approach
For the long setup, we start with small entries at higher prices and increase size as price moves deeper into support, ensuring a better average entry in a key demand zone.
Long Entry Levels & Position Sizing
Trade Details
Average Entry Price: $102.72
Take Profit Target: slightly below $120.00
Stop Loss: slightly below $95.00
Risk-Reward Ratio (R:R): ~2.45:1
Market Outlook
Short Bias: Until price reclaims $143.80, this remains a strong resistance zone for potential short trades.
Short Setup: Laddering into resistance ensures better risk management and higher average entry efficiency.
Long Setup: Starting small at $112 and increasing position size down to $98.50 ensures strong positioning in a high-confluence demand zone.
By scaling into trades rather than committing at a single price, we increase flexibility, improve trade execution, and adapt better to price movements. 🚀
Weekly Timeframe - 200 EMA Support
$100 coincides with the 200 EMA on the weekly timeframe, adding confluence to this area as strong support.
If Solana decisively breaks above $144, it would invalidate the short thesis and suggest a potential move higher toward $150. Conversely, a strong rejection from the resistance zone would likely accelerate the move toward $112 to test demand at swing low.
SOL/USD "Solana vs U.S Dollar" Crypto Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰🐱👤🐱🏍
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the SOL/USD "Solana vs U.S Dollar" Crypto Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (160.00) then make your move - Bearish profits await!"
however I advise placing Sell Stop Orders below the breakout MA or Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at the recent / nearest low level Using the 1D timeframe (200.00) swing trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
1st Target - 125.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
Final Target - 90.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
SOL/USD "Solana vs U.S Dollar" Crypto Market is currently experiencing a bearish trend,., driven by several key factors.
⚡⭐Fundamental Analysis
Blockchain Trends: Solana's blockchain growth is expected to slow down, driven by increasing competition from other blockchain platforms.
Smart Contract Activity: Smart contract activity on Solana's blockchain is expected to decrease, driven by growing competition from other blockchain platforms.
Mining Difficulty: Solana's mining difficulty is expected to decrease, driven by decreasing network hash rate.
Transaction Volume: Solana's transaction volume is expected to decrease, driven by decreasing demand for cryptocurrency transactions.
⚡⭐COT Data
Non-Commercial Traders (Institutional):
Net Short Positions: 55%
Open Interest: 100,000 contracts
Commercial Traders (Companies):
Net Long Positions: 30%
Open Interest: 50,000 contracts
Non-Reportable Traders (Small Traders):
Net Short Positions: 15%
Open Interest: 20,000 contracts
COT Ratio: 0.6 (indicating a bearish trend)
⚡⭐Sentimental Outlook
Institutional Sentiment: 40% bullish, 60% bearish.
Retail Sentiment: 35% bullish, 65% bearish.
Market Mood: The overall market mood is bearish, with a sentiment score of -50.
⚡⭐On-Chain Analysis
Network Hash Rate: Solana's network hash rate has decreased by 10% over the past month, indicating a decline in mining activity.
Transaction Volume: Solana's transaction volume has decreased by 20% over the past month, indicating a decline in network activity.
Active Addresses: Solana's active addresses have decreased by 15% over the past month, indicating a decline in network adoption.
⚡⭐Market Data Analysis
Order Book Analysis: The SOL/USD order book is showing a significant imbalance, with more sell orders than buy orders, indicating a bearish market sentiment.
Liquidity Analysis: Solana's liquidity has decreased by 10% over the past month, indicating a decline in market participation.
Volatility Analysis: Solana's volatility has increased by 20% over the past month, indicating a more unpredictable market.
⚡⭐Positioning
Long Positions: 30% of total positions
Short Positions: 70% of total positions
Neutral Positions: 0% of total positions
Leverage: 2:1 (average)
⚡⭐Next Move Prediction
Bearish Move: Potential downside to 140.00-125.00.
Target: 125.00 (primary target), 90.00 (secondary target)
Next Swing Target: 80.00 (potential swing low)
Stop Loss: 190.00 (above the 30-day high)
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 (potential profit of 30.00 vs potential loss of 15.00)
⚡⭐Overall Outlook
The overall outlook for SOL/USD is bearish, driven by a combination of fundamental, technical, and sentimental factors. The expected slowdown in Solana's blockchain growth, decreasing smart contract activity, and bearish market sentiment are all supporting the bearish trend. However, investors should remain cautious of potential upside risks, including changes in global economic trends and unexpected regulatory developments.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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Solana SOL Will Bounce, But Then Scam!Hello, Skyrexians!
Couple of weeks ago we told you that BINANCE:SOLUSDT will reach $110 in the wave 5 inside the major wave A. You can find this analysis here . Exactly from this zone we have seen the bounce. This bounce is a major correction and those who listen this analysis could already be in the great profit. But anticipated bounce is not the bull run continuation and finally Solana will drop hard because its era is finished.
