Spanish politicians reduce yield % of IBEX 35BME:IBC FX:ESP35 BME:IBC
Fear, unconfidence, uncertainly and anothers negative sentiment have come back?
Since 2016 we seeing a negative spread between Spanish index #Ibex35 and another European indexes like DY1! #Dax30 FX1! #EuroStoxx50 FY1! #Stoxx600
December 21st, 2015 starts the negative performance of the index (Starts RED BASELINE on daily chart), one day after the mixed results in that first elections.
Almost one year to elect a Mariano Rajoy as a president after many elections and hours to discuss to "nowhere" in parlament congress, finally October 29th 2016, Rajoy got the votes to have investiture.
On 14 June 2017, FIRST motion of no confidence in the government of Mariano Rajoy requested by Podemos after a string of corruption scandals, was defeated 170 to 82, with PSOE abstention.
Then came the Catalunian crisis on second semester of 2017 and STILL continues, with many former funtionaries in jail, anothers in exile like Carles Puigdemont former Catalunian's president of Generalitat.
Finally on 25 may 2018, SECOND motion of no confidence requested by main oppositions party (PSOE)... starts a new political crisis increasing the negative performance reaching maximun levels again...
Adittionaly, context may not help= Italy case, bonds, ECB politics, debt, euro weak...
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Spain35
IBEX 35. Espanol / SPAIN Spain Index sitting at resistance level and trying to breakout by forming a bullish candle. We will see in time if its a fake bullish engulf candle or a real body breakout . A clear breakout will determine whether it is set up close the gaps formed above or will it fall back .
IBEX 35 - SPAIN Forecast One of my all time favorite Indexes to trade in. Ibex has been very under pressure due to Spain's economy not performing as rest of the major European countries. However it still closed around 14% YTD last year. Ibex has been range bound for the last
couple of months and has been on a constant descending pattern. It has not showing strong recovery over the last few quarters.
Ibex has to close the daily candle above 10600 to give any bullish signal for the year. It is sitting at a major resistance level
right now and a break above that level would mean that we can now see 11,000 mark once again. But due to the strong resistance level between 10490-10600 we can see some pull back from here to the early 10,000 again. A strong sell from that
point can take the index to the lows of 9400-9700 Area which at this point looks highly unlikely but a major sell off in the equities market and strong Gold and commodity prices and crypto currencies can shift the buying towards the more performing markets. Over all I am neutral for this Index. We can take multiple trades at key levels and do some profit taking on several occasions due to the index being range bound. Holding on to the index for a long position is not recommended.
MAJOR WAVE III ABOUT TO START AT IBEX35 (spain index)Readjusting the elliot count as the movement evolves.
There is an accumulation process going on at ibex 35. Big sharks are accumulatting positions around 8700-8800 to start a major bullish rally. We will have a few bearish sessions ahead till the accumulation is done.
It will be a wave III rally: strong, fast movement and tons of volume.
In worst case scenario, everyone who had followed my last charts would have bought at a super succesfull low risk entry points: we're still getting ready for the major wave III to come.
P.D: you will notice to way of counting the waves: both of them told us the same: Major wave I is done and we should expect a dip before the next major wave starts.
BULLISH RALLY ABOUT TO START IN IBEX35A bullish rally is about to start on the spanish index. The famous ibex35 is in its way of a major wave III with a very clear continuing diagonal triangle at wave II.
Bullish positions till arount 9000-9150 and then get ready for the wave IV to come, probably on a sharp rally due to elliots wave alternation rule.
Maybe we there is a fair chance to be involved in an extended wave III so we coud potentially reach 10000-10500 pretty soon.