Southafrica
BTI - Parallel Channel with upward momentumJSE:BTI is trading in a parallel channel and has recently bounced off the bottom on its way up. It is also showing some nice upward momentum. I would say that we are looking at an upward move towards at least the 55000 level if not further up towards the top of the channel.
What Affects The USD/ ZAR This Week?Since we last checked in on the South African Rand (ZAR) in June 2021, the currency was appreciating toward multi-year highs of 13.37 ZAR per US dollar, previously not seen since January 2019. In the proceeding five months, leading up to the present, the USD has staged a comeback against the South African currency and is now level with the average exchange value for the first two months of 2021.
Some wild swings occurred during the revival in the USD / ZAR, with many value-overshoots forcing quick corrections. That is to say, bullish sentiment didn’t last long without a bearish retracement with this pair. For the most part, retracements have been hugging close to the Fib levels.
What are the factors affecting the USD / ZAR this week?
Risk sentiment will play a large part in the USD / ZAR. Last week saw traders pull away from safer currencies such as the USD, indicating a risk-on sentiment was prevalent in the market. Over last week, coinciding with the start of November, the USD depreciated by 1.427% against the ZAR, squeaking below the 15.000 precipice.
There are no hugely critical economic reports due from South Africa this week. However, next week the ZAR may be under pressure after announcing the Inflation rate YoY (October). Inflation is expected to increase by .2 percentage points to 5.2%, further pulling away from the South African Reserve Bank’s midpoint inflation target of 4.5%.
Next week, US economic data might be worth watching, including Inflation Rate YoY (October) on Wednesday and JOLTS Job Openings (September) on Friday. Inflation in the US is predicted to get as high as 5.8% in the October reading, up from 5.4% in September. The JOLTS Job Openings should hopefully show some sign that the tight labour market in the US is beginning to loosen.
EURGBP short has presented 📉🔔We are using our trend following EDGE strategy for this trade.
Entry details are shown on the chart.
Working the H1 time frame here and we're only looking for TP3.
The trade history can be seen at the foot of this trade idea too for full transparency.
In that box every trade is logged and can be viewed by clicking the tabs in the report box.
You as the viewer of this idea can also do that so go ahead and have a play.
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I try and share as many ideas as I can as and when I have time. My trades are automated so I am not sat in front of a screen daily.
Jumping on random trade ideas 'willy-nilly' on Trading View trying to find that one trade that you can retire from is not a sustainable way to trade. You might get lucky, but it will always end one way.
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Darren.
GBPNZD long moving ↗️👍We are using our POW reversal strategy for this trade.
Trade details for current trade are shown on the chart.
Trade has been live since 13:30 UK time.
We are working the 15M time frame on this strategy.
We're looking for the green line which is take profit target.
Little blue arrow is entry point and purple line is stop loss.
Trade history can be seen at the foot of this trade idea too for full transparency.
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I try and share as many ideas as I can as and when I have time. My trades are automated so I am not sat in front of a screen daily.
Jumping on random trade ideas 'willy-nilly' on Trading View trying to find that one trade that you can retire from is not a sustainable way to trade. You might get lucky, but it will always end one way.
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Please hit the 👍 LIKE button if you like my ideas🙏
Also follow my profile, then you will receive a notification whenever I post a trading idea - so you don't miss them. 🙌
No one likes missing out, do they?
Also, see my 'related ideas' below to see more just like this.
The stats for this pair are shown below too.
Thank you.
Darren
Capitec - trend-line bounceJSE:CPI has tested a trend line multiple times since last October. It is currently bouncing off of this line again and we could see an upward move if it doesn't break through downwards. The stochastic and the MACD are both confirming this momentum. The EMA's briefly crossed yesterday, but have since uncrossed again. If it breaks above yesterday's levels, I will enter a long position.
ANH showing upward momentumJSE:ANH has recently bounced off a strong support level and seems to be moving upwards for the time being. The stochastic and the MACD both crossed upwards on the 21st of October and the two EMA's crossed over yesterday. These are all signs of upward momentum. I think we can see a move to at least the 90000 resistance level.
Room for a retracement on Clicks?JSE:CLS has been on a good run lately and has continued to form new all-time highs up until the previous high on the 22nd of September. At the same time, it has been consolidating sideways mostly since mid August. With today's downwards price action, we have broken out of the bottom of the consolidation area. If this downward momentum continues, I think we could see a retracement down towards the .5 or .618 Fibonacci levels before turning again upwards to potentially form new highs. Let's see what happens.
Goldfields Upswing coming?JSE:GFI is showing some signs of a change in momentum. We have been in a downswing since June this year and I think we could potentially see a move upward. It is currently bouncing off of a strong support level and if not a complete reversal, I think we could at least see a retracement upwards before continuing downwards. I will wait for the two EMA's to cross in order to confirm the upward move before entering.
