Sol searching, for an entry. If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment!
The Elliottician’s Paradox: 12-12 or Zigzag? Bias Is the Key
Ever stare at a chart and ask, “Is that a 12-12 or a classic zigzag?” Yeah… welcome to the paradox we Elliotticians live in. Pattern recognition’s a blessing and a curse because context is everything, but confidence can get you wrecked.
This one’s got me on the edge.
What’s Happening Here
We’re currently watching a move that could be either:
- A corrective zigzag (5-3-5), or
- A 1-2, 1-2 setup, gearing up for a blastoff
That’s the core dilemma — two valid options, both technically legal. So what tips the scales? Bias.
The Line in the Sand: 152
Here’s what I’m watching for:
Key Level: 152
- That’s the bull/bear line for me.
- A strong impulsive reclaim above 152 flips the script. I’d reconsider the bearish view if price surges with intent.
- But if we return to 152 in a sluggish, corrective way? I’ll be eyeing continuation lower, aligned with a more traditional zigzag structure.
Elliott View
This is where the paradox plays out:
If we’re looking at a 1-2, 1-2 setup, expect:
- A powerful Wave 3 soon (should not be shy)
If it’s a Zigzag ABC:
- Then we should expect a corrective internal retracement and continuation to the down side, at minimum past the origin of the initial move.
The chart will speak loudest. But structure and strength of this next leg will confirm the story.
Final Thoughts
Trading isn’t about being right. It’s about managing scenarios — and this one’s a classic fork-in-the-road moment. I’ve got a plan for both directions.
152 is my trigger. Stay below it and fade the rally. Break above it impulsively, and I’ll flip my bias with it.
The Elliottician’s paradox isn’t a trap — it’s an invitation to stay sharp.
Your Turn
How are you reading this structure? Do you favor the zigzag or the 1-2 setup? Drop a comment and let me know.
Trade safe, trade clarity!
Solusdt
SUI/USDT Short Setup (2025-07-25)SUI/USDT Short setup for day traders.
Please enter with confirmation in 5M time frame.
⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ...
👤 Sadegh Ahmadi: GPTradersHub
📅 2025.Jul.2
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Getting close to go long!
Solana bullish momentum is building up from both technical and fundamental perspectives.
Daily chart:
1) A daily candle decisively moved and closed above EMA21 on Sat 28th June.
2) RSI and MACD are still in the bear zone but the lines are crossed and now moving upwards.
3) RSI line is now above 50. When the RSI line moves above 50 and EMA21 closes above 21 at the same time, it is often (not always) an early sign of bullish momentum (see blue vertical lines in daily chart).
4H chart:
1) EMA21>EMA55, but EMA200 is still moving horizontally.
2) All momentum indicators have entered the bull territory. However, when the candle finally broke outside the descending parallel channel and broke and closed above EMA200, momentum indicators reached the overbought territory. It means the price is likely to consolidate first before taking off.
I plan to open a long position when:
1) Wait for the momentum indicators to come down and flip to the upside in the 4H chart.
2) A candle to retest, either EMA 21, 55 and/or 200 and forms a strong green (bullish) candle in the 4H chart.
3) A candle stays above EMA 21 in the 4H chart.
SOL Ready To Breakout?SOL had a decent move this weekend overcoming descending resistance and now testing as support.
Price appears to have a completed a wave (2) at the .618 Fibonacci retracement and S1 daily pivot and a larger degree wave 2 at the channel bottom, High Volume Node support and .618 Fibonacci retracement.
If a wave (3) of 3 is underway then we should expect a strong move sooner rather than later with an initial target of the swing high resistance a/ R2 daily pivot $208-$216 range
Safe trading.
Is SOLANA SOL Ready for a Breakout? Bounce from Falling Channel?
🔍 Chart Pattern and Price Structure Analysis
This chart illustrates a well-formed descending channel (parallel falling channel) that has been developing since mid-January 2025. Currently, the price is approaching the upper boundary of this channel — a key decision area.
🟡 Technical Pattern
Descending Channel: This pattern is characterized by a series of lower highs and lower lows, representing a medium-term bearish trend.
The price is now testing the upper resistance of this channel, a crucial point that could either trigger a breakout or result in another rejection.
📈 Bullish Scenario
If the price successfully breaks out above the upper trendline (around $152–$154), several resistance targets come into play:
1. $164.5 — A minor horizontal resistance and key psychological level.
2. $182.2 — A strong historical resistance zone.
3. $210–$217.8 — A previous consolidation/resistance zone.
4. $237.7, then $261–$280 — Key bullish targets if momentum sustains.
5. Ultimate target near $295.1–$295.7 if broader market sentiment remains strong.
📌 Bullish Confirmation:
Valid daily candle breakout above the channel.
Strong breakout volume.
Successful retest of the breakout area as new support.
📉 Bearish Scenario
If the price fails to break above the channel and gets rejected, we may see a continuation of the downtrend with potential moves to these support levels:
1. $140–$138 — Current minor support zone.
2. $128 — Recent consolidation support.
3. $115.5 — Major support from April.
4. $95.2 — The lowest support zone on the chart.
