SOXL - Rising Trend Channel [MID TERM]- SOXL is moving within a rectangle formation between support at 12.99 and resistance at 18.59.
- A decisive break through one of these levels indicates the new direction for the stock.
- SOXL is between support at 13.70 and resistance at 18.00.
- Overall assessed as technically positive for the medium long term.
*EP: Enter Price, SL: Support, TP: Take Profit, CL: Cut Loss, TF: Time Frame, RST: Resistance, RTS: Resistance to be Support LT TP: Long Term Target Price
*Chart Pattern:
DT - Double Top | BEARISH | RED
DB - Double Bottom | BULLISH | GREEN
HNS - Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | RED
REC - Rectangle | BLUE
iHNS - inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | GREEN
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
SOXL
Semi Sector Analysis | $NVDA $AMD $SMH | Support & Resistance |- NASDAQ:NVDA still lead bull in the NASDAQ:SMH sector you can see AMD already has been dropping
- NVDA clear resistance 280 rejected multiple times
- SMH holding above its weekly support, 13 cents away from breaking on Friday.
- NASDAQ:MSFT and NASDAQ:GOOGL ER Tuesday AH will drag SMH which everyway the earnings come in.
SOXLLocally, at least since last April, SOXL has been confined to a trading range as defined herein by yellow horizontal lines, which is the range from 23 highs to 6 lows, thereby having mid at 14.5. So long as above 14.5, I reckon that SOXL will make its way to the range highs (23). On a longer time horizon, it seems likely to reclaim 23 as support and resume trading within its larger range, which is from its 73 highs to 6 lows and has mid at 39.5. So 23 next, and then reclaim 23 for 39.
SOXL - Failing Trend [MIDTERM]SOXL has broken through the ceiling of a falling trend channel in the medium long term. This indicates a slower falling rate initially, or the start of a more horizontal development. SOXL has received a positive signal from the moving average indicator, thus signaling a continued rise. The stock is approaching support at 14, which may give a positive reaction. However, a break downwards through 14 will be a negative signal. SOXL is overall assessed as technically neutral for the medium long term.
SOXL to Big Lows 15 Min CandlesThere is a chance that SOXL might end up filling the gap January 23.
We are currently at the end of the Elliot wave theory so if that proves to be true we should continue to see a very steep decline.
With various reports coming out the only thing I think that would keep it up is good economic reports.
I think you will see SOXL come down to roughly $12.90 where it will test support at around $13.
Nvidia Sell SignalNvidia just put in a reversal signal on the Daily chart as it hit major resistance.
This semiconductor has been a powerhouse mover and has single handily been lifting the Semis sector higher.
Now that this stock may show some near term sell pressure we could see the sector as a whole pullback.
The only thing that Im being mindful of when it comes to NVDA is that it has yet to report earnings.
As a technical analyst I'm a bit dissatisfied that Nvidia came so close to filling the technical daily gap at 230.46 but never managed to fill it which leads me to think there may be a possibility it has 1 more gasp at a rally to fill the gap before rolling over.
None the less distribution is being observed in a time when yields and dollar may be spiking again.
SOXL Watching for Bounce at Resistance On the 15M chart, SOXL and price are approaching the resistance zone at 13- 14.5 While it is possible that resistance could break,
the pattern of the past two months is that it will not. Accordingly, instead, I will watch for a reversal bounce off resistance
for a swing trade short to the downside targeting the point of control line ( dark green ) inside the green support zone as the final
target with the anchored VWAP ( black line now at 9.25 with the first target being the VWAP ( black line ) and the second target
one standard deviation below VWAP ( light green line ); Overall taking off one-third of the position at each target and
expecting 30% overall over about two weeks. An alternative is put options with 4 weeks expiration at $14.00 and another
is to take a long trade on the inverse ETF SOXS.
SOXL | Semiconductor Bull 3x ETF | LongThe fund invests at least 80% of its net assets (plus borrowing for investment purposes) in financial instruments, such as swap agreements, securities of the index, and ETFs that track the index and other financial instruments that provide daily leveraged exposure to the index or to ETFs that track the index. The index is a rules-based, modified float-adjusted market capitalization-weighted index that tracks the performance of the thirty largest U.S. listed semiconductor companies. The fund is non-diversified.
SOXL might be overextended & blowing off soon; not yet but soonMonths ago, SOXL came into the radar, and as it broke out, it also failed along with the rest of the markets. There were many clear opportunities on both sides.
SOXL has more than halved its value since its last high. Is it over extended to the downside - yet?
Short of the lack of a higher low, and being way ahead of the curve, SOXL appears to be having a bullish divergence in both the Weekly and Daily charts. Notwithstanding, it is still in a deep downtrend. Just look at the Friday candle, it is a clear and present Dark Cloud Cover, which suggest more downside to follow.
Targeting the next and possibly last downside target is 5.60.
