SPCE - An Excellent Long Term Investment OpportunityTechnical Analysis
SPCE is starting to show some bullishness and strength here. I think SPCE will continue trending up, and my key price targets are $2.15 and $2.33 on this move up. A lot of stocks have experienced huge gains after earnings, if SPCE has a similar situation I can see a move up to the $3.07 to $3.47 resistance zone. I wouldn’t count on it, but that is the type of market that we are in right now.
Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc (NYSE:SPCE) has made significant strides in the commercial spaceflight domain, as evidenced by its 2023 financial results and operational achievements. With a notable increase in revenue and efforts to reduce losses, Virgin Galactic stands at a pivotal juncture in its quest for profitability and sustainable growth in the burgeoning space tourism sector. This blog provides a comprehensive analysis of SPCE’s financial performance, highlighting the company’s strengths and weaknesses as it navigates the complexities of the aerospace industry.
Financial Performance Highlights
Revenue Growth
In 2023, Virgin Galactic saw its annual revenue increase to $7 million, up from $2 million in 2022. This growth is primarily attributed to the commencement of commercial spaceflights and membership fees from future astronauts, signaling the company’s entry into operational commercialization.
Net Loss Improvement
The company’s net loss showed a marginal improvement, narrowing to $502 million in 2023 from $500 million in 2022. This slight reduction in net loss reflects Virgin Galactic’s ongoing efforts to streamline operations and manage costs effectively.
Operating Expenses And Adjusted EBITDA
Virgin Galactic succeeded in decreasing its GAAP total operating expenses to $538 million in 2023 from $502 million in 2022, demonstrating a focus on operational efficiency. Additionally, adjusted EBITDA improved slightly to $(427) million in 2023 from $(431) million in 2022, indicating a cautious optimization of earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization.
Strong Cash Position
A pivotal strength for Virgin Galactic is its robust cash position, with cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities totaling $982 million as of December 31, 2023. This financial cushion is essential for the company’s sustainability and future growth ambitions.
Strengths
Virgin Galactic’s progress in 2023 underscores its capability to increase revenue streams through its innovative space tourism services. The successful conduct of six human spaceflights within six months is a testament to the company’s operational excellence and commitment to delivering exceptional experiences to its customers. Moreover, the strong cash position enables Virgin Galactic to continue investing in research, development, and expansion, positioning it for long-term success in the space industry.
Weaknesses
Despite the positive developments, Virgin Galactic faces several challenges. The net cash used in operating activities and negative free cash flow highlight the capital-intensive nature of the aerospace industry and the significant investments required to maintain competitive edge and innovation. Furthermore, the marginal improvement in net loss and adjusted EBITDA suggests that while the company is moving in the right direction, achieving profitability remains a challenging endeavor that requires strategic focus and operational efficiency.
Future Outlook
Looking ahead, Virgin Galactic is focusing on the completion of its spaceship factory and the assembly of the initial Delta ships, with commercial service expected to commence in 2026. This forward-looking approach is crucial as the company aims to scale its operations and meet the growing demand for commercial space travel.
Conclusion
Virgin Galactic’s 2023 financial results reflect a company at the cusp of significant growth, armed with the strengths of increased revenue, operational achievements, and a solid cash position. However, the path to profitability is fraught with challenges, including managing high operational costs and achieving financial efficiency. As Virgin Galactic continues to pioneer the space tourism sector, its ability to navigate these challenges while capitalizing on its strengths will be key to its long-term success and profitability.
Spcestock
Virgin Galactic In the process of Bottoming out? Hi, this is a Technical Analysis on Virgin Galactic (SPCE), it is viewed on the 1 Week timeframe.
Our current candle is currently in the process of breaking out BELOW our UPSloping Support Trend Line, highlighted by the RED circle.
Note: The candle closes, end of trading session on 7th of August, Monday. Meaning our current candle is not accurate, so we need keep a close eye.
If we close ABOVE, our trend continues, giving us yet another week to tread along and hopefully break our ressistance trend lines.
Our RESISTANCE is 2 FOLD
1. Upper Resistance line of DOWNWARD CHANNEL
2. RED HORIZONTAL LINE above us
If we close BELOW, it means we are attempting a "Trend Change", but this candle alone is not enough, We would need to look for CONFIRMATION. This can be way of a specific single candle printing or a candle pattern formation. (I will be sure to update in the coming weeks).
Our 1st Target would be the BLACK Horizontal Support line below
Our 2nd Target, which is also a CRITICAL ZONE is our STOCK LOW @ around $3.11, depicted by RED LINE
->Below this, we form a lower low and make NEW LOWS
Our 3rd level would be where Lower BLACK line of the DOWNWARD channel and PRICE meet, below the RED Horizontal line.
Our overall DIRECTION currently, is DOWN. Evident by the DOWNWARD CHANNEL drawn with BLACK lines. **Until PROVEN OTHERWISE**.
