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SPX Model Trading Plans for WED. 03/15Look Before You Jump! The banking meltdown seems to be spreading across the globe, and it could potentially be just the tip of the iceberg. When something doesn't feel right, stay away from it. There are going to be plenty of trading/investment opportunity down the road - sitting on the sidelines for a day or two does not harm your financial well being; rather, it could enhance it. With the situation still so fluid, it is advisable to stay on the sidelines unless you are extremely adept at navigating volatile markets. Positional Trading Models: Our positional models are indicating to stay on the sidelines for the day. By definition, positional trading models may carry the positions overnight and over multiple days, and hence assume trading an instrument that trades beyond the regular session, with the trailing stops - if any - being active in the overnight session. Intraday/Aggressive Models: Our aggressive, intraday models indicate the trading plans below for today. Trading Plans for WED. 03/15: Aggressive Intraday Models: With all the volatility - reminiscent of the dot com bubble burst and the 2008 GFC eras - in the markets due to the ongoing banking meltdown, it could be wiser to not engage in intraday aggressive trading for today, especially given the static nature of our trading plans. Nevertheless, for those of you who MUST trade (professional trader? addicted trader? whatever may be your reason), models indicate the below trading plans: For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 3872 or 3852 with a 10-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 3867, 3860, or 3848 with a 10-point trailing stop.  Models indicate explicit short exits on a break above 3864. Models also indicate a break-even hard stop once a trade gets into a 4-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 11:45am ET or later. By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight - the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform's bar timing convention). To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) - depending on your risk tolerance and trading style - to determine the signals. (WHAT IS THE CREDIBILITY and the PERFORMANCE OF OUR MODEL TRADING PLANS over the LAST WEEK, LAST MONTH, LAST YEAR? Please check for yourself how our pre-published model trades have performed so far! Seeing is believing!)  NOTES - HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS: (i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s). (ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker's execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors. (iii) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance - USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk. #spx #spx500 #spy #sp500 #esmini #indextrading #daytrading #models #tradingplans #outlook #economy #bear #yields #fomc #fed #newhigh #stocks #futures #inflation #powell #interestrates #pce
SP:SPX
by TradersAIDotCom
The current context is serious | Forex-Indices-Stocks-Crypto |It seems that inflation is considered the devil for the markets, so the focus will be on the next Fed meeting scheduled for March 22nd. Last week we saw a strong increase in NFP and this could be the first sign of a hawkish FED, but this week we will see the second and final sign for the markets: CPI release. These two drivers will complete the big economic figure ahead of the interest rate announcement. In recent weeks Governor J.P has been under a lot of pressure from the financial community (including Janet Yellen, Treasury Secretary and former Fed Governor) due to the large risk of contraction and the impact of such aggressive monetary policy. But perhaps the news about failure of some banks could prove to be a strong ally of Powell. Why am I saying that? If the Fed's target is to drag the US economy into a mild recession to try and get inflation back to around 2 percent, concern that these two failures could be contagious within the banking sector could help Powell achieve the first target: "bring down inflation...". Even the geopolitical context should not be underestimated: The war in Ukraine and China-United States tensions over Taiwan. We will see the impact on the main markets (dollar, SP500, gold...) in the second part of this analysis.
