Still Caution, Even as Market Has Rallied - S&P 500 analysisAfter U.S. President Donald Trump renewed his tariff threat against China, U.S. futures contracts — including for the NASDAQ, Dow and S&P 500 — retreated from their all-time highs. As well, this morning, exacerbated by the roiling unrest in Hong Kong, global shares are a sea of red. Sentiment itself is fragile and will likely follow prices.
The S&P 500 has initially pulled back during trading on Tuesday but then shot higher to show signs of strength again. By doing so, the market looks likely to try to break out of he current bullish channel that it’s been it for some time, and as a result we could get an explosive move. That being said, there is a certain amount of overextension to what we are doing right now, so don’t be surprised at all to see a pullback in the meantime.
The market could find quite a bit of support near the $3050 level on a significant pullback and will almost certainly find plenty of support at the 3030 and then the 3000 levels.
Looking at this chart, there is an undeniable uptrend going on, so obviously there will be a lot of value hunters underneath to try to take advantage of cheaper pricing. On the upside, the 3100 level decisively is the next resistance (upper line of the channel is around $3137). If we see a clear break there, then the market will make its move towards the targeted $3200 level above, based upon the ascending triangle that we had broken out of at the $3030 level.
Wall Street's main indexes have set new highs this month on the back of a strong corporate earnings season and hopes of a trade deal with Beijing to end the damaging 16-month tariff war. But the main question now is will rally be able to continue without earnings support? What do you think?
