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Sp500analysis

SP500My super smart highly educated fin twit buddy is telling me 4400 is coming b4 any pull back. But IDK TBH I see the waves as complete and W4 should ensue very soon. So Im just open my LT trades and I am trading in and out quickly as we all know from EW wave 4 can be brutal. Or can be quickly bought up so this uncertain aspect of stocks leaves me kinda on the side lines as some FA shows that inflation trade is all about finished and with USA reopening we should cool off and a W4 kinda makes sense. I will say that this dip is a fantastic buying opportunity IMO. Tech sector looks ready to puke so entries in the coming months can set up sweet portfolio positions in 2022. I will be doing an hourly wave analysis in my newly created group and trying to keep all eyes on the W4 pull back. GL guys.
SP:SPXShort
by Big_Mike716
Ponzi Factor Invisible. Hello Trenders and Volatility hunters. Scanning hungry for results, I couldn´t belive my eyes when I saw SP500 Volatility Index. This is unbelivable, the most easy and best ROI with security from Feds in the package included, in my best knowledge. Here is hidden the "millionaire gentleman club" , wonderful. I would appreciate every tip as a newbie. The chart does not require any clarification, is a "no comment" one. At this point I will say good luck but as you don´t need it I say BE HEALTHY. M.M.M Make Motherfuc.in Money Be wise: don´t work for the money, make your money work for you.
CBOE:VIXLong
by DeFontain
SP500 TOP AT 4,395 JUNE 18 (FIBONACCI)THE SP500 SHOULD TOP OUT AT 4,395 THE WEEK OF JUNE 18TH. It is an OPEX week, and this level of 4,395 represents the 4.618 Fibonacci Extension taken off the Dot-Com crash lows, 2007 market top, and 2009 crash lows. So far, the Weekly SPX chart has held the green trend line ever since the Covid March lows. Every dip underneath that line has been a bear trap. These Fibonacci extensions have been respected perfectly, seen most notably at Covid lows, and the September top (to the penny). We are currently stalled at 4,230, the 4.414 extension. The last jump is about a 4% "parabolic" blow off top move. This is NOT the FINAL TOP . Rather, this is wave 4 down within a 5 wave Impulse Wave (Elliott Wave Principle). The bottom for this correction should be no lower than 3,588, the September 2020 highs. Most likely, this bottoms out around 3,700 or 3,800 area in mid July. It will then make one more push (wave 5 of 5 off the Covid lows) to make new all time highs (or not--it may double top). Expected top for Wave 5 is in September and/or October, during which time another significant correction is to be expected. It is to be seen if that will be a major crash, or simply another correction before more highs in 2022 and 2023 (most likely--the FED is not done supporting the markets just yet).
SP:SPXLong
by mjmassens
1
NYSE Percent of Stocks Above 200d Averages & 50% Middle line setStock above their 200d averages: (Below 10% ) -------------------------------------------------------------- *6 oct, '08 -16 Marh '09 = 161 Days = End of crash *3 Oct '11 = 7 Days = Bottom *24 Dec '18 = 7 Days =Bottom *9 March '20-30Mar '20 = 21 Days = bottom ******************************************************** Stock above their 200d averages:(Between10%- 20% ) ----------------------------------------------------------- *22 Jul '02 = 7 Days = End of Crash *7 Oct '02 = 7Days =End of Crash * 14 Jan '08-21Jan '08 =7 Days = fasle signal *3 Mar '08-13Mar '08 =14Days = Risky during a crash! *30 Jun '08-14 Jul ' 08 =21 Days = False signal. * 21 Nov '11 = 7 Days =Bottom *24 Aug '15 = 7 Days =Bottom *11 Jan '16- 16 Feb '16 =42 days = Bottom ---------------------------------------------------------------- Stock above their 200d averages:(Above 90% ) *5 Jan '04 = 21 Days= Beginning of a new grand cycle IMO *24 Aug '09-19Oct '09= 63Day = Beginning of N.G.Cycle IMO ---------------------------------------------------------------- Stock above their 200d averages:(Between 80%-90% ) * 1 followed by Bull Markets *5 followed by Pullbacks. (4 %-7%-19%-4%-6%) * How would you now live in the market that this indicator will not keep going up , big opportunity cos. ___________________________________________ * 1/ Conclusion:- Below 10% is your best friend Ever 2/ Between 10%-20% = 62 % success rate =Big Draw back During crash long time to recover !!! 3/ Above 90 % Beginning of new Grand Cycle IMO (nothing else) 4/ Between 80%-90 % =80% we will get a pullback 20% bull Market -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Trade set up Crossing below 50 & crossing back above 50 is where most of the bottoms 25 signals: ----------------------------------------------------------- crash bottom bottom correction bottom up siwng bottom bottom up swing bottom correction bottom correction bottom bottom boottom bottom correction bottom bottom crash bottom bottom bottom bottom ------------------------ 92 % of bottoms happened between Orange dotted and Blue dotted ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Four Golden Cross on this indicator: Bulls: 30.36 % Bulls 21.71 % Bulls 25.18 % Bear 12.49 % Incoming soon ? -------------------------------- Conclusion: 75% Bull market 25% bear followed by big crash -------------------------------------------------------------------------- ************************************************************************** ************************************************************************* ************************SUMMERAY************************************* ***************************************************************************** 1/Getting a Golden Cross soon 75 % bull market 25% Crash 2/ Bottoms of Crashes, Pullbacks and corrections happened using the trade set up. Crossing Below 50 and Crossing up again above 50. 