Sp500index
Stock Market ft. The BIG SHORT.Election coming, looks to be priced in as we speak, expect a drop, probably more severe than my chart if the conditions are met BELOW..
Conservative levels to short above (no guarantee we are coming back to those levels) as the futures market can continue to plummet as early as Monday next week.
I expect a heavy forecast of rain up until the election and after, we are about to see some crazy $%^& in the next few months,
Price is weighted on the weekly, to Target 1, if that level doesn't hold we will see target 2 and target 3 QUICK,
If my price reacts the way I think it is, I will be dropping a multi-year monthly chart to follow,
Good luck traders.
Trading Plan ES TODAYCurrent Position: Average entry price stands at 5741, ATM.
Trading Plan:
Targeting a push toward 5800, with plans to exit prior to the U.S. market open.
Although seller momentum appears depleted, I remain cautious about the likelihood of a sustained rally.
Intraday Strategy:
Hold a bullish outlook until the market open.
Anticipate a retracement toward yesterday’s close, at which point I intend to re-enter long positions.
Monitoring Approach: I will closely supervise the U.S. market open trades with heightened scrutiny compared to pre-market positioning.
DAX TRADING IDEAHi again traders!
Here to bring you'all this idea about a bullish movement on DAX. Not a long term buy but a fast trade. The idea is to close it today before the market closes.
Why I think so?
The index has been on a three-day consecutive bearish movement. Dropping 500. After a manipulation, price seems to be holding on 5 minutes - 15 minutes frames, showing us a clear accumulation zone leaded by EMA9 and EMA50 ( 5 mins).
My potential profit is 104 points above the marked entry. Althought I think price is pumping on a few hours, could be possible to see a quick retracement before that.
Nightly $SPY Prediction for 10.31.2024🔮
⏰7:30am
Challenger Job Cuts y/y
⏰8:30am
Core PCE Price Index m/m
Employment Cost Index q/q
Unemployment Claims
Personal Income m/m
Personal Spending m/m
⏰9:45am
Chicago PMI
⏰10:30am
Natural Gas Storage
#trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #swingtrading #charting #investing
Nightly $SPY Prediction for 10.31.2024🔮
⏰7:30am
Challenger Job Cuts y/y
⏰8:30am
Core PCE Price Index m/m
Employment Cost Index q/q
Unemployment Claims
Personal Income m/m
Personal Spending m/m
⏰9:45am
Chicago PMI
⏰10:30am
Natural Gas Storage
#trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #swingtrading #charting #investing
SPX Week in Review (log)Hello community,
A quick look at the SPX trend weekly.
We are still in an uptrend, as shown by the indicator.
It remains to be seen whether the US elections will shake up the market.
The chart shows the volume accumulation zones.
The orange line represents the 200-period simple moving average.
For my part, I am not worried.
Make your own opinion before placing an order.
► Thank you for boosting, commenting, subscribing!
Gold Rush Knocks Dow Jones Industrial Average Off Its FeetGold as a value asset continues to shine brightly, having reached a new all-time high near $2,600 on Monday, September 16, marking the 30th all-time high for gold prices this year, 2024.
It is also noteworthy that the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) to gold (XAUUSD) ratio is gravitating to ever lower values, while the time-tested indicator of a U.S. recession, based on the US labor market behavior signaling that one is imminent.
Thanks to @chinmaysk1 and its full of worth open source script Recession And Bull Run Warning, that I truly believe is one of the best over many.
WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST OCT. 14-18th: BUY THE S&P 500? YES!The S&P 500 looks to have supporting structure for higher prices. The bullish momentum is there, and Friday's close put that on display.
There is some potential for a limited pullback, though. But I would view it as a better price for a possible long entry.
What are your thoughts....?
Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Apple – Triangle Pattern with Breakout PotentialApple is currently forming a triangle pattern on the chart. If we break through the resistance, my next target is in the green zone, which I've identified as the next key level.
Strategy: I’m watching for a breakout from the triangle, and if it occurs, I’ll be targeting the green zone as the next potential profit area.
S&P 500 (SPX) Hits All Targets! Bullish Rally CompletesThe S&P 500 Index has shown strong bullish momentum, with the long trade successfully reaching all profit targets.
Key Levels
Entry: 5719.98 – The long position was entered as the price broke above this level, confirming bullish sentiment.
Stop-Loss (SL): 5703.41 – Positioned below recent support to protect against potential downside risk.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 5740.45 – The first target was hit, confirming the upward momentum.
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 5773.57 – The second target was achieved as the bullish trend continued.
