Rising bond yields hurting the S&P 500 indexThe rising bond yields is one of the top reasons why the S&P 500 index has pulled back in the past few months. Data shows that the 30-year yield surged to 5% for the first time since 2022. The 5-year and 10-year yields have also continued rising in the past few months.
These yields rose after the US published strong nonfarm payrollsdata on Friday. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), the economy added over 264k jobs data, higher than the median estimate of 112k. The unemployment rate dropped to 4.1%, the lowest level in three months.
Therefore, these numbers confirmed the Federal Reserve’s view that the labor market was doing well. Officials are now focusing on the steady inflation and have hinted that the bank will only deliver two cuts this year.
Last year, we wrote about the bond vigilantes and warned that they may impact the stock market. These vigilantes are investors who typically push bond yields significantly higher when government spending is rising.
Sp500long
SP500 - detailed wave countReports indicate President-elect Donald Trump may declare a national economic emergency to enact controversial tariff policies under the International Economic Emergency Powers Act (IEEPA). Despite criticisms, Trump remains committed to his proposed economic measures.
Yahoo Finance reporter Alexandra Canal examines how the US dollar (DX=F, DX-Y.NYB) might respond to Trump's tariff plans and overall economic agenda, inversely causing a reaction in S&P 500 (^GSPC) earnings growth.
SP500 - Waves' Final Fantasy 15000S&P 500 looks increasingly vulnerable to a correction this year, according to Goldman Sachs
The stock market looks increasingly vulnerable to a sharp pullback, according to Goldman Sachs.
In a note, the bank highlighted three things that could challenge the bull case for stocks in 2025.
Strategists pointed to high valuations, market concentration, and the rapid increase in stock prices.
ES - Where to Join into the TrainThese two blue boxes are also very suitable for working with receivers.
Instead of getting lost in the low time interval, transactions can be taken by looking at the reactions when the price reaches these levels.
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S&P 500 (SPX) Hits All Targets! Bullish Rally CompletesThe S&P 500 Index has shown strong bullish momentum, with the long trade successfully reaching all profit targets.
Key Levels
Entry: 5719.98 – The long position was entered as the price broke above this level, confirming bullish sentiment.
Stop-Loss (SL): 5703.41 – Positioned below recent support to protect against potential downside risk.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 5740.45 – The first target was hit, confirming the upward momentum.
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 5773.57 – The second target was achieved as the bullish trend continued.
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 5806.70 – The third target was reached, indicating continued strength in the market.
Take Profit 4 (TP4): 5827.17 – The final profit target was reached, marking a highly successful long trade.
Trend Analysis
The price is well above the Risological Dotted trendline, indicating a strong bullish trend. The steady upward movement suggests that the market sentiment is favorable for further gains, although all targets have been hit, marking the trade's conclusion.
The long trade on the S&P 500 Index successfully hit all profit targets, with the final target at 5827.17 signaling a strong rally. The upward momentum was supported by the Risological Dotted trendline, reflecting solid market conditions for bullish trades.
SP500 new ath before collapseSP:SPX
Last time we dropped 35% on covid pandemic
Now we have a correction 27% its more than enough
Last impulse up till 2025 November can be in a range 5500 - 6200 Take profit and exit line on my custom indicator, all lines are dynamic
Before we will see new trigger and end of 18 year property cycle
Than we will see big correction to 3200-3000 "Buy line" on my custom indicator
Based on my second indicator Market Mood we already 3 times passed white zone on indicator which called disbelief zone when the best time accumulate crypto, indexes, etc
Last impulse will be slowly but surely and will end on euphoria before disaster conflict between USA and China, hunger, new pandemic.
Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch!
✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes.
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S&P 500 ANALIYSIS !!S&P 500 Analysis
The S&P 500 has recently broken out of a "cup and handle" pattern, which is typically a bullish indicator. This breakout suggests a continuation of the upward trend, supported by the 21-day moving average that acts as a dynamic support level.
Cup and Handle Pattern: This pattern is characterized by a "cup" formation followed by a short consolidation period that forms a "handle." The breakout above the handle signals a bullish trend.
21-Day Moving Average: The S&P 500 is currently trading above the 21-day moving average, which acts as a support level and confirms the ongoing bullish momentum
Retest Above Breakout Level: The S&P 500 will likely retest the breakout level. A successful retest would further confirm the bullish trend.
CME Gap Considerations: There is a CME gap above the breakout level. Historically, such gaps tend to get filled, indicating potential short-term downward momentum before the uptrend resumes.
Monitor for a retest of the breakout level. If the price stays above this level, it confirms the bullish trend.
Keep an eye on the S&P 500 staying above the 21-day moving average. This will strengthen the uptrend.
Fill the Gap: Anticipate potential downward momentum to fill the CME gap. If this happens, it could present a buying opportunity if the price stays above key support levels
Breakout Below Support: If the S&P 500 breaks below the 21-day moving average and fails to recover, it could signal a reversal of the current trend.
The S&P 500 is in a strong bullish trend, confirmed by the breakout from the cup and handle pattern and support from the 21-day moving average. A retest of the breakout level and potential gap fill could bring short-term volatility, but as long as the price holds key support levels, the overall outlook remains positive.