25 signals with 92 % success rate. 3/Below 10 % is your best ever friend, the problem it does not happen allot one in a cycle. 4/between 10%-20% 62 % success rate ( Not crossing below 10%) 5/ Above 90% is confirmation of the beginning of a new cycle ( we are about to get one soon) 6/ Between 80%-90% = 80% we will get a pullback between (4%-19 %) (Not entering the 90%s)
SP:SPX
by samitrading
Savage bull likely pulling back next weekImpressive and incredible bull-run from the lows but it's time to be cautious & patient at these levels. - Hovering near the top of a 6 month resistance TL. - The run seems to be overextended with RSI's overbought at nearly all longer timeframes. - Trading way over the 10 & 20 day EMA's, unlikely to sustain at this pace for much longer. - The SPX gap between 4020 and 4047 will certainly be filled; NDX gap-ups have fueled this rally. - Decreasing volume & SMA approaching spike zone. - 6-hour volume weighted MACD cross-over signaling potential reversal soon. The most recent 5 cross-overs always followed with a pullback as highlighted. I'm not bearish, there is no reason to be bearish as this market can still grind higher but it's foolish to also believe the market won't take a needed breather in the process. ES levels from 3970-4010 are more likely to be tested sooner than later. Note: I am not neglecting the possibility of a rally running into big tech earnings towards the end of the month; market never fails to surprise. Trade safe!
CME_MINI:ES1!
by bbourji
1
SPXI think a nice correction back here to the inverted head & shoulders neckline is coming. Would be super bullish and set up for the next parabolic move towards 4600. We have the Fed buying bonds 20-30yr in order to implement YCC. We have also the fed stating the inflation is not a concern. (Which is B S IMO) We have a reopening economy, entire world soon to be vaccinated if not already and Trillions of dollars in stimulus money floating around looking for a vacation and some DOGE coin entries. Don't be a stupid bear and buy the dip like BIG MIKE Fam! As always BIG MIKE PERMA BULL loves you guys and hopes we all get rich AF. ;)
SP:SPXLong
by Big_Mike716
2
SP500 On Steroids With No signs Of PullbackHello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support with a like and follow. SP500 made a new high yesterday and it's looking to make new ones until the Friday closure. We are heading to 1.618 fib level after breaking the middle line of the channel. A breakage of the 1.618 level will take us to retest the upper trend line of the channel. EMA100 seems to holding nice as a support and MA200 yet to be touched from November. Overall very bullish but until when ? Beyond technical levels, the S&P 500s already bullish backdrop has strengthened on the start of April and all technical trends continue to point higher. I will updating this idea, stay tuned. Thank you for reading my post, have a great day, wish you all the best ! Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the market. Feel free to ask anything in the comments :)
TVC:SPXLong
by AM.98
9
SPX's Elliott wave count weekly,for the RSI deep & crazy stuff !Guys it is probable now, that we might have and extended first wave count !!!. Comparing 2009's bottom and Covid's bottom we have very clearly identified two sets of Elliot counts one is Text book count (2009), and the other is since Mach's low and it is still in progress !!! Both are for the RSI (Not SPX's price ) . If this plays out, it would be just insane to say the least. whether it happen or no is something else. Lets follow this with an actual Elliot count for SPX's price and see how does the RSI count follows the actual SPX's price. Either way, this is just another attempts to figure out our location in this "Universe" of SPX :-) . I really guys, pray, you are digging what i am trying to tell you and chart before you . So, what does it mean if we are extended in wave 1 .Well, the Elliott guide are here to explain to us what is next to be excepted. Fibonacci Retracement and Extension Guidelines: If wave 1 is extended, then the size of wave 3 through to the end of wave 5 is often 61.8% – 78.6% relative to the size of wave 1 If wave 1 is extended, then wave 2 and 4 are very likely to be shallow (i.e. 23.6% – 38.2%) If wave 1 is extended, then wave 2 will often end at the level of sub-wave 4 of 1 (i.e. the internal wave 4 of wave 1)
SP:SPX
by samitrading
31