Outlook on the US500Currently looking at riding longs till the next high on US500. Manipulation and institutions capitalizing on its bullishness, likely pushing it higher for now.
Sp500index
US500 Long Play 06-02-23 (H4)This week I'm targeting the daily FVG. We broke the previous BSL last week now heading toward the FVG.
US500 Long Play 06-02-23 (DAILY)This week I'm targeting the daily FVG. We broke the previous BSL last week now heading toward the FVG.
🟩 GOLDEN CROSS turns $100k to $72M 👇WHAT IT IS
A Golden Cross occurs when the 50ma crosses over the 200ma. Having the 50ma above the 200ma is commonly considered a bullish market condition – and generally it is. Before we have looked at SPX Golden Crosses dating all the way back to 12/31/1928.
BY THE NUMBERS
How does the GOLDEN CROSS Compare against Buy&Hold from 1928 to 2023
👉 Golden Cross turns $100k to $72M
👉 Buy&Hold (SPX) turns $100k to $16M
Annual Return % for Golden Cross 7.25% vs 5.57% on the SP500
NASDAQ and SP500 big drop expectedI thinkw we may see a bug drop soon but this doesn't mean that I will short it
S&P500 - Decision timeHello traders!
As stated in our previous post, linked in the description, we are following two main scenarios on S&P500.
According to the bullish scenario, the 5 waves labeled in the chart should form a leading diagonal for wave i of C in a primary wave (B) to the upside targeting 4300+. In this case we should now retrace in wave ii of C.
According to the bearish scenario, that movement from december's low would be a triple three correction in wave 2/B and thus we may reverse in a wave 3/C aiming to lower targets (3640 big wolfe wave target) or possibly lower lows. See the chart below
We managed to catch a short entry at @4076.1, and we are going to hold it (stop loss on entry) following this plan:
-if prices arrives to the 3900-3940 area, which is a target in both scenarios (and wolfe's wave target), we will close at least half of the position. At that point we will evaluate whether the decline is impulsive (motive wave) or corrective( three waves). In the former case, once it extends lower and if actvivates the red ascending broadening wedge creating a 5-waves pattern, we will search for adding a short at the retracement. In the latter case, we will evaluate bullish setups around the 3900 area for the green arrow path in the main chart, possibly keeping a piece of the initial short to be hedged for both scenarios.
- If prices spikes up and kicks us out at entry, we will reevaluate a short position around the 4125-4135 area, for a completion higher of the above mentioned leading diagonal, ad apply the same plan to the new short.
As we e xplained before we believe that fundamental news and events unfold simultaneously with the price action, and all the information available is encoded in chart patterns. Nonetheless, it is clear that the FOMC will bring high volatility, so it is important to reduce risk and have a clear plan prepared.
Will update below, happy trading ;)
📈 Mapping The Next SPX500 Targets | 4060 Followed By...Allow 3.3 minutes of your time to read this article.
It should be quick...
We looked at the chart signals recently for the SPX.
I would like to turn our focus now to the next resistance levels/potential targets... Please, join in!
4027 is the next relevant level based on fib. extension but I saw 4060 in a dream. That's the first target.
The next target looks very optimistic but it would only match what we've been seeing develop in the past several months.
It would match every single bullish signal we got from crypto, stocks and other indexes.
4305 is the main target for the current move that is starting to develop.
I am at the edge of my sit... Will it truly develop or will we have a surprise turn?
My bet is up! 👆
What bout yours?
Comments below... 👇
Namaste.
Sometimes Sh!t happens, but its how you turn it around! Missed Gold, missed the Dow, got smashed up on SP500 but trying to turn it around long to minimize the loss for the day. Protect capital and live to trade for another day! 1% down on the day but in recovery and counting on a continuation for the rest of the day higher...
SPX Model Trading Plans for THU. 02/02Soft Landing, Big Tech Earnings...Goldilocks Dreams?