by TheAnonymousBanker
5
SPX Model Trading Plans for MON. 03/13The Banking Meltdown Rollercoaster Does NOT Bode Disaster! The banking meltdown that started last week is now being stemmed by the Fed, with the new Fed facility extended to the banks for liquidity. Despite the failures of SVB, Signature Bank, and Silvergate, do NOT bet against the Fed's ability to stave off economic disasters in the U.S. There is no better country or financial markets that one can turn to if the U.S. markets themselves fail, whether one likes it or not. With the situation still so fluid, it is advisable to stay on the sidelines unless you are extremely adept at navigating volatile markets. Positional Trading Models: Our positional models are indicating to stay on the sidelines for the day. By definition, positional trading models may carry the positions overnight and over multiple days, and hence assume trading an instrument that trades beyond the regular session, with the trailing stops - if any - being active in the overnight session. Intraday/Aggressive Models: Our aggressive, intraday models indicate the trading plans below for today. Trading Plans for MON. 03/13: Aggressive Intraday Models: With all the volatility - reminiscent of the dot com bubble burst and the 2008 GFC eras - in the markets due to the ongoing banking meltdown, it could be wiser to not engage in intraday aggressive trading for today, especially given the static nature of our trading plans. Nevertheless, for those of you who MUST trade (professional trader? addicted trader? whatever may be your reason), models indicate the below trading plans: For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 3896, 3881, 3865, or 3838 with a 9-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 3890, 3878, 3859, or 3833 with a 9-point trailing stop.  Models indicate no explicit short exits or long exits for today. Models also indicate a break-even hard stop once a trade gets into a 4-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 11:45am ET or later. By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight - the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform's bar timing convention). To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) - depending on your risk tolerance and trading style - to determine the signals. (WHAT IS THE CREDIBILITY and the PERFORMANCE OF OUR MODEL TRADING PLANS over the LAST WEEK, LAST MONTH, LAST YEAR? Please check for yourself how our pre-published model trades have performed so far! Seeing is believing!)  NOTES - HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS: (i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s). (ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker's execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors. (iii) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance - USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk. #spx #spx500 #spy #sp500 #esmini #indextrading #daytrading #models #tradingplans #outlook #economy #bear #yields #fomc #fed #newhigh #stocks #futures #inflation #powell #interestrates #pce
SP:SPX
by TradersAIDotCom
⚠️ 🔥 Red Alert - S&P at thin Support Banks running in trouble, the FEDS want to hike but not sure if they can and S&P500 is attemtping to enter back into the previous descending channel. This support now is becoming thinner as a rebound is not happening. thus i see a danger for 3700 or even 3400-3200 which would be a massive blow for the markets. We will be awaiting for the CPI inflation to be released tomorrow as well as the news on the banks. US can easily find solution for 1-2 banks (even top-20 ones) but if the crisis escalates we could be up for negative surprises. Check my posts today on that matter. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR Ps. I like buying Bitcoin these days:
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by FX_Professor
S&P 500 (SPX): Long Term Analysis 1872-2023Hi everybody! Sometimes it could be useful to look back a bit to have clear in mind where we are and where we want to go. This chart shows the trend of S&P500 since 1800'. Great Depression, Oil Crisis, Tango Bonds,... have always been great opportunities for the market. That said, the market is mainly made up of "emotions" that trigger certain movements, so opportunities have always existed, exist, and will exist in the future.... MARKET EMOTIONS CYCLE Trade with care! 👍 ...and if you think that my analysis is useful, please..."Like, Share and Comment" ...thank you! 💖 Cheers! N.B.: Updates will follow below
SP:SPXShort
by TheAnonymousBanker
14
🟨 SP500 based on YoY GDP ChangeVolatility in many times in the market is bad and the stock market is a mirror of the economy. When you go back prior to the Great Bull Market (1980s), you wll see that there were very wide swings in real GDP. These are the Boom and Bust cycle. Now, as the FED evolved its policies it learned how to contain the market and flatten the Boom and Bust cycle and flatten the economy. And you can see that when we have the low volatility in GDP, the market has been very much accustomed to this. However post 2020 we are more volatile then ever. This is exactly why the FED is stepping hard on the breaks until they for sure put a cap on the upside and on the inflationary side. It is again interesting to see that Volatility is just bad for the market.
SP:SPX
by TintinTrading
Best guess: current situation in MarketI think the market is consolidating for the next push up... but probably won't be consolidating here anymore, rather lower is coming... I'm fully expectant and prepared for LOWER LOWS to come... so if you want to follow idea on Long, do know it's early still... Tape Wise, market flipped bull mode on October 13th... price going lower is not "PER SE" a bear tape. I'll update if I sense the stink of bear taking hold of market... his claws printed in Tape... for now price is just controlabelly and smoothly cooling off & falling lower (remember, "velocity" is not all there is to bear tape... yes, bear tape requires velocity, but a relatively speedy down trend is not on its own a bearish tape...) So: until Tape flips bear and trend is broken, we assume after lower prices, higher ONES will come...