And then it might be time to watch for the price movement to realign to the bullish divergence, if it does when it reaches at that time.
But for now, it is just a heads up...
Stand by!
SOXL / SMH - CREATING A BULLISH REVERSALBACKGROUND:
SOXL (3x ETF) created a great reversal pattern back in JUNE - JULY 2022. It's tempting to ignore it because it ultimately failed on 8/26/22. Nonetheless, it was a great technical entry point when the price broke above $17.
CURRENT PRICE ACTION:
The reason I'm pointing out what happened in JUNE - JULY is because SOXL ETF is forming another BULLISH reversal (early stage) having just passed above last Friday's (9/30) high and entering back into the $9.50 - $10.50 range. The two previous reversals (8/26, 9/13) had failed. Yet the job of a trader is to not HOPE or PREDICT, but rather TRADE the signals and MANAGE RISK ACCORDINGLY .
GAMEPLAN:
I'm watching if the price closes above $10.35 (approx.) within the next few days. I'm anticipating some price action around this level. Any close above $10.35 can follow with some pullback. In fact this is a GREAT entry point for the bears if we were to follow trend alone. However, the reversal that happened from $9.50 and the bounce that's happening on the NASDAQ (potential double bottom) can signal a potential reversal in the market (short-term).
There are two potential bullish reversal scenarios:
1. Straight up(rare)
2. Chop sideways and build a larger reversal base (as happened in JUNE - JULY)
LOOK-OUT FOR:
What comes out of the FED emergency meeting. As mentioned in my previous post on the status of the DOW JONES - I think the analysts at the FED see the same. The FED will either blink and change its' stance or the market is taking another big leg down...
Be safe all and thank you for reading.
This joy will not last long..!Althogh NASDAQ100 is up more than 5% this week, it is still down 23% YTD..! and 25% down from its all-time high..!
But detecting these symmetrical mirror view move helped me and my follower to capitalize on them nicely..!
Some examples: (I did not publish any of these posts publicly)
QQQ: Sep 5th,
TSLA: Sep 6th
SOXL: Sep 6th
NVDA: Sep 7th
#BABA: Sep 7th
DOCU: Sep 8th
CRM: Sep 8th
BP: Sep 8th
They moved between 3-16% in 4 days or less! Recommended Call Option for DOCU moved more than 108% in less than 24 hrs!
Best,
Aftermath of the Fed rate hike - NASDAQ, S&P500, SOXL, ENPHJust a quick rehash on the few that I have been closely following of late, especially after the Fed raised rates 0.75%, as expected; but the important bit was in the narrative (not analyzed here).
The NASDAQ futures had 11,900 simply broken through, and the next day followed through with a slight gap down, as global markets react.
The S&P500 ETF, SPY, similarly broke down below 388, and closed at its low of the day.
Both have bearish candlesticks with momentum, and MACD is supportive of further downside, likely to visit the last low (and possibly exceed) within the coming weeks.
In the same light, SOXL (as covered previously) had all its bullishness invalidated since last week. There is a slight divergence with the MACD struggling to maintain a slight bullish stance, but the candlestick is just pain bearish, period. This is highly likely to exceed its previous low and go below 10.
ENPH, the fascinating one, is amazingly holding at the lower end of the recent range. It appears to most likely break down to the lower end of the lower range, about 275, to meet the 55EMA. Yes, this is one that is above its daily 55EMA. MACD however, is less bullish with a cross under its Signal line. 235 is a critical support, after 255 (if it is to hold its bullish case).
Overall, bearish as previously expected, to the last low for the major indexes and the corresponding ETFs.
In the wider scope (not shown here), the USD futures is getting a pump, and both TIP and TLT may be bottoming out. The latter being some deviation from the recent trend where almost all drop except the USD.
SOXL - all three hitsMid-week update on SOXL and observation that a bounce was about to happen, was expected with these criteria for something worth a look at:
" The current gap range needs to be closed clearer and an immediate resistance (above yesterday's high, green horizontal line) needs to be cleared. Then a break into the next gap range above the next resistance (thicker green line) is essential. "
So, the weekly chart is now indicative of a likely bounce given the bullish candlesticks Piercing Pattern . Technical indicators do not quite tell it... yet.
The daily chart did almost what it needed to do.
1. It closed the late August gap (down);
2. It cleared the immediate resistance (green line); and
3. it broke into the next upper gap range by gapping over the next (thicker green line) resistance.
Technical indicators crossed over or are about to cross over.
Bullish, as all outlined criteria is accomplished.
Now, it probably come back to test a resistance-turned-support. Hint here is that despite the bullishness, it still failed to clear out of the current gap zone. So, the resistance there is strong and perhaps another day it will break out.
So, expecting a shallow retrace, and then take off.
Meanwhile, a possible higher low on the weekly chart just might have been registered.
Be nimble, be quick... be like Jack!