Remgro gap filled and heading downwardsThere has been a big gap in JSE:REM since June 2020. It has been slowly making its way up to fill it and finally closed the gap with the highs of earlier this month. The upward momentum has disappeared and it loks like we might be heading down for a bit. The momentum indicators are also showing the same thing
GBPCAD long progressing↗️👌Trade details for current trade are shown on the chart.
Trade has been live since 8:30 UK time and we are using our POW reversal script.
We are working the 15M time frame on this strategy.
We're looking for the green line which is take profit target.
Little blue arrow is entry point and purple line is stop loss.
Previous trades can be seen on chart the last of which a short I covered yesterday in an idea.
That trade closed on the new long trade alerting and being entered.
Trade history can be seen at the foot of this trade idea too for full transparency.
------------------------------------------
I try and share as many ideas as I can as and when I have time. My trades are automated so I am not sat in front of a screen daily.
Jumping on random trade ideas 'willy-nilly' on Trading View trying to find that one trade that you can retire from is not a sustainable way to trade. You might get lucky, but it will always end one way.
------------------------------------------
Please hit the 👍 LIKE button if you like my ideas🙏
Also follow my profile, then you will receive a notification whenever I post a trading idea - so you don't miss them. 🙌
No one likes missing out, do they?
Also, see my 'related ideas' below to see more just like this.
The stats for this pair are shown below too.
Thank you.
Darren
Potential Fib Retracement on AMSJSE:AMS has been trading in a downward trend since March this year. For basically the whole month of July, it made a retracement all the way up to the 61.8 Fib level. It then went down again to form lower lows. It is currently bouncing off a very strong support level and is looking like it will make a retracement again before continuing downwards. My prediction is that it might go up to the resistance level which coincides with the 50/61.8 Fib level. Let's see what happens.
ABSA downward move potentiallyJSE:ABG formed a bearish harami on the 4th of October which is a top reversal signal. This week, the momentum has been confirmed by the crossing downwards of the stochastic. The MACD and the EMAs look like they are on the verge of crossing down too which will be a further confirmation of the downward move.
Strong breakout on Sun InternationalJSE:SUI has made a strong upward move in the last two days. It is up over 11% in just today's price action. Currently it is trading at a strong trendline. It could either bounce off and make it's way down before turning up again, but if it breaks through, I think we can potentially see an extended upward move.
EXXARO - Upward channel with a Bullish HaramiJSE:EXX has been trading in an upward channel since the big gap that was formed towards the end of April. It reached the bottom of the channel and formed a bullish harami pattern as it reached the support level. This candle pattern is a strong bottom reversal pattern and could be a sign of a reversal. This, coupled with the bottom of the channel could mean we could see a move towards the top of the channel again.
Hammer Harami on VODJSE:VOD formed a hammer candle on the 13th of September which also happens to form part of a bullish harami pattern. Both are strong bullish signals. I think we could see a move up to at least the previous high at around 14500. If it breaks through this level and confirms we could see a continuation to form even higher highs.
Double Bottom forming on NaspersJSE:NPN has formed what could turn into a double bottom pattern. It formed a bottom on the 23rd of August and then again on the 15th of September. If it breaks through the high formed on the 7th of September, the pattern will be confirmed and then I think we could see a move up towards the resistance level at around 300000. A long with the current move, it is also showing signs of upward momentum based on the position of the stochastic and the MACD. I will wait for confirmation before entering, though.
Double Top forming on NedbankAlthough not confirmed yet, JSE:NED seems to be forming a double top pattern.
Here is the definition of a double top from investopedia: A double top is an extremely bearish technical reversal pattern that forms after an asset reaches a high price two consecutive times with a moderate decline between the two highs. It is confirmed once the asset's price falls below a support level equal to the low between the two prior highs.
Although it still has quite a distance to go, if it continues down and breaks through the "neckline" I think we could see a nice downward move all the way to the support level at around 15250. I will be waiting for confirmation before entering.
BIDVEST - Upward Channel with Upward MomentumJSE:BVT has been trading in a nice upward channel since November last year. It is currently trading just below the middle of the channel and seems to be on its way up. It is also showing some good signs of upward momentum based on the stochastic, MACD and the two EMAs that are crossing based on today's price action so far. If the momentum continues, I think we could see a move up to the top of the channel which also coincides with the strong resistance level at around the 22000 level.
MCG on the up?JSE:MCG is showing signs of great upward momentum. The stochastic and MACD indicators turned up last week and the two EMA's crossed in an upward direction yesterday as the final trigger for a long trade. We could see a love up towards the 12500 resistance level, and if it breaks through that level, we could potentially see it going all the way towards the previous highs at around the 14000 level.