$SOX will continue to trend lower toward a target of 2975SOX continues to set lower lows. Two scenarios, one (green zig zag) is a reversal into cloud resistance to 3544. This would be a 78% extension from low point C. The other scenario (red zig zag) would be a 1.78% extension from point B. The RSI is in a solid downtrend, and the point & figure chart on the daily has a target of 3001. If I were waging bets, I would go with the 2975 target. The trend is your friend, until it ain't.
SOX
SOXL forming a new range?Since we're now below the 200 MA and re-confirmed the prior resistance levels we are looking to create a new range.
The Market is full of fear right now, Rate hikes, emergency FED meetings, fears of a war in Ukraine, Long term fears of stagflation, or recession.
When you see the solid companies in this sector (NVDA, AMD) getting hit you know people are selling everything.
I just put some lines on the chart of prior support level. It's around 28 +- That would be a 30% drop.
Since this is a 3x ETF that would be an approx. 10% drop in the PHX or SMH. According to Tom Lee of fundstrat, a 1% raise in interest rates is usually accompanied by a 10% drop in Equities. We've already had a 10% SPY correction, so now the market is starting to price in some more interest rate raises.
SOX PHLX Semiconductor Shortage won`t be solved anytime soon !!Secretary of Commerce Gina Raimondo:
“The semiconductor situation is going to take a long time to fix”
“This is one I feel confident saying it's not going to be fixed in a month or two, or six, or 12 months.”
For now PHLX Semiconductor (^SOX) is oversold and we can see in the chart what was the price movement after the last oversold area.
I expect to be the same now, since the semiconductor shortage won`t be solved anytime soon.
My price target is 3730.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
$SOX close to long running gap fillI have been waiting for a long while for SOX to fill that gap at 3592.76. Closed today at 3612 on the daily, and gap fill would put it at the bottom of Ichy cloud support, and just below 50% fib. Note the Gartey extension D at 1.38 right on the gap fill line. Should get a bounce from point D, and remember, SOX most always leads SPY....
5 WAVES UP ENDED LOOK FOR A CRASH We have ended into a Month in history with the highest level of major market tops outside of late aug 17 to sept 10 thru out the markets history . at THIS POINT and the wave structure as well as fib relationships within the the wave structure . I can now say we are setup for a CRASH cycle I think it has started and will see it over the next few days . the weekly rsi has not confirmed this rally as well as the nysi and nymo models put/call/ are not at any bottom or value nor is the naz dsi or fear greed index . BEST OF TRADES WAVETIMER
SOX, this market barometerAs I keep saying, the SOX is truly considered as the market barometer. And today, pre-US market open we have a clear engulfing candle that is also breaking the the Kijun Sen. Do we also have a double top? Of course, the candle still needs to close but nevertheless, it worth pointing it out for today's session.
Trade Safe, Trade Smart!
Glossary :
TS = Tenkan Sen | KS = Kijun Sen | LS = Lagging Span/Chikou Span
DLY = Daily | WLY = Weekly | MLY = Monthly
TL = Trend Line | TP = Take Profit | SL/INV = Stop Loss / Invalidation | TF = Timeframe
** THIS ANALYSIS IS MY OWN OPINION AND IS NOT A TRADING OR INVESTME NT ADVICE. ALWAYS TRADE WITH CARE **
SOX The SOX is often considered as a strong leading indicator, so monitoring its evolution is always a good thing to do.
For the moment, the SOX is slowly but steadily retracing, the first level of support on the DLY chart is the TS at around 3846. Breaking that level may push the price to the KS. If the KS break, than we will have a clear short/medium term bearish signal.
Glossary :
TS = Tenkan Sen | KS = Kijun Sen | LS = Lagging Span/Chikou Span
DLY = Daily | WLY = Weekly | MLY = Monthly
TL = Trend Line | TP = Take Profit | SL/INV = Stop Loss / Invalidation | TF = Timeframe
** THIS ANALYSIS IS MY OWN OPINION AND IS NOT A TRADING OR INVESTME NT ADVICE. ALWAYS TRADE WITH CARE **
SOX: Semiconductors may experience sell off soonWhile most people consider the semiconductor shortage to be bullish for semiconductor stocks I believe there is a serious case for a bear scenario. With the supply chain this heavily disrupted it is possible that while margin will be high on individual sales the number of sales is lower considering the variance in the types of semiconductors that need to be purchased for different products as well as the increased competition that is going to exist between Semiconductor Manufacturers. To profit off of this thesis I will be purchasing SOXS Periodically until I believe the move may complete. I am viewing this as an ABC correction on SOX. High valuations need to be supported by revenue and next earnings will betray the earlier semiconductor stock boom that was spurred on by Covid.
The indexes were stuck at the resistance. IS THE FALL COMING? 👇The main US indices - SPX ( S&P500), IXIC (NASDAQ Composite ), SOX (semiconductor index) and DJI (Dow Jones Industrial Index) have reached or almost reached the resistances of their old channels. A downward reversal of one index will pull everyone along. The "close all positions" button is ready.
SPCFD:SPX // NASDAQ:IXIC // NASDAQ:SOX // DJCFD:DJI
Semiconductor sector (SOXX) seem ready to turn its trendSemiconductor sector seems ready for a trend change. Since the March low, the sector has ran up more than triple digit percentage. As much as the sector is damaged less than retail and hospitality, it is very cyclical sector and it does get affected by business cycle. Semi is the canary in a coal mine of the tech sector (XLK), so when this turns, it will be a headwind for the entire tech sector as a whole. When the tech breaks, the market breaks for its heavy weight on the indexes.
Recently broke the minor yellow up trend line and reversing right at the long term trend line since last spring.
Initial target is the bottom of the trading range. $404ish depending on when it hits it.
2nd target is the horizontal support right below the channel. $384.46
As how bullish the overall sentiment is in the market recently, once it turns, it will be pretty quick move downward. Potential long term targets are listed but SOXX will not going to fall double digit without if XLK and indexes are resilient.
Only the time will tell but it will be prudent and be cautious. Scaling down on aggressiveness won't be a bad idea and have some hedges.
Have a good trade everyone,
T.