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VIX 8 DAY AND 11 DAY BUY SIGNAL MOVING LONG SP AND SOX THE AVG POP IN VIX OVER THE LAST FEW YEAR OUTSIDE OF SHORT VIX PANIC HAS BEEN A SIGNAL OF 8 TO 11 DAYS I TOLD ALL TO LOOK FOR A 19.72 AND SP OF 3218 TO MOVE LONG .I DID CANCEL THAT ORDER BUT SEE THAT IT IS CLEAR TO TAKE THE LONGSIDE OF SP SOX QQQ AND EVEN OIL AND COPPER FOR A POSITION TRADE LAST ONE WAS OCT CYCLE LOW THE SPIRALS FROM 2 YEARS BACK SEEM TO HAVE COME IN 4 TD EARLY SO I AM NOW MOVED TO A STRONG BUY NEXT PEAK ABOVE 3344 TO 3410 WATCH RSP TO TURN OR ADD IF IT SEE 111.9 BEST OF TRADES
TVC:VIXLong
by wavetimer
Weekly Analysis on AU200AUD / ASX 200 by ThinkingAntsOkUse this as a guide to develop your setup. Main Items we can see on the Weekly Chart: a)The price is against a significant reversal zone with the possibility of making a double top pattern. b)At the same time, the price is inside an ascending channel since 2009 and currently is against the upper trendline. c)If these two technical points work as resistance for the price, we expect a bearish movement towards the lower trendline of the ascending channel. d)This Chart works with an analysis purpose only. If you want to develop a setup based on this, you should go to lower timeframes such as one day / 4hs and define your Entry filters there.
OANDA:AU200AUDShort
by ThinkingAntsOk
SP-500/ Gold - How to Buy Shares 90% Off - ValueCyclesSP-500/ Gold - #ValueCycle Analysis *Note that the vertical price axis reflects the number of ounces of gold required to purchase 1 share of the SP-500 *I understand there is a lot going on with this chart, but bear with me as i walk you through it (see worked example below) Macro Analysis: Lower Chart - After the lunacy of the tech wreck in the late 90's into 2000 the ratio peaked at just shy of 5.5 oz to 1 share of the SP-500 (obviously this would be more pronounced if we were looking at the Nasdaq) - From the peak in 2000, the value of the SP-500 has plummeted largely unabated until 2009 - 2011, finally hitting a low of around 0.5 oz at the time of the financial crisis and the introduction of Central banking QE, - This means that had you utilized this pricing/ entry method you would have been able to sell your shares at 5.5 oz and buy them back for a 1/10 of the price (illustrated with the red arrow) - This eventual bottom also coincided with the 90% bubble fib retracement level (a useful level, few people utilize) 'Near-term Analysis: Upper Chart - As you can see the SP-500 has stalled at the 38.2% fib retracement (possibly a dead cat bounce on the way lower) - This, coupled with the broader macro economic outlooks (weaker economic data, weaker manufacturing and greater Geo-political tensions) makes a strong case for this to result in higher gold prices (thus a lower ratio of stocks to gold) - I think it quite likely that the Fed will have their hand forced and will resume QE or some other form of stimulus to prop these markets up, but the beauty of this system is that you are pricing the assets in a more stable, non-inflationary numeraire, one that under such QE/ central bank intervention would thrive (thus revealing the true depreciation in value of the underlying) Putting it all together: An example - E.g. Sell your 10 Shares of SPX at 5.5 oz (red arrow) = 55 oz ($250/ oz) = $13,750 - Re-enter stocks at the green arrow for 0.5 oz/ share = 110 share of SPX (55/ 0.5) = $104,500 (55 oz times $1900/ oz) - Convert your shares back to gold (2nd red arrow) at 2 oz / share = 110 shares times 2 oz/ share =220 oz = 220 oz times $1520/ oz = $334,400 Total return = 2432% But more importantly, you have been able to leverage your existing holdings to acquire a non-depreciating asset, in this case gold (but there are many, many different options available to those who can properly utilize this strategy). If you liked this idea, let me know, give me a follow, thumbs up and follow my Twitter so you never miss a trade/ investment idea a
SP:SPXLong
by Profit_Link
ES1! SPY SPX - S&P500 Channel TestSince August 2019, the S&P 500 has entered into a "Channel" formation between 2823-2946, with trading being quite choppy ever since. Despite the market's volatility throughout August, it appears that the S&P 500 is making strides in trying to exit this "Channel" pattern to the upside. Two indicators to support the S&P500's move higher is: 1) The S&P 500's rising RSI momentum ("Higher Lows and Higher Highs") indicating investors are steadily moving back into the index; and, 2) The S&P 500 is still above its green trend line indicating that the upward momentum is still intact. If these two trends hold, we could see prices making a move higher to 2980 - a Key Monthly Resistance Level (Blue)
SP:SPXLong
by EconomicsGlobal
SP500 Short Opportunity by ThinkingAntsOkThe Main reasons to think that a bearish movement is about to star are the next ones: A) Same situation than the bearish movement in October 2018 observe how the price made exactly the same formation that is doing now, we can use it as a guide to develop our setup on this current scenario. B)The current Technical situation on the 4hs Chart: -The price is facing a Resistance Zone -Volume decreasing ( Weakness of the bullish movement) -On the resistance zone, we can see a Pin bar on that area (reversal pattern) -On the 15minutes chart, we can see divergence on the last movement that is making. Based on this, we expect a bearish movement to start at any moment, if that happens we will be looking for short opportunities on the first Corrective structure out from the ascending trendline. We will cancel this idea if the price keeps rising above the current Resistance zone. Updates coming soon!
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by ThinkingAntsOk