Real yield in uptrendThe weekly real yield is in uptrend, which should act as support for the USDOLLAR and as a headwind for the risk markets.
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Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
Sp500index
ES1! S&P500 PREPARE NEXT WEEK - IMPORTANT PRICE POINTS - DAILYThanks a lot you the likes, really appreciate! It is not financial advice just recreational trading idea sharing
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- 5332.5: price point identified as potential optimal entry for short direction trade. Depends on the velovity of the market when if hitting that price point again.
- 5168.75 to 5190.75: probable important zone where the price can pullback up or break with strength.
- 4938.25: Possible down important price point as we can only look behind and in prices lower than the actual price. Above the actual price it is not possible to see where the market can go. So market will do what it has to do if evolving above 5332.5 .
- Some other zone down there but it is not to analyze yet has there is too many important price points above it.
Probably observing what the market does from Monday to Wednesday and see which entries can be done on Thursday/Friday for next week.
SP500 Expecting a dropI think SP500 is on the way to perform a great drop. Looking on H4 timeframe we can see a clean break below main trendline and a retest of it. I think today we will see some volatility around the beginning of the NY Session. I expect a fake moves first to the upside to grab some liquity, next we should see a drop till support zone around $5130
Potential bearish dropPrice is reacting off an overlap resistance level and could reverse from this level to our take profit
Entry: 5247.64
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement
Stop loss: 5265.25
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement
Take profit: 5220.30
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
SP500 : end of the rally?SP500 trade idea based on my thesis that this is all a big range for the months to come and the economic situation stabilizes (visibility, sentiment, etc)
It is a swing/core positioning trade so size is big and invalidation is on weekly close (yes, you need conviction when taking this kind of trade)
Mind your size, mind the broker your do your business with, etc.
NFA/DYOR
Could price reverse from the swing high resistance?Price is currently at the swing high resistance and could potentially reversal from this level to our take profit
Entry: 5258.22
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance
Stop loss: 5280.19
Why we like it:
There is an alignment with the 127.20% Fibonacci retracement
Take profit: 5218.49
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support and also aligns with the ascending trendline support
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Entrepreneurial SpiritIs this stock going to go up to Complete the other Leg of the 'W'? Pretty low risk Trade, imho. Let's make some greenbacks guys!!
S&P 500 - Correction And ContinuationHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of S&P 500.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
The S&P 500 has been trading inside of a rising channel formation for a very long time. We had the last retest of the lower support level about 6 months ago which was then followed by an expected rally of +25% towards the upside. If the S&P 500 now retests the previous breakout area which I mentioned in the analysis, there is a high chance that we will see a reversal there.
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I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied.
Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions.
Keep your long term vision.
S&P500 about to test zoneWe can see the trend channel on the 4H and hours before the NYSE ope we will be sitting at key diagonal support levels. S&P tends to flash crashes in march and it won't be big of a surprise if we see a quick 4-8% test to lower levels. We also have the FOMC this week which could be the catalyst for such a move. The current bullish move looks exhausted already and the trend struggles to get more power towards the north.
S&P500 3 Months Trading Channel Hey guys, didn't post new set-ups because the market is quite boring right now.
But explored some ETF and found an idea for stable trades. As we know, ETF's and some pairs are like to move in long channels, which is pretty easy to trade.
Here at the S&P500 we can see the raising channel from 5th January and I mark the zones, where you can open long positions, as the channel is raising I will recommend to trade only long positions.
What we're looking for before open the position:
1) The price have to cross the support level of the channel
2) As a help you can use Awesome Oscillator (if the oscillator is changing color and starting to raise up) you can use this as confirmation to open the position.
IMPORTANT! Don't forget to follow RM strategy. Use SL orders a bit lower from price crossing the support line!
Trade stocks and ETF at BingX with no special requests, only using crypto by my link: bingx.com
Rally expansion with a correction to the degree ratioGreetings
Dear analysts and traders,
I hope you are doing well and are motivated for the week ahead. I wish you all the success in your business endeavors. Remember that success in trading lies in consistently defining and sticking to your rules.
As someone interested in the Elliott Wave Principle, I find it to be an invaluable tool for market analysis. I have developed my approach by combining this principle with my personal experience and by considering different scenarios that are likely to occur in the market. It should be noted that I do not like to be surprised in the market, and that's why I have different market prospects. I follow them to be sure and recognize the structure that is forming so that I can 100% recognize it.
I will share my analysis with you, but please note that I am not providing any buy or sell signals. My perspective on idea analysis is completely unbiased, so if the idea analysis meets your standards, you can use it as a guide to make an informed decision.
I have attached my previous analysis of the same market so that you can compare and see the differences. All the details of my analysis are clearly labeled, making it easy for you to understand. However, having a basic familiarity with the Elliott Wave Principle theory will help you understand the analytical idea more easily.
I have been studying the Elliott Wave Principle for almost three years now, and over time, my understanding of this knowledge and experience has grown. What I have achieved so far is the legacy of a genius called Ralph Nelson Eliot, and I am really happy with my progress. May peace be upon him.
Thank you for your support so far. I will always remember your kindness. Please share your comments and criticisms with me.
I hope my analysis will be useful to you in your business journey, and I wish you all the best.
Sincerely,
Mr. Nobody
Three tracks to the bottom (cont)This is a follow-up to my analysis from the other day. The green track is the one for the 1968 model. It has held pretty close to the entirety of the whole correction so I favor this model for now. The 2018 model is pretty good. It is the yellow track. It was a short duration but had the lowest bottom. This would give us a bottom around 2700 which most of my other models are no longer favoring. It is good to see, but I am not favoring it as much as the 1968 model. The final model is the 2005 model and the magenta solid path. This model has one of the higher tops over the longer period of time. I do not like this model but it is possible. I figure the drop will be quicker and go below the prior low from October 2022. The 2005 correction did not see C go below wave A's bottom.
SP500 is on a strong uptrendWe have seen the SP500 create higher points on the higher timeframes and it seems that buyers are in control. We have seen price make a timid retracement today and this might be the higher low needed to continue higher. In case it retraces lower I am expecting the Fib retracement to serve as supports if needed.
ES SP500 LONGThursdays Daily candle displaced and closed strongly above Wednesdays high and the fractal swing high from last week.
DOL is the PDH.
I want to see H1 bullish arrays respected to then look for M5 bullish displacement entry.
NFP volatility tomorrow will surely impact whether or not this idea works out or not.