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Spotnifty

Nifty continues good show, ends above mid-channel resistanceNifty continues good show and ended the day above mid-channel resistance. Nifty right now looks pretty fairly placed to touch the previous high or end making a new high. Top of the currently looks near 21800. The resistances on the way towards top of the channel are at 21483, 21541 and 21592. Crossing and closing above 21592 will open the doors for 21800. Supports on the down side are near 21397, 21303 (Major Support 50 Hours EMA), 21113 and finally channel bottom near 20980. Trend will change to negative if we get a closing below 20696.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty stopped at Mid-Channel resistance of hourly channelNifty today stopped at mid-channel resistance of hourly channel. holding above 50 hours EMA (Mother Line) was a significant step in recovery towards recent high that Nifty made earlier this month. Supports for Nifty 50 remain at 21302 and 21258 (Major support - 50 hours EMA) mother line. If we get a closing next week below 21258 the Nifty can fall further to 21113 or 20980 levels. Trend can change to negative if we get a closing below 20777. Bear can awaken from coma if and only if we get a closing below 20641 (200 Hours EMA)(Father Line). Resistances on the way up will be at 20397, 21483 and previous high around 21593.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Possibility of V shaped recovery for NiftyNifty staged a good recovery. There is a further possibility of V shaped recovery for Nifty if it manages to close above critical resistance level of 21322. If we get a closing above 21322 tomorrow and there is no further bad news regarding COVID or some international factor in the weekend the next resistance levels will be 21418 and 21483. Final resistance before we reach 21600 will be at 21952. Support levels on the lower side for Nifty will be at 21231 (50 Hours EMA), 21113, 20980 recent low and finally channel bottom of 20849. If we get a closing later in the month below 20849 the Nifty can fall to 20172 and 20591. Closing below 20591 will be a trend change to negative. For morning as of now the things are looking good.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Reasonsing the fall support resistance levels of Nifty. Detection of New Covid variant set the panic button rolling. There has to be a reason for overbought market to fall. This news created panic or it was used to create panic. We never know for certain how big this will be. Everyone wants to be cautious. The markets were overbought on charts. FIIs were sitting on handsome Profits and Christmas time they usually encash the same to book profits. Show it in the account books. Usually they book Profits around this time / year end (Financial year end in the West). Show the profit where ever and if they want to / have to. Hence they book Profit. Also there is periodic churning and sectoral rotation. Which is necessary in my opinion even for the long term investors. Lot of Large cap stocks did not suffer / did not suffer as much as the small and mid cap stocks. We have been vocal about sectoral rotation towards Large and selective Mid/Small cap stocks since long time. RSI / MACD (Relative Strength Index/ Moving Averages Convergence and Divergence ) were indicating since last few days that markets are overbought. Hence correction on Technical grounds was also necessary for fresh leg of rally. What Next? Invest in fundamentally strong stocks which are looking good on chart. Booking losses is also part of the investment journey if required. (Specially if stop losses are hit). When to buy? Do not catch a falling knife. Catch the bouncing ball. Let the stock you like the most confirm their bottom. Bounce from the bottom and then you buy them. Market is always a mystery. If you look at FII DII numbers today. DII were buying the dip. You never know for sure when the market will turn exactly. This fall should have happened 10/15 days back. But in one day market can cover what it could have done in 10 days. In One day it can come back with a bang tomorrow. We should always follow the individual chart of the company. Book Profit where every we can periodically at least partial profit booking can be done. No one has gone broke in the world by booking profits. Sectoral rotation at times is also beneficial. As far as support and resistance levels are concerned. Nifty Support Levels: 21097, 21032 and 20849 are the supports. (20849 is rather a strong support). If 20849 is broken Nifty can fall further to 200 Hours EMA at 20546. Resistance Levels: 21236 (Strong resistance) followed by 21322 and 21483. 21593 (high of the current rally will me a major resistance now). Wait for the bounce do not buy the dip in a hurry.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Positive sentiment dragging Nifty further. Daily Chart of Nifty 50 suggests us that Nifty has hit the resistance zone. The zone between 21505 and 21665 is a resistance zone and has multiple resistances. Nifty continues as on date to be overbought. The reason of Nifty not falling is support from FII buying and multiple technical supports between 21352 and 21246. If 21246 is broken Nifty can fall to 21037 or even 20776 levels. 20776 should be considered a major support. If by chance we see a closing Below 20776 bears will get out of comma and can try to drag Nifty to 20502 or even 20178 levels. This should be the range of Nifty for the next 15 days to 1 month. Momentum of Nifty remains strong as on date and every dip is being bought. Such stage can lead to euphoria and investors getting trapped at higher levels. One needs to be very choosy in selecting the scripts while investing as always but more so in the stage of rally we are currently.