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IMP low probability for IMP but still more likely to break downM Formation turning into Triple Top with IMP. I am hesitant making this analysis as the JSE is showing strong upside to come along with international markets. But the charts are still saying the price is likely to test demand to the upside and if it's weak this thing can drop big time down to R38.00. We definitely need to wait for the breakout and a strong down candle. But that's what the analysis says. Price<20 Price>200 Need to wait for breakout Target R38.07
JSE:IMPShort
by Timonrosso
Old Mutual trading styles for buys - Target R13.70There are many different ways to trade Old Mutual looking at this chart. 1. Reversal trader They will wait for the support to establish as it's done at R10.00 and then will buy and hold until it reaches the top of the range. 2. Breakout trader WIll wait for the price to go up and complete the W Formation where it will breakout and trade up to R13.70 3. High probability trader This one will have to wait the longest for the price to not only close above the W Formation but also close above the Downtrend and the 20MA and 200MA. Either way, Old Mutual does look bullish as things stand. Enjoy!
JSE:OMULong
by Timonrosso
The Trading Matrix: 14 Vital Lessons DecodedThe Matrix is a movie where no matter what age you watch it, you’ll gain a different perspective from it. And there is a wealth of knowledge and ideas that you can unlock when you dig deep into the movie. A world where the line between reality and illusion blurs, much like the iconic film. The Matrix, with its deep philosophical underpinnings and action-packed storyline. It isn’t isn’t just a cult classic; it’s a treasure trove of lessons for traders. Let’s decode a few trading lessons you can learn from The Matrix. Building Confidence: The Neo Path Remember Neo’s metamorphosis? From Thomas Anderson, a man riddled with doubt, insecurity and worry. To Neo, the confident savior of humanity. This journey is similar to one that a trader takes. You begin with uncertainty, doubt and worry. You then develop greed and ego. The market disciplines and humbles you again and again and again. But then you develop the edge. You adapt to the trading world with gains, losses, drawdowns and different streaks. And then you develop self confidence and resilience as a trader. Like Neo, you might stumble, but remember, every setback is a setup for a comeback. Confirmation Bias: Dodging the Bullet Much like Neo’s iconic bullet-dodging scene, traders must learn to dodge the deadly bullet of confirmation bias. Neo created some form of movements and hand gestures in order to stop the bullets. But what he truly did was create confirmation bias that he was beyond the physics and laws of the universe. And this system is how he was able to go beyond the normal. Create or adopt a trading system that with Confirmation bias, you can identify high probability trades. And even though, you’re using some pseudo system that no one knows about. You’re simply turning chaos into financial order, to have a mechanical process involved – to grow a consistent account. Only by actively seeking diverse viewpoints can you dodge the bias bullet and make decisions that are truly informed. Take the Red Pill: Embrace Reality Taking the red pill is about confronting the brutal truths of the market. The trading world is not a bed of roses; it’s volatile, unpredictable, and sometimes harsh. Those traders who take the blue pill – Only look to win. Only look to build their portfolio with an insane win rate. Only look to go all in on certain positions. When you take the red pill, you take on the realities of trading. You acknowledge the risks. You prepare for the drawdowns. You know you’re going to take inevitable losses. You understand that your past trading does not indicate future results. Those oblivious traders – get destroyed. Like Neo, when you choose the red pill, you choose to see the market for what it truly is, warts and all. There Is No Spoon: The Power of Perspective The “There is no spoon” scene teaches us the power of perspective. In trading, the market isn’t your enemy; it’s your perception that needs adjusting. Bend your mind, not the spoon. Adopt a system which has a flexible mindset. Be ready to pivot your strategies in response to market dynamics. Success comes not from forcing the market to your will, but from adapting your will to the market. Understand the Code – Understand the Matrix Trading involves deciphering patterns, much like understanding the Matrix’s code. The market moves up, down and sideways. Given. But with Price, Volume and probabilities – there is a proliferation of world of opportunities with each market. Develop the ability to read charts, trends, and indicators. Recognize that behind every market movement, there’s a code to be cracked. Agent Smith and Market Manipulators Just as Agent Smith represents a threat within the Matrix, market manipulators pose real dangers. Stay away from markets with: Too much volatility Too many gaps Unusual trading activity Stay vigilant, and don’t be swayed by pump-and-dump schemes or misinformation. They will disrupt your trading journey. Training Simulation: Practice Makes Perfect Remember the scene where Neo was practice fighting in simulations with Trinity and Morpheus? He was testing, improving, adapting and learning. You should do the same before you risk your hard earned money. Test, Test, Test, Forward Test and Real Test. Use demo accounts and simulations to hone your skills. Make mistakes where it’s safe to do so, and learn from them without risking your capital. Morpheus’s Faith: Belief in Yourself Morpheus believed in Neo before he believed in himself. Cultivate self-belief. Trust in your analysis, your strategy, and your decisions. Without belief, fear and doubt will cloud your judgment. The