TVC:SPXLong
by LotusTrading20
1
Collapse Of The US Economy DOW AMERICA | Part Two The Roaring Twenties roared loudest and longest on the New York Stock Exchange. Share prices rose to unprecedented heights. The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased six-fold from sixty-three in August 1921 to 381 in September 1929. After prices peaked, economist Irving Fisher proclaimed, “stock prices have reached ‘what looks like a permanently high plateau.’” 1 The epic boom ended in a cataclysmic bust. On Black Monday, October 28, 1929, the Dow declined nearly 13 percent. On the following day, Black Tuesday, the market dropped nearly 12 percent. By mid-November, the Dow had lost almost half of its value. The slide continued through the summer of 1932, when the Dow closed at 41.22, its lowest value of the twentieth century, 89 percent below its peak. The Dow did not return to its pre-crash heights until November 1954. Skeptics existed, however. Among them was the Federal Reserve. The governors of many Federal Reserve Banks and a majority of the Federal Reserve Board believed stock-market speculation diverted resources from productive uses, like commerce and industry. The Board asserted that the “Federal Reserve Act does not … contemplate the use of the resources of the Federal Reserve Banks for the creation or extension of speculative credit” (Chandler 1971, 56).2 The Federal Reserve’s rate increase had unintended consequences. Because of the international gold standard, the Fed’s actions forced foreign central banks to raise their own interest rates. Tight-money policies tipped economies around the world into recession. International commerce contracted, and the international economy slowed (Eichengreen 1992; Friedman and Schwartz 1963; Temin 1993). The financial boom, however, continued. The Federal Reserve watched anxiously. Commercial banks continued to loan money to speculators, and other lenders invested increasing sums in loans to brokers. In September 1929, stock prices gyrated, with sudden declines and rapid recoveries. Some financial leaders continued to encourage investors to purchase equities, including Charles E. Mitchell, the president of the National City Bank (now Citibank) and a director of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.6 In October, Mitchell and a coalition of bankers attempted to restore confidence by publicly purchasing blocks of shares at high prices. The effort failed. Investors began selling madly. Share prices plummeted. While New York’s actions protected commercial banks, the stock-market crash still harmed commerce and manufacturing. The crash frightened investors and consumers. Men and women lost their life savings, feared for their jobs, and worried whether they could pay their bills. Fear and uncertainty reduced purchases of big ticket items, like automobiles, that people bought with credit. Firms – like Ford Motors – saw demand decline, so they slowed production and furloughed workers. Unemployment rose, and the contraction that had begun in the summer of 1929 deepened (Romer 1990; Calomiris 1993).7 Before the crash, which wiped out both corporate and individual wealth, the stock market peaked on Sept. 3, 1929, with the Dow at 381.17. The ultimate bottom was reached on July 8, 1932, where the Dow stood at 41.22. From peak to trough, the Dow experienced a staggering loss of 89.2% Between 1929 and 1933, real gross domestic product per capita plummeted by nearly 30% and the unemployment rate soared from about 3% to over 25%. The consumer price index (CPI) plunged by nearly 25%, with the rate of deflation exceeding 10% in 1932
TVC:DJIShort
by UnknownUnicorn7947829
5
my conclusion for s&p 500 for final bull run wave 5I was staying on cash for awhile. I wanted to short the market before the end market is over. However I decide to belive the bullish pattern for now. I don't saying that this will create full blowing scale bull's move. But few more steps more to go. You could feel that I wan confused also. Most people would get mixed up signal also. I had some good sleep and meditation. Finally I came up with this idea. Sorry for the mixed signal. I don't think economy will last forever with this high inflation and pce data. However FED will increase only 25bp in march. So this hype will last until 22nd of March. After Fed shows some dovish decision, people will think that we won the inflation but this could be the last bull run.