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 5806.70 – The third target was reached, indicating continued strength in the market.
Take Profit 4 (TP4): 5827.17 – The final profit target was reached, marking a highly successful long trade.
Trend Analysis
The price is well above the Risological Dotted trendline, indicating a strong bullish trend. The steady upward movement suggests that the market sentiment is favorable for further gains, although all targets have been hit, marking the trade's conclusion.
The long trade on the S&P 500 Index successfully hit all profit targets, with the final target at 5827.17 signaling a strong rally. The upward momentum was supported by the Risological Dotted trendline, reflecting solid market conditions for bullish trades.
Shorts Trapped Into Insider Selling | DELL I've been actively trading DELL with my private community members and I believe the company is gearing up for another positive run. Despite the news about Michael Dell selling more shares, which may have trapped some short-sellers, DELL is making strategic moves such as reducing costs, rejoining the S&P500, and aiming to capture market share from SMCI.
With this in mind, I see two potential entry points:
a. Enter the trade above $121.50, aiming for $127.
b. Enter the trade once it breaks $127, targeting $138.
Personally, I prefer the second option. DM me with any questions!
SPY Multi-Timeframe Analysis: S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY)1. Weekly Chart:
Uptrend Intact: The weekly chart shows that SPY continues to trade within a broader uptrend, consistently making higher highs and higher lows. It has held above its key moving averages, particularly the 50-week moving average (blue) around $515.
MACD Momentum: The MACD histogram shows continued positive momentum. This suggests that bullish sentiment remains strong, with no significant reversal signals yet.
Key Resistance: We are testing the $577 level, which appears to be a significant resistance zone. If broken, SPY could extend toward new all-time highs.
2. Daily Chart:
Testing Resistance: The daily chart provides a clearer view of the immediate resistance at $577. We’ve seen several attempts to break through this level, but so far, the price has been contained below it.
Moving Average Support: The 50-day moving average (green) has acted as strong support, currently around $555.80. As long as SPY holds above this, the bulls remain in control.
Momentum Indicator: The MACD on the daily chart is trending positive, showing increasing bullish momentum. This signals that a breakout above $577 is likely if this momentum continues.
3. 4-Hour Chart:
Bullish Momentum Building: The 4-hour chart shows a series of higher highs and higher lows, indicating the bullish momentum is building. Price has been supported by the 50-period moving average at $564.10.
Immediate Resistance: The key level remains $577. A clear break above this resistance level on strong volume could signal further upside, potentially pushing SPY toward the $580-$585 range.
MACD Shows Caution: While the MACD remains in the green, it’s showing early signs of slowing momentum on this timeframe. This suggests that a brief consolidation or pullback might occur before a breakout.
4. 30-Minute Chart:
Tight Range Formation: On the 30-minute chart, SPY is trading within a tightening range, with support around $572.21 and resistance at $577.11.
Key Trendlines: We can observe two converging trendlines (green and red), which often precede a breakout. If SPY breaks above the red trendline (around $577), it could lead to a strong upward move. Conversely, a break below the green trendline would signal a potential retracement.
Bullish Outlook: SPY remains in a strong uptrend across multiple timeframes, with positive momentum indicators and key moving averages providing solid support. The next critical level to watch is $577. A sustained break above this could see SPY move toward the $580-$585 range, continuing the bullish trend.
Risk of Consolidation: However, there is a risk of short-term consolidation, especially on the lower timeframes, before any major breakout occurs. A drop below $564 on the 4-hour chart or $572 on the 30-minute chart could indicate a deeper pullback.
WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST SEPT 7-11th: SP500, NASDAQ, DOW JONESThe 3 Indices are in position to move higher. I am looking for long setups only, as my bias is bullish. My targets are the PWHs, and potentially ATHs.
My bias changes with a break below the Weekly FVGs.
Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
S&P 500 Analysis: Support Break and Potential RejectionWe’ve recently seen a strong break below support on the S&P 500. I anticipate that if we retest this support, which could turn into resistance, we might face a rejection at that level.
I’ll be closely watching price action and volume to assess the strength of this zone. Stay cautious!
Will Mark Zuckerberg Become The Wealthiest Person In The World It's gone 12 months or so since Meta Platforms shareholders reached their breaking point in Q4'22 as the Tech giant's financial results in those times were following an increasingly questionable rebrand, from Facebook into Meta.
In October, 2022 Altimeter Capital Chairman and CEO Brad Gerstner said in an open letter to the Company that Meta has too many employees and is moving too slowly to maintain investor confidence.
