Sp500analysis
SP500- A new drop to 3k zone is my ideaAfter reaching an all time high at 3600, SP corrected to 3200 zone and now is in a correction of this first leg down.
I expect rallies to be caped at 3.5k zone and a new leg down can start from there.
My target for SP in the medium term is 3k zone but with upcoming elections I would be very careful with shorting US Indice
SP500 Well... We have news today that Trump is positive.
He is always positive, so now he have a time to trade, so...
My fundamental opinion is that he and his comrades will pump the market near resistence area.
Also it depends on DXY value, but with all that printing... I'm not an optimist.
SPX & MACDs Monthly Relations 18 selling & buying singles 1980it is a dangerous indicator if you are a trading a monthly swings . It lies allot :-) . 30 % picking Tops , better than weekly in some areas and
worse than weekly in others. they are competing,weekly & monthly, who is more worse than the other ;-)
wish you all the best.
S&P 500 BROKE AND RETEST PLAY - UpdateSP 500
Has managed to broke the upside trendline yesterday.From 3212.00 level it has rejected twice and makes a minor double bottom pattern and bounced after the primary touch in lower trendline.And managed broke the upside barrier
we are expecting broke and Retest towards the lowerside support level comes around 3277.00 which is coordinating with trendline.From this level we can expect some buying activities and the potential target would be 3450.00 within this range 50% Fibonacci retracement level will act as testing ground for both the bull and bear
The bigger dissimilar falling wedge pattern has formed too which is a clear sign of bulls taking some rest to move further towards north..It's a September midterm correction as the end starts the Bull is awake and ready to bounce back towards 3600.00
USA Presidential election will Influence the direction of market we can expect unusual market volatility in coming days
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Seeing the S&P 500 with Different GlassesIf you look at the S&P 500 not in its home currency USD,
which is revalued and devalued according to the FED's needs,
but in the mixed basket of world currencies DXY
normalized with its average over the past decades of roughly 92
you get in my opinion a much clearer picture
of what is going on and what could come.
It's Monday, not doomsday! ☕
Starting the week, the S&P500 continues the primary expectation and reaches the first target area for the current decline. On Sunday, the U.S. reported 32,186 new coronavirus cases, and several European countries have also seen a steady increase in COVID 19 cases over the past 24 hours spreading pessimism amongst investors. The World Health Organization predicts that daily coronavirus deaths in Europe will increase in October and November, raising concerns about a possible second lockdown in Europe. Meanwhile, several major banks have reportedly transferred large amounts of illegal funds over a period of almost two decades. HSBC, JPMorgan, Deutsche Bank, Standard Chartered, and Bank of New York Mellon are among the banks involved in the report.
The minimum target for the current decline remains within the range of 3200 points. Below 3049 points, the way is paved for significantly lower quotations in the range of 2800 points. Since we expect new all-time highs in the long term, we will use the current drop to open long positions and thus position ourselves for the next rally.
In conclusion, we expect the current drop to reach the area of 3200 points before a bounce can be expected. We give the alternative scenario a 38% probability. The primary expectation remains that the index will reach a lower level of 2800 points, which is confirmed below 3049 points. However, in both scenarios, we expect at least a corrective bounce from the yellow target box, which will push the market back up towards 3440 points.
Grab some coffee, be awesome, and enjoy your trading day!
S&P 500 is not looking good up there! Let's have a look everyoneSo S&P 500 is not looking good on the weekly chart right now.
We got a bull run in 2020 up until 3600 and closed the candle with a long wick, which is bearish in my dictionary.
So if we start to correct right now, let's check the trend.
The Trend is broken by this week. It was not healthy as you can see. What says the indicators?
RSI is since 2018 in a bearish divergence to the actual price.
Macd is also interesting, we are days before a bearish crossing of both lines and as we all know, when the cross happens, the price is already down, so we must see in our crystal balls.
I also got for today my lovely Market Bottom Finder. As you can see the green shows the market on a volatility low end and you can see also macd and rsi showing the same things. A nice indicator to harden your buying intention. So as of now the indicators shows us low volatility, which means we are sitting at a beginning of a wonderful roller coaster.
Are you ready for the action? : )
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S&P 500 - Republican vs Democrat Win PredictionWith the US elections on the way, here is my predicted outcome by EOY for where S&P 500 is headed.
The assumptions proposed are based on a combined historical analysis of presidential elections, along with the oddities of the current "circus" of a market. This analysis has NO bias sentiment leaning toward either party, an is strictly based on historic trends of election years and election party switch years.
Note: This document is for information and illustrative purposes only. It is not, and should not be regarded as “investment advice” or as a “recommendation” regarding a course of action, including without limitation as those terms are used in any applicable law or regulation.
SP500 get ready for Deflation Strong dollar is comming off and Big Bubble at the markets at the moment getting ready for a recession, february wasnt the true recession as many think we still need another deflation move before inflation truly begins, market is not healthy when its moving up without any wave down or pullback
Watch price action on lower timeframes to short it after a retest~
Good luck