The surge after the rather dovish Powell in the post-FOMC press conference, followed by the earnings from Meta...feeding the bullish spike in the markets, with investors potentially getting drunk on the dreams of Goldilocks scenario going forward. Until something harsh wakes them up to a different reality, this could become the self fulfilling prophecy for the near future.
Positional Trading Models: Our positional models are flat for now. Models indicate going short on a cross below 4100, with a take-profit on a cross above 4055, and with a trailing stop of 33 points.
By definition, positional trading models may carry the positions overnight and over multiple days, and hence assume trading an instrument that trades beyond the regular session, with the trailing stops - if any - being active in the overnight session.
Intraday/Aggressive Models: Our aggressive, intraday models indicate the trading plans below for today.
Trading Plans for THU. 02/02:
Aggressive Intraday Models: For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 4203, 4149, 4120, or 4103 with a 9-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 4197, 4145, 4117, or 4100 with a 9-point trailing stop.
Models indicate no explicit long exits and no explicit short exits for today. Models also indicate a break-even hard stop once a trade gets into a 4-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 09:46am ET or later.
By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight - the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform's bar timing convention).
To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) - depending on your risk tolerance and trading style - to determine the signals.
(WHAT IS THE CREDIBILITY and the PERFORMANCE OF OUR MODEL TRADING PLANS over the LAST WEEK, LAST MONTH, LAST YEAR? Please check for yourself how our pre-published model trades have performed so far! Seeing is believing!)
NOTES - HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS:
(i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s).
(ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker's execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors.
(iii) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance - USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk.
#spx #spx500 #spy #sp500 #esmini #indextrading #daytrading #models #tradingplans #outlook #economy #bear #yields #fomc #fed #newhigh #stocks #futures #inflation #powell #interestrates #earnings #earningsseason #chinareopen
SPX going short❗️IMPORTANT MARKET UPDATE!
The SPX itself is currently retesting this resistance of this expanding flag, we will either reject from here, or we have a fakeout until our Point of Interest (POI) and we continue going to the downside and retest a major level of support (Around $3,000).
Emini SP500 4146 target Hit, What Next?In this update we review the recent price action in the emini SP500 futures contract and identify the next high probability trading opportunity and price objectives to target
SPX500 > Bullish Outlook is Very Likely if the Support HoldsThe SPX500 is trading in corrective mode ahead of tomorrow's Federal Reserve interest rate hike meeting, which is expected to impact the asset class' price. Currently trading at 4000, considered a crucial support level and psychological round number, the price may resume its bullish trend after a correction.
The stability of support levels at 4000 and 3990 depends on the Fed's rate decision. If rates are hiked more than 50 points, the market may turn bearish, and if support levels break, the price may retest the consolidation breakout's top. Key levels to watch include 4000 and 3990.
I would appreciate your support and opinion of this idea. Let's watch the level mentioned with an eagle eye.
SPX go BOOM?Can the SPX do a reversal pattern for the history books and leave all the bears with their pants down?
Update on our sp500 longHello Traders! Here is our update on sp500 nas100 and us30 we have reached tp1 and have collected profit from jan 27 is when we entered these trades. More setups to come cheers! With news today the market has played out perfect, remember being able to see the bigger picture is more important than small time frame trading
SPX Model Trading Plans for WED. 02/01The FOMC Decision Day!
No surprises in the rate decision just crossing the wires. Of course, the devil would be in the details, to be garnered from the press conference starting at 2:30pm. Nevertheless, our models are already indicating potential trading levels as below.
Positional Trading Models: Our positional models are flat for now. Models indicate going short on a cross below 4039, with a take-profit on a cross above 4002, and with a trailing stop of 33 points.
By definition, positional trading models may carry the positions overnight and over multiple days, and hence assume trading an instrument that trades beyond the regular session, with the trailing stops - if any - being active in the overnight session.
Intraday/Aggressive Models: Our aggressive, intraday models indicate the trading plans below for today.
Trading Plans for WED. 02/01:
Aggressive Intraday Models: For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 4096, 4073, 4044, or 4017 with a 9-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 4068, 4039, or 4014 with a 9-point trailing stop.