📌 Bearish Confirmation:
Strong rejection candle (e.g., bearish engulfing) from upper channel.
Weak breakout attempt with declining volume.
Break below the lower channel support or creation of a new lower low.
📊 Conclusion
The current setup is a classic descending channel, indicating a strong mid-term bearish structure.
Price is now at a make-or-break zone — a breakout could signal a trend reversal, while a rejection could extend the current downtrend.
Traders should wait for a confirmed breakout or clear rejection before entering a position.
#SOLUSDT #Solana #CryptoAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #DescendingChannel #BreakoutAlert #CryptoTrading #BullishScenario #BearishScenario #Altcoins #CryptoTA
$420 Solana Within 2 Months —TargetsSolana is on a path to a hit a price target of $420 mid-term, within 1-3 months. This is the continuation of the uptrend that started in early April with the end of the previous correction and a more than a year long strong low.
This is not for the faint of heart. Solana is preparing for something massive, even scary but positive. $600+ is also possible but we are going step by step and $420 is the first step.
Immediately when prices start to rise Solana is likely to find resistance around $220 and $253.
The last high, January 2025, would be the minimum on this bullish wave. This would be price tag of $296.
The end of the retrace happened 22-June. This means that the market is already bullish for an entire week. Bitcoin is about to produce the best possible weekly close. As Bitcoin is ultra-bullish above $106,000/$107,000, the altcoins can continue to recover and will aim higher trying to catch up. Of course, no altcoin can catch up to Bitcoin but invariably the entire market will grow.
The wait is over, we are bullish now. Timing is great.
Bullish momentum will grow for weeks and then a major force will permeate the market, something not seen in many years. I hope you are prepared.
Namaste.
solana crazy ideaWell, I made this silly little chart for myself. I kind of expect it to follow the pattern of some bots running on Solana, at least within the range I’ve marked. But hey, it’s a bull market, and sometimes even random drawings by amateurs like me end up working out!
That said, I'm keeping my target modest — not expecting anything crazy. Stop loss depends on how Bitcoin behaves, and honestly, I wouldn’t recommend anyone follow what I’m doing. This is not investment advice, just a ridiculous idea I had.
SOL/USDT - Visible double top formationAfter hitting the projected reversal zone near 144–145, SOL/USDT has now formed a clean double top, reinforcing the bearish thesis initially outlined by the harmonic pattern. The second peak failed to break the macro descending trendline, and the price is now trading back below the 100% Fibonacci retracement of the XA leg.
This double top adds structural confirmation to the harmonic C-point rejection:
Volume remained lower on the second peak
RSI on the 30m chart printed a lower high while price matched previous highs — a textbook bearish divergence
PVT continues to flatten despite price volatility, suggesting a lack of bullish conviction
Price is now slipping below 143, and bearish momentum is building.
Most see rejection. I see a launchpadWhat looks like a failed breakout is actually SOL setting up for a higher timeframe reversal, right at a refined zone of inefficiency and Smart Money interest. The narrative isn’t over — it’s just beginning.
Technical Breakdown:
Current Price: ~$143.30
Context:
Price tagged the Fair Value Gap (FVG) on the daily and showed reaction — a sign of algorithmic awareness
Volume profile suggests thin liquidity above, ripe for expansion if momentum kicks in
Key Levels:
FVG (1D) zone: just under current price (~140.19)
Order Block (OB): ultimate demand zone near 137.23 — strong structural support
Downtrend Line: recently broken, retest in motion
Major Upside Target: 168.36 — a clean liquidity magnet
Strategic Thesis:
Price dipped into FVG but held above the OB — a classic Smart Money accumulation setup
The dashed projection shows potential higher lows forming, giving fuel for a push through prior highs
FVG + OB form the discount zone, where risk/reward is maximized before the next impulse move
Execution Plan:
Entry zone: $140.00–137.50
→ Expect small shakeouts before confirmation
Invalidation: Daily close below $136 kills the bullish case
Target:
Primary: $168.36
Stretch Goal: $172–176 if momentum is sustained into August
SOLUSDT | T.A.P.E. Method Breakdown: Has Solana Bottomed Or Not?Let’s walk through the T.A.P.E. Method I use to read every chart. This isn’t about price alone — it’s about structure, behavior, pressure, and clarity. Solana is at a critical decision point. I’ll explain what smart money is likely seeing, and how I’m approaching this chart with logic — not guesses.
T — Territory (Know the Zone Before You Clone)
I started with the Fibonacci retracement from the all-time low to all-time high. It’s clear SOL is reacting near the golden pocket zone — a historically strong area for reversals.
We also saw strong support at the 2618 extension after the first major leg down. This alone gave an 87% rally. That’s how clean setups work — clarity beats complexity.
Market structure remains bullish on higher timeframes. Yes, we’ve had a wick below prior lows, but no clean break — structure still holds for now.
A — Activity (Price Behavior Over Indicators)
I don’t use RSI or crossovers. I look at behavior.
From the local low to the swing high, the retracement again held the 618 zone, showing buyer defense.
