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Sp500analysis

SPX500 Weekly Game Plan $SPX500 Game Plan As much as I hate opening a position against the trend, these are two levels that I will be observing. In an ideal scenario I want to open the short upon confirmation. What does this mean? If price reaches one of the two levels - $4524 or $4586, I want a small retracement followed by a double top or lower low. I can then open a short position with a stop loss above the recent high. For the first order that would be somewhere around $4547, and for the second order that would be around $4617. -------- P.S. I've been inactive for the past month, so I do apologize to those following me. I am picking up the trades again and soon I will release my new core trading strategy, which relies on trend following and so far has been very promising on indices and commodities, which is what I mainly trade.
CAPITALCOM:US500Short
by Quant_
sp500 looking for a path back to 4300Potential bounce from D leg, could carry over to a bigger bounce to the Bigger B leg at 4300. Sp500 will look to regain levels before Fridays sell off. I expect side way action and a slow and steady rise into Wed Meeting. Any rate hike less than .50 the market sells off to 3800 level. We also could get more bad news from the emerging markets in which im short. 4150 was my target for D leg and bounce. (not trading or financial advice)
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by moneyflow_trader
SP500The world’s most important stock market index, the S&P 500, closed Friday with its lowest weekly close since June 2021, and is very close to making the first “death cross” / “bear cross” (50 day moving average crosses below the 200-day moving average) seen since the coronavirus shock of March 2020. This is typically a bearish sign and indicates lower prices are somewhat likely to follow, which is of course supported by the risk-off sentiment caused by the Ukraine crisis. It is probably not a good time to be buying stocks or trading this stock index long, and we can expect this moving average cross to happen very soon.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SmoothJB
S&P500: Check Your Air SupplyS&P500 has to check its air supply because it must decide whether it should dive until the bottom of the turquoise zone between 4251 and 4135 points immediately or rather return to 4275 points first for some fresh air. Whatever its decision will be, we expect the index to start into a new upwards movement after finishing wave ii in turquoise at the bottom of the turquoise zone or just below it at the latest. To accomplish this upwards movement directly, though, S&P500 must not slip below 4101 points. Otherwise, it would have to swim through the magenta zone between 4086 and 3980 points before rising up again. Still, there is a 40% chance that this could happen.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MarketIntel
Is SP500 resuming its up trend?Since the beginning of the year, SP500 lost almost 20% of its value from top to bottom (close to entering bear market territory) However, the drop from the top looks corrective and 4100 can very well be the end of this correction. Technically, the drop under 4250-4270 support was quickly reversed and is a false break and, if SP500 manages to break back above 4400, we can have continuation to the upside. For this bullish scenario to be valid, 4250 must hold
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
5
SP500 WeeklyLooking at the SP500 Weekly chart, we have so far retraced about 11% from the top, and it doesn't seem to be the bottom. The market appears to be going for another test of the 4200-4250 area. If the support breaks, we could reach the 4000-3900 zone. If we try to simulate Covid not happening, consider that the market has seen a higher growth before Covid, take into account all other factors (FED, inflation, current tensions) and try to simulate longer-term behavior, it also brings us towards the 3900-4000 area. The area of 3900-4000 seems to be where Weekly EMA200 would be touched, which SP500 likes to test. On top of that, the correction of SP500 would be close to 20%, which doesn't sound unreasonable. If SP500 weekly support at 4200-4250 breaks, it could take up until late May for the market to find the bottom and reverse the trend. Better safe than sorry.
OANDA:SPX500USD
by alphascala
S&P500: Grasshopper 🦗 No, we are not talking about the cocktail! S&P500 has been hopping up and down within the green zone between 4354 and 4253 points like a grasshopper in its grassy territory. At the moment, it is heading for the support line at 4354 points and could very well jump above it already. It could also stay in the patch of grass a little bit longer, though, and warm up its strong hind legs. For as soon as S&P500 has climbed above the support at 4354 points, we expect it to leap the resistance at 4585 from there. However, there is a 45% chance that S&P500 could crawl below the grassy zone and even below the support at 4212 points. In this case, it should make a detour through the magenta zone between 4126 and 4035 points first before skipping back up, initially above 4212 points, then above 4354 points and from there further upwards.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by MarketIntel
SPY troubleHello Guys, this is a quick update on SP500. Last time I left you calling the double top and evening star pattern while many were expecting higher prices and possibly new highs. As you can see the double top has worked perfectly passing its target of 430. What can we see now? SPY has formed a perfect Head n Shoulder top. This is extremely bearish...if validated. As you can see many properties of this HnS are textbook (50 MA supporting the move, LH, LL). However, the volume is a bit atypical. We can see the volume has increased considerably at the beginning of the RS in an attempt by bulls to hold SPY on support. nevertheless, the rally was short-lived with volume decreasing and increasing on sell-off. I expect now a small bounce from here retesting the diagonal resistance (Head to Rshoulder) and a possible retest f the 50MA. If this attempt fails to break the resistance then I'll be expecting the HnS to workout perfectly. The target would be 377 ish, or 3770 if you are tracking the SPX. FOLLOW ME, SHARE, LIKE AND COMMENT
AMEX:SPY
by CFcryptoTA
SPX Zig Zag ABC for Cycle Wave 4Hi everyone, SPX is currently playing Impulse Intermediate wave 5 of a Main A Wave. Most probable targets for this Wave 5 are 4212 and 3976. Because last Wave 2 (in blue) was very strong, im expected at least a troncated wave 5 at 4212. 4358 (100% of fobonnacci) is the 1st possible Wave 5 target but i would be very surprised if the market makers are not bringing the market down to 4212 because a double bottom would provide us a better bounce back for the next B wave and can at the same time create a bullish divergence on lower timeframes like the 4 hours or 1 day chart. We should not forget that the last january 04rt SPX began a Cycle wave 4 retracement. Here are the most probable targets for this full Cycle Wave 4 Retracement : 0.24% = 3878.24 0.30% = 3643.26 0.382% = 3322.12 0.50% = 2860 0.618% = Golden fib at 2398 We must keep in mind Cycle Wave 2 of SPX was pretty strong in March 200, which make this Cycle Wave 4 more chance to be light. Usually most probable target for a W4 is in between 0.3% and 0.5%. With inflation currently slowly stablizing a little , 3643.26 or even 3878.24 are on the table and pretty realistic. For now im projecting the next B Wave in between 4443.89 and 4729.88.