Models indicate explicit long exit on a break below 4093, and no explicit short exits for today. Models also indicate a break-even hard stop once a trade gets into a 4-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 02:16pm ET or later.
By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight - the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform's bar timing convention).
To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) - depending on your risk tolerance and trading style - to determine the signals.
(WHAT IS THE CREDIBILITY and the PERFORMANCE OF OUR MODEL TRADING PLANS over the LAST WEEK, LAST MONTH, LAST YEAR? Please check for yourself how our pre-published model trades have performed so far! Seeing is believing!)
NOTES - HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS:
(i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s).
(ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker's execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors.
(iii) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance - USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk.
#spx #spx500 #spy #sp500 #esmini #indextrading #daytrading #models #tradingplans #outlook #economy #bear #yields #fomc #fed #newhigh #stocks #futures #inflation #powell #interestrates #earnings #earningsseason #chinareopen
SPX Model Trading Plans for TUE. 01/31The FOMC Decision Week - Day 2
With the FOMC Interest rate decision due this Wednesday, the markets may re-remember the interest rates factor. Whether the Fed's decision and the tone surprises the markets in either direction is going to determine if there would be a reversal or continuation of the recent melt-up in the markets. But, until that happens, the momentum seems to be consolidating.
Positional Trading Models: Our positional models went short at the close yesterday, at 4017.77 with a trailing stop of 35 points. For today, the models indicate placing a hard stop at 4053, and tightening the trailing stop to 20 points at the close.
By definition, positional trading models may carry the positions overnight and over multiple days, and hence assume trading an instrument that trades beyond the regular session, with the trailing stops - if any - being active in the overnight session.
Intraday/Aggressive Models: Our aggressive, intraday models indicate the trading plans below for today.
Trading Plans for TUE. 01/31:
Aggressive Intraday Models: For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 4044, 4030, or 4017 with a 9-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 4039, 4025, or 4014 with a 9-point trailing stop.
Models indicate no explicit long exits and no explicit short exits for today. Models also indicate a break-even hard stop once a trade gets into a 4-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 11:01am ET or later.
By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight - the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform's bar timing convention).
To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) - depending on your risk tolerance and trading style - to determine the signals.
(WHAT IS THE CREDIBILITY and the PERFORMANCE OF OUR MODEL TRADING PLANS over the LAST WEEK, LAST MONTH, LAST YEAR? Please check for yourself how our pre-published model trades have performed so far! Seeing is believing!)
NOTES - HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS:
(i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s).
(ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker's execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors.
(iii) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance - USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk.
#spx #spx500 #spy #sp500 #esmini #indextrading #daytrading #models #tradingplans #outlook #economy #bear #yields #fomc #fed #newhigh #stocks #futures #inflation #powell #interestrates #earnings #earningsseason #chinareopen
S&P500 Technical Analysis-2023Hello everyone, hope you all are doing good.
Bullish Probability:(at least one or two weekly candle closes above 4100 than there is a possibility of this playing out).
There is an active Bullish Divergence playing out in RSI, so there are chances S&P500 may put new high above 5k.
If S&P500 put new High, then it can be a Triple Bearish Divergences, so after that it can be a massive dump of markets.
In this case the 1st Bottom will be 3500, so the 2nd Bottom can be massive drop from 5k to 2000, previously S&P500 dropped its 2nd Bottom from 1580 to 670(-57%).
Bearish Probability:(at least one or two Weekly candle closes below 3700 than there is a possibility of this playing out)
Currently the Fractal of SnP500 looks like similar to the previous oct-2001 to july-2002 Fractal.
S&P500 -> falling in a Descending parallel channel -> Breakout/Fake Out little and finally put lower low or 1st Bottom.
If this plays out than RSI may fall below 30 - invalidating the current Bullish Divergences. (Sometimes Divergences get invalidated due to forceful movement of Markets).
Target = around 3200 OR there is a possibility to fall on the sky Blue trendline.