-> For us to break the downtrend, we need to break and CONFIRM ABOVE the upper trend line of DOWNWARD CHANNEL.
So when im looking at the current candle, im thinking its MORE PROBABLE we go down.
Notice how the Week of June 12th and June 20th, we had Large Upper Wicks form, this indicates SELLING PRESURE. The pressure was due to convergence of resistance of the BLACK and RED Resistance lines. The pressure from this event, can be whats pushing our price down.
My thought process is that i actually want PRICE to hit the LOWER SUPPORT LINE of the CHANNEL. Doing so, as long as the RSI maintains Higher Lows will lead to the formation of a BULLISH DIVERGENCE.
This leads to prices MOVING to the UPSIDE, in most cases. Can be a BOTTOMING pattern, in my opinion.
Now lets look to my indicators for more evidence.
RSI is getting tight in this symmetrical triangle pattern. We will soon see a breakout ABOVE or BELOW. If we break BELOW, look to the RED line, we want to stay above here for the possibility of a BULLISH DIVERGENCE to be in the picture.
ALso note: Symmetrical triangles usually break out to the upside.
ORANGE RSI line, should also stay ABOVE the Black moving average. Look left, everytime we CONFIRM below, PRICE DROPS DOWN.
STOCH RSI, is in the process of a BEARISH CROSS, this if confirmed on Monday will bring in momentum to push prices DOWN.
ADX which is also a momentum indicator, I would like to see the BLACK moving average, curve up, GREEN Line also curve up breaking out of the upper border of rectangle. This would indicate to me that a large amount of bullish momentum is coming in.
CONCLUSION:
Overall, i believe SPCE is in the process of carving out a BOTTOM. Its evident by the range highlighted by rectangle, we are in some sort of CONSOLIDATION. Our current price action must be observed. In the chance we do CONFIRM below and go lower in price, it will provide great entry levels for BUY ORDERS. If we also hit the lower support trend line of the down channel, the potential for a BULLISH DIVERGENCE may become more probable. With all the evidence being presented, it is important to observe SPCE to see what it does in the coming Weeks to Months.
Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again.
If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again.
DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. When trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
Feeling spaced out? Virgin Galactic Holdings
Short Term - We look to Sell at 7.56 (stop at 8.42)
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. Broken out of the channel formation to the downside. We have a 38.2% Fibonacci pullback level of 7.47 from 11.25 to 5.14. Our overall sentiment remains bearish looking for lower levels. Previous resistance located at 7.50.
Our profit targets will be 5.19 and 4.18
Resistance: 7.50 / 9.00 / 11.00
Support: 5.00 / 4.00 / 3.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
SPCE: Ready to go (down) Virgin Galactic Holdings
Short Term - We look to Sell at 7.33 (stop at 8.19)
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. Broken out of the channel formation to the downside. Mixed and choppy price action resulted in the early move lower being sustained and prices closing lower. Our overall sentiment remains bearish looking for lower levels.
Our profit targets will be 5.27 and 4.18
Resistance: 7.00 / 9.00 / 11.00
Support: 5.00 / 4.00 / 3.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
SPCE Ready to Go? Virgin Galactic Holdings
Short Term - We look to Buy at 10.11 (stop at 9.18)
Broken out of the channel formation to the upside. Trading volume is increasing. Dip buying offers good risk/reward. Previous resistance, now becomes support at 10.00.
Our profit targets will be 14.31 and 16.41
Resistance: 14.00 / 17.00 / 20.00
Support: 10.00 / 7.00 / 5.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Virgin Galactic delayed commercial flights until Q4 2022 Virgin Galactic delayed the start of start commercial flights until Q4 2022.
I expect it will touch the 16.20usd strong support from which it should consolidate before another leg up.
Virgin Galactic reopened ticket sales with prices starting at $450,000 per seat. They sold 600 tickets so far.
Jefferies sees Virgin Galactic's total addressable market at $120 billion and Virgin Galactic's revenue hitting $1.7 billion by 2023.
If the brokerage firm is right, then the 4.775Bil mk cap is undervalued right now.
I`m looking forward to read your opinion about it.
$SPCE is nearing the bottom of its multi-year channel! 200% +$SPCE has been very predictable in the past and has the potential to bounce over 200% here as it's nearing the bottom of a very long channel.
Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. , an integrated aerospace company, develops human spaceflight for private individuals and researchers in the United States. It also manufactures air and space vehicles. The company's spaceship operations include commercial human spaceflight, flying commercial research, and development payloads into space. In addition, it engages in the design and development, manufacturing, ground and flight testing, and post-flight maintenance of spaceflight vehicles. The company was founded in 2017 is headquartered in Las Cruces, New Mexico.
NEW Opportunity to go into #SPCEGetting rid of your FOMO is the key to making more money than your peers and I'm going to show you how.
Be honest.
