Could Solana face a 25% decline and hitting $145 target?Hello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌
In several of my previous analyses, I have accurately identified and hit all of the gain targets. In this analysis, I aim to provide you with a comprehensive overview of the future price potential for Solana , 📚🎇
It is possible that we may observe brief upward price movements as part of a corrective phase before the broader downtrend resumes, yet there remains a strong likelihood of further downside for Solana from its current position. I foresee an additional 25% decline for this highly influential protocol, with a primary target price of $145. The current bearish trend is still intact, as the price has already lost several crucial support levels along the way. Should Solana fail to break through the upper boundary of the ongoing triangle pattern, we are likely to see continued downward momentum, ultimately reaching the target specified in this analysis. 📚💡
🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨
Solana might see a brief upward movement before continuing its downtrend, with a potential 25% drop to $145 if it fails to break the triangle pattern, as the bearish cycle persists and key supports are lost.
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SOLUSD
SOL/USDT 1H: Accumulation in Play – Rebound to $208?SOL/USDT 1H:Analysis
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Current Market Analysis:
Price at $197.49, rejecting at the $204 FVG (Fair Value Gap).
RSI indicating potential hidden bullish divergence, suggesting underlying strength.
Market structure forming lower highs, with key resistance at the $204-$208 zone.
Trade Setup:
Confidence Level: 7/10 – Favorable setup but requires confirmation.
Entry: Wait for a retest of $196 support before entering.
Targets:
T1: $204 (FVG fill).
T2: $208 (Premium zone).
Stop Loss: Below $192 (recent swing low).
Risk Score:
7/10 – Decent R:R setup, but potential liquidity grabs below $192 pose risk.
Smart Money Analysis:
Accumulation likely occurring within the $192-$196 range.
Market Makers building liquidity below $192, possibly targeting a stop hunt before reversal.
Recommendation:
Wait for confirmation of support at $196 before entering long positions.
Increased volume is necessary to confirm a bullish move.
Be patient and watch for a liquidity sweep below $192 for a potential reversal entry.
Confidence Level:
7/10 – Bullish bias in play, but confirmation needed for execution.
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SOLUSD - Weekly forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
155.100 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
Technical analysis:
A peak is formed in daily chart at 295.850 on 01/19/2025, so more losses to support(s) 186.409, 175.250 and minimum to Major Support (155.100) is expected.
Take Profits:
218.928
243.197
264.400
294.450
350.000
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SOLUSD Triple bottom initiates new rally to $380.Solana (SOLUSD) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the July 29 2024 High. The recent February 03 2025 Low isn't just a Higher Low on the Channel Up but also a Triple Bottom on the Support Zone and a Double Bottom on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line).
Needless to say, this shows that technically this is a level of high demand, thus long-term Support and within the next 30 days maximum, it should initiate the new Bullish Leg of the pattern, similar to the September 06 2024 Low. Even the 1D RSI sequences between those fractals are identical.
Since the previous Bullish Leg rose be +119.43%, we see no reason to do otherwise now, hence our new long-term Target is set a $380.00.
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SOL/USDT Bullish Breakout Loading ? Key Levels & Confluence SOL/USDT Technical Analysis
Price Action & Key Levels
Price is consolidating inside a descending channel, typically a bullish pattern if broken to the upside.
Key breakout level
$195–$196 aligned with Fib 0.382 and trendline resistance.
Critical support: $186 lower channel boundary.
First bullish confirmation
A close above $198 (1H 50 EMA + Fib 0.5).
Target levels
First target: $202–$203 (Fib 0.618).
Second target: $210+ (previous high).
Stop-loss placement : Below $186 to avoid fakeouts.
RSI Analysis
If RSI is currently below 50, it suggests weak momentum, meaning price could still consolidate before a breakout.
If RSI crosses above 55–60, it confirms bullish momentum supporting a breakout.
A hidden bullish divergence (higher low in RSI while price makes a lower low) would strengthen the case for upside movement.
Volume Analysis
Breakout needs strong volume confirmation. If price moves above $195 with low volume, it could be a fakeout.