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty exactly at Mid-Channel support looking to confirm bottom. Nifty RSI cooled rapidly and the index currently is exactly at Mid-channel support line. This line can act as a support but incase we do not get a green candle to start the day tomorrow the next support for Nifty will be near 21368 strong support followed by 21295 and 21237. If 21237 is broken Nifty can fall further to 21155, 21117 or even 21082. If some negative global news or the fear of New Covid Variant create panic and in case we get a closing below 21082 there is a chance of Bears trying to make a come back. Resistances on the upper side are at 21460, 21498 and finally 21546. The rally can for a top near 21604 if it has not formed a top already.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Be cautious while travelling in the Runaway Train (Nifty). Passengers of the Runaway Train (Nifty) need to be cautious now. The current Nifty rally has hit the Euphoria phase. India is watching a Bullet train rally and probably the station is near by. Reasons behind the rally are: 1) Recent Assembly elections considered as Semi Finals before the lok sabha elections of 2024 met the market expectations. 2) US Fed continued a the rate hike Pause and there were some indications of rate cut cycle starting in 2024. 3) Some opinion polls suggesting return of the incumbent government for the Third time in India. Political Stability is what market loves. If we add global factors like rate hike pause that gave a steroid dose to the markets. The question is: What should the investor do now? 1) Book Profit in the risky / mid-cap / Small-cap stocks with weak fundamentals. At least partial profits can be booked. 2) Find avenues where growth is still possible. Choose stocks with strong fundamentals / Monopoly / Strong MOAT. (Some large caps companies fall in this category) 3) Look at the Technicals and Fundamentals of the company you are investing in. 4) Be very choosy. I am an advocate of staying invested in the market come what may but portfolio rotation, some reshuffling profits into fundamentally strong players with vision for growth is need of the hour. As far as support and Resistance levels are concerned the next fibonacci resistance will be at 21607. If the euphoria continues into reminder of the month we may even see the levels of 22180. If the momentum continues further into 2024 I see the rally reaching 22922 or 23000 levels. Supports at the lower level are 21235, 21078. 20795 level will be a strong support level falling below which bears will start breathing again.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty is a Runaway Train on Steroid. As Predicted post FOMC Rate Pause decision and a murmur of rate rate cuts starting in 2024. Nifty got a steroid dose as expected and became a run away train. May be there is some more momentum left in the rally and a good close in the green to end the week will be icing on the cake. The resistances on the upper side of Nifty will be near 21212, 21266 and finally 21312. Closing above 21312 will open the channel going towards 22300+. Supports for Nifty on the lower side will be at 21125, 21074, 21040, 20953 and 20901. Trend can change below 21769. Right now momentum looks good but some consolidation cooling down of Index can also be helpful for the long run.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Profit booking ahead of FOMC meet was expected. Profit booking in the market ahead of FOMC meet of US Fed was expected. There is a widespread noise of US Fed raising the rates by 25bps in the worst case 50bps. Market has today factored in 25 bps rate hike. However if there is a surprise tomorrow market can tank further. A positive surprise no no rate hike can again reignite the rally. All eyes on US Fed now. Supports for Nifty from this level are at 20867, 20796 to 20708 (will be strong support zone), 20605 and finally 20506. Resistances on the upper side are at 21026(Strong Resistance), 21125 and finally 21254 will be the top of current hourly parallel channel.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty holding above 20900 is a good sign but one dip is overdue Nifty holding above 20900 is a good sign but one dip towards 20500 or 19900 is overdue now. The RSI is indicating overbought zone requiring a time consolidation or correction. In case of correction the supports for Nifty will be around 20851, 20708, 20506 (Strong Support), 20259 or 19903 (Major Support). If Nifty manages to close below 19903 this month Bears can write their own comeback story. Resistances on the upper side are at 21026, 21292 and 21436. Long Term Target for Nifty in 2024 will be 22746.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Long Term Channel for Medium Term RangeThe Channel drawn shows Nifty from the pre-Covid era and covers major global events like Covid fall, post covid Nifty rally, Ukraine war, India-China standoff on border, US Fed rate hike cycle due to global inflation and recent crisis in the Middle East. Amongst all these news Nifty kept on growing and correcting and then growing again proving that the story of India remains intact. The Range in which it looks like Nifty will trade in the coming few months will be optimistically 22K to 18.9K. (18.9K is the worst case scenario in case there is some global mishap of major magnitude).