Monitor the breakout level and 21-day moving average for potential retests.
Make sure any breakout or retest is accompanied by significant trading volume for confirmation.
Stay aware of macroeconomic news and updates that may impact market sentiment and the performance of the S&P 500.
Remember:-This is not a piece of financial advice. Stay tuned to us for further updates and analysis. Thank you!
S&P 500 Tests 5,300 as Inflation Eases, Fed Policy in FocusThe market remains cautiously optimistic as the S&P 500 tests the 5300 resistance level. The deceleration in inflation is promising, yet the Federal Reserve's future monetary policy remains uncertain. Investors should stay vigilant, monitoring economic data and Fed communications to navigate potential volatility and capitalize on market opportunities.
* S&P 500 at Resistance: The index tests 5,300 amid recent inflation data.
* Inflation Slowdown: Core CPI rose just 0.3% in April, the slowest pace in 3 years. This boosted stocks, with the S&P 500 reaching a new high.
* Fed Policy: The Fed may hold steady on rates in the near term, but a September cut is increasingly likely if inflation continues to moderate.
* Key Upcoming Data: The PCE price index (will released this week) and future inflation reports will be crucial for gauging the Fed's policy stance.
* Market Outlook: Cautious optimism prevails as investors weigh the inflation slowdown and potential Fed actions.
S&P500 - Clues to BUYThe S&P 500 is my favorite market to trade however my strategy struggles when price enters All Time Highs by design. I tend to try and hold positions into ATH's and beyond but this recent uptrend has proven too aggressive for my entries (See attached ideas). Last weeks close is a very subtle clue about institutional intention to buy this market.
My intuition says S&P500 is likely to move higher and start the price exploratory process between 5600 - 5350. This is a common process pattern through the summer months observed historically (institutional investors allocate before leaving for summer vacation maybe?) Unfortunately, it also means any trades for me have reduced odds until price clearly defines levels that provide my strategy an edge.
As price explores above, I'll be mindful of quick tests of support. I personally would not be comfortable with any swing long entries above 5290, which seems unlikely. From a day trade perspective, 5325 should provided good support and I doubt price trades below it for very long. Time/Price analysis indicates 5600 is a good level to watch for exhaustion of this push. 5185 and 5510 could offer some setups. Daily closes below 5300 invalidates this idea.
Any trades related to this idea in the weeks to come will be posted below. Likes and Follows are appreciated
S&P500 - Bullish opportunites ahead! - Long in flight Last weeks levels provided to be partly actionable and price has immediately responded (See attached post). Comfortable holding this 50% long position with stop/target untouched. Will be looking for opportunities to buy the other 50% and increase risk as I'm confident in the bullish sentiment after last weeks Feds statement. I hold an underlying belief that the FED does actually have a decent pulse on the economy that drives the stock market - obviously not the "real" economy but an important one no less. I'm personally very bullish 2024 on nearly all assets.
So lets unpack the chart -
Daily chat shows a "comfortable" pullback. One very similar to Nov. 2024. Evidence on the RSI suggests we are positioned for months of bullish room to run ahead. So I'm interested in getting long at least back to comfortable new highs.
2 hour chart shows our first aggressive entry hit and the second entry came within .30% of getting filled. Although I would have loved the second to get filled, It's a non-factor. Thankfully price has strongly verified our bullish identification of these price levels and the overall theory.
Although the stop of the aggressive was close to the conservative entry - it was separated by several key levels and strategically placed. I've got a good idea of where things are going and the opportunities on the way are endless. The rest is risk management
Follow/like for more AMEX:SPY NYSE:ES GETTEX:MES #S&P500 Commentary
Best,
GrayTrader
SPX setting up positively ahead of tomorrow's CPI releaseSPX setting up positively ahead of tomorrow's CPI release. IF stochastic can hold in its upper quartile, an underlying positive momentum will be present.
This video is intended for the users of Stratos Markets Limited, Stratos Trading Pty. Limited and Stratos Global LLC, (collectively “FXCM Group”).
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website:
Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
SPX500 setting up bullishly pre-cash openSPX500 setting up bullishly pre-cash open.
This video is intended for the users of Stratos Markets Limited, Stratos Trading Pty. Limited and Stratos Global LLC, (collectively “FXCM Group”).
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website:
Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
S&P500 3 Months Trading Channel Hey guys, didn't post new set-ups because the market is quite boring right now.
But explored some ETF and found an idea for stable trades. As we know, ETF's and some pairs are like to move in long channels, which is pretty easy to trade.
Here at the S&P500 we can see the raising channel from 5th January and I mark the zones, where you can open long positions, as the channel is raising I will recommend to trade only long positions.
What we're looking for before open the position:
1) The price have to cross the support level of the channel
2) As a help you can use Awesome Oscillator (if the oscillator is changing color and starting to raise up) you can use this as confirmation to open the position.
IMPORTANT! Don't forget to follow RM strategy. Use SL orders a bit lower from price crossing the support line!
Trade stocks and ETF at BingX with no special requests, only using crypto by my link: bingx.com