SOLUSD: How to Draw Quarter's Theory LevelsApplying Quarter’s Theory to SOL/USD helps traders identify key psychological price levels where institutional players might step in. With Solana’s volatility, these quarter levels (25%, 50%, 75%, and full dollar increments) act as crucial areas for potential reversals or breakouts.
Current Market Outlook
SOL/USD is currently trading around a major quarter level, signaling a potential shift in momentum. If buyers push above $150, the next logical upside target is $175, while a breakdown could send prices back to $125—both key quarter points.
How to Trade It
Aggressive traders can enter at quarter levels with tight stops, aiming for quick price movements.
Conservative traders should wait for a breakout confirmation and a retest before executing trades.
Renko charts can help filter noise and confirm trend strength, making it easier to spot clean setups.
Is SOL/USD Gearing Up for a Big Move?
With SOL/USD sitting at a crucial level, the next move could be significant. Will we see a drop toward $125, or is a deeper pullback coming? What’s your take? Drop a comment below!
SOLUSD
SOL/USD Bulls in ControlFrom the daily timeframe, SOL/USD (Solana versus the US dollar) recently connected with support from US$163.90, aided by the H1 timeframe chalking up an inverted head and shoulders pattern. With the formation’s neckline consumed (taken from the high of 107.88), further outperformance towards the pattern’s profit objective at 179.90 could be seen.
SOLUSD Megaphone bottomed. $205 min and $340 max Targets.Solana (SOLUSD) has been trading within a Megaphone pattern, which technically had the price bottomed on its Lower Lows 3 days ago. That bottom was also a 1D RSI oversold barrier (30.00) test, which is exactly where the December 22 2024 Low was priced.
Being below both the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), the natural short-term Target is again the 1D MA50 at $205.00, similar to the January 03 test.
On the longer term, if SOL makes a 1W candle closing above the 1D MA50, we can resume buying and target the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the Megaphone at $340, which is where the 1.236 Fibonacci extension is, exactly where the January 19 High was priced.
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Drop to $160?Solana’s teetering on the 4H at $172.24, rebounding from $165 in early February after a brutal drop from $250 in January. I’m bullish, SOL’s market cap (~$85B) and 162% YTD growth make it the next crypto king, powered by DeFi, NFTs, and meme coins like $WIF/$BONK. But can it reclaim its glory, or is this another bear trap?
Technically, we’re consolidating in a tight range near $165-$170, forming a bullish flag or triangle, breakout potential to $250 if we flip $180-$182 (50 EMA). RSI’s at ~55 and rising, showing buyers gaining steam, while volume’s spiked since mid-Feb, hinting at accumulation. The 50/200 EMAs tell a rollercoaster story: Golden Cross at $200 (Jan 18) hinted at a pump but got crushed, Death Cross at $220 (Feb 4) triggered the dump, and now they’re diverging (50 EMA at $182, 200 EMA at $209), watch for a new Golden Cross above $200 if price holds. Trump’s pro-crypto push and Solana’s ETF rumors could blast us to $300, but bears argue $160’s the floor if $165 cracks. I’ve seen similar patterns in 2021 lead to 35%+ pumps, history repeating?
What’s your take?
SOL to $250 by March or back to $160, where’s the real target?
Is Solana the next BTC/ETH, or just meme coin hype from $WIF/ SEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:BONK ?
EMA divergence now, Golden Cross ahead, or death spiral? Bullish or bearish?
Trump’s policies + ETF buzz, pump to $300, or noise leading to a crash?
Drop your targets, indicators, or contrarian views.
I’ll reply to every comment and debate!
Could Solana be finally reversing on the upside?COINBASE:SOLUSD has been a nightmare and has fell significantly in past few days, much more than #BTC and #ETH relatively.
But I can see a potential leading diagonal (3-3-3-3-3) rise. It the retracement of it holds above/around 61.8% which also happens to be the wave 4 low (165.945) then the next leg up should start which would give more insight into whether this is really an impulse up in progress or just another corrective leg.
