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Sp500analysis

Recession will push S&P500 down further - Bearish Stock MarketLooking at historic recession losses of the S&P 500 and given the current market conditions pointing to a recession one has can derive more downward movement for the stock market. Looking at the S&P 500 there is still a lot of room downwards to an overall 20-40% correction down into the recession from the last ATH. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please support this idea with your likes and comments, it is the best way to keep it relevant and support me. ** -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- !! Donations via TradingView coins also help me a great deal at posting more free trading content and signals here !!
SP:SPXShort
by CarpeMomentum
SP500 in sitting on support, breakdown is imminentIn my previous analysis regarding SP500, I said that I expect a drop under the 4k figure and things are getting closer and closer to that moment. Looking at the price action for the past 4 months, we can see that after a very bad start of the year, stocks have tried to recover, but sellers capped gains in the 4.5-4.6k zone. A new attempt of recovery started in late March, but again, sellers took control in the same 4.5-4.6k zone. Going further into last week, we can see that after reaching support again, SP500 rebounded on We and Th, just to sell off hard on Friday. All this price development, for me at least, is very bearish and I expect a break of support. In the medium term, my target remains 3.5k, September and October's 2020 highs, and also Fibo 50% for the start of "pandemic" rise, and only SP500 back above 4.6k is bullish in my book. Of course, also my strategy remains the same: Sell Rallies
VANTAGE:SP500Short
by Mihai_Iacob
18
SP500 can drop under 4k and enter bear market territorySP500 has started 2022 badly and things look like will get worth. After an initial drop to 4.1k, the index tried to recover, but 4.5k proved to be a strong ceiling and SP500 rolled back down. Now the index is trading in February's low and I expect a continuation to the downside. A drop under 4k would be significant for SP500, both psychological and marking more than a 20% drop (bear market, at least by the book). In such a case, panic selling is a very probable scenario, and the price can drop fast to 3.5 support. I'm very bearish SP500 and I will remain as long as the price is under 4.5k
SP:SPXShort
by Mihai_Iacob
10
S&P500 turned bullish A good trader has to adopt for the change in trading environment. the so long correction in s&p500 index is in a wedge shaped and now broke-out with 5 waves. the 1st confirmation for bullishness (formation of wave''E'') is set as this BO (5waves)exceeded 62% of wave 'D'. wait for 2nd confirmation ,a pullback up to 38% of new wave 'A '(4455)this week (FED int rate will be a surprise),buy above 4640 (3rd confirmation) IF all set, the S&P500 rocket will climb to reach its targets (4930,5400)during this earning season
SP:SPXLong
by selvamB
1
S&P500: AmbitiousS&P500 is quite ambitious these days and has made it not only into the middle white zone between 4458 and 4509 points but also into the blue zone between 4510 and 4550 points directly above it. As matters stand, there is a 38% chance that the index could rise above the resistance at 4585 from this position. However, we rather expect S&P500 to initiate a countermovement first, which should lead into the lower white zone between 4406 and 4297 points. From there, the ascent can start in earnest and should proceed above 4418.75 points, above 4585 points and into the upper white zone between 4592 and 4643 points. We should not yet forget, though, the possibility that S&P500 could still fall below 4239 and even below 4101 points, which would result in a detour through the magenta zone between 4086 and 3980 points
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by MarketIntel
2
SPX500 Weekly Game Plan $SPX500 Game Plan As much as I hate opening a position against the trend, these are two levels that I will be observing. In an ideal scenario I want to open the short upon confirmation. What does this mean? If price reaches one of the two levels - $4524 or $4586, I want a small retracement followed by a double top or lower low. I can then open a short position with a stop loss above the recent high. For the first order that would be somewhere around $4547, and for the second order that would be around $4617. -------- P.S. I've been inactive for the past month, so I do apologize to those following me. I am picking up the trades again and soon I will release my new core trading strategy, which relies on trend following and so far has been very promising on indices and commodities, which is what I mainly trade.