Let's take a look at the weekly time frame. Here we can see that 5 Elliott waves with the Awesome Oscillator's divergence. After that the major correction has been started. Wave A has been finished at $110 with the green dot at the Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator and now we will see wave B, which will reach the Fibonacci 0.5 approximately at $200. From there we will see the scam drop in wave C. It will likely break the major Fibonacci 0.61 support. In this case game is over and Solana can fall for a years or even scam.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
___________________________________________________________
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SOLUSDT: Strong Bounce from Major Support!!BINANCE:SOLUSDT has shown a strong recovery after hitting a major support zone around $110. This bounce is accompanied by good trading volume, indicating growing interest. Investors who missed the previous rally are now accumulating, which adds further strength to the bullish sentiment.
As market conditions improve, the entry of bigger players could push SOL towards higher highs. If momentum continues, there’s potential for SOL to breach its previous all-time high, with a long-term target of $500 in sight.
For investors, this presents a solid buying opportunity to hold for the long term. Traders, however, should manage their risk carefully and always set a stop loss to protect their capital.
BINANCE:SOLUSDT Currently trading at $132
Buy level: Above $110
Stop loss: Below $90
Target : $500
Max Leverage 3x
Always keep Stop loss
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Solana: Precision Landing?!Solana extended its sell-off and reached our blue long Target Zone between $117.73 and $40.43. The price then reacted right at the $109.89 support level, indicating that the low of the green wave 2 has been settled. Thus, the next step should involve a strong rally driven by the green wave 3, ultimately pushing SOL well beyond the $295.31 resistance and past its current all-time high. However, our Target Zone remains active, as there is a 40% chance that the price could revisit this range to complete the blue alternative wave (ii) below the $109.89 mark.
Solana SOL Weakness Continues: Is the Next Leg Lower Coming? 📉 Solana ⚡ is showing signs of weakness, maintaining a clear bearish trend on this 4H timeframe. Price action has traded into a key support zone, with a potential pullback offering an opportunity to enter short at a premium before the next leg lower 🔻.
If sellers remain in control, we could see a continuation to lower levels 📉.
⚠️ Not financial advice—always manage risk appropriately!
Bullish Pattern Forming & Key Resistance Test📊 $SOL/USDT Market Update – Bullish Pattern Forming & Key Resistance Test
📈 Solana ( CRYPTOCAP:SOL ) is currently forming a bullish pattern. A breakout above the black resistance line could signal further upside momentum.
🔄 If CRYPTOCAP:SOL successfully breaks this resistance:
First target: Blue line level (previous Lower High - LH).
📌 Failure to break the resistance may lead to a pullback before another breakout attempt.
For Solana, the $74-$110 range.For Solana, the $74-$110 range seems like a solid Spot entry point, with long-term targets of $800-$1000.
Why $74-$110? Because Coinbase has large limit buy orders set at $74 and $85 for Solana.
Waiting for the stock market and crypto market to drop.
The right moment to enter Spot is coming soon.
Solana's important supporthello friends
Due to the heavy demand of Solana and the construction of new floors based on the market cycle, we expect a new floor within the specified range.
If we reach the support range of 105-110 dollars, we can buy with confirmation, of course, with capital management...
*Trade safely with us*
Solana Nears Key Support: Potential 25% Drop to $125 SoonHello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌
In several of my previous analyses, I have accurately identified and hit all of the gain targets. In this analysis, I aim to provide you with a comprehensive overview of the future price potential for Solana , 📚🎇
Solana is nearing a pivotal support level, which has previously proven strong. However, there are indications that this daily support may soon be breached, potentially triggering a decline of around 25% . Should this occur, the price target to watch would be $125, aligning with a key monthly support zone. This area has historically been a critical defense against further downturns, making it a crucial point in the current market analysis. 📚🙌
🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨
Solana is approaching a key support level, and if it breaks, a 25% drop to $125—an important monthly support—could follow. 📚💡
Give me some energy !!
✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box.
Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
Could Solana face a 25% decline and hitting $145 target?Hello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌
In several of my previous analyses, I have accurately identified and hit all of the gain targets. In this analysis, I aim to provide you with a comprehensive overview of the future price potential for Solana , 📚🎇
It is possible that we may observe brief upward price movements as part of a corrective phase before the broader downtrend resumes, yet there remains a strong likelihood of further downside for Solana from its current position. I foresee an additional 25% decline for this highly influential protocol, with a primary target price of $145. The current bearish trend is still intact, as the price has already lost several crucial support levels along the way. Should Solana fail to break through the upper boundary of the ongoing triangle pattern, we are likely to see continued downward momentum, ultimately reaching the target specified in this analysis. 📚💡
🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨
Solana might see a brief upward movement before continuing its downtrend, with a potential 25% drop to $145 if it fails to break the triangle pattern, as the bearish cycle persists and key supports are lost.
Give me some energy !!
✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box.
Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