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Southafrica

Absa showing downside to come to R120 but I am not buying it LOLOk so I am taking this analysis with a pinch of salt. The JSE Top 40 is showing major upside to come. And yet the Banking sector is showing conflicting signals. I mean we have an Inv Cup and Handle. We have a strong downtrend (safety line) - confirmed We have price<20 and 200MA - Making it a high probability short. Everything about the system is saying SHORT But I am calling BS on this analysis. A part of me wants to go short just for the sake of it because the system says the next target is at R120.12. Are banks predicting a bigger short and crash than we think?
JSE:ABGShort
by Timonrosso
1
Trade Alerts: SA Rates and BoC Decision Trade Alerts: SA Rates and BoC Decision South African Inflation South Africa is expected to maintain its key interest rates at 8.25% and 27.25% on Thursday, citing persistent inflationary pressures. Central bank Governor Lesetja Kganyago has emphasized that rate reductions are unlikely until inflation sustainably returns to the 4.5% midpoint of the target range. Despite annual inflation holding at 5.2% in May, it has remained above this midpoint for over three years. Kganyago, in the central bank’s annual report last month, stressed the importance of restoring confidence in their ability to achieve this target. Bank of Canada Decision The Canadian Dollar (CAD) weakened on Wednesday as investors reassessed Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data released earlier in the week. While headline inflation figures showed a decline due to easing pressures in heavily weighted measures, core inflation gauges remained elevated. The Bank of Canada (BoC) is set to announce its latest rate decision next week. Canada’s central bank is anticipated to cut interest rates next Wednesday in a bid to ease price pressures in the housing investment market. The real estate sector accounts for about 9% of Canada’s total economic output, nearly double the OECD average of 4.8%.
by BlackBull_Markets
REVERSAL Idea - Capitec Bank - first down to R2400 then up 2900Broadening Pattern has formed with Capitec. When this pattern forms it bounces between ranges. Right now it bounced off the top of the range, and is most likely to come down 50% from the most recent rally. Once it comes down to a target of R2,400 then it could consolidate move sideways and then breakup to the next target at R2,900. This is a little different from breakout trading, but I was asked for an analysis around this.
JSE:CPIShort
by Timonrosso
JSE Top 40 setting itself for great upside to 84,346Cup and Handle has formed since September 2023. We are waiting for an imminent breakout. With the new cabinet in play, stronger rand and weaker US Dollar with Granpa Biden bringing the US down. We are in for a potential rally with the JSE. Question is, will the AMerican markets lead the JSE too? When the US dollar weakens, we generally see a rally in their markets - which is great. High Probability analysis as the Price>20 Price>200 Extended uptrend has shown demand and buying being stronger. Target 84,346 LONG opportunities coming our way.
JSE:J200Long
by Timonrosso
UPDATE: Absa Target reached at R181.95 what next?Cup and Handle formed on Absa, broke up and out of it. On 12 June I said it was imminent for a breakout to the upside, but I had NO clue how fast this thing was going to rally. And it was only a Medium Probability Trade Price>20 Price<200 Now that the price has shot up, it obviously is silly to just buy and go long without waiting for a trend confirmation signal in my case. But we do have a DOWN gap (Breakaway gap) that has a 70% chance of closing based on history. However, we need some bullishness before we do anything.
JSE:ABGLong
by Timonrosso
UPDATE: PPC shifted the analysis to upside target at R4.26W Formation formed on PPC and there has been a breakout of the downside since December. The M Formation that formed I expected to breakdown never confirmed and so, the analysis has switched.l It's not easy making analysis probabilities with low liquid penny stocks like PPC. Funny I never thought PPC and Penny Stock would be in the same sentence but here we are and it shows how unpredictable markets are. Price>20 and Price>200 - HPT Target R4.26
JSE:PPCLong
by Timonrosso