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Much needed consolidation for Nifty at the top.Nifty is giving a much needed consolidation at the top before shifting gears and moving towards 21K or even 22K in the short to medium term. The Relative Strength Index of Nifty is still 82 which indicates things are pretty hot to handle still and need of more cooling down. Little bit of consolidation/correction would be ideal for a strong rally. But as said earlier market can remain irrational more than a an investor can remain rational. Closing of the week tomorrow will be important. Supports on the lower side remain at 20852 (Strong support), 20715, 20518 and 20315. Resistance on the upper side are at 20961, 21068, 21132 and 21183.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty is Overbought currently in need of consolidation.With 21K in touching distance, Nifty is Overbought currently in need of consolidation or I dare say, little correction. However there is also a Hammer candle formation towards the top also indicates there might be some strength left in the rally on the back of Fresh spree of FII buying. Resistances on the upper side before we reach 21K is today's high 20961. With the closing that we received earlier this week. The long term channel towards 22K+ is also open now. Supports on the lower side are near 20852, 20715, 20518 and 20315.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
H & S Breakout in Nifty, Feels like Euphoria Phase of Bull-run.Head and Shoulder like Pattern in formed in Nifty. Currently Nifty looks like overbought. RSI is also above 80 and it feels like Euphoria Phase of Bull-run is activated. For how long the continuous bull run can persist is difficult to say as market can remain irrational more than investors can remain rational. To have a sustainable growth a little bit of correction or consolidation would be good but you never know. Bull-run is called a Bull-Run for a reason. Major fibonacci resistance for Nifty is near 20920. Supports for Nifty are near 20695, 20518, 20222 and 19736.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Breakout in Nifty but mid chanel resistance can block the pathFantastic Bullish breakout in Nifty but there is Mid-channel resistance can block the run way for a while unless we get a gap up opening tomorrow. The RSI also indicates need that Nifty is little bit into overbought territory. Little bit of consolidation before moving ahead will be good. Supports on the lower side are at 20024, 19960 and 19875. 19875 is a major channel bottom support. Nifty not breaking it will be good. If that support is broken major supports will be at 50 Hours EMA 19833 and 200 Hours EMA at 19614. Resistances on the upper side are 20103 strong resistance. Next resistance is 20237 and finally 20394. Peak of the current rally can be near 20556.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty trying to break free. Election Result can shake the tree.Nifty is trying to break free from the shackles and move towards 20K+ but the only thing that can topple the apple cart is the election results. If there is something that happens which goes against the general public opinion or a shock. We might see some volatility or even negativity. It can go either way as of now. The supports for Nifty on lower side are near 19816 and 19702. In case we get a closing below 19702 the next support will be near 19547. Resistances on the upper side for Nifty will be at 19913, 19984, 20049, 20108 and finally 20206. Above 20206 the channel towards 20500 will open up.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
The Resistance zone of 19826 to 19877 stops the Nifty rallylast week we identified the zone between 19816 and 19877 as the critical résistance zone. This is exactly the zone which has stopped Nifty from growing further and going further the full week. For our march towards 20K+ levels closing above 19877 is very important. Last weeks estimations were based on hourly chart of Nifty. This week in the daily chart you can see that Nifty is squeezing within a triangle and can give a breakout on either side. From the looks of it the breakout might be on the upper side only but some unwanted event on the Global scale (New illness in China or some event that violates the probable ceasefire in Gaza) can taper the upward trajectory so one needs to be watchful. Nifty resistances same as last week are same the zone between 19817 to 19877. Post that the next resistance will be near 19984 and 20049. Supports on the lower side in case something major spoils the part will be 19702, 19581 and 19533.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty looking strong after taking mid-channel supportNifty looking strong after taking mid-channel support. Crossing the immediate resistance of 19826 and 19880 the Nifty is looking all set to gain all lost ground due to conflict in the Middle East. Next resistance for Nifty after crossing 19880 will be at 19984, 20049, 20148 and 20200+. Supports for Nifty on the lower side will be at Mid channel support that is today's low near 19703. If in future 19703 is broken the next supports will be at 19581 and 19511. Things are looking good with a very good Hammer candle to end the day.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty Facing Trend line Resistance but looking strong Nifty is facing trendline resistance zone between 19830 and 19875. Nifty today made a high of 19829 and closed blow 19800 at 19783. Looks like tomorrow again Nifty will try to close above the 19875. If it does we can see further rally till 19992 and 20100+ levels. However crossing this hurdle is little tough. It can become easy if Nifty opens gap up above the trendline resistance. If Nifty fails to cross the resistance the supports at lower level will be at 19751, 19667, 19584 and finally 19498. But overall scenario still remains positive despite the resistance.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty in the support zone.Nifty right now is in a zone where it has multiple supports taking any of which it can start climbing again. The major support zone from the current level is 19667 to 19584. Below 19584 the major support for Nifty will be 50 days EMA (Mother Line) near 19487. Resistances on the upper side for spot nifty are near 19766, 19810, 19873 and 19992. Above 19992 Nifty can rise to 20051, 20116 and finally previous peak of 20222. So it might be a range bound few days till election results are announced.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment