SP500 clean buy1 month chart is speaking, more you look from far, more the way easy.
Buy around 2200.
EMA100 is your way.
Happy Tr4Ding !
Sp500index
ES1! - TIME TO LOOK FOR SHORT ENTRIES OPPORTUNITIES - WEEKLYThank you for the likes, shares and follows. Really appreciate!
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This is a zoome out from the latest analysis of the ES1! Mini S&P500 Market.
A little bit adjusted with some interesting points to consider.
in the upper side we potentially won't be surprised in proach futrue see the price rising to $5637.5.
It is time probably to think at holding long short positions as there are some potential lower price point interesting to consider:
- The red horizontal line range area
- And lower there the blue dashed horizontal line
next week candle could probably do the same as this week but in the short side.
Where is the price going and what is the upper side limit? We don't know, we can only make some assumptions based on the technical analysis of the chart.
The issue is that we see that some historicl correlations are not being respected anymore.
Be carefulSPY is approaching to a major resistance. I think we still have bullish fuel for a few more days. I'll use it to close my long positions and start shorting. Before it drops there will be a fight at that resistance. Just try manage your risk and reduce your short term long positions.
S&P500 The structure is completeYes. It's over. Full five waves have been developed to complete all the upside movement from the October 2022 bottom. The S&P500 has now completed 5 waves from October 2022 and has completed 5 waves from March 2009. The market is going to see a very deep and long correction.
Bullish flag on S&P500SP500 - Could this happen?
I see this will breakout the all high as it's an important resistance.
WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST: NASDAQ, SP500, DOW, CRUDE OIL (Part 2)We are covering the indices and crude oil in this video.
Providing analysis for the week of June 3-7th.
SPX500 daily is close to charting a swing low.Friday's candle was a strong blue candle that has potentially charted the lowest low in a three candle cluster. If today's candle closes above Fridays' high then it will be bullish with a potential swing low locked in.
This video is intended for the users of Stratos Markets Limited, Stratos Trading Pty. Limited and Stratos Global LLC, (collectively “FXCM Group”).
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com) :
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com) :
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy.
Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website:
Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com
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Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
Home Depot DivergenceHome Depot is a stock that loves bull and bear divergences in technical terms. There have been 3 bullish divergences since 2022, all of which have brought an average return of around 25%. The last divergence is now in place and a potential 25% return would push the stock over $400.
The market is taking a breakLooks like the market is going to make another visit to the uptrend line from October 2023. Be ready for a bumpy ride in the next couple of weeks. Save some cash for the right moment to buy or short something. We are still on a bull market.
SP bottom/date scenarioMy crash scenario prepared for the S&P is as follows. My expectation for early 2026 or late 2025 has been like this for the past year. It seems that the Nasdaq, Dow Jones, and S&P have reached the sell zone. I will make my additions only in the area I have identified as the bottom and will hold these investments for approximately 10 years.
SPX500 support needs to be monitoredThe SPX500 is still reeling from the sell-down last Thursday. There is a lower peak followed by a lower trough, but the index is at important support.
This video is intended for the users of Stratos Markets Limited, Stratos Trading Pty. Limited and Stratos Global LLC, (collectively “FXCM Group”).
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com) :
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com) :
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy.
Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website:
Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
S&P 500 (US500):🔴Bearish or bullish...?!🔴By examining the weekly and 4-hour charts, we can determine the price was heavily pushed down after creating the all-time high.
I am not bearish for the long-term on the S&P500, but for now, I think the price can have a bearish reaction to the bearish breaker block and move down at least till the previous week's low, then we should study the price to find out the next move.
💡Wait for the update!
🗓️27/05/2024
🔎 DYOR
💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌
Is Now the Right Time to Invest in the S&P 500?Last week, the S&P 500 index, which comprises the 500 largest U.S. companies by market capitalization, reached a new all-time high, hitting $5,341.88 during intraday trading on Thursday, May 23.
Warren Buffett has long recommended an S&P 500 index fund as the ideal investment for those who don't have the time to analyze individual stocks in depth. The recent milestone seems to support his advice. However, with the stock market at a new peak, enthusiasm for AI potentially becoming excessive, and both interest rates and inflation remaining persistently high, is now truly the best time to invest in the S&P 500?
For those wary of the markets, there are numerous reasons to hesitate before buying into stock market averages. The S&P 500, a market-cap weighted index, is heavily influenced by large technology companies that have seen substantial gains recently, buoyed by a bull market that began in October 2022. Several factors have propelled these tech giants to new heights: interest rates seem to have peaked, inflation has dropped from its high of 9.1% in June 2022 to just 3.4% last month, and the surge in artificial intelligence has provided significant momentum.