CAPITALCOM:US500Short
by Quant_
sp500 looking for a path back to 4300Potential bounce from D leg, could carry over to a bigger bounce to the Bigger B leg at 4300. Sp500 will look to regain levels before Fridays sell off. I expect side way action and a slow and steady rise into Wed Meeting. Any rate hike less than .50 the market sells off to 3800 level. We also could get more bad news from the emerging markets in which im short. 4150 was my target for D leg and bounce. (not trading or financial advice)
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by moneyflow_trader
SP500The world’s most important stock market index, the S&P 500, closed Friday with its lowest weekly close since June 2021, and is very close to making the first “death cross” / “bear cross” (50 day moving average crosses below the 200-day moving average) seen since the coronavirus shock of March 2020. This is typically a bearish sign and indicates lower prices are somewhat likely to follow, which is of course supported by the risk-off sentiment caused by the Ukraine crisis. It is probably not a good time to be buying stocks or trading this stock index long, and we can expect this moving average cross to happen very soon.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SmoothJB
S&P500: Check Your Air SupplyS&P500 has to check its air supply because it must decide whether it should dive until the bottom of the turquoise zone between 4251 and 4135 points immediately or rather return to 4275 points first for some fresh air. Whatever its decision will be, we expect the index to start into a new upwards movement after finishing wave ii in turquoise at the bottom of the turquoise zone or just below it at the latest. To accomplish this upwards movement directly, though, S&P500 must not slip below 4101 points. Otherwise, it would have to swim through the magenta zone between 4086 and 3980 points before rising up again. Still, there is a 40% chance that this could happen.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MarketIntel
Is SP500 resuming its up trend?Since the beginning of the year, SP500 lost almost 20% of its value from top to bottom (close to entering bear market territory) However, the drop from the top looks corrective and 4100 can very well be the end of this correction. Technically, the drop under 4250-4270 support was quickly reversed and is a false break and, if SP500 manages to break back above 4400, we can have continuation to the upside. For this bullish scenario to be valid, 4250 must hold
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
5
SP500 WeeklyLooking at the SP500 Weekly chart, we have so far retraced about 11% from the top, and it doesn't seem to be the bottom. The market appears to be going for another test of the 4200-4250 area. If the support breaks, we could reach the 4000-3900 zone. If we try to simulate Covid not happening, consider that the market has seen a higher growth before Covid, take into account all other factors (FED, inflation, current tensions) and try to simulate longer-term behavior, it also brings us towards the 3900-4000 area. The area of 3900-4000 seems to be where Weekly EMA200 would be touched, which SP500 likes to test. On top of that, the correction of SP500 would be close to 20%, which doesn't sound unreasonable. If SP500 weekly support at 4200-4250 breaks, it could take up until late May for the market to find the bottom and reverse the trend. Better safe than sorry.
OANDA:SPX500USD
by alphascala
S&P500: Grasshopper 🦗 No, we are not talking about the cocktail! S&P500 has been hopping up and down within the green zone between 4354 and 4253 points like a grasshopper in its grassy territory. At the moment, it is heading for the support line at 4354 points and could very well jump above it already. It could also stay in the patch of grass a little bit longer, though, and warm up its strong hind legs. For as soon as S&P500 has climbed above the support at 4354 points, we expect it to leap the resistance at 4585 from there. However, there is a 45% chance that S&P500 could crawl below the grassy zone and even below the support at 4212 points. In this case, it should make a detour through the magenta zone between 4126 and 4035 points first before skipping back up, initially above 4212 points, then above 4354 points and from there further upwards.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by MarketIntel
SPY troubleHello Guys, this is a quick update on SP500. Last time I left you calling the double top and evening star pattern while many were expecting higher prices and possibly new highs. As you can see the double top has worked perfectly passing its target of 430. What can we see now? SPY has formed a perfect Head n Shoulder top. This is extremely bearish...if validated. As you can see many properties of this HnS are textbook (50 MA supporting the move, LH, LL). However, the volume is a bit atypical. We can see the volume has increased considerably at the beginning of the RS in an attempt by bulls to hold SPY on support. nevertheless, the rally was short-lived with volume decreasing and increasing on sell-off. I expect now a small bounce from here retesting the diagonal resistance (Head to Rshoulder) and a possible retest f the 50MA. If this attempt fails to break the resistance then I'll be expecting the HnS to workout perfectly. The target would be 377 ish, or 3770 if you are tracking the SPX. FOLLOW ME, SHARE, LIKE AND COMMENT
AMEX:SPY
by CFcryptoTA
SPX Zig Zag ABC for Cycle Wave 4Hi everyone, SPX is currently playing Impulse Intermediate wave 5 of a Main A Wave. Most probable targets for this Wave 5 are 4212 and 3976. Because last Wave 2 (in blue) was very strong, im expected at least a troncated wave 5 at 4212. 4358 (100% of fobonnacci) is the 1st possible Wave 5 target but i would be very surprised if the market makers are not bringing the market down to 4212 because a double bottom would provide us a better bounce back for the next B wave and can at the same time create a bullish divergence on lower timeframes like the 4 hours or 1 day chart. We should not forget that the last january 04rt SPX began a Cycle wave 4 retracement. Here are the most probable targets for this full Cycle Wave 4 Retracement : 0.24% = 3878.24 0.30% = 3643.26 0.382% = 3322.12 0.50% = 2860 0.618% = Golden fib at 2398 We must keep in mind Cycle Wave 2 of SPX was pretty strong in March 200, which make this Cycle Wave 4 more chance to be light. Usually most probable target for a W4 is in between 0.3% and 0.5%. With inflation currently slowly stablizing a little , 3643.26 or even 3878.24 are on the table and pretty realistic. For now im projecting the next B Wave in between 4443.89 and 4729.88.
SP:SPX
by Crypto_Mercy