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Sp500short

S&P 500 Reaches a Level of Resistance - Short TradeSPX500 - Short Position(s) Entries: $3,784.4 / 3826.8 TP & RR: $3,728.8 (3.29 / 4.12) Stop Loss Levels: $3,801.3 / $3,850.6 REASONS FOR THE TRADE I think it's time for the SPX500 to take a break from this bull run. As such, I am expecting that price will reach either of the two levels that I would like to short. The Risk:Reward Ratio is favorable and the Stop Loss is just above the invalidation levels. Now, you may be wondering why the SL of the first short is not placed higher, somewhere around the second order's SL. The problem is in the Risk:Rewards Ratio. If I am to do that, I will need to adjust my position size to account for the bigger gap between entry and SL. Also, the RRR of 3.29 will fall down to 0.84. So, even if I short from the first level and the setup proves to be valid, I will increase my capital by less than 1%, compared to over 3% if I keep the trade as it is. Even if the first setup is invalidated, and we open a profitable short on the second level, the profit of 4.12R will compensate for the 1R loss and we will be at a profit of 3.12R. Of course, it would be unpleasant to lose 1% of the account, but that's just how trading works. You either take the risk or you lose the chance. On a side note, since it's Monday, I am not placing those as limit orders, rather I have set alerts at the levels. When we reach them I will look at the volume, the 1h candle close, and will update the idea. We don't want to blindly place orders and hope for the best.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by Quant_
2
S&P500 : The completion of the Diagonal patternIn240 minutes chart of the uptrend from the range of 3511 to 3833 is in the form of 3 waves which confirms the scenario of the formation of the Diagonal pattern. Currently, to get the the confirmation of the downtrend,the price should not cross the range of 3841,because the 3rd wave should not be shorter than the other waves. By crossing the price from this range,this scenario will be violated. Thee confirmation for this pattern will be received by the formation of 5 descending waves,and by crossing the price from the range of 3660. According to monitored position, personally,I set the short order. By considering the RSI you can also see the convergence
U
by NirmataFX
Interesting theory on SPY: possible ST short?Bear case (just a theory): If we take a look at time and space on this daily chart, 25 bars (35 days) for the trough-peak-trough before the election. If we take the FDA talk on the vaccine for the same whatever reason, I believe there is a possible downside of ~9% until Dec 9th, a trough-peak-trough total of 29 bars (36 days). - Yellow trend line act as support. - Volume has been a downtrend. - The two overheard white trendlines represent a strong resistance on the daily and weekly charts. (candles move easier towards less resistance direction) - Technically only tested bottom support twice (red shadow or yellow trendline), possibly the third time? - Small rsi divergence on weekly. Bull case: Priced in. Spy looking to break overheard trendlines or move closely with it. - Tested the overhead trendlines three times with the last retest completed, possibly going higher. (green arrow) - Options pricing in more downward risks but not so much upside risk. (this is normal due to the nature of hedging) pasteboard.co - For educational purpose: www.tastytrade.com - Some of the macros: 10yr yield steady uptrend, low vix, gold downtrend, dollar going for new low since march. Just a theory, will keep my longs on, may just short with an option contract or two to defend downside risk.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by dannycc24
The inescapable Financial Collapse; A 4-Dimensional analysisThis is the SP500 / Gold / the US Dollar / a G10 Composite Currency Index / Time / Price, all of it, all at once! - Lets call it: Universal Value. - Shall we... This is a 2-Dimensional projection (being on a flat computer screen, after all :-) of a 3-Dimensional "Slice" of a 4-Dimensional space. - So try to visualize it. (Not as difficult as it first may seem.) Envision a box with only 4 sides - i.e.: a tunnel - which constitutes the entire Universe, in which everything exists, and the only option for interaction with said universe is to twist the walls freely, into any desired configuration, along the tunnel's principal axis - in this case the horizontal, Time axis. This is a broad-strokes, yet, reasonably accurate depiction of the concept of: Value. - In this case, projected onto the SP500 Index. "How does one escape such a tunnel where one's options are duly limited (mathematically and physically) to only twist the walls of such a tunnel?" - You ask... It is literarily impossible, so good luck with that! Thus, cheer on, trade the hell out of it and take every last fool for everything they got! (Then run. :-) ... and just in case: There is no "Plan B"! Here is a likely better - not "shifted" - view, ... ... of the "financial Universe" projected onto the SP500.
TVC:SPXShort
by Nemo_Confidat
18
SP500- Time to sell it?Since the election SP500 had a good run with the price rising around 10%. The vaccine announcement brought a lot of optimists into the market but the rally was short-lived and failed to maintain gains above resistance. It is possible for a false break to be in place and in this case SP could drop and retest the lower boundary of the range. I'm bearish SP as long as the price stays under 3650 zone on the daily close bases and I'm looking for a good point to entry
FOREXCOM:SPX500Short
by Mihai_Iacob
1