SOLUSD
SOLUSD - MY BEARISH SCENARIO (TARGET $67)I'd like to first mention that the downward breakout is only justified IF Bitcoin does the same.
What do we see? (follow the steps)
1) The high that set the downtrend.
2) Price wicking in the daily FVG that will serve as our base ('support').
3) A false breakout that is a major bearish signal, paired with the fact that BTC is in my opinion bearish too.
4) A short structure with a low taken out and retracement within a bearish FVG (in this case a 4H structure).
5) The expected dump where BTC does too.
Hopefully you enjoyed this short analysis and I wish you a lovely day!
Happy trading!! ;)
SOLANA ⇒ Still RUNNINGHello guys...
as you can see at the first place btc touched the supple and demand zone and after that made a hidden QM pattern!
at the same time, the price broke up the descending channel with full body candle!
I believe the main target is at DP so I mean 116$ level!
let's see what happens!
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SOLANA: strong PA 111 if breakout confirmed Solana has recently encountered strong support at the 200 SMA and has initiated a rebound from this key level. Currently, there is a convergence of multiple moving averages in this area. Should this level hold, particularly if Bitcoin holds, we can anticipate a rally, potentially reaching 111 or even surpassing this threshold.
Solana, another 100% pump in the next weeksSolana is very bullish. The uptrend is strong, and continuation to the upside is very likely because the ascending parallel channel holds the current price. I do not want to see a breakdown below this channel because that would be a very bearish sign on the other side. From the Elliott Wave perspective, we need to complete the impulse wave 12345. I am expecting a final wave (5) with a 100% profit in the next few days or weeks. Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Solana is a highly functional open source project that banks on blockchain technology’s permissionless nature to provide decentralized finance (DeFi) solutions. While the idea and initial work on the project began in 2017, Solana was officially launched in March 2020 by the Solana Foundation with headquarters in Geneva, Switzerland.
To learn more about this project, check out our deep dive of Solana.
The Solana protocol is designed to facilitate decentralized app (DApp) creation. It aims to improve scalability by introducing a proof-of-history (PoH) consensus combined with the underlying proof-of-stake (PoS) consensus of the blockchain.
Because of the innovative hybrid consensus model, Solana enjoys interest from small-time traders and institutional traders alike. A significant focus for the Solana Foundation is to make decentralized finance accessible on a larger scale.
SOLUSD approaching 3 month trend support. Move likely soon.Solana is approaching the med-term trend line which is also at the point of a huge symmetrical wedge.
Solana is going to make a BIG move soon. History says trend is your friend so if that holds true look for a test of the top of the channel.
If it breaks through the top of the channel and resistance trendline and closes above on the daily, look for a big move higher, while testing the two previous recent highs.
If the price breaks below the trend on the daily, look for the price test next support area down.
#Solana #SOL #SOLUSD #SOLUSDT
SOL Outlook: Solana to outperform Ethereum in Uptrend?Date: January 12, 2024
Overview:
Solana's SOL/USD pair has been evaluated within a dual channel setup indicating two potential market directions. The green channel outlines a bullish trajectory, while the red indicates a bearish perspective. Alongside, key historical retest levels and the Z-Score Probability Indicator provide a multifaceted view of the market's sentiment and potential trend strength.
Channel Analysis:
The green bullish pitchfork highlights a steady uptrend, with SOL recently testing the mid-line of this channel, which could act as dynamic support.
The red bearish pitchfork is not currently in play but serves as a visual guide to potential downturns should the market sentiment shift.
Key Levels:
Key Historical Retest Levels/Supports:
SOL has maintained levels above key historical supports at $49.91, $40.15, and $26.36. These levels are crucial for maintaining the bullish narrative.
Conditional Probable Boundaries: Future resistance levels are identified at $97.18 (Boundary 1), $165.44 (Boundary 2), and higher at $237.80 (Boundary 3). Breaching these could signal continued bullish momentum.
Z-Score Probability Indicator:
The Z-Score is currently above the zero line, indicating that price is deviating from its mean to the upside. A Z-Score above 2 often signals a strong bullish sentiment, while readings above 3 could imply overbought conditions and potential for a pullback.
The Z-Score's mean reversion tendency is apparent, which will be crucial to monitor for signs of trend exhaustion or continuation.