TVC:SPXLong
by illuminating_trade
15
Is a crash approaching?Hi, I had opened a short on the SP500 last night, all economic factors are pointing towards a recession whether it is interest rates, housing market, inflation or political leaders. This week the US 2 year treasury reached 5%, a level not seen since just before the financial crash. Waking up to the news of Silcon valley bank plummeting due to them announcing a share sale to help hold up their finances. This saw shares across the whole market drop, spooking investors. Shares in the four largest banks dropped more than $50 billion. I believe this could be the catalyst to start the next financial crash, I had already made some predictions on this a few months ago in September 22. SVB is also a big lender to the tech industry which has built up as the foundations of the current economy. Maybe I'm wrong - let me know your thoughts!
SP:SPXShort
by HBSPG
My todays' view on SPX500 futureHi Traders, This is my view for today on ES Micro and macro structure are aligned. Next target will be 3900 and can be reached immediately after a manipulation around Asian Session High or with a retest on 4000 level on a strong SUPPLY zone. (I’ll personally wait for this retest to go short). Pit, Trading Kitchen DISCLAIMER: Trading activity is very dangerous. All the contents, suggestions, strategies, videos, images, trade setups and forecast, everything you see on this website and are the result of my personal evaluations and was created for educational purposes only and not as an incentive to invest. Do not consider them as financial advice. ———————————
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by kitchen_trading
My today's view on SP500 futureHi Traders, This is my view for today on ES Strong bearish impulse started from 4080 level let me think price will retest 4060 level which is 75%… This is the micro structure. The higher one’s had been broken at 4026. Fair Value Gap ate 3955 which is today’s target. We’re ranging, No short below 3920, no longs above 4100. Pit, Trading Kitchen DISCLAIMER: Trading activity is very dangerous. All the contents, suggestions, strategies, videos, images, trade setups and forecast, everything you see on this website and are the result of my personal evaluations and was created for educational purposes only and not as an incentive to invest. Do not consider them as financial advice. ———————————
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by kitchen_trading
SPX Model Trading Plans for WED. 03/08Fed Fight Fatigue/Reality to Set In Soon? Markets are still trying hard to get unstuck from the Fed Fight and move on in some clear direction. Despite the apparently big moves and volatility and Fed events, the markets are just where they were in 2nd/3rd week of January! Double check the S&P 500 Index close on Jan 8th-12th, and you can see it. There is no clear directionality to the markets - not as of now. The increasingly bearish positioning from the retail traders could be pointing to a potential spike up to hunt their stops and/or take out their leveraged positions before any real directionality could set in. Both the bulls and the bears need to be nimble if they want to wade into these markets - a safer option could be to be on the sidelines until the dust settles. Positional Trading Models: Our positional models are indicating to stay on the sidelines for the day. By definition, positional trading models may carry the positions overnight and over multiple days, and hence assume trading an instrument that trades beyond the regular session, with the trailing stops - if any - being active in the overnight session. Intraday/Aggressive Models: Our aggressive, intraday models indicate the trading plans below for today. Trading Plans for WED. 03/08: Aggressive Intraday Models: With all the choppiness in the markets due to the ongoing congressional testimony from the Fed chair Powell, it could be wiser to not engage in intraday aggressive trading for today, especially given the static nature of our trading plans. Nevertheless, for those of you who MUST trade (professional trader? addicted trader? whatever may be your reason), models indicate the below trading plans.  For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 4012, 3995, or 3984 with a 9-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 4009, 3990, or 3980 with a 9-point trailing stop.  Models indicate explicit short exits on a break above 3969, and long exits on a break below 4025. Models also indicate a break-even hard stop once a trade gets into a 4-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 11:15am ET or later. By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight - the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform's bar timing convention). To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) - depending on your risk tolerance and trading style - to determine the signals. (WHAT IS THE CREDIBILITY and the PERFORMANCE OF OUR MODEL TRADING PLANS over the LAST WEEK, LAST MONTH, LAST YEAR? Please check for yourself how our pre-published model trades have performed so far! Seeing is believing!)  NOTES - HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS: (i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s). (ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker's execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors. (iii) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance - USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk. #spx #spx500 #spy #sp500 #esmini #indextrading #daytrading #models #tradingplans #outlook #economy #bear #yields #fomc #fed #newhigh #stocks #futures #inflation #powell #interestrates #pce
SP:SPX
by TradersAIDotCom