SP:SPX
by Crypto_Mercy
SPX500 after a retrace a new upmoveSPX500 after a retrace i expect a new upmove Targets on Chart Be carefull, patient and discipline. This post does not provide financial advice. It is for educational purposes only! You can use the information from the post to make your own trading plan for the market. But you must do your own research and use it as the priority. Trading is risky, and it is not suitable for everyone. Only you can be responsible for your trading. Good trades to All.
OANDA:SPX500USD
by miketiger
SP500- Bulls need 4400 intactAfter dropping to 4250 in January, SP500 has started to recover and has risen to 4600 confluence resistance given by a falling trend line and a horizontal level. A correction followed this move and, again, SP has stopped its descent in 4450 newly formed support. If the 15% drop from the beginning of the year was just a correction or the beginning of a medium-term downtrend remains to be seen. What is pretty clear at this point is that as long as the price stays above 4400 we can expect a new leg up and a daily close under this figure would expose the recent low, but more importantly would confirm a lower high at 4600, which is very bearish for the stock market. P.S: Charts are similar for Dow30 and Nas100
OANDA:SPX500USD
by Mihai_Iacob
17
S&P500: “Excellent…”“Excellent…”, we mutter slowly, steepling our fingertips while watching S&P500 move. In an exemplary manner, the index has finalized wave in turquoise in our turquoise target zone and is now in the middle of the countermovement we predicted. However, other than Mr. Burns from “The Simpsons”, whose trademark expression we borrow here, our next plan for the index is not evil. After it has completed the current countermovement with wave in turquoise within the lower turquoise strip between 4463 and 4426 points, we expect S&P500 to rise until the upper edge of the green zone between 4599 and 4675 points or even higher until the upper turquoise strip between 4683 and 4710 points above to finish wave in turquoise as well as wave 3 in green. Still, there is a 30% chance that S&P500 does not abide by our primary plan and makes a detour below 4230 points instead. In that case, the index should fall into the magenta zone between 4126 and 4035 points before rising up again. If it manages to get back above 4230 points, a long-term rise is imminent.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by MarketIntel
SP500- We can have a bounce, but the outlook is bearishIn my previous SP500 analysis I said that I expect a break under the channel's support and that my target is the 4250 zone. At this moment we have this break and we are halfway to my target. A bounce now is not out of the question, but this (in my opinion) doesn't represent the resumption of the uptrend, but just a corrective rally. Bears can look to sell rallies around 4500 and slightly above and only SP500 back above 4700 would put a pause in this bearish scenario. Things are looking even worst on the weekly chart: SP500 has started the year with a strong bearish engulfing and all 3 weekly candles this year are read, with a very strong one last week I would be surprised at all to see SP500 trading under 4k in the half part of the year Good luck trading SP500! Mihai Iacob
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
13
S&P500: No Time to Relax 🥵S&P500 has lived through two exhausting weeks, exploring virtually every level of the blue area between 4698 and 4552 points, and lately going below it on its search for a new low. However, there is no time to relax now! We expect the index to finish wave in blue just below the blue area (and allow him a buffer zone only until 4492 points). Then, it should be full of go again. The following surge should slingshot the index up into the upper blue area between 4992 and 5099 points, where the destination of wave in blue should be located. However, we have worked out an alternative that is not to be sneezed at! There is a 40% chance that the index could initially go further down if it lingers below the support at 4492 points. It shouldn’t fall below 4269 points though. The trend reversal should take place in the lower blue belt between 4399 and 4293 points and ensure a new rise. All in all, S&P500 should be ready to go up again before touching the support at 4492 points. Still, with a probability of 40%, it could slide below this mark at first.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by MarketIntel
2
SP500- Bearish Engulfing announce correction?In yesterday's Nasdaq100 analysis I said that I expect a drop for the index and 14k is my first target. Things are not different for SP500, here also expecting the price to drop. Also, SP500 has started the year badly, with a bearish engulfing weekly candle and, although the price structure is not so bearish like in Nasdaq's case, a drop is probable here also. 4600 is trend line support, that kept the price elevated for more than a year now, and a break here would increase chances for a drop to 4250-4300 horizontal support. In bearish this index too and I will look to sell rallies. A new ATH would delay this scenario.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
9