However, on a second leg down, SOL broke below the 2618 level — a key difference. This shift in behavior is what I’m watching closely. Price pushed past 236 on the retrace — that can hint at a stronger bullish leg forming.
But...
P — Pressure (Pain Points and Traps)
Here’s where most traders get caught.
Early longs that entered during the last local rally are underwater. Especially those who bought around the value area high — they are likely hoping to exit break-even, adding sell pressure.
This is classic: a liquidity zone stacked with pain.
That pressure zone sits just above the current range, near $153–$164. If we get a strong move into that zone without structure, I’ll be watching for short setups — not breakouts.
E — Execution (No Setup Is Complete Without a Plan)
Here’s how I’m structuring it:
No-trade zone: Where we are now. No edge here.
Short area 1: $153 — trendline + resistance
Short area 2: $164 — invalidation just above
Target: Sweep lows + retest $138/$128
Invalidation: Clean breakout above $164 with structure
Support zones to watch:
$138 (value area low)
$128 (786 Fib)
$122 (old structure pivot)
If price forms structure and pushes through the golden pocket cleanly, then I shift bias. But for now — pressure remains to the downside.
Summary & Context:
This T.A.P.E. breakdown keeps me from chasing noise and protects capital. Too many early longs, weak structure, and clean resistance zones make this a potential short setup — not a long.
If price flips those resistance zones into support with structure, I’ll adapt. Until then: Plan the move. Let the market prove.
Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. All opinions are my own, based on chart behavior and analysis. Do your own research. This is a paper money breakdown shared for educational purposes only.
Bearish Breakdown Alert: SOL Eyes $136.46 — Is $126.25 Next?The current SOLUSDT 4-hour chart reflects a strong bearish trend structure, supported by the price consistently respecting a descending channel. This channel has been intact for several weeks, and recent price action shows Solana approaching the upper boundary of this channel once again. Historically, this has acted as a sell zone, and unless there is a confirmed breakout, it remains a high-probability short setup.
Adding to the bearish sentiment is the Ichimoku Cloud. Price is currently trading beneath the cloud, and the cloud itself is shaded red and expanding, signaling ongoing bearish pressure. The Tenkan-sen (conversion line) has just crossed slightly above the price, but the Kijun-sen (base line) sits just above current levels, offering resistance. Most importantly, the Chikou Span (lagging line) is still below both the price and the cloud, which reinforces the idea that momentum remains on the downside.
Within this structure, a clean trade setup emerges:
• Entry: Around $143.87 (Kijun-sen + upper channel area)
• Stop Loss: $152.84 (above the cloud + upper trendline)
• Take Profit 1: $136.46 (mid-channel + local support)
• Take Profit 2: $126.25 (channel bottom)
Given the overall confluence of the bearish channel and Ichimoku resistance, any rejection from the $143–$144 area would support continuation toward the lower bounds of the trend. As always, watch for a strong bearish candle or wick rejection before entering to improve timing.
Solana Breakdown Incoming? These Are Key Levels To WatchYello, Paradisers! Are you ready for the next major flush? After failing to gain momentum since the May double top breakdown, #SOL is now showing even more bearish signs, and the market might be about to punish late bulls one more time.
💎Following the confirmed double top in May, SOL has struggled to reclaim any upside momentum. Now, on the 12-hour chart, a classic head and shoulders formation is emerging, a pattern that often precedes larger trend reversals when the neckline breaks.
💎#SOLUSDT is hanging onto critical support between $142 and $140. This zone is the neckline, and it’s the last stand for bulls. If bears break it, we get a clear breakdown confirmation, with a clean path down toward $130–$127, which marks the first major demand area.
💎That initial support likely won’t hold for long. If pressure continues, SOL is expected to drop further toward the $115–$110 region. This is not just a technical support, it’s also the target area of the H&S formation, making it a magnet zone for price.
💎Adding to the bearish developments, a death cross has now been confirmed on the 12-hour chart. The EMA-50 has crossed below the EMA-200, reinforcing short-term downside pressure. Even if a relief bounce occurs, the $155 region, where the EMA-50 sits, will likely act as fresh resistance and attract renewed selling.
Paradisers, strive for consistency, not quick profits. Treat the market as a businessman, not as a gambler.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
Solana Bearish Divergence, 20% Drop Incoming?Hey Realistic Traders!
Bearish Signal Flashing on BINANCE:SOLUSDT , What Signals Are Showing?
Let’s Break It Down..
On the daily timeframe, Solana has formed a double top pattern, followed by a neckline breakout, which is a classic sign of a potential shift from a bullish to a bearish trend.
This breakout was confirmed by a break of the bullish trendline, accompanied by rising selling volume, which reinforces the bearish momentum. Adding to this, a bearish divergence has appeared on the stochastic oscillator. Bearish divergence occurs when price makes higher highs while the oscillator forms lower highs, signaling weakening buying pressure and increasing the likelihood of a reversal.
Given these technical signals, the price is likely to continue moving lower toward the first target at 134.13, with a possible extension to the second target at 114.96.
This bearish outlook remains valid as long as the price stays below the key stop-loss level at 180.26.
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Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Solana.