S&P500 ALL TIME HIGH IS CLOSE!Hey!
It's time for a brand new S&P500 analysis.
S&P500 is having a very nice bull train going on and It will continue. All time high on S&P500 has been 2940 points but we will take it a little further.
NOTICE:
YELLOW LINE : Broken trendline in the middle of the other two.
RED LINE : The bottom trendline which is the current support IF S&P500 falls.
LIGHT LINE : Current resistance level. It shows that we will probably end up having 2950 points at least on S&P500.
ORANGE LINE : The current goal for every trader there is. Usually when a secure brokes all time high It will go down. If we reach 2940-2950 points I would suggest to short S&P500.
DARK BLUE : The current horizontal support level. ( This is more likely to happen rather than RED LINE )
The only indicator I'm having in this chart is EMA15 which comes from the lower part of the candle which means we're still bullish.
Pst. Click that follow button by the way! ;)
See you soon!
-JJ-
SP
S&P 500 Index Will Crash To 2400 Sooner Rather Than LaterS&P 500 (SPX) has been maxed out for a while now, and I am quite bearish on this index as you might already know from my previous analyses.
The reason I am bearish is because of the signals that I getting from the above chart. So come and read these signals with me, and later share in the comments section and tell me what you think... Let's get started!
S&P 500 Index Prints Additional Weakness
Our main focus for signals in past analyses was mainly a bearish divergence on the MACD and RSI, but now additional weakness is showing up:
On the chart above we can see how the ~2815 level, marked with a purple dash line, has rejected the SPX over and over in a 1,2,3 sequence. On the 13 March, the SPX had its third (sixth) rejection from this resistance after the bounce.
We can see decreasing trading volume, which is a signal that points to lack of momentum for the move that is in play.
The daily candle for the 13 March hit a high at 2821.24, making it higher than the peaks of the 25th Feb. and 4th March. But when you look at the MACD, you can see it going lower and lower; here is the bullish divergence once more. The same can be spotted on the RSI.
In a nutshell, we have a triple top, decreasing volume and strong bearish divergence.
According to the signals above, the SPX will make a strong down move soon. For these signals to be invalidated, the SPX needs to print a high volume candle above 2821 and follow up by breaking its all-time high.
What's your take on the next S&P 500 Index move?
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Namaste.
S&P - long to 4000 then dumpI see a bigger wave one with a long wave 2 correction. According to EW theory there is a rule of alterntion where if you see a long wave then you could expect a faster wave 4 for instance. I think that is what we are seeing here. Everyone is talking about recession 2020. This is what it would look like with a blowoff top close to or at 4000. Then just imagine the huge dump that will ensue.
SPY January, 2001 Replay?The price action we've seen since October looks a lot like the tech bubble of Y2K. The economy was just a tad more organic back in Y2K so our price action may not have as much drama. Using the first tech bubble as a model, the graph shows what will most likely happen. IF .....it plays out in the same fashion then we have to wait till February before this 'algo driven market' snaps under its own weight. Hey, its an idea. We'll see.
SPY- Futures have broken structure.Since the Futures have already broken structure we can assume that we will get that start of some downside movement. Whether we already topped or if we are simply pulling back is a big mystery in my opinion. In fact, trading bounces, are very difficult as there is an inherent lack of information as the movements are so volatile, not leaving as much room for analysis. I will be watching the horizontal supports closely to see if they are holding price or if we break down from them. If we do break down from both of these horizontals we will be looking at our SPY 233 lows. If that cannot hold then we will impulse down toward 212. The horizntal supports provide oppotunities to exit some shorts and de-risk and wait to see if they hold.
SP TO BOTTOM 2508 TO MY ALT 2455 BEAR PHASED ENDING NOW BASED ON MY FORECAST THAT THE TOP IS IN JAN AND THAT WE ARE IN A 2 YEAR BEAR FYI ONE DOWN ALREADY MY FRACTAL WORK LOOKS FOR MY CYCLE LOW DUE NOW INTO DEC 18 AS LONG AS 2445 HOLDS I STILL HAVE A SHARP RALLY FYI I WENT LONG SP 2566AND 2547 ADDING 2510 AND 2483 WE SHOULD SEE A SHARP RALLY BACK TO JUST ABOVE 2815 INTO JAN 14 PEAK
SP500 at tipping pointThere's been a lot of FUD going on in the market lately. Multiple days of several hundred point drops will do that.
Ignore the FUD, and read the tea leaves. Here's what the charts say to me:
SP500 remains in the bull wave channel which began nearly 10 years ago in March 2009. As long as the price remains in this channel, the bull market continues.
Red line is long term support. Blue is long term resistance.
Failure of the red support is bad. If 2940 is in fact the market high, then 2460 is the first short target and will likely be the first domino all the way down to 1580 -- perhaps even 1140-1200 if we retrace in a similar fashion to 2008/2009.
Right now, I think the price is more likely to go back up than down, but should the red line fail, GTFO.
Very messy week going towards the midterms elections but currentIf it stays above 2600 this time next week and some good news comes out we could see new record highs by the end of the year?
If bad news is released and midterms go against Trump and the markets starts closing below 2600 we could be in a bear market by December?
ASX - over extended market.The market has over extended now and as i have mentioned in my previous post, i am expecting green this week. Today's close is evident of that and looks good for a 1-2 week up trend. I Expect us to reach the red area before heading down lower.
friend of mine mentioned that US earning reports re coming out in 2 weeks. This may be the catalyst that takes us lower into the next lot of targets. Other than that, we should have some relief. Fisher and RVGI ready to reset.
AXS200 updateThe market had a good bounce today with an even red and green movements. As per the bounce.
The perfect wick from serious support (i.e. the sidways movement back in 2017).
As mentioned in my comment on my other post, I expect more green to come this week. The DJI is already up 1% with many US stocks in the green.
I suspect this is our first pivot point with potentially 1 or 2 more major dumps in the near future.