A Meta shareholder wrote an open letter to CEO Mark Zuckerberg, saying he's basically "not happy". The investor criticized the brand's $100 billion-plus Metaverse experiment, saying such wild investments "into an unknown future are disproportionate and appalling even by Silicon Valley standards."
Investor recommended a plan to bring a "Mojo" back to the company.
👉 It included cutting personnel costs by 20% and limiting the company's costly investment in Metaverse technology to no more than $5 billion a year.
👉 Further, Meta must restore the trust of investors, employees and the tech community to attract, inspire and retain the best people in the world, - Gerstner wrote in the letter.
👉 In short, Meta needs to get fit and focused.
The letter was the latest sign that Meta investors were beginning to significantly express doubts about the company's financial results. Meta shares were down more than 61% in 2022.
Meta changed its company name to better focus on virtual reality hardware and software, and is spending $10 billion a year on the technology.
“However, people were confused about what the Metaverse even means,” Gerstner wrote.
"If the company had invested $1-2 billion a year in this project, this confusion might not even be an issue."
Ultimately, Gerstner says, Meta has too many people and spends too much on capital expenditures. If Meta could control those costs, it could double its free cash flow and improve its share price, he said.
He said a 20 percent cut in employee costs would return Meta to the level of staffing it had last year, and said the company can't spend money like before because the cost of capital and interest rates have risen recently.
“We believe the recommendations outlined above will result in a leaner, more productive and more focused company — a company that regains its confidence and momentum,” Gerstner resulted his letter.
I have to say also, there were a lot of important questions to Meta activity abroad the United States, in addition to the dismal financial performance in 2022. Saying this, I mean that the activities of Meta Platforms Inc, including Facebook and Instagram products, were recognized as extremist and were banned in the Russian Federation under the local court decision, and Meta stocks were uncompromisingly delisted from both Russian trading boards, well known as Moscow Stock Exchange MOEX:MOEX and Saint Petersburg Stock Exchange MOEX:SPBE .
In conclusion the rehabilitation path was the one and only - Meta Gotta Have a Mojo!
NOWADAYS
In nowadays Meta Platforms Inc. NASDAQ:META is the # 1 over the all S&P500 SP:SPX components with 205 percent yearly performance in this time, as Meta stocks were not simply gained, but tripled the price over the past 12 months.
Meta reported Q3'23 earnings after the closing bell October 25, 2023 that beat analysts' revenue and profit estimates.
The beat was driven by a continued rebound in Meta's advertising business following a sharp slowdown throughout 2022. Meta's guidance on its 2023 and 2024 expenses also hit the sweet spot for investors, as it signaled that it can balance its "year of efficiency" cost cutting efforts while it continues to invest in the Metaverse and Artificial intelligence (AI).
According to Forbes Real-Time Billionaire Index Mark Zuckerberg is the 6th richest person in the world today with its $120.0 wealth as of today while Tesla CEO Elon Musk is yet number one in the world with $241.1B wealth.
Key facts about Mark Zuckerberg
* Mark Zuckerberg started Facebook at Harvard in 2004 at the age of 19 for students to match names with photos of classmates.
* He took Facebook public in May 2012; he now owns about 13% of the company's stock, according to the company's 2023 proxy statement.
* Facebook changed its name to Meta Platforms in November 2021 in a sign it was shifting the company's focus to the metaverse.
* In December 2015, Zuckerberg and his wife, Priscilla Chan, pledged to give away 99% of their Meta stake over their lifetimes.
* Mark Zuckerberg born in White Plains, New York in 1984, and in this time 39-years old Mark Zuckerberg is the youngest one over the top 30 richest persons in the world.
In conclusion, Will Mark Zuckerberg become the wealthiest person in the world!?
Perhaps, Yes. He can.
The main technical graph undoubtedly says Meta Inc stocks NASDAQ:META are on the runway to triple the price once again.
=========
Dedicated to my beloved newborn son, Mark 💖
SPY Advanced Analysis by Deno Trading: What’s Next for the S&P 5Let’s dive into the SPY analysis across multiple timeframes, looking for key insights on where the market could be headed. I’ll break it down step by step so it’s easier to follow along.
30-Minute Chart Overview:
Current Price Action: We’re sitting around $569, and what’s really interesting is that SPY has been consolidating after hitting a recent high of $570. The market is in a bit of a tug-of-war between bulls and bears, and we’re right at a pivotal level.
Key Resistance: The $570 - $574 zone is a major resistance level. Every time we’ve tested it recently, we’ve seen the market pull back, indicating strong selling pressure. This zone is critical, and we’ll need to break above it with volume to see any further upside.
