Sp500short
SP500 BOUNCED OFF LEVEL AROUND 3130, I SHORT HEREAround 3130 there is a strong level and after a lot of green candles, I assume price will go down. Where I take profit depends on what happens. For now, SL 3145, TP 3040.
This is not financial or trading advice, just for entertainment and education.
Reviewing the correlation between Unemployment & S&P 500As the figure shows there is a clear negative correlation between U.S. unemployment and the S&P 500. Currently, we are seeing extreme highs in unemployment and the recovery will certainly take some time.
To see more reasoning for a short position, please look at my previous post on the S&P 500 (Witnessing a bubble created by people's unrealistic expectations)
Witnessing a bubble created by people's unrealistic expectationsA lot of inexperienced newbie investors are piling up the market yet the reality of the economic atmosphere is not robust at all. A lot of companies are filing for bankruptcy, consumption, production, and employment are extremely low (and not expected to recover fast). As small, inexperienced investors are rushing into the market, the big institutions are more aware and cautious of what is happening at the moment. The prices are at an unsustainable level and we are living a bubble that is created by people's unrealistic positive expectations.
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Billionaire investor Stanley Druckenmiller says the stock market's risk-reward is the worst he's ever seen — and downplays the Fed's ability to rescue the economy
He also worries that a V-shaped recovery from the coronavirus pandemic is "a fantasy."
markets.businessinsider.com
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Young investors pile into stocks, seeing ‘generational-buying moment’ instead of risk
The major online brokers — Charles Schwab, TD Ameritrade, Etrade and Robinhood — saw new accounts grow as much as 170% in the first quarter, when stocks experienced the fastest bear market and the worst first quarter in history.
“Traders here are ‘buying the dip’ in a lot of names with questionable fundamentals now, i.e. airlines, highly volatile stocks, low in recent price momentum, and ones with that have recently (in the last 3 months) had lottery ticket like upside payoffs occur,” added Krause. “Robinhood investors are making all the classic mistakes in the short term. May work for today’s market, but not in the long-run if repeated.”
www.cnbc.com
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Besides what's mentioned above additional factors like the possibility for a second wave of infections, U.S.–China tensions, and many more are currently being bypassed by the market.
sell at 2980 and take profit at 2925 for 55 huge pts short timesell at 2980 and take profit at 2925 for 55 huge pts short time
overbought
the market in euphoria
its like aghain a bubble
the market not remember all the macro economic numbher
it still amazing coz of a vaccin?
and what a vaccin will erase all the number we having right now for the economy ? especially in usa whezre they not control the virus yet and re-open
this is my really light target,i bet for more deep than that much more
S&P 500 LOW VOLATILITY (SP500VOL) DailyDates in the future with the greatest probability for a price high or price low.
The Djinn Predictive Indicators are simple mathematical equations. Once an equation is given to Siri the algorithm provides the future price swing date. Djinn Indicators work on all charts, for any asset category and in all time frames. Occasionally a Djinn Predictive Indicator will miss its prediction date by one candlestick. If multiple Djinn prediction dates are missed and are plowed through by same color Henikin Ashi candles the asset is being "reset". The "reset" is complete when Henikin Ashi candles are back in sync with Djinn price high or low prediction dates.
One way the Djinn Indicator is used to enter and exit trades:
For best results trade in the direction of the trend.
The Linear Regression channel is used to determine trend direction. The Linear Regression is set at 2 -2 30.
When a green Henikin Ashi candle intersects with the linear regression upper deviation line (green line) and both indicators intersect with a Djinn prediction date a sell is triggered.
When a red Henikin Ashi candle intersects with the linear regression lower deviation line (red line) and both indicators intersect with a Djinn prediction date a buy is triggered.
This trading strategy works on daily, weekly and Monthly Djinn Predictive charts.
This is not trading advice. Trade at your own risk.
USA - Bearish Outlook - Part 1This is the first post of 3 on the analysis of US economy and stock market. The left graph shows the SP500 and its respective long-term perspective and current outlook for the net positions of traders in future markets. The current high net positive position of Non-Commercial investors indicate a continuing downtrend ahead. Non-commercials are trend followers and are usually caught when the market trend reverses. This occurs when their futures positions are in peak levels, as shown in the current scenario. This same outlook is shown by the high relative spread between commercials and non-commercials net positions of the index, another indicative of the bearish outlook. On the right graph we can see some divergences between SP500 and the price of cooper (industry production proxy indicator). The other graph shows an interesting mood proxy indicator and its divergence with SP500. This indicator is the WWE stock, a professional wrestling entertainment company. When the society mood is positive, interest in wrestling increases and peaks in this kind of entertainment matches with peaks in the stock market. However, since April 2019 a big divergence is shown between WWE and SP500. FOLLOW SKYLINEPRO TO GET UPDATES.
