Soybeans
Soybeans: Sell opportunity towards the 0.5 Fibonacci.The price reversed the previous bullish sentiment on 1D and is currently neutral (RSI = 48.853, ADX = 28.377, Highs/Lows = 0.0000). The next long term direction should come after a lower test of (at least) the 0.500 Fibonacci retracement level. With 4H already on Lower Highs (Highs/Lows = -0.0750, B/BP = -1.5520) we have a TP = 8.637.
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Something brewing with agricultureI have noticed agriculture volumes were soaring recently, maybe I am out of touch but those are the numbers I had in mind before:
Soybeans (5B), Corn (2B), Wheat (1B), Cotton (900M), Coffee (600M), Sugar (500M), Cocoa (300M)
And now they are 2 to 5 times higher, what's up? ==> Soybean Futures 10-15 Billion, Corn futures 10-15 Billion, Wheat 4-5 Billion. Those are the CME ones, the ICE sucks hard but I noticed Sugar volume at over 1.25 Bil yesterday for March contract alone. So in total basically 30 to 50 billion usd a day for the 7 big ones.
Then you got all the other ones, I saw live cattle was at like 1.5 billion yesterday (wat?), lean hogs at 500+ million...
Buahahaha even orange juice futures are over 300 million. Orange juice futures, what a meme. Who even trades that?
* Do not look at tradingview volumes they are all wrong.
How it looks on higher TF:
Corn:
Wheat:
Sugar:
Here is what I am looking at immediately:
Trump is trying to shill, buuut doesn't seem to be working.
Wheat is on a massive selloff US business has been lost to France (get rekt).
Investors are counting on a positive trade deal and I think this is why prices have been going up for the past months (same concept as stock market).
I heard artificially inflating prices with hope and presidential tweets worked just great.
I bet Trump has been postponing everything just because dumb investors kept buying in anticipation of that trade deal. No matter how much it gets postponed they just keep buying like little lemmings, and Trump keeps posting the Dow Jones gains since he started his term & what a great president he has been so he clearly has a motive.
Can't blame him, most people are too stupid to figure out any of this, he is just doing what a politician does. Maybe he's one of these "with an IQ of 130 that thinks he is at 170" guys I have been hearing about (Elon Musk too according to Charlie Munger).
What I think is either on positive news investors will take profit (buy the rumor sell the news),
and on bad news. Oh my. All this volume, they're all going to want to sell, right? I do not think we will see a short squeeze, who is shorting this? Nah. Could be wrong but from experience people are not that smart.
I really want to trade this, but this is my advice: just do not touch it. Let's wait for the big burn to pass, and then after we shall trade those.
And remember,
* When prices go up, greedy agri giants (that have traders and actively invest in this) rub their hands and make profits on the back of poor people that can barely afford food (Remember Glencore backlash after stating prices explosion 10 years ago was very profitable)
* When prices go down, the poor little farmer is suffering while governments and big players step on them and make profits (they're protesting and telling every one how angry they are right now because they feel people in power do not have a high opinion of them and that hurts their feelings - really not even kidding - as well as taxes and high gaz prices)
* When prices do not move "nothing ever improves". How do you make price never move anyway?
Prices going down should mean people in civil war countries could get to eat, sit and watch farmers go on a rampage, block roads, burn hundreds of thousands of tons of crops to reduce supply.
Rising Wedge Continuation for Soybeans?Today I am looking at SX2019. This chart looks awful similar to a rising wedge continuation pattern. With the export problem, and the amount of beans we have in the U.S., I wouldn't doubt this is possible. This idea is for chart pattern purposes only. Lets see where it goes.
Everything here is purely my opinion, and in no way advice or recommendations on making trades. I may or may not hold positions in the instruments I analyze.
L.R.
SOYBN USD BUY (SOYBEANS – US DOLLAR)Hi there. Price is forming a continuation pattern to the upside. Currently price has completed the B wave, now we are expecting that price forms the C wave to complete the pattern.
So, wait for the price to hit the bottom of the pattern and watch strong price action for buy.
Soybeans Mar 2019 equilibrium patternDaily soybeans futures chart tightening up nicely and should give a good signal in either direction when it breaks. Purple line is 200MA; Yellow line is 100MA.
SOYBNUSD SELL FOR SHORT TERM, BUY FOR MEDIUM TERM.Hi there. Price is forming a continuation pattern to the upside. Wait for the price to complete the pattern and watch strong price action for sell. On bigger time frame, price is forming a continuation pattern to the upside. Wait for the price to hit the bottom of the pattern and watch strong price action for buy.
SOYBEAN (SOY/USD)The soybean market is moving in a gradual uptrend and forming a channel. However, there is an opportunity for a short position because of a bearish flag pattern forming and the fact that the price is nearing the channel resistance. Also, the price could form a double top pattern as suggested by the red rectangle forming a horizontal resistance zone.
Soybeans Buy setup developing
Soybeans recently broke out to a new high and managed to spend some time above the 9.00 mark before the 200 day moving average and the top of an ascending channel forced price back down. It is now stalled at confluence fibonacci support and a parallel of the lower trendline of the ascending channel, with the bottom of the channel very close below. An aggressive approach would be to buy in at the appearance of a positive closing candle. Otherwise a more conservative approach would be to wait for a daily close above the 50 day moving average. Given the time of year the conservative approach seems to be the more appropriate option. Initial target will be 9.00 and a break below the channels lower trendline would invalidate the bullish bias.
SOYBEAN OIL FUTURES LONGHey friends!
Doing these for fun. Soybean oil futures have bullish signals!
Good luck!
Long SoybeansHi guys ! I post a trading idea for long positions at ZS1! . Recent WASDE report had a price projection for soybeans for 2019 about 900-910. As wee see also in the recent political scene trade war talks at G20 there is a good possibility to go far beyond as from 910. From technical analysis view at the monthly chart is long with target 1056 , RSI is tend to swing to upper levels so I think is a good long signal and ADX now is tending to get a direction which is a further high price. Hope you find it usefull !