How many of you chased the two pumps in SPCE ?
Statistically most of you.
How did I know that this spaceship was going to crash and burn in the short term?
Psychology.
History repeats itself and this was one hell of a history lesson.
At NTS we created unique techniques that HEAVILY revolve around psychology.
Why? Because we study people and people move the market.
YOU need to know this stuff so you can raise your status in life and finally demand some goddamn respect!
We have multiple testimonals, data and ideas to back this up. (We called the TSLA and BTC tops remember).
YOU are skeptical because you have been burned in the past or you have a fear of being burned in the future.
That is fear talking. An emotion that can be used as an energy enhancer not an energy drainer.
It is NOT your fault there are many scams out there but it is your fault if you fall for them.
With talks of amazon wanting to buy bitcoin volatility is increasing. Luckily for you we are on the way up but understand this, that train is leaving the station and time is running out.
I for one am sick of fake guru's because I was once in your shoes and now is the time to take the fight to them, by making stronger trades and leaving no doubt who is the best.
This chart will most likely turn bullish a lot lower around $10.
Why? Only one reason.
SPCE: A chance that comes once in your lifeExtremely focus on chart details, please. We all can be reach if we dealt with what will happen on the 11th of July wisely
Massive run ahead, be wise, and aware of your resistances, take care!
TP1: All-time highs level (recommend you to hold because it will be weak)
TP2: 65$ (sell 50% then add above 70$)
TP3: 90$ (sell 90% of your shares, and just hold 10% till 100$)
SPCE update Spce has a little more to drop looking for a bounce at 22.68 was to focused on my minor count in my previous charts, under 21.35 I would cut short term options but good area to add long term shares. Spce is a great company and has potential to run over ATH but this is al on speculation next space launch date is announced early next year. Keep in mind this could really mean we wont get a launch till mid or late 2021. But If history repeats we will run. Take a look at the last time Spce was at 20 and announced launch date
SPCE Virgin Galactic Ready For Selloff? This is when i told you about the Buying opportunity of Virgin Galactic stocks, at 21 usd:
Test flight failed to reach outer space!
The company said that during a test flight launched on Dec. 12, the rocket motor “did not fire due to the ignition sequence not completing,” keeping the flight from reaching space. (marketwatch.com)
The indicators gave a sell signal on Friday.
f you are interested to test some amazing BUY and SELL INDICATORS that i use, which give the signal at the beginning of the candle, not at the end of it, just leave me a message.
SPCE GETS PRICE UPGRADE TO $35 TARGET (LONG SET UP)TITLE- BUY SPCE ON PULLBACK
Asset-Stock
ENTRY 1 19.90
ENTRY 2 16.90
SL 13.90
TP.1 24.90
TP.2 29.90
TP.3 34.90
Shares of Virgin Galactic Holdings (SPCE) jumped 3.4% in premarket trading Monday, after a bullish call from Cowen analyst Oliver Chen, saying the spaceflight services company is the way to won the "final luxury frontier." Chen initiated coverage of Virgin Galactic with an outperform rating and stock price target of $22, which is 26% above Friday's closing price of $17.46. " is uniquely positioned to benefit from the growing consumer interest toward luxury experiences, especially among high-net-worth individuals," Chen wrote in a note to clients. "We believe a substantial growth opportunity lies ahead with the commercial spaceflight business, which already has 600 reservations, and the development of high-speed point-to-point travel." He said a Cowen survey indicated there was a large addressable market for commercial spaceflight, with high long-term engagement and awareness. The stock has rallied 51.2% year to date through Friday, while the S&P 500 has advanced 8.6%.
SPCE To the Moon or Fake Out Breakout?Will SPCE make it to the moon or is it another fake out breakout???? In analyzing the 2 hour time chart for SPCE you can see that it is teetering the oversold area yet the MACD is still in a bullish uptrend with no sign of change in the trend so that is promising for SPCE. If the bulls can push this past prior resistance of 21.70, SPCE will certainly head in the direction it is intended to go... straight to the moon. If the bears sneak in and steal the spotlight, fake out breakout. Since March 23 (COVID fear) SPCE has been trading in a rather large spread of 14.51 to 21.70 only breaking resistance shortly from July 16-Aug 4. With fear of the second wave of COVID-19, let's hope SPCE can prove this is a COVID proof business model. Space travel is a reality and is only in the beginning stages but once the first flight goes, I feel this stock will be unstoppable. Gravity proof with no bear able to drag it down.
[SPCE] Super Wedge Short Setup... Heading to $12?Hangin on by it's fingernails right now. Not even all the hype today could save them.
I haven't been trading very long but I'm guessing the 10, 50, 100, 200 SMAs all running simultaneously into a giant wedge pattern where the price just broke below channel support and is barely clinging to long term support is spectacularly bearish. Bust out the popcorn folks!
RSI and Volume indicators not looking great either.