SP500 (Y20.P3.E1).Danger zoneHi,
After listening to some trusted resources, I am in agreement that this range of 3000 to 3200 will be when major profit taking will occur.
Its also the same time where dumb money will feel comfortable coming back in, thanks to the media promoting the financial markets lately.
It is also in alignment with the inverted BARR target.
What do they say?
Morgan Stanley predicts 'V-shaped' recovery on Fox Business
They, the Financial news media is the Epicentre of Douchedom!
> As a crypto trader, I'm aware how this market has correlation with Bitcoin.
> Hence I do see the SP500 moving past this resistance phase as its found support on this red band and it will try to regain its normal trend channel (as per my previous posts)
however the market makers have other plans.
Please give me a like or tick for this post.
Cheers,
S.Sari
S&P 500 - 240 - IMPORTANT POINT - 2X GOOD SHORT ENTRY POINTSThank you for your likes and shares! Much appreciated!
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The market is at a very important price which has been a reversal point lately (Fibonacci 78.6% ). This price is a strong resistance now and could become a strong support if the market moves upwards.
Upwards, the market former uptrend will be the limit where an amazing short entry point could be expected with possible nice pullback down.
In the other side, downward, if the market breaks its horizontal ranging support with a nice candlestick, there is a high probability to see the market going down further with an interesting short entry point (targeting Fibonacci 23.6%).
Timing:
From middle of next week to middle of the week after. (Wednesday to Wednesday)
Megaphone - broad instabilityThis megaphone pattern, which is also called a broadening formation, indicates broad instability in the American stock market due to the expanding trading range.
Broadening tops appear more on tops than on bottoms and usually have bearish implications.
Price completed 1-5 Elliott waves sequence and now we are in Elliott correction phase.
Meaty bearish candles from institutional level indicate major institutions are entering into shorts. How far price will drop - God knows.
Classic broadening top projection sends us to unclosed level, which makes sense.
For educational purposes only.
Bearish Bat/Test 50MA Support Flipped Resistance/Oversold So my bearish bat is still holding for the moment. Looking at the weekly it is likely we will test the 50MA as support flipped to resistance. This will also coincide with overbought conditions either this week or next. Then we will head down.
S&P500 TRADING PLAN, SHORT SETUPSI'll be looking for shorts in red zones. Last few shorts were fast, easy to spot and enter, excluding friday. Tomorrow might be the same.
There is extremely rare risk to reward for shorting here, because a crash might happen.
I have a bearish outlook overall, because of lower high and lower low, also unemployment, etc...
Disclaimer: This is not trading or investing advice and is for educational and entertainment purposes only.
S&P 500 is in an EXTREMELY CRITICAL STAGE!SPX has been consolidating between the 61.8% resistance level and the 50% support level. Many orders concentrate on these key Fibonacci Retracement levels pushing the price in the desired direction. In consequence, the price has been consolidating between the levels and the next breakout could be huge, determining the next direction of the overall trend.
As I have stated in my two previous posts, I have a strong belief that the downward trend will continue after this consolidation and that we could see new bottoms soon. If you want to know why I believe so, take a look at my previous posts.
In case you are interested in shorting the SPX, I have drawn a relatively safe entry point (1) to the graph. In case you short, I see it suitable to apply a stop-loss level (2), in case the upwards consolidation would still continue.
SP500- 2900 should be soldSP500 looks like is finally top out with 3k zone proving to be strong resistance.
The index found sort-term support yesterday under 2800 and now is correcting.
I'm very bearish indices and I expect a new leg down for SP500 in the next months.
In my opinion, 2900 should with a target of at least 2600
S&P 500, how I will trade thisThis is a scenario where there is no return to the upside and next target is around 2735. Maybe it happens, maybe not. If it happens, I'll sell when it goes out of the channel and only when I'm completely sure. Best would be, if I see it come up to the channel and bounce off again.