Market Context and Fundamentals:
SOL’s performance should be interpreted in light of the overall health of the blockchain and DeFi ecosystem, as well as network-specific updates, scalability improvements, and adoption rates.
Fundamental news, such as partnerships, technological advancements, or regulatory changes, can have a significant impact on SOL's price and should be monitored closely.
Potential Strategy:
Bullish Scenario: Traders might look to add to or initiate long positions on retests of the key historical supports, with the conditional probable boundaries as potential profit-taking points.
Bearish Scenario: Should SOL break below the key supports and the mid-line of the bullish pitchfork, it might indicate a shift in market sentiment, and traders could look for short positions targeting the lower levels of the bearish pitchfork.
Risk Management:
Given the current positive Z-Score, it's advisable for traders to be watchful of potential pullbacks and set stop-loss orders accordingly.
The pitchfork channels can be utilized to adjust risk parameters as SOL navigates through these projected paths.
Conclusion:
SOL/USD is showing signs of bullish behavior, with critical supports holding strong. The Z-Score suggests that the market is currently optimistic, with a watchful eye on the upper levels for signs of overextension. Traders should remain vigilant and responsive to price action at key levels and fundamental news that could sway market direction.
This analysis is provided for informational purposes only and is not investment advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SOLANA : Bull FlagBull Flag Chart Pattern.
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We are not registered or licensed in any jurisdiction whatsoever to provide investing advice or anything of an advisory or consultancy nature.
and are therefore are unqualified to give investment recommendations.
Always do your own research and consult with a licensed investment professional before investing.
This communication is never to be used as the basis of making investment decisions, and it is for entertainment purposes only.
sol long setuphello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. Please also refer to the Important Risk Notice linked below.
Solana showing relative strength on two fronts (USD & BTC)SOLANA - KEEP AN EYE ON THE EXITS
Solana continues to hold the 21 daily moving average and has relative strength against BTC even with the recent mini BTC pump.
Whilst I think we need to keep our eyes on the exit over the coming 2 - 8 weeks these charts continues to look very positive with any BTC upside propelling CRYPTOCAP:SOL higher than BTC in BTC relative terms.
As SOL has had a monumental 774% run from June 2023 increasing from $12.50 to $110 today, its time to start considering profit taking. With this in mind, a large portion, maybe 60-70% of the current position I hold will be exited on/sold on a close below the 21 daily moving average (in USD).
For now I believe we may be reaching into a frothy peak as the Bitcoin ETF announcement approaches, ahead of which I would see taking profits off the table as a wise decision.
We have to remember that the upwards volatility in SOL, the leverage gained relative to BTC, will flip into into downwards volatility in SOL on a BTC decline, resulting in a much harsher sell off than that of Bitcoins correction. I am not predicting that the Bitcoin ETF approval or decline will result in a massive sell off in BTC, but it would remiss of us not to expect a 30% pullback in BTC over the next 2 weeks to 8 weeks as STANDARD BTC behavior at this point in the BTC cycle. If this happens, the price of SOL will likely see much heavier major downside.
Lets see what happens over the next 2 weeks and we will check in again. T
These perspectives I am sharing are more about framing where we are in this current market and how we might think about protecting ourselves against the typical BTC price behaviors we have come to expect as standard such as the 30% drawdown (which we have not had yet). If your a longer term holder, none of this really matters, you are holding on a longer timeframe. Also important to note that we could see FWB:52K - $58k BTC before such a pull back or, maybe this will be the one time BTC goes into a super cycle? Who knows, we are just looking at the exits and protecting ourselves.
Stay Nimble Folks
PUKA
Solana (and Altcoins) Daily RSI Tells the Story!I continue to reiterate the point that our daily RSI is giving hints at what may continue to come for Solana and altcoins. Solana have been one of the strongest alts during this bull run and remains above our red ascending trendline while most others have fallen below. But just as with other altcoin charts, our lead indicator was broken supports on the daily RSI. Three of these big supports have now been broken below. However, on the price chart only two have been broken. Will that red ascending trendline become the third? My bet is "yes" based upon what the RSI chart is telling me, though, it may spike higher first following Bitcoin ETF approval news. If I am right about this pullback, I don't think Solana will find support until around $65 or so.
buy in breakout(SOL)📊Analysis by AhmadArz:
buy in breakout trendine
🔍Entry: 95.1
🛑Stop Loss: 93.57
🎯Take Profit: 96.67
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