It's not just Nvidia (NVDA 6.79%) reaching new peaks, with a staggering market cap of $2.6 trillion and a high P/E ratio of 62. Many cloud giants and related semiconductor stocks have also soared, driven by strong growth expectations. But will this growth persist indefinitely? AI investments must ultimately prove their worth to companies and consumers. Currently, companies are spending unprecedented amounts on AI chips and data centers to avoid falling behind. This situation is reminiscent of the dot-com boom in the late 1990s, which led to an epic crash in 2000. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite dropped 76.8% from peak to trough, while the S&P 500 fell by 49.1%.
Could the AI bubble burst similarly? AI momentum seems unstoppable, but few predicted the 2000 crash, believing internet hypergrowth would continue indefinitely. A slowdown in growth from an AI company could trigger a significant correction. While this might not happen soon, it’s a possibility.
Additionally, inflation impacts the Federal Reserve's decisions on interest rates, which in turn affect stock valuations and the economy. If inflation remains "sticky" and exceeds expectations, the Fed might keep interest rates higher for longer to meet its 2% target. This scenario poses a risk, as the S&P 500 is currently trading at a historically high valuation of 27.6 times trailing earnings, compared to the historical average of 16.1. If interest rates and inflation surge again, it could be a precarious time to invest in this frothy market.
On the flip side, renowned investor Peter Lynch famously noted, "there is always something to worry about" in the markets. Although the historical average P/E ratio of the S&P 500 is significantly lower than today's, the market has generally traded at a higher P/E ratio in recent years, averaging around 22.5 over the past decade. While this is still below current levels, it is much closer. Additionally, avoiding the stock market over the past ten years due to fears of high valuations would have resulted in missing out on 236% gains, including dividends.
Moreover, the average annual return of the S&P 500 from 1928 through 2023, since the Standard & Poor's index was first developed, is approximately 9.9% with dividends reinvested. Since the index expanded to 500 companies in 1957, the long-term annualized return has been an even better 10.3%. Certainly, there have been critical moments right before significant market crashes when investing would have seemed unwise. However, Ben Carlson, author of the blog A Wealth of Common Sense, highlights in his study that with a long enough time horizon, even investments made at market peaks before major crashes have yielded positive long-term results. Carlson examined hypothetical investments made just before eight of the market's worst crashes, from September 1929 to October 2007, prior to the Great Recession.
Five years later, three of those investments still produced positive results. Ten years out, six of the eight investments were profitable, with three delivering triple-digit gains. Twenty years after investing at these worst possible times, all eight were profitable, with all but the September 1929 investment yielding multi-hundred-percent gains. Prudent investing, however, is not solely about one-time, large investments. By consistently saving a portion of income and dollar-cost averaging into an index fund monthly, it's inevitable to invest before some market peaks but also benefit from subsequent downturns.
Market crashes are notoriously difficult, if not impossible, to predict. History shows that even investments made before the worst market peaks and crashes tend to recover over time, as the earnings of American businesses grow. Conversely, attempting to time the market can be costly, as demonstrated by those who have stayed out of the market for the past decade.
Therefore, the S&P 500 still seems like a wise buy today, even at its elevated valuation, provided there is a consistent investment plan with regular monthly, quarterly, or annual allocations.
S&P 500 Tests 5,300 as Inflation Eases, Fed Policy in FocusThe market remains cautiously optimistic as the S&P 500 tests the 5300 resistance level. The deceleration in inflation is promising, yet the Federal Reserve's future monetary policy remains uncertain. Investors should stay vigilant, monitoring economic data and Fed communications to navigate potential volatility and capitalize on market opportunities.
* S&P 500 at Resistance: The index tests 5,300 amid recent inflation data.
* Inflation Slowdown: Core CPI rose just 0.3% in April, the slowest pace in 3 years. This boosted stocks, with the S&P 500 reaching a new high.
* Fed Policy: The Fed may hold steady on rates in the near term, but a September cut is increasingly likely if inflation continues to moderate.
* Key Upcoming Data: The PCE price index (will released this week) and future inflation reports will be crucial for gauging the Fed's policy stance.
* Market Outlook: Cautious optimism prevails as investors weigh the inflation slowdown and potential Fed actions.
SP500. Weekly trading levels 27 - 31.05.2024During the week you can trade from these price levels. Finding the entry point into a transaction and its support is up to you, depending on your trading style and the development of the situation. Zones show preferred price ranges WHERE to look for an entry point into a trade.
If you expect any medium-term price movements, then most likely they will start from one of the zones.
Levels are valid for a week, the date is in the title. Next week I will adjust the levels based on new data and publish a new post.
! Please note that brokers have a difference in quotes, take this into account when trading.
The history of level development can be seen in my previous posts. They cannot be edited or deleted. Everything is fair. :)
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I don’t play guess the direction (that’s why there are no directional arrows), but zones (levels) are used for trading. We wait for the zone to approach, watch the reaction, and enter the trade.