Architect’s Plan: Strategy is Key Understand the market’s architecture. Develop a trading plan and stick to it. Adjust as necessary, but always with the structure of your overall strategy in mind. Free Your Mind: Emotional Control Neo’s journey was as much about freeing his mind as it was about saving the world. In trading, emotional control is paramount. You need to learn to let go of Ego, Fear and Greed. These are your greatest enemies. You can do this by: Having a strong back tested track record to prepare for what is to come. Risk even less until you don’t feel the losses. Real trade with the smallest positions to get an idea on how the markets work and will operate when you incorporate costs. Train yourself to remain calm and objective, regardless of the market’s ups and downs. FINAL WORDS: The Path to Financial Awakening Trading, is much like deciphering the Matrix. It is an ongoing journey fraught with challenges, revelations, and the need for constant adaptation. The key points to remember with the Trading Matrix are: Building Confidence: The Neo Path Develop self-belief through education and resilience. Confirmation Bias: Dodging the Bullet Seek diverse viewpoints to make informed decisions. Take the Red Pill: Embrace Reality Embrace the reality of the markets with all its risks. There Is No Spoon: The Power of Perspective Adjust your perspective and adapt to market dynamics. Understand the Code – Understand the Matrix Understand the code behind market movements. Agent Smith and Market Manipulators Stay vigilant against market manipulation. Training Simulation: Practice Makes Perfect Use simulations to hone your trading skills. Morpheus’s Faith: Belief in Yourself Cultivate self-belief and trust in your decisions. The Architect’s Plan: Strategy is Key Develop and stick to a well-thought-out trading plan. Free Your Mind: Emotional Control Master your emotions to remain calm and objective.
TVC:SA40Education
by Timonrosso
UPDATE: Life Health Care exceeded our targets big timeLife Health Care was presenting a simple Head and Shoulders with a usual drop for a short. The price started off well then went to the entry. Wake up and not only did it go past R15.96 target... The market opened aty R10.80 exceeding our expectations and profits. It's these trades that we absolutely love and can't help but get excited when things go extraordinary to our favour. Now there is a W Formation and the price has broken up. So looking at a Medium Probability setup, we can expect the price to head to R14.29.
JSE:LHCLong
by Timonrosso
UPDATE Redefine Falling Flag break into a sideways range Falling Flag - Breakout took place on 18 Dec 2024. The price stayed above 200MA but lingered between the range of 20MA. We are seeing lower highs and lower lows. WHich means a broadening formation is forming between the bulls and the bears. There is no strong indication when the price will rally but the analysis does remain the same until the price either hits the target or below the stop loss range. The target is still set to R4.39.
JSE:RDFLong
by Timonrosso
Capitec Vuvuzela with bullish bias & strong fundaments to R2,485Capitec has been in this Broadening Pattern (Vuvuzela) formation since November 2023. It breaks into higher highs and lower lows. But the overall momentum and trend channel is up. It will continue trading in this range until we get a breakout of the resistance or support. My bet is it will first trade to the top of the range at R2,485.92. Capitec has always been the outlier compared to the other banks with very little correlation. WHen it does well, it runs up regadless what the bigger banks are doing. Also fundamentally, it doesn't seem to follow suit with the Big 5. Firstly, Capitec announced a substantial 15% growth in headline earnings, which reached R9.7 billion. This increase was driven by growth across various sectors of the bank, including a notable 124% profit surge in its business banking sector and a significant increase in net lending, investment, and insurance income​ Also, Capitec has been actively investing in innovative digital solutions and client rewards programs, which have contributed to its strong performance. They introduced a variety of digital payment solutions like Apple Pay, Samsung Pay, and Google Pay with zero transaction fees, as well as their own secure online payment tool, Capitec Pay. So ye, big up to an innovative unclipped wings bank like Capitec.
JSE:CPILong
by Timonrosso
Merafe Dividend messed up analysis to the upside of R2.00What a difference a dividend makes! The payment went out on the 15 April 2024, and because there are derivatives that traders can trade off - the algorithm droped the share price quite significantly. I don't think this company should be providing such high dividends if it wants growth in the share price, but hey I'm just the guy behind a computer. So last time, we saw a Dividend release in September, it took 6 months for the share price to make it's way up and close the gap. Now it is likely for the same thing to happen. This is not a technical analysts haven type market because fundamentals trump the price action. But overall, I guess shareholders are remotely happy for their income distribution and in the long run Merafe will one day hit R2.00 :D
JSE:MRFLong
by Timonrosso
Bidvest in resting mode until the big breakout up to R290.00Bidvest has been moving in a sideways consolidation pattern called a Diamond Pattern since November 2023. This is where there is a tug of war between the bulls and the bears. BUt the fact that the price is holding quite well despite the international market crashes, means the buyers are holding the stock strong. It will most like need a few more weeks/months for the pattern to play out. But once it breaks above the consolidation, we can easily see the price head up to R290.00 It's a patience game for Bidvest.
JSE:BVTLong
by Timonrosso