Sp500short
SP500 a punto de hacer una ruptura de banderin bajista hola a todos la ultima vez di mi anaiisis sobre la caida de un HCH bajista la cual la detuvieron con una beartrap momentanea y buscando romper la resistencia anterior la cual no pudieron en los dias de esta forma se puede interpretar por un lado como un triple techo si observan bien la grafica y al mismo tiempo muestra un banderin bajista esto va traer muchas consecuencias a todo el mercado bursatil y todos sus indices de momento por ondas elliot en la caida de se hizo una onda elliot 1 en forma de ABC y despues correccion alcista extendida para hacer una onda elliot 2 een la cual esperabamos antes y llego casi a los 2800 puntos ahora si se llega a dar la ruptura que deberia de darse entonces tendriamos una caida como una onda elliot 3 por los 2429 puntos o los 2346 puntos recomiendo hacer salidas escalonadas es lo mas recomendable para los proximos dias para la onda 4 seria en la zona de los 2455 puntos y como onda 5 en los 2250 puntos para terminar de una gran onda 3
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Short Fib 23,6% now. Next short target 1900points OR retracementWhen S&P500 breaks the current level of ~2300 area, chart can drop to ~1900 levels!! But, there can also be a retracement and price will rise up again, even to ~3000 area. All depends of sentiment in the market. Fibonacci only shows what will happen when price bottom or price top gets broken, not if these levels will become broken. But IF they get broken, Fibonacci predicts which price level will be reached.
February 8, 2018 I published: "February March April I expect an horizontal move at S&P500 . After the horizontal movement we can expect a climb to 3000 points. This is just normal pattern. S&P500 has a cycle of 2/3 months. After a big short an even big long is coming of an equal percentage. OR, THE TREND REVERCES AND WE GO DOWN !" ..... Now it's December and the horizontal line came to an end. It is interesting what is going to happen now!
Will price retrace and go further long to 3000 points? or will it decline further and break through to 2000 area?
Also I invest in Crypto currencies and I trade CFD's. When you want to invest in crypto, I advise you to buy 'real coins' because on long term that will give you far more profit than speculate the chart with CFD's. I have bought Bitcoin , Bitcoin Cash , Ethereum , XRP-Ripple, ReddCoin, FeatherCoin, Adcoin ( ACC ), Bunny Token and Stellar. I still believe in crypto for the long- term!
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My strategy
My main strategy is called 'cycle-trading'. After years of learning and practicing after I bought a teaching-package from a visionair, I found a way of how to trade successful with CFD's on the stock-market. Every stock is following an certain cycle which repeats itself. So, movements are often appearing in the same percentage, aswel long as short. This cycles appear at all levels; when you analyse the chart at 1 month, 1 week, 1 day, 1 hour. (others I don't use). This is the case, because all in life is build by the fibonacci sequence. When you analyse the chart, you'll also see the stock market is behaving itself as the fibonacci sequence.
How do I decide to open a position or not? First I analyse:
- Fibonacci pattern
- Sentiment on the market
- Own created indicators
- Moving-averages and Bollinger-Bands
Trading means investing. Sometimes you lose more than you win in the beginning of a period!
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Thank you for following and Succes with trading !
Richard from Rich.Exclusive.Trading
S&P500 is going downWe have a clear Head&Shoulders pattern on S&P500 day chart.
You can open a Short position or to wait for rebound to the neckline zone (2600 points) and open Short there.
The targets are:
1. ±2400 zone
2. ±2270 zone
I will update this trade.
Good Luck!!!
p.s. Look my previous idea
S&P 500 - Long Term Bear TrendThis chart represent the bull and bear markets in the S&P 500 during the last two decades. According to this analysis and based on statistical inference, we could have started the bear trend that might during until March 2020. On average bear markets length approximately 18,5 Months ((28+17+11 )/3) and depreciate close to 41% ((50%+58%+15%)/3) since the life time high (from 2940 to 1735). On the other hand, completed the depreciation period, the bull market reveal a huge potential providing on average 129% gains ((103%+221%+63%)/3) with a duration of 56 Months ((63+74+31)/3).
For active investors some caution is recommended with the crystallization of gains, while some opportunities arise from the correction.
ES - S&P has to finish it's job yet.The white up-sloping lines are the lines of a LT Pitchfork. The dashed one is the WL1 (Warning-Line 1).
Price was not able to find support above the WL1.
So it's naturally break down and...we see a classic retest from below. Picture perfect rulebook trade!
Then price trades south again and nearly meets the Centerline of the yellow Fork.
The red dashed line is where I expect price to retest as it did at the WL1. From there, the final move #5 will blow out the last longs...happy new year!
If I where short, my first target would be at least the U-MLH of the white up-sloping Fork.
Additional support comes in where price was fighting, which is expected somewhere in the blue zone.
P!
S&P500 correction startedS&P500 six months chart shows overbought level and start of correction. Five growing Elliot waves accomplished and ABC pattern should land us to 2100 support. In worse case it may fall down to 1850 as well.
Perfect short position was above but price still may hit 2700 before finally going down.
SP500 continua su caida y sera de forma abismalde momento anteriormente se esperaba los 2 camino o rompia al alza con un HCH alcista para hacer un expaded flat correction o era una bulltrap para continuar la caida ahora se ah visto un HCH bajista que daria a una onda 3 en elliot asi que puede en darle con confianza apostar a la caida esto no lo va a parar nadie y debe hacer su correccion como se debe
$SPX failed, but gave us some room to playSymmetrical triangle, a continuation pattern.
So we clearly failed not only to reach the recent 2815 resistance, but also the March 2018 resistance of 2800.
Next we go down to support from late April/early May.
Play the triangle. Until we see a breach of the triangle (should be down), enjoy the swings.