Levels are drawn based on volumes and data from the CME. They are used as areas of interest for trading. Traded as classic support/resistance levels. We see the reaction to the rebound, we trade the rebound. We see a breakout and continue to trade on a rollback to the level. The worst option is if we revolve around the zone in a flat.
Do not reverse the market at every level; if there is a trend movement, consider it as an opportunity to continue the movement. Until the price has drawn a reversal pattern.
Don't forget to like Rocket and Subscribe!!! Feedback is very important to me!
S&P500 - Clues to BUYThe S&P 500 is my favorite market to trade however my strategy struggles when price enters All Time Highs by design. I tend to try and hold positions into ATH's and beyond but this recent uptrend has proven too aggressive for my entries (See attached ideas). Last weeks close is a very subtle clue about institutional intention to buy this market.
My intuition says S&P500 is likely to move higher and start the price exploratory process between 5600 - 5350. This is a common process pattern through the summer months observed historically (institutional investors allocate before leaving for summer vacation maybe?) Unfortunately, it also means any trades for me have reduced odds until price clearly defines levels that provide my strategy an edge.
As price explores above, I'll be mindful of quick tests of support. I personally would not be comfortable with any swing long entries above 5290, which seems unlikely. From a day trade perspective, 5325 should provided good support and I doubt price trades below it for very long. Time/Price analysis indicates 5600 is a good level to watch for exhaustion of this push. 5185 and 5510 could offer some setups. Daily closes below 5300 invalidates this idea.
Any trades related to this idea in the weeks to come will be posted below. Likes and Follows are appreciated
SPX500 potential buy the dip opportunityYesterday the SPX500 dropped around 0.8%. this sets up an interesting dynamic where short-term traders may look to capitalize.
This video is intended for the users of Stratos Markets Limited, Stratos Trading Pty. Limited and Stratos Global LLC, (collectively “FXCM Group”).
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com) :
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com) :
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy.
Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website:
Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
S&P 500 Falls 0.7% Amid Investor Uncertainty S&P 500 Falls 0.7% Amid Investor Uncertainty
The S&P 500 OANDA:SPX500USD declined by 0.7% on a subdued Thursday as investors adjusted their portfolios amid fluctuating market sentiment. The trading session was marked by an uneasy atmosphere following the release of the Federal Reserve's latest meeting minutes, which indicated that central bankers are not in a hurry to reduce interest rates . This cautious stance from the Fed has been a key factor in supporting the recent upward trend in stocks.
Technically Side:
The price has declined and reached the breakout zone, indicating a potential return to the 5266 level. To continue the bearish trend, the price must break below 5266, confirmed by closing a 4-hour or 1-hour candle under this level. If this occurs, the next targets would be 5226 and 5193.
Conversely, if the price closes above 5282, it would suggest a bullish trend, with the potential to reach 5307 and subsequently 5320.
Pivot Line: 5282
Resistance Levels: 5305, 5325, 5350
Support Levels: 5245, 5227, 5193
Today’s expected trading range is between the support 5192 and the resistance 5320.
New all time highs in MaySPX is heading to new all time high by May 21. Invalidated if breaks below Apr 19 low.
SPX500 hourly tending to positiveThe SPX500 has some potential positives to it. These just need to convert. We're looking at trend-following indicators and momentum indicators.
This video is intended for the users of Stratos Markets Limited, Stratos Trading Pty. Limited and Stratos Global LLC, (collectively “FXCM Group”).
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com) :
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com) :
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy.
Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website:
Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
VIX - Fear indicator shows concern but not panicTrue market capitulation fear events are marked with semi generational fear levels of the charts
Were at a point of a resistance , but could easily slice through this level if we get increasing levels of uncertainty and panic entering the markets
Could we see 30? Possibly
SPx (Still or Yet...)SP500 Index Forecast
The price continues to attempt a correction towards 5281 as long as it trades below 5320. However, overall stability above 5325 would indicate a continuation of the bullish trend towards 5360 and beyond.
The bearish scenario will be activated if the price breaks below 5281 and 5266.
Pivot Line: 5313
Resistance Levels: 5325, 5340, 5357
Support Levels: 5281, 5263, 5227
Today’s expected trading range is between the support 5264 and the resistance 5370.
Meanwhile, U.S. rate futures indicate a 3.6% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at the June FOMC meeting and a 22.8% chance of a similar cut at the July policy meeting.
Google Overbought13 of the giant investment companies were on the side that sells googl in this ranks. I'm on the side of the googl area from $ 176 and I think it looks expensive. I can add it if it descends between $ 145 and $ 124. Especially I chase the candles in which the dfr indicator I have developed gives a scholar signal.