SOL/USDT 1H: Bearish Setup with Potential Reversal – Long Entry SOL/USDT 1H: Bearish Setup with Potential Reversal – Long Entry on Support?
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Current Market Structure:
Price is at $167.29 in a bearish trend characterized by lower highs and lower lows with a clear distribution pattern.
Market Maker Activity:
Major resistance observed at $172.50 and support at $165.00.
Market makers appear to be accumulating at support, hinting at a potential reversal.
Technical Indicators:
Hidden bearish divergence on RSI at 43.98 versus price action supports the current distribution.
Volume profile suggests accumulation near support levels.
Trade Setup (Confidence 8/10):
Entry: Target the $167.50 - $168.00 range (wait for confirmation of a bounce at $165 support before entering).
Targets:
T1: $172.50
T2: $175.00
Stop Loss: Set at $164.50 (below recent support).
Risk Score:
7/10 – Favorable risk-to-reward ratio, though position sizing should remain modest given current
Recommendation:
Long positions are recommended on a confirmed bounce at support. Monitor volume closely for signs of sustained buying pressure, and maintain tight stops.
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SOL/USDT Trading Scenario UpdateThe overall negative sentiment in the altcoin market, along with the beginning of the FTX customer repayment process, is putting downward pressure on the price of Solana (SOL). Currently, the asset's value has declined by more than 45% from its local peak and has dropped below the 300-day moving average.
From a volume profile perspective, market participants' interest in SOL remains high within the current broad price range. At its current price level, the asset appears attractive for long-term investments.
SOLANA: $1,000 Incoming?This chart shows how Solana (SOL) follows market cycles, long periods of low prices (accumulation) before big price spikes (breakouts).
- We’re in a similar phase to 2021, just before SOL’s last huge rally.
- $500 and $750 are key resistance levels—breaking them could send SOL much higher.
- Alt & Meme Season matters—when memes pump, demand for SOL rises.
- Bitcoin’s bull run is key, when BTC moves up again, SOL will likely follow fast.
- Price could rise quickly past $1,000 once key levels break.
SOL/USDThello friends
Due to the price drop and the new bottom, now we have two scenarios:
1_ According to its downward trend, the price hits the resistance range and hits a new bottom.
2- The price succeeds in breaking the resistance range and our trend becomes upward.
In our opinion, scenario 1 is more tolerant.
*Trade safely with us*
The bearish superwave of SOL has begun (3D)It seems that the The bearish superwave of SOL has begun.
A large liquidity pool has formed below the price, which is likely to break soon.
The all-time high has been broken falsely. This could lead to heavy drops in the weekly timeframe.
In the mid-term and long-term, Solana appears bearish.
Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting
Comment if you have any questions
thank you
How do i get access to chat? Here's a chart for SOLUSDTrying to get chat access. Here's a chart to show buying opportunity that I see for weekly SOLUSD chart. We're currently entering a long term support channel for SOLUSD, about 120-160. imo, it's a good channel to buy if you are bullish this year.
SOLUSD: Libra crash is a buy in disguiseSolana is suffering heavy losses these past few days due to the prevailing news regarding Libra and has turned oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 30.523, MACD = -8.449, ADX = 53.479). Since the long term pattern is a Channel Up and the price is headed for its bottom, while the 1D RSI is at 30.000, which has been a buy signal for over 1 year, this is technically a buy opporutnity in disguise. The similar buy signal of June 23rd targeted the R1 level at the top of the corrective Channel. Go long, TP = 260.00.
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Solana: Poised for a Breakout Towards a New All-Time HighSolana (SOL) is currently trading at the expanding channel support level of $163.69, a critical demand zone that presents a strategic entry point for long positions. A successful rebound from this level could drive the price toward the initial resistance at $206.38.