If volume spikes on a breakout, it signals institutional participation, increasing the likelihood of a sustained move.
Decreasing volume inside the channel is a good sign this indicates sellers are getting exhausted before an upward breakout.
Support and resistance zone: 202.68-211.77
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(SOLUSDT.P 1D chart)
Since it is a coin that has renewed its ATH, it may be natural for it to fall.
The key is whether it can receive support near the current support and resistance zone of 202.68-211.77.
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This applies to coins where the gap between the HA-Low and HA-High indicators is unusually narrow.
Therefore, if it is supported and rises within the box range of the HA-Low indicator (173.33-218.71), it is expected to rise above the Fibonacci ratio point of 1.618 (297.94).
Otherwise, if it falls, it is expected to re-determine the trend by touching the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
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(SOLUSDT 1D chart)
I think it is also good to hold SOL coins as a long-term investment.
However, I think it is wise to increase the number of coins (tokens) held by increasing the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to profits, if possible, for all altcoins.
The reason is that the volatility is quite large.
I think the only way to stabilize your psychological state in this volatility is to increase the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to profits.
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Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful transaction.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been in an upward trend since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
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(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, I expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
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The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
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SOL ANALYSIS (4H)From the point marked as "Start" on the chart, the correction of SOL has begun.
It appears that this correction is either a Diametric or a Symmetrical pattern.
Currently, it seems to be in Wave F.
It may reject downward from the red zone to complete Wave G.
A daily candle closing above the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
MOST Bullish Crypto Now? MoneroThis may come as a surprise considering how little attention it is paid but according to my most time tested analytic; the Daily Ichimoku Cloud + Chikou Confirmation, KRAKEN:XMRUSD is showing more bullish than the top cryptocurrencies.
I have written for years about this study of when price versus the Ichimoku cloud is in line with Chikou (purple line, AKA Lagging Span) versus cloud. I will include a few links below to past Tradingview ideas.
Let's look at some of the major cryptocurrencies that most pay attention to for comparison:
INDEX:BTCUSD
Bitcoin is at a precarious place. The bull trend has weakened and moved through the Ichimoku cloud. Price has breached it to the downside but that does not make it bearish yet. The final step would be Chikou to cross. At this point downward movement and/or time passing will make this true and the trend will flip bearish. Bitcoin's Ichimoku Daily analysis is what I have written most about. If followed, I have demonstrated that applying this simple strategy out performs pure HODL by a factor of 7x.
KRAKEN:SOLUSD
Solana is to me the next most interesting cryptocurrency at present because its use case is the most prevalent: meme coins. Solana just does them better and most of the popular meme coins that end up on the news go through this chain. SOLUSD is sitting in purely neutral territory like Bitcoin.
CRYPTO:ETHUSD
Ethereum is in objectively the worst shape. It has already flipped confirmed bearish.
I think people sleep on Monero because it is not considered a "get rich quick" cryptocurrency. Unfortunately, the cryptocurrency market has devolved into a space for fraud and fast wealth. Monero, being privacy focused, is the leading cryptocurrency that actually facilitates the original use case of cryptocurrency which is... a currency. It has largely acted like a stablecoin the past 3 years while slowly appreciating. Don't ignore it... but also please don't pump it. I don't want the volatility.
Trade wisely.
Another dip coming? Solana price bounced back strongly yesterday and formed a daily candle with a massive bottom wick. It is very bullish. It was a great buy the dip moment for spot buyers and intraday traders. However, if you are swing trading with leverage, the momentum is still bearish. I think it is not the time to open a long position for the following reasons:
Weekly:
1) Price is still trending up along EMA 21, but it is starting to drop below it.
2) Momentum indicators are forming negative divergence.
3) MACD and RSI are still in the bull territory, however, Stochastic had tried to move to the bull zone but failed and now moving to the downside in the bear zone.
Daily:
1) Daily MACD and RSI are pointing to the downside and they are about to enter the bear zone.
2) Daily stochastic have reset and moving to the upside, so it is a sign of recovery to the upside, but it is not supported by price action.
3) The price dropped to EMA200 and bounced, but it failed to move about the previous low ($222) and also closed just under EMA 55.