Support: On the downside, the first level of support is around $565, followed by $561, which aligns with the 50-period moving average on the 30-minute chart. If the price breaks below this level, we could see further downside pressure.
4-Hour Chart Insights:
Moving Average Support: On the 4-hour chart, we’re seeing strong support at $561, where the 50-period moving average has been acting as a floor for recent price action. As long as SPY holds this level, the bulls still have a chance to regain control.
Potential Bullish Scenario: If the price holds $561 and pushes higher, a break above $574 could take us to new highs for the year, potentially testing levels above $580.
Bearish Case: If we fail to hold $561, I’d expect a move down towards $552, where the next level of support lies. This level has acted as both resistance and support in the past, making it an important area to watch.
Daily Chart Breakdown:
Longer-Term Uptrend: The daily chart shows that SPY is still in a broader uptrend, holding above the 200-day moving average, currently sitting around $552. This level has provided a solid base throughout the year, so as long as we remain above it, the long-term trend remains bullish.
Current Resistance: The $570 - $574 resistance zone is evident here as well. This level marks the highs from September, and breaking it would signal the market’s willingness to push towards $580 and beyond.
Weekly Chart for Perspective:
Larger Timeframe: The weekly chart tells a similar story. We’re hovering around $570, right at a major resistance level. The 50-week moving average, sitting around $512, is well below the current price, suggesting we still have a cushion before a significant breakdown would occur.
What to Watch: If we break $574 on the weekly chart, we could see a massive bullish continuation. However, failure to break this level could lead to a bigger pullback to $550 or even $530 in the weeks ahead.
Conclusion & What I’m Watching:
Bullish Breakout Scenario: If SPY breaks above $574 with strong volume, we could see a rally towards $580 or higher. This would confirm that buyers are back in control.
Bearish Rejection Scenario: On the flip side, failure to break this resistance could lead to a pullback towards $561 or even $552. If we break below those levels, the bearish case strengthens, and we could see further downside.
Final Thoughts:
Right now, we’re at a pivotal point. The next few trading sessions will determine whether we’re gearing up for a breakout or a more significant pullback. I’m watching the $570 - $574 level closely for signs of either bullish continuation or rejection.
Tesla Trades That Hit The Mark: 75% and 30% Gains Explained!
Two successful Tesla trading ideas, one from April and one from August.
April entry would now be around 75% up, and August entry around 30%.
Both ideas show how technical analysis can accurately time the market and generate returns.
Future resistance levels could indicate potential price consolidation.
This year, I shared two ideas about Tesla:
The first idea in April.
The second idea in early August.
If you bought Tesla stock in April and still hold it, you should be up about 75%. If you entered in August, your position should be up around 30%.
Both ideas played out exactly as predicted, proving once again that technical analysis helps to time the market and put your money to work as quickly as possible. While fundamental analysis tells what should happen, technical analysis shows what actually happens.
April Idea Criteria:
Strong area, confirmed by powerful candles in late 2022 and early 2023.
Mid-round number of $150.
Small liquidity zone around $150.
Smooth descending price movement into the zone I shared.
August Idea Criteria:
Break above $200 with a powerful candle.
Break above a long-term trendline, again with a strong candle.
Price pulled back to the breakout area: 3.1 Retest of $200, now acting as support. 3.2 Trendline retest. 3.3 Historically strong area around $200 – several rejections before.
What’s Next?
If you are still holding, the next target could be around $280–$300. This is the next strong resistance level. As you can see from the chart, this area has multiple rejections in the past. It might be a good idea to take some profits, as the price could get stuck here for a while, and it’s uncertain how and when it will break through.
Summary:
This is a great example of how technical analysis can guide you to better price entries, potentially leading to higher returns in the future. It does take some experience, but these criteria are not hard to spot once you know what to look for. It’s definitely not rocket science to master the basics.
All the best,
Vaido
Analyzing Microsoft: Patterns and Profit-Taking Opportunities
Microsoft is in a profit-taking zone based on the Parallel Channels and Equal Weight method.
The round number of $500 could act as a psychological level, affecting future price movements.
This is not a shorting zone, but a chance to manage your position and consider taking profits if it fits your strategy.
The second time in my analysis, I want to highlight the idea of Parallel Channels and Equal Waves, which is a helpful method for deciding when to take profits. One of its main benefits is that it helps find profit-taking areas, especially when there’s no major resistance or "traffic" on the left side of the chart.
Right now, Microsoft has reached important levels that look similar to patterns we’ve seen in gold. Also, the price is approaching a third key point, the round number of $500, which could play an important role in the near future.
