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SOXL

SOXL bearish double top*disclaimer* I haven't published anything outside of the crypto markets publicly. However, I have had my eye on SOXL, Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares ETF. I originally thought that earnings for NVIDIA were going to boost the asset and asset class, however it seemed to me the night before earnings that the earnings call was already priced in. Looking at an 8 hour hollow candle chart here going back to fall 2021 makes the picture a bit clearer for me (when in doubt zoom out). SOXL did a bearish double top between late November 2021 and early January 2022. And now volume is kicking up heavily on the sell side. Especially when current volume is compared to moving average for volume. If the NVIDIA earnings call wasn't enough to lift, and rumors about auto manufacturers continue to slip in through the cracks, I see plenty of downside correction left for SOXL. That being said, this is part technical and part "buy the rumor, sell the news" analysis and I will keep my eye on this sector which has been outperforming.
AMEX:SOXLShort
by CryptoSlayerFX
SOXL forming a new range?Since we're now below the 200 MA and re-confirmed the prior resistance levels we are looking to create a new range. The Market is full of fear right now, Rate hikes, emergency FED meetings, fears of a war in Ukraine, Long term fears of stagflation, or recession. When you see the solid companies in this sector (NVDA, AMD) getting hit you know people are selling everything. I just put some lines on the chart of prior support level. It's around 28 +- That would be a 30% drop. Since this is a 3x ETF that would be an approx. 10% drop in the PHX or SMH. According to Tom Lee of fundstrat, a 1% raise in interest rates is usually accompanied by a 10% drop in Equities. We've already had a 10% SPY correction, so now the market is starting to price in some more interest rate raises.
AMEX:SOXLShort
by Sacyourking
4
If you like Sushi you need to read this!Betting against the market has increased significantly! In the past 2-4 weeks the volume of the 4 inverse ETFs has increased significantly (+2x)! This means lower prices are more likely! What could happen in the next 3 weeks if prices pass the Red lines? Market Reversals and the Sushi Roll Technique: In his book "The Logical Trader," Mark Fisher discusses techniques for identifying potential market tops and bottoms. Capturing trending movements in a stock or other type of asset can be lucrative. However, getting caught in a reversal is what most traders who pursue trendings stock fear. A reversal is anytime the trend direction of a stock or other type of asset changes. Being able to spot the potential of a reversal signals to a trader that they should consider exiting their trade when conditions no longer look favorable. Reversal signals can also be used to trigger new trades, since the reversal may cause a new trend to start. One technique that Fisher discusses is called the "sushi roll." While it has nothing to do with food..! The "sushi roll" is a technical pattern that can be used as an early warning system to identify potential changes in the market direction of a stock. When the sushi roll pattern emerges in a downtrend, it alerts traders to a potential opportunity to buy a short position, or get out of a short position. When the sushi roll pattern emerges in an uptrend, it alerts traders to a potential opportunity to sell a long position, or buy a short position. A test was conducted using the sushi roll reversal method versus a traditional buy-and-hold strategy in executing trades on the Nasdaq Composite during a 14-year period; sushi roll reversal method returns were 29.31%, while buy-and-hold returned 10.66%. Sushi Roll Reversal Pattern Fisher defines the sushi roll reversal pattern as a period of 10 bars in which the first five (inside bars) are confined within a narrow range of highs and lows and the second five (outside bars) engulf the first five with both a higher high and lower low.3 The pattern is similar to a bearish or bullish engulfing pattern, except that instead of a pattern of two single bars, it is composed of multiple bars. Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site. Reference Article: www.investopedia.com
AMEX:SOXS
by Moshkelgosha
3
SMH about to breakoutSMH (the Geek) was resting in the small 4 day week moving laterally but was ready to breakdown on Thursday. But the jobs numbers on Friday being moderately light vs expectations made one more month of positive news for the market signaling "transitory" inflation. That was the turning point as mentioned in my last weeks report. An engulfing candle on Friday and an uptrend MACD makes this extremely bullish. After Fridays action, I see Geek moving higher as 3/4 of the stocks in the group got pummeled way under 21 day ema. This put those stocks this coming week trading above 8 day ema at least. Its possible that it can rest here for a couple of days as well.
NASDAQ:SMHLong
by CTRLZEEE
2
SOX, SMH needs to hold hereTheres a saying that SEMIs lead the market. $SMH finally broke an upper band trendline that took alot of work to do because of very little volume. Its tired and wants to rest. This is an important test but bids need to come back. Will June be the month when buyers pile back in? My gut tells me we hit 252 this week then break down again or at least stay above the band. Stocks that had great earnings but got slaughtered will do well. $SMH will be range bound till July earnings.
NASDAQ:SMH
by CTRLZEEE
SQ classic ABCD pattern with strong earnings will test 275 againSQ has been hammered along with the rest of tech/semi/fintech for the past 2 weeks. With IWM classic bounce off upward trend line with volume and SOXX reversal due to oversold conditions, I can see tech and semi bounce this week for a bull run back to highs. Energy money will flow back to tech while it rests due to overbought conditions and job numbers being abysmal this past Friday. Be cautious of Dow and S&P, it needs to rest but not get sold to maintain uptrend.
NYSE:SQ
by CTRLZEEE