4) Today the price is starting to come down. Today's candle hasn't closed so it is too premature to make any decision on today's candle at this stage.
4H:
1) the current candle failed to close above EMA 21.
2) both MACD and RSI are still in the bear zone.
3). Stochastic has already reached the overbought territory and now it is rolling to the downside.
4) There are two layers of buy blocks below the $190 area so there is a chance the price might drop to that level.
It has been such a volatile and difficult market. Every time you think the bottom is in and the price starts to move up, it gets pushed down. It is the market that challenges you mentally.
Yesterday's dip was a great opportunity to buy spot and hold. But if you are trading, it might be better to buy the strength because dips can keep coming.
WARNING - SOLANA IS DEAD MartyBoots here , I have been trading for 17 years and sharing my thoughts on SOL here.
SOL is looking like ETH did last bull market
Do not miss out on SOL if it breaks down as this is a great opportunity to get out of the market and protect yourself
Watch video for more details
#SOL/USDT #SOL
The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is adhering to it well and is heading to break it strongly upwards and retest it
We have a bounce from the lower limit of the descending channel, this support is at a price of 187
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, which supports the rise
We have a trend to stabilize above the moving average 100
Entry price 203
First target 219
Second target 234
Third target 250
PEPE/USDT 1H: Bullish Accumulation – Breakout Incoming?!PEPE/USDT 1H Chart Analysis
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Current Market Structure:
• Price at 0.00001114, showing bullish momentum after recovery from the discount zone.
• RSI at 60.79, confirming strength but not yet overbought.
• Equilibrium phase suggests potential continuation toward premium zone.
Smart Money Concepts:
• Fair Value Gap (FVG) identified at 0.00001250, acting as a magnet for price action.
• Order block formation at 0.00000850, providing strong support.
• Premium zone resistance at 0.00001400, where market makers may distribute.
Key Levels:
Entry Zone: 0.00001114 - 0.00001125 (current range).
Targets:
T1: 0.00001250 (FVG fill).
T2: 0.00001400 (premium zone).
Stop Loss: Below 0.00000950 (recent swing low).
Risk Score:
6/10 - Moderate risk due to meme coin volatility but favorable risk-reward setup.
Market Maker Intent:
Accumulation phase appears complete. Market Makers likely targeting liquidity at the premium zone (0.00001400) for distribution. Hidden bullish RSI divergence on 1H suggests further upside potential.
Recommendation:
Long positions favorable within the 0.00001114-0.00001125 range. Monitor volume confirmation for continuation toward 0.00001250+. Maintain tight stops to limit downside risk.
Confidence Level:
8/10 for bullish continuation toward premium zone.
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SOLANA double bottomed on 1day MA200. Target $400.Solana / SOLUSD is trading inside a Channel Up since the July 29th 2024 high.
The price hit today the 1day MA200 for the 2nd time since January 13th and instantly rebounded.
Technically this makes it a Double Bottom formation and took place right at the bottom of the Channel Up.
The pattern is very similar with the Megaphone of May-August 2024 that was followed by a strong uptrend, the bullish wave of the Channel Up.
Their 1day RSI patterns are identical.
Buy and aim for a +140% rise from the bottom. Target 400.
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Analysis and analysis of Solana: the last chance to buy?hello friends
Considering the price growth we had and after that we entered the price correction, now we see a classic double bottom pattern in the price correction in the support area.
that by setting a higher ceiling, we can enter into a transaction with capital and risk management...
*Trade safely with us*
SOLUSDT - Buy with every dipBINANCE:SOLUSDT One of the strongest assets in the market and among the least affected by the recent downturn.
I highly recommend this coin for anyone looking to invest in crypto for the long term.
It’s a core asset in the market, with many projects built on its network, and currently ranks 5th by market cap, sitting at approximately $100.84B.
On the 3-day timeframe, the coin has formed an ascending channel, with price action strongly respecting the lower boundary of the pattern.
Price projection is shown on the chart, and I expect this outlined structure to play out in the coming weeks.
Best regards Ceciliones🎯
SOL/USDT 1H: Bears Pushing Lower – Can $200 Hold ?SOL/USDT 1H Chart Analysis
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Market Condition:
Price: $201.93, showing strong bearish momentum.
Market Structure: Lower highs & lower lows confirm bearish trend.
RSI: 35.89, oversold but not extreme yet.
Key Levels:
Major Resistance: $216 (Previous support turned resistance).
Current Support: $200 (Psychological level).
Next Major Support: $196 (Discount Zone).
Smart Money Analysis:
Market Makers likely engineering liquidity below $200.
Hidden Bearish Divergence on RSI, signaling continuation of downtrend.
Risk Score: 8/10 (High-risk environment).
Recommendation:
📌 Wait for confirmation before entering longs. Look for:
Price reclaiming $208.
Bullish RSI divergence forming.
Volume spike confirming reversal.
Potential Long Setup If Reversal Happens:
Entry: Above $208 (only if confirmation is present).
Targets:
T1: $216.
T2: $224.
T3: $232.
Stop Loss: Below $196.
Confidence Level: 6/10 (Not high enough for full position recommendation in current conditions).
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Will Solana break $300 soon? What factors influence its price?Hello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌
In several of my previous analyses, I have accurately identified and hit all of the gain targets. In this analysis, I aim to provide you with a comprehensive overview of the future price potential for Solana , 📚🎇
The price is currently in need of a pause and consolidation phase to form a well-defined parallel channel. This period of rest will provide the market with the necessary time to stabilize and absorb recent volatility. Once the price successfully establishes this pattern, we can expect a renewed upward trajectory. This consolidation is crucial, as it will create a solid foundation for sustainable growth. Following this, a target of $300 becomes more achievable, as the market regains momentum and confidence. This methodical approach ensures a more reliable and stable progression. Ultimately, we anticipate a clear path toward reaching the $300 milestone. 📚💡
🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨
The price needs a break to stabilize and form a solid pattern. Once that happens, we can expect a steady rise, with $300 as a realistic target.
Give me some energy !!
✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box.
Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
Skyrexio | Solana SOL Started CorrectionHello, Skyrexians!
Recently we told about the potential pump for BINANCE:SOLUSDT to $300 where price was $170. The main reason was the bullish reversal bar at the bottom of the wave 4. After that price reached almost $300 agains the entire crypto market. Will Solana continue pumping or it's over.
Looking at the time frame we can see that wave 5 has been potentially over. This fact is confirmed by the red dot on the Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator . This is very strong bearish signal which tells us that Elliott waves cycle has been finished and asset is entering into correction phase. The first target for correction is $160 at 0.61 Fibonacci zone. There we will look at the price action again and make a decision if price will continue to go down or not.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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Rotation from Solana to Base and Sui?Previous Solana breakouts have seen strength in performance for Sui and Base following. Americoins will need to be balanced by Trump. He has shown signs of supporting across the board. Rather than one or two picked winners. Supporting Base and Sui will likely be something Trump is interested in.
Trumps exposure now to Solana is massive and he likely wants to achieve two things. Liquidity to take profit. Massive tax reduction on those profits. Two birds with one stone if he brings down taxes on specifically made in america coins.
He is building exposure in Ethereum too.
We have many signs that there will be rotation. Regardless of long term dominance.. there becomes a point rotation is too hard to ignore. Bases leading dex Aerodrome has ~2x revenue to market cap. Perp/spot dex on Sui also has a ~2x revenue to market cap.
I rather wait to buy the strength for trading (not investing)My overall bias for Solana is super bullish. I like the weekly price setup. Weekly MACD, RSI and Stochastic are all showing the clear (not strong enough) bullish momentums.
If you are interested in investing in Solana for the duration of the current crypto cycle, it is a good time to buy. However, if you are interested in swing trading (medium term), I will wait for daily stochastic to reset and move to the upside, and 4H MACD lines cross and enter the bull zone (0 level). Last week, there were three occasions where 4H MACD lines almost crossed but failed and ended up moving downside. A strong bullish trend usually happens with MACD moving upside in the bull zone.
It is tempting to buy the dip, but I will wait to buy the strength.