It’s important to point out again that this is not a shorting area, but rather a potential profit-taking zone. If you’re managing your position as a mid-term investor and you might need your invested money soon, this could be a good place to take some profits.
Make sure to align this analysis with your overall investment plan. If you're ready to act, now could be a good time to lock in some profits.
Regards,
Vaido
WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST SEPT 16-20: S&P NAS GOLD SILVER US&UK OILThis is Part 1 of the Weekly Forex Forecast SEPT 16-20th.
In this video, we will cover:
S&P500 NASDAQ DOW GOLD SILVER US & UK OIL
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
S&P 500 forecast: Outsized rate cut music to bulls’ ears. S&P 500 forecast: The US stock market has shown impressive resilience following the recent volatility. Investors, thrilled by the Federal Reserve’s outsized rate cut, have pushed index futures higher. However, there are mixed opinions about what lies ahead. For now, it looks the S&P 500 will finish the week at a fresh record high.
Fed’s Rate Cut and Its Impact on Markets
The Federal Reserve’s decision to deliver a 50-basis point rate cut was largely welcomed by investors. The move was seen as a bold but necessary step to ease economic concerns without sending panic signals reminiscent of the 2008 financial crisis. Fed Chair Jerome Powell emphasised that the cuts are not part of a long-term strategy but rather a proactive measure aimed at stabilising growth, now that inflation appears to be on the path of returning to its target.
Markets initially sold off but quickly rebounded, with S&P 500 futures suggesting a potential new record high is on the horizon at the cash open today. The Dot Plot projection also boosted investor confidence, showing a possible 50 basis points of cuts this year and 100 next year, with the terminal rate expected to hit 3.0% by 2026. But what now?
Can the S&P 500 Rally Continue?
With the S&P 500 up nearly 19% year-to-date, investors are wondering if the rally can be sustained. On the surface, it appears that market sentiment is bullish, bolstered by the Fed’s actions and a series of robust earnings reports. Yet, looming risks, such as global economic slowdown in the Eurozone and China, may challenge this optimism. Moreover, seasonal trends indicate that September is typically a tough month for equities, adding a potential headwind to the current rally – although so far this hasn’t held investors back. With the US presidential election approaching, market volatility could spike, leaving investors hesitant to dive into new rallies without a clear trend.
S&P 500 forecast: Technical Analysis and Key Levels to Watch
Despite some volatility after the Fed’s rate cut, the S&P 500’s bullish trend remains intact. Traders should keep an eye on the support range between 5613 and 5670, with the upper end of this range marking the high from July. As long as the index holds above this support area, the short-term path of least resistance will remain upwards, potentially keeping the market on course to head towards 5800 or even the 127.2% Fibonacci extension level of 5827, derived from the drop in July.
However, a dip below 5613 would signal a shift towards bearish sentiment, potentially pushing the index down to its next support and short-term trendline around the 5480-5500 area.
Bearish Risks and Market Sentiment
While the bulls are currently in control, bearish traders are watching for signs of a reversal. A drop below recent lows, as suggested above, could signal the end of the short-term bullish bias, reminiscent of the July sell-off when overbought conditions led to a sharp decline. Then, the signal came in the form of a bearish engulfing candle on 17 July. Bearish traders need to wait for a similar confirmation before making any significant moves, given the overall bullish structure of this market.
Risk Management in a Volatile Market
Regardless of whether you're bullish or bearish, managing risk is critical in today's market. With heightened uncertainty surrounding the economy and upcoming elections, volatility is expected to remain high. Traders should stay nimble and be prepared for sudden shifts in the market’s direction.
In conclusion, while the S&P 500 forecast remains cautiously optimistic, several factors could derail the current rally. Staying informed and agile will be essential for navigating the coming weeks. We will, of course, highlight any major shifts in the trends, if observed. Stay tuned.
-- Written by Fawad Razaqzada, Market Analyst
Fed decision had long been priced in - what's next ?It is said that the stock market looks 6 to 9 months ahead. This was probably the reason why today's decision by the Fed to cut interest rates by 0.5% did not cause a major realignment in the markets (so far).
It was a foregone conclusion that the Fed would begin to turn the tide on interest rates. However, it was unclear how big the move would be. Many economists had expected a smaller move of a quarter of a percentage point. The cut marks a turning point in interest rate policy: the Fed had been raising rates at a record-breaking pace since last March to combat stubbornly high inflation, most recently holding them in a range of 5.25 percent to 5.50 percent for more than a year.