Thank you, please like and share, if you have any questions please comment.
S&P500, Long term Price Action OutlookSP500
Hello traders, welcome back to another market breakdown.
Here is an outlook on the stock market state for the year 2023 and the kind of scenarios we might have in the future.
Trade safe,
Tarder Leo.
SPX Model Trading Plans for MON. 01/30The FOMC Decision Week - Day 1
With the FOMC Interest rate decision due this Wednesday, the markets may re-remember the interest rates factor. Whether the Fed's decision and the tone surprises the markets in either direction is going to determine if there would be a reversal or continuation of the recent melt-up in the markets. But, until that happens, the momentum seems to be consolidating.
Positional Trading Models: Our positional models currently are in a neutral bias. Models indicate going short on the close if the daily close is below 4040, with a 35 point trailing stop and a 9-point trailing stop to trigger once the short touches 4020.
By definition, positional trading models may carry the positions overnight and over multiple days, and hence assume trading an instrument that trades beyond the regular session, with the trailing stops - if any - being active in the overnight session.
Intraday/Aggressive Models: Our aggressive, intraday models indicate the trading plans below for today.
Trading Plans for MON. 01/30:
Aggressive Intraday Models: For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 4051, 4044, or 4017 with a 9-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 4048, 4039, or 4014 with a 9-point trailing stop.
Models indicate no explicit long exits and no explicit short exits for today. Models also indicate a break-even hard stop once a trade gets into a 4-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 12:01 pm ET or later.
By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight - the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform's bar timing convention).
To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) - depending on your risk tolerance and trading style - to determine the signals.
(WHAT IS THE CREDIBILITY and the PERFORMANCE OF OUR MODEL TRADING PLANS over the LAST WEEK, LAST MONTH, LAST YEAR? Please check for yourself how our pre-published model trades have performed so far! Seeing is believing!)
NOTES - HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS:
(i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s).
(ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker's execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors.
(iii) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance - USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk.
#spx #spx500 #spy #sp500 #esmini #indextrading #daytrading #models #tradingplans #outlook #economy #bear #yields #fomc #fed #newhigh #stocks #futures #inflation #powell #interestrates #earnings #earningsseason #chinareopen
S&P 500 just 21% of stocks above their 200D MAS&P 500 vs its stocks above the 200 day MA:
Bottom chart shows the S&P since 2008.
The chart on top, tracks the percentage of stocks above their 200 day Moving average for stocks that make up the S&P 500 .
In April of 2021, 96% of the S&P stocks traded above their 200 day MA. Currently just 21% remain above their 200 day MA.
Below the 30% thresh-hold it would appear that the trend will continue lower.
Between 30% and 50% the S&P could chop around in a sideways pattern for some time looking for more direction.
A move back above the 50% line should see more money re entering. A move above the 70% line should indicate a return to an uptrend.
A drop to 1%-5% should be an automatic buy back in from the Big Money crowd
+15% Sumo LogicSumo Logic, Inc. is a cloud-based machine data analytics company focusing on security, operations and BI usecases. It provides log management and analytics services that use machine-generated big data. Sumo Logic was founded in April 2010 by ArcSight veterans Kumar Saurabh and Christian Beedgen, and is headquartered in Redwood City, California.
On September 17, 2020 Sumo Logic debuted on the NASDAQ stock exchange in its initial public offering as a public company. Sumo Logic's service is powered by patent-pending Elastic Log Processing, LogReduce, and Push Analytics technologies.
Sp500 ShortLooking for a short on the sp500 from the 4125 area of interest. This will be good for me if aligned to Wednesday's news events, from here looking to hold to a modest level of 3700ish. From here can hedge etc.
SP500 - OutperformersSP500 analysis :
Outperformers :
1. Telecom
2. Consumer Durables
3. Real Estate
4. Technology
5. Finance
6. Materials
7. Energy
Underperformers :
1. Industrials
2. Utilities
3. Healthcare
4. Staples