If SOL manages to break above and sustain momentum beyond this minor resistance, it could confirm a bullish continuation, targeting the expanding channel resistance. A breakout at this level would pave the way for a potential rally towards a new all-time high at $327.32.
However, if SOL fails to hold the expanding channel support and experiences a breakdown, selling pressure may intensify, pushing the price toward the major support level at $124.29. This level could serve as a crucial re-entry point for buyback opportunities.
Fundamental analysis :
On March 1, 2025, approximately 11.2 million SOL tokens—equivalent to 2.29% of the total supply—are scheduled to be unlocked. This event could introduce significant downward pressure on SOL's price, potentially triggering a bearish movement as market participants anticipate increased sell-side liquidity.
SOL Retesting the Descending ChannelBINANCE:SOLUSDT drops back to retest the descending channel.
The last two times it touched this level, it held and bounced up.
Let’s see if it can hold again this time—if not, it might drop to $146.
From the last two experience of bouncing back, we might know if it can hold this key support within a week.
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SOL/USDT – Critical Reversal or Major Breakdown?🚀 Key Market Insight:
Solana ( BINANCE:SOLUSDT ) is testing a high-stakes demand zone at $156-$162, aligning with major trendline support and previous liquidity grabs. This level will dictate the next big move—a strong bounce could fuel a rally, while a breakdown may trigger a deeper correction.
🛑 Key Levels to Watch:
✅ Support Zone: $156-$162 – Holding above = potential reversal.
🚨 Break Below $154: Could lead to $145-$135 and lower targets.
⚡ Resistance to Reclaim: $182, $195, $204, $212, and $219.
🧠 What to Look For:
🔹 Bullish Signal: Price reclaims $170+ with strong volume → Higher targets unlocked.
🔹 Bearish Signal: Price fails to hold $154 → Expect deeper downside.
🔹 Liquidity Trap? Smart money may hunt stop-losses before a reversal— watch for fakeouts .
Sol turning bearish!Sol swept the highs but failed (which was a short signal). Marked zones are the bounce levels, first zone has been tapped already with bounce, now it is showing weakness in the zone, next zones are untapped, so a bounce at marked levels is highly likely, however if first zone breaks, I will look for swing short.
In short, marked zones are good for long, if broken, we can look for short at the bounce.
Time to buy Solanahello friends
Well, I must say that it is very difficult to predict the route, but we can buy step by step.
Here, the price has fallen, and now it is on an important support. If the support is broken, we can buy lower support with capital management and move forward with it.
*Trade safely with us*
SOL emerging head & shoulder providing opportunitiesBYBIT:SOLUSDT has an emerging H&S structure that is providing opportunities described below, which can be utilised based on risk appetite and preference for a swing trade or investment.
Note: The overall chart structure at the moment is highly complex and pattern failure risks, such as that experienced with BYBIT:XRPUSDT remains very high.
Scenario
An H&S structure has emerged since 23 Dec 2024. Neckline support has been confirmed 3 times around: 11 Jan, 07 Feb and 12 Feb. The price is still close to the neckline providing opportunity for entry into trades and/or investment.
DCA entry into a longer term investment - recommended approach
Allocate a percentage of your portfolio's available fund to this as an asset to hold, decide upon how many months or weeks you would like to DCA into the total position (I recommend no less that 3 months and no more than 6) and begin DCA. This approach will safeguard against mistiming the start of the DCA now before the beginning of a bearish cycle, finally ending at an as yet unknown lower support level (of 4 potential candidate price levels stated further down the text below).
The case for beginning the investment approach now
The project remains solid and has established itself as a competitor to ETH. Furthermore, it is the layer 1 of choice for memecoins and has had more new projects use it that ETH recently. Additionally, overall positive market sentiment remains as do utterance (although no formal new policies of note) of the Trump administration and financial institutions towards crypto. Finally, the large gyrations in price recently are making it more difficult to judge appropriate SL levels thereby making trading of any kind less attractive at the moment.
The case against beginning the investment approach now
The future of the project, like most projects is still unknown (crypto is the most volatile and riskiest of assets for a reason!). Although the industry is maturing, it is possible a newer project can come and usurp the place of SOL. There are further support levels (130, 90, 55, 20) that can provide better DCA entry levels, and as market sentiment can change on an utterance of Musk or Trump, patience for a better entry point caused by further bearish moves might be wiser, particularly as on the weekly chart, SOL appears to be printing it's 2nd consecutive doji - implying market indecisiveness and no clear indication that the bulls are about to become incharge again. SOL has also double topped (mid Nov 24 and mid Jan 25), near the ATH (250), indicating either upcoming bearish sentiment or another uncertain attempt at breaking the ATH.
Swing trade
Entry: 200
TP:280 - near the absolute top of the head
SL: 160 - past the dragonfly candle of 13 Jan (this candle has the risk of indicating a new support leval and all traders must be wary of the 160-150 level as that was the support level in mid Oct 24 Additionally, 170 is also near the 200 EMA and crypto daily price gyrations are sometimes very large; therefore a daily low of a dragonfly and a EMA has the potential of being a support level that should be accounted for when setting a SL )
R/R: 1:2
The case for the swing trade
The rate of change indicated is trending upwards. The neckline has proven to be a support level and has been validated 3 times.
The against a swing trade
Other technical indicators like the RSI (middling with little upwards trend) and MACD (likewise) do not provide strong positive support for the trade thesis. Having found support at the 200 EMA and broken out of the downward trend since 20 Jan, there is a possibility that the price will just range between the 50 EMA and 200 EMA (approx. 210 and 180) unless there is further external, fundamental cause for upwards momentum. Previous momentum was driven largely by the optimistic market sentiment for crypto following on from Trump's election win. Finally, a R:R of 1:2 is generally not considered worthy of such a speculative trade.
Note: There is very little justification for a margin trade at the moment - the dragonfly candle on 03 Feb carries too much risk and invalidates a margin trade theses' risk/reward ratios. Margin trading this pair is best left to when a pattern emerges that is not part of a structure that includes the 03 Feb candlestick.
SOL/USDT 1H: Bullish Breakout Holding – $210 in Sight?!SOL/USDT 1H: Bullish Breakout Holding – $210 in Sight?
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Market Structure & Momentum:
Bullish momentum intact with a clear pattern of higher lows and higher highs.
Current Price: $203.28, confirming a strong breakout above $202 resistance.
RSI at 69.43, nearing overbought territory but still showing strength.
Pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders completed, with neckline at $198 confirming breakout.
Trade Setup (Confidence 8/10):
Entry Zone: $201 - $202 (on slight pullback).
Targets:
T1: $206 (short-term resistance).
T2: $210 (key level from previous structure).
Stop Loss: Below $198 (recent support level).
Risk Score:
7/10 – Strong bullish setup, but overbought RSI warrants caution on aggressive entries.
Smart Money Analysis:
Institutional accumulation evident around $196-$198, indicating strong buying interest.
Volume profile confirms heavy Smart Money involvement, supporting continuation.
No significant bearish divergences visible, keeping the uptrend intact.
A minor pullback could offer a better long entry before continuation.
Recommendation:
Long positions favorable on pullback to $201-$202 for better risk-reward.
Avoid chasing entries at current levels—wait for slight retracement.
Monitor price action near $206—strong breakout there confirms a push toward $210.
Confidence Level:
8/10 – Trend is bullish, but RSI suggests waiting for optimal entry.
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$SOL looking to break out on the daily!CRYPTOCAP:SOL looking to break out on the daily! Measured move 280.00. BTC.D looking to roll over good for Alt Coins. Want to see BTC hold about 96,200 to remain overall market strength. A lot of hype about SEC acknowledging SOL, XRP, DOGE and ADA